A prospective cohort examination of haematological parameters in relation to cancer death and incidence: the Busselton Health Study

Iron is an essential micronutrient for human health as it participates in a vast range of metabolic processes [1‐4]. Deficiency or excess of iron have both been implicated as vital pathogenic processes of various chronic diseases. Iron deficiency is implicated in anaemia [5, 6], worsening symptoms of chronic heart failure [7, 8] and restless leg syndrome [9, 10]. On the other hand, iron excess as observed in hereditary haemochromatosis and haematological disorders such as thalassaemia major and sickle cell disease has been associated with liver cirrhosis, type two diabetes mellitus and cardiomyopathy [11‐20].

Recent studies have implicated iron in the pathogenesis of cancer. In hereditary haemochromatosis an increased risk of cancer with iron overload has been demonstrated [21‐24]. More recent population studies have shown even at high physiological levels of iron, there was increased risk of cancer [25‐27]. On the contrary, depletion of iron has been proposed to have a protective role on cancer development [28‐35]. In our previous study of the Busselton population, we found that higher concentrations of serum iron or TS were associated with an increased incidence of non-skin cancer in women, increased risks of breast cancer and of cancer death [25]. Thus iron status may be useful in stratifying risk for cancer.

Iron is essential for erythropoiesis [36], and low serum iron parameters may be reflected by changes in haematological parameters such as a reduction in mean haemoglobin (Hb), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), mean cell haemoglobin (MCH), and mean corpuscular haemoglobin concentration (MCHC) and an increase in red cell distribution width (RCDW) [37, 38]. Conversely, several studies of individuals with iron overload, such as in hereditary haemochromatosis, have shown that elevation in iron stores was associated with increased values of Hb, MCV, MCH, and MCHC [39‐41].

The full blood count assay is a relatively cheap and easily measured laboratory investigation that is conducted worldwide. In Australia it is estimated that approximately 12 million full blood counts are ordered per year [42]. Whilst serum iron biochemistry is also commonly performed, the full blood count is performed more than twice as frequently as iron studies [42]. The cost of the full blood count is approximately half the cost of iron studies in Australia and elsewhere [43‐45].

Given the positive association between iron levels and cancer incidence and death from our previous study [25], we aimed to assess the utility of haematological parameters such as the Hb, RCDW, MCV, MCH and MCHC as surrogate markers of iron bioavailability to determine the associations between these parameters and cancer death and incidence in the Busselton population.

A total of 1564 men and 1769 women met the study inclusion criteria. Baseline demographic, anthropometric and biochemical characteristics of the cohort, stratified according to gender, are presented in Table 1. The study cohort comprised of 47% men, with a mean age of 51 ± 14 years, and 53% of women with a mean age of 52 ± 15 years. Approximately 57% of women were post-menopausal and a third of these women used hormone replacement therapy. Oral contraceptives were used by 27% of pre-menopausal women. More men were current smokers or ex-smokers and also consumed more alcohol than women. A small proportion of the Busselton cohort was taking iron supplements to treat iron deficiency, 0.6% of men and 4.7% of women respectively, and about a third of men and women reported a history of blood donation. Hb and MCHC were significantly higher in men (p <  0.001) whereas MCV, MCH and RCDW were similar in men and women. SF, iron and TS levels were higher in men than in women (p <  0.001) and had positively skewed distributions. With the exception of HDL cholesterol and C-RP levels, all the other measured variables were also higher in men than in women (p <  0.001).

A total of 202 cohort participants died from cancer during the 20-year follow-up period and 191 were non-skin cancer deaths. A total of 588 participants had an incident non-skin cancer. A greater proportion of men developed non-skin cancer compared to women (19.4% in men versus 16.1% in women) whilst a similar proportion of non-skin cancer deaths and incident colorectal cancers were recorded for both men and women during the follow-up period. Of the sex-specific cancers, the proportion of men who were diagnosed with prostate cancer and women who were diagnosed with breast cancer was 8.2% and 5.2%, respectively.

Table 2 shows the correlations between haematological parameters and iron parameters. Hb was weakly correlated with MCV and moderately positively correlated with MCH and MCHC (0.04 to 0.14). MCV and MCH were very strongly positively correlated (0.93 in men and women), however MCV was not correlated with MCHC whereas MCH was positively correlated with MCHC (0.30 in men and 0.36 in women). RCDW was weakly to moderately negatively correlated with Hb, MCV, MCH, and MCHC.

Hb was positively correlated with SF, iron and TS in both men and women (0.09 to 0.16). MCV and MCH showed stronger correlations with iron and TS (0.20 to 0.31) than with SF (0.08 to 0.10) in men and women. MCHC showed weak correlations with SF, iron and TS (− 0.02 to 0.12) in men and women. RCDW showed negative correlations with SF, iron and TS (− 0.12 to − 0.14) in men and negative correlations with iron and TS (− 0.16 to − 0.17) but not with SF (0.03) in women.

