Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Journal of General Internal Medicine 3/2019

18.12.2018 | Original Research

Assessing the Effect of Clinical Inertia on Diabetes Outcomes: a Modeling Approach

verfasst von: Maria F. Correa, MS, Yan Li, PhD, Hye-Chung Kum, PhD, Mark A. Lawley, PhD

Erschienen in: Journal of General Internal Medicine | Ausgabe 3/2019

Einloggen, um Zugang zu erhalten

Abstract

Background

There are an increasing number of newer and better therapeutic options in the management of diabetes. However, a large proportion of diabetes patients still experience delays in intensification of treatment to achieve appropriate blood glucose targets—a phenomenon called clinical inertia. Despite the high prevalence of clinical inertia, previous research has not examined its long-term effects on diabetes-related health outcomes and mortality.

Objective

We sought to examine the impact of clinical inertia on the incidence of diabetes-related complications and death. We also examined how the impact of clinical inertia would vary by the length of treatment delay and population characteristics.

Design

We developed an agent-based model of diabetes and its complications. The model was parameterized and validated by data from health surveys, cohort studies, and trials.

Subjects

We studied a simulated cohort of patients with diabetes in San Antonio, TX.

Main Measures

We examined 25-year incidences of diabetes-related complications, including retinopathy, neuropathy, nephropathy, and cardiovascular disease.

Key Results

One-year clinical inertia could increase the cumulative incidences of retinopathy, neuropathy, and nephropathy by 7%, 8%, and 18%, respectively. The effects of clinical inertia could be worse for populations who have a longer treatment delay, are aged 65 years or older, or are non-Hispanic whites.

Conclusion

Clinical inertia could result in a substantial increase in the incidence of diabetes-related complications and mortality. A validated agent-based model can be used to study the long-term effect of clinical inertia and, thus, inform clinicians and policymakers to design effective interventions.
Anhänge
Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Shaw JE, Sicree RA, Zimmet PZ. Global estimates of the prevalence of diabetes for 2010 and 2030. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2010;87(1):4–14.PubMedCrossRef Shaw JE, Sicree RA, Zimmet PZ. Global estimates of the prevalence of diabetes for 2010 and 2030. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2010;87(1):4–14.PubMedCrossRef
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Boyle JP, Thompson TJ, Gregg EW, Barker LE, Williamson DF. Projection of the year 2050 burden of diabetes in the US adult population: dynamic modeling of incidence, mortality, and prediabetes prevalence. Popul Health Metrics 2010;8(1):29.CrossRef Boyle JP, Thompson TJ, Gregg EW, Barker LE, Williamson DF. Projection of the year 2050 burden of diabetes in the US adult population: dynamic modeling of incidence, mortality, and prediabetes prevalence. Popul Health Metrics 2010;8(1):29.CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Cowie CC, Rust KF, Byrd-Holt DD, et al. Prevalence of diabetes and impaired fasting glucose in adults in the US population National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999–2002. Diabetes Care 2006;29(6):1263–1268.PubMedCrossRef Cowie CC, Rust KF, Byrd-Holt DD, et al. Prevalence of diabetes and impaired fasting glucose in adults in the US population National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999–2002. Diabetes Care 2006;29(6):1263–1268.PubMedCrossRef
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Li R, Bilik D, Brown MB, et al. Medical costs associated with type 2 diabetes complications and comorbidities. Am J Manag Care 2013;19(5):421.PubMedPubMedCentral Li R, Bilik D, Brown MB, et al. Medical costs associated with type 2 diabetes complications and comorbidities. Am J Manag Care 2013;19(5):421.PubMedPubMedCentral
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Nathan DM, DCCT Research Group. The diabetes control and complications trial/epidemiology of diabetes interventions and complications study at 30 years: overview. Diabetes Care 2014;37(1):9–16.PubMedCrossRef Nathan DM, DCCT Research Group. The diabetes control and complications trial/epidemiology of diabetes interventions and complications study at 30 years: overview. Diabetes Care 2014;37(1):9–16.PubMedCrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Lovshin JA, Zinman B. Diabetes: clinical inertia—a barrier to effective management of T2DM. Nat Rev Endocrinol 2013;9(11):635–636.PubMedCrossRef Lovshin JA, Zinman B. Diabetes: clinical inertia—a barrier to effective management of T2DM. Nat Rev Endocrinol 2013;9(11):635–636.PubMedCrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Stone MA, Charpentier G, Doggen