Background
There are millions of people worldwide who face illness, disability, and death every year because of poor access to drugs [
1,
2]. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), essential medicines are those drugs that satisfy the priority health care needs of the population and help with functioning healthcare systems [
3]. They are selected on the basis of their efficacy, safety, cost-effectiveness, and ought to be available in proper dosage forms at all times [
4]. One survey conducted by the WHO in 2013 estimates that over 10 million deaths worldwide could be avoided every year by an effective National Essential Medicines Policy (NEMP) [
5]. To ensure the supply of essential medicines, the WHO and the Health Action International (HAI) has set a benchmark of 80% for medicine availability as high [
6].
The access to essential medicines has been studied widely across the world since the WHO collaborated with HAI to develop a standardized method in May 2003 [
7]. Although many middle-income countries have formulated an essential medicine list, almost half of the global population still lack regular access to essential medicines [
8]. A secondary analysis of 36 developing and middle-income countries showed that the average availability of generic essential medicines was very low and treatments for acute and chronic illness were largely unaffordable in many countries [
9]. In addition, generic essential drugs, whose prices are lower than brand name products, were still unaffordable in many developing countries [
10‐
14].
Although China embraced the concept of essential medicines in 1979, the government did not introduce policies to address supply, use, payment as well as monitoring of essential medicines until 2009. In its most recent health-care reform (2009–2012), the Chinese government explicitly proposed the establishment of a national essential medicines system and made it one of five top priorities in the coming years. To ensure efficacy, government agencies –– including the Ministry of Health (MOH), the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), and seven other agencies –– have issued new essential medicines policies pertaining to selection, production and supply, use, pricing, payment, and other activities (see policy details in Additional file
1: Table S1 and Table S2).
Studies before 2009 revealed discouraging results about the availability and affordability of essential medicines [
15‐
19]. With the introduction of NEMP in 2009, the Chinese government aimed at improving equity in health-care access and reducing patients’ medical costs in primary hospitals. After the initiation of the NEMP in 2009, a few cross-sectional surveys have been conducted in China utilizing the WHO/HAI methodology to obtain evidence about the access to essential medicines [
20‐
23]. These studies showed that the availability of essential medicines decreased significantly after 2009 and the median price also fell while non-essential medicines saw less of a decline. After the initial reform, the NEMP was extended to secondary and tertiary hospitals, which were expected to ensure a certain use proportion of essential medicines [
10]. However, research about the initiation of NEMP in secondary and tertiary hospitals is inadequate and the long-term effect on access after the reform is still unknown.
The main aim of this study was to measure the availability, price and affordability of essential medicines in mainland China from 2011 to 2016 by conducting a tracking survey based on the WHO/HAI methodology. To our knowledge, this is the first such survey reported in China from a national perspective that observed the temporal trends and regional disparity of access to essential medicines in secondary and tertiary hospitals. This research may assist government health policy-makers, researchers and practitioners.
Methods
Data sources
Information pertaining to the use of essential drugs, including dosage form, strength, purchase time, specification, manufacturer, and price information, was extracted from the China Medicine Economic Information database (CMEI). The CMEI, which was constructed in 1993, is a large observational database of drug procurement records that cover sample institutes of 396 secondary hospitals (accounting for 6.5% secondary hospitals in China) and 763 tertiary hospitals (accounting for 38.7% tertiary hospitals in China). All of these hospitals are public and are located in 28 provinces across mainland China (excluding Qinghai, Tibet and Hainan). All member hospitals submitted ample drug procurement records to the CMEI monthly and then the records were aggregated and standardized for researchers and policy-makers.
Meanwhile, Management Sciences for Health (MSH) provided the reference price from 2011 to 2013 of the generic medicines for calculation of median price ratio (MPR) [
11]. That is to say, a MPR of 2 would mean that the local medicine price is twice the international reference price. MSH international reference prices, which are generally offered by not-for-profit suppliers to developing countries, are recommended as the most useful standard. Generally, a MPR of one or less indicates an efficient public sector procurement system.
China’s population income distribution was obtained from the China Statistical Yearbook from 2011 to 2014 [
12‐
15]. (Additional file
1: Table S4) The China Statistical Yearbook provided information about income of urban and rural residents per capita for calculation of affordability.