Estimated hazard ratios for Hb, MCV, MCH, MCHC, and RCDW both as continuous variables and in approximate tertile groups, in relation to cancer incidence and death after adjustment for cancer risk were determined. There were only two instances of possible associations between a haematological parameter and cancer incidence in men or women. There was marginal evidence of an association between MCV (as a continuous variable) and non-skin cancer incidence in women (hazard ratio 1.15, 95% CI 1.013, 1.302; p = 0.030) but the hazard ratio was attenuated to non-significance after adjustment for SF, iron and TS (hazard ratio 1.11, 95% CI 0.972, 1.264; p = 0.126). There was strong evidence of an association between MCHC and prostate cancer incidence in men; the estimated hazard ratio for an increase of one SD (0.5) in MCHC was 1.27 (95% CI 1.064, 1.507; p = 0.008). Men with a MCHC ≤34.1 g/100 ml had a significantly lower risk of prostate cancer compared with men who had a MCHC above this value. Further, these associations remain after further adjustment for SF, iron and TS with the estimated hazard ratio for an increase of one SD (0.5) in MCHC being 1.25 (p = 0.014, 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.48).

Haematological parameters did not exhibit any association with incidence or death for breast cancer in women or colorectal cancer in women or men. Blood donation was not associated with cancer incidence and death.

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first large-scale population study to investigate the prospective association between haematological parameters as surrogate markers of iron bioavailability, and cancer incidence and death.

In this prospective, observational cohort study, we observed a strong association between MCHC and prostate cancer incidence that remained significant following adjustments for iron markers. There was also a marginal association between MCV and non-skin cancer incidence in women which was attenuated to non-significance after adjustment for iron markers. Hb, MCH and RCDW did not generate any significant association with cancer incidence or death.

We postulate that the overall weak correlation between haematological parameters and serum iron markers in our study may be attributed to the fact that changes in iron levels are reflected to some degree through red blood cell morphology [36, 49, 50]. Factors that could confound the association include diurnal variation in serum iron levels [51‐56] and unmeasured changes in iron and haematological parameters in the timeframe between entry into the study and endpoint determination. Several studies have reported positive correlations between serum iron or SF levels with TS, MCV and MCH [57, 58], whilst others have shown no significant correlation between MCV with TS and SF [59, 60].

This study demonstrates consistent trends in associations between increasing iron or haematological parameters and incidence for some cancers. Interestingly, the association between MCHC and prostate cancer was independent of adjustment for iron parameters whilst that of MCV and non-skin cancer in women was dependent on iron. We hypothesise that the variation in our findings can be attributed to the fact that even though iron may contribute to cancer via induction of oxidative stress, changes in the red blood cell parameters may also reflect changes to the body as a result of long term oxidative stress that parallels the drive for carcinogenesis [61‐71]. The association between MCHC and prostate cancer which remained significant after iron studies adjustments leads us to speculate that prostate carcinogenesis may be driven by alternative oxidative stress mediators possibly independent of iron. Although many studies have reported an association between oxidative stress and prostate cancer development, inconsistent reports have emerged on the association between iron and prostate carcinogenesis [72‐79].

Whilst several studies have reported positive associations between MCHC and oral squamous cell carcinoma [80] or head and neck cancers [81], others found no statistically significant associations [82, 83].

Inconsistent results have been reported regarding the association between MCV and cancer. A retrospective Japanese study found that elevated MCV was associated with the presence of lymphoid and solid organ cancers [84]. In contrast, a study of 253 patients with involuntary weight loss who were investigated for cancer found that MCV was not associated with cancer [85]. We observed an association between MCV, as a continuous variable, and non-skin cancer incidence. A retrospective much larger Korean cohort study of 36,260 cancer-free, non-anaemic men and women found that elevated MCV by quartiles was related to higher all-cause mortality and liver cancer mortality. There was a difference between genders with the highest quartile of MCV (≥95.8 fL) showing higher cancer mortality in men but not in women [86]. A retrospective study by Qu et al. observed that a high MCHC and MCV level was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer [87]. We speculate the association between elevation of MCV and cancer in our study may be a consequence of long-term effects of iron-dependent oxidative stress on the red blood cell structure and cancer pathogenesis [86, 88]. This mechanism still remains ambiguous and further research is needed to elucidate this hypothesis.

Substantial variability of findings has been observed in studies that investigated the association between RCDW and various cancers. A positive association have been reported in colon cancer [61, 89] endometrial cancer [90] oesophageal cancer [91‐94] renal cell carcinoma [95] or breast cancer [96‐98], whilst other studies found no statistically significant associations [85, 99].

There are strengths and limitations of our study. Strengths of our study include a well-defined, community-based cohort with a long follow-up period and adjustment of associations for a wide range of potential confounders. We excluded patients who were using erythropoeisis-stimulating agents that can affect these hematological parameters. Weaknesses include the relatively limited cohort size, which may have limited power, and the limited number of time-points during the course of the follow-up. Furthermore, we tested five haematological parameters for five cancers in men and women raising the possibility of false positive findings. Hence, the significance of the discovered possible associations between MCV and non-skin cancer incidence in women (p = 0.030) and MCHC and prostate cancer incidence in men (p = 0.008) should be regarded with care. In the current study, data on potential confounders for specific cancer risk factors, such as intake of red meat, fish, fibre, saturated fat and vitamin and mineral levels were unavailable and thus may also contribute to the inconsistent finding with those of previously published studies. As study subjects self-reported their histories of smoking and alcohol use during their participation in the survey, this may also limit accuracy of data. The nature of any pathophysiological process effecting haematological parameters decades before the occurrence of cancer and which contributes to cancer development remains unclear.

In conclusion, both MCHC and MCV were associated with cancer incidence in a Western Australian population, although only MCHC remained associated with prostate cancer incidence after adjusting with serum iron and TS (circulating iron) and SF (storage iron). Haematological parameters are thus of limited utility in population profiling for future cancer risk.