Sampling
Thirty medicines were surveyed from January 2011 to November 2016 in the database: 13 from the WHO/HAI core global and regional lists (representing medicines for common acute and chronic disorders) and 17 locally selected supplementary medicines chosen for their local importance and disease burden in China, with input from an advisory committee of practicing pharmacists, academics and experts. Of the 30 medicines surveyed, 27 were listed in the NEML database [
16] and three were on medicines procurement supplementary list of several provinces. Eighteen medicines treat acute disorders, whereas 12 treat chronic disorders. Out of 10 therapeutic classes we surveyed, hypertension, rheumatoid arthritis and diabetes have the highest prevalence [
17] among Chinese patients and so we chose four medicines of treatment for these three diseases to assess affordability (Additional file
1: Table S5).
Measures and analysis
The availability of each medicine was reported as the percent availability of an individual medicine at the surveyed hospitals. As mentioned above, we included all of the strengths of sample medicines through measuring the chemical entities by smallest unit. Median availability of selected medicines was used in statistical analysis. We compared the availability for adjacent years, different regions, and that between innovator brands and generics.
The median price ratio (MPR), which represented the ratio of one medicine’s median unit price to the international reference price (IRP), was used for price evaluation. The median MPR of selected medicines was used in statistical analysis. To facilitate comparisons of reported figures, all reference prices of MSH from 2011 to 2013 were converted into Chinese Renminbi (CNY) over the same period by purchasing power parity (PPP) conversion rates [
18]. For the absence of reference prices of MSH from 2014 to 2016, we used discount factor (DF) to discount all drug price from 2014 to 2016 into price in 2013 and then compared them with reference price in 2013 to calculate MPR(see calculation details in Additional file
1: Table S3) [
19]. Finally, we analyzed differences between annual and regional MPR and between MPR of innovator brands, and MPR of generics.
Due to a lack of data about the average daily wage of the lowest-paid unskilled government workers (LPGWs), we used incidence of catastrophic drug expenditure (CDE) to assess affordability instead of LPGWs. CDE is a concept borrowed from catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) [
20], which is widely used to describe all types of health expenditures that threaten the financial capacity of a household to maintain its subsistence needs. Different thresholds are used to define CHE in different researches. Generally, out-of-pocket healthcare payments (OOP) that comprise ≥10% of total household expenditures and out-of-pocket healthcare payments that comprise ≥40% of a household’s non-subsistence income are widely used [
21,
22]. When only examining households with catastrophic out-of-pocket drug expenditures, a drug budget share equal to or greater than 10% is universally accepted [
23]. Finally, we estimated the percentage of households with catastrophic drug expenditures (defined as a drug budget share of 10% or more) and used 7.5% and 12.5% to do sensitivity analysis. In this study we used drug expenditure instead of OOP to calculate CDE on the basis that in China copayment of hypertensive and diabetic outpatients is up to 85% and that outpatients almost fully cover drug expenditure for chronic diseases [
24]. Moreover, reimbursement rate is slightly different among different provinces, therefore, drug expenditure before reimbursement is a better indicator for regional comparison. Given that we only included 3 chronic diseases which required lifelong treatment with medications, we calculated the daily average cost of medicine to estimate drug expenditure.
Due to the fact that urban residents earn an income exceeding that of rural residents, we have the figures of income per capita calculated separately for both residents.
Discussion
Our findings captured some changes of trend for availability, MPR and affordability in Chinese secondary and tertiary hospitals.
Contrary to the decreasing trend for availability of essential medicines in a contemporaneous study [
23], we did not note substantial decreases in medicine availability during the research period. The nationwide availability was approximately 50% from 2011 to 2016 and far from the standard of 80% set by the WHO. Some possible reasons for low availability include manufacturers’ inadequate incentives for producing essential medicines whose price was set too low [
25,
26]. Additionally, from the standpoint of patients and practices, the perception that low cost essential medicines are lower quality hindered the use of essential medicines [
27] and finally caused essential medicines to go out of stock in public hospitals. This phenomenon was also observed in another survey of essential medicines in Shaanxi Province in western China [
28].
As for MPR, after the implementation of NEMP the rising trend was curbed until there was a sudden increase in 2016. The reasons for decrease of MPR before 2016 possibly included the pharmaceutical centralized public bidding procurement strengthened by the central government in 2014, which was a more efficient procurement to negotiate with manufacturers and wholesalers. Although the rising trend of prices of essential medicines was controlled efficiently before 2016, the MPR of 25 essential medicines still exceeded the reasonable standard of 1.5, which might be associated with disordered medicine distribution system [
5,
29]. As for the increase in 2016, the most possible reason may be the withdraw of price regulations in June 2015. In September 2009, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) issued regulated retail prices for essential medicines, lowering the regulated prices by 45% resulting in an average drop of 12% relative to market prices. The prices of essential medicines picked up rapidly after 6-years of price controls.
The reported affordability was also well controlled and the incidence of CDE decreased. That might primarily be due to rising living standards and increasing insurance coverage. A significant number of studies on economic reforms over the past three decades in China have identified that falling unemployment and rising real wages reduced income poverty and provided a substantial boost to household incomes [
30], which enable people to afford essential medicines and high medical expenditure better.
Besides findings related to changing trend, we also found some differences among different regions, between rural and urban areas as well as generics and innovator brands.
The regional disparity of availability and MPR is of great concern. That is to say, the eastern region showed a higher availability and MPR, which might be due to the gaps in economic level and transport system among the eastern, central and western regions [
31]. As extant literature documented, the central and western regions have inadequate health resources and lack high-quality essential medicines compared with the developed eastern region [
23], which indicates that China is faced with a daunting inequality in health resources allocation and health services utilization [
32].
Due to differences in economic development and income level between rural and urban areas, essential medicines were more unaffordable for rural patients. As for the basic medical and health services in rural areas in China, there are still issues such as health financing structural imbalance, primary health personnel deficit, irrational allocation of health resources and government funding shortage [
33], which possibly hindered the affordability of essential medicines in rural areas. Medical expenditure has clearly become a heavy financial burden in rural China and one of the major poverty generators as to why many patients do not complete the appropriate treatment [
23].
As the results showed, the median MPR for innovator brand medicines was about 3.66 to 6.32 times that for generic drugs. Similar results were also found in Malaysia [
34]. The main possible explanation for this could be that most innovator brands surveyed are patented or imported so that competition is limited while there is fierce competition for the generic medicines because of abundant domestic manufacturers [
35]. However, we did not observed any significant difference between availability of generics and innovator brands. The main reason may be that hospitals in China can only purchase two strengths for one dosage form drug and that they tended to procure one generic and one innovator brand of same generic name drug. Admittedly, a stronger evidence and a deeper analysis are needed to support the observation for further research.
Based our findings, we recommend more specific guidance for the use of essential medicines to place emphasis on prescriptions of essential medicines and improve access and equity. To secure the availability of essential medicines, investigations are also needed to evaluate the transparency and efficiency of the essential medicine bidding system among different regions. Regarding the sudden increase of MPR in 2016, price regulations of essential medicines should be strengthened and a dynamic monitoring system of essential medicine price is needed to guarantee access to affordable essential medicines.
Limitations
As mentioned above, we improved the WHO/HAI survey manual and exceeded the specific strengths list so that the nationwide availability outclassed that of other contemporaneous research in China. Yet the study has three limitations. First, we found significant differences among drugs under the same category for MPR and availability. That is to say, we may exaggerate or underestimate the severity of the condition if we only assess the access to one drug in our survey list neglecting other therapeutic alternatives. What is more the results will be worse if we take in account other expenses such as consultation fees and diagnostic tests. Therefore, further studies can focus on assessing the access to essential medicines from the perspective of the curing process of disease instead of limited sample drug and include the alternative drugs. Second, although China’s population income curve is a good proxy for estimating income, there is still a narrow gap between the income curve from the China Statistical Yearbook and the real income distribution in China. Third, we used three parameters –– availability, prices and affordability — to reflect access to essential medicines. Other barriers, not mentioned in this work, may impair or diminish the population’s access to medicines and also need concerns for further study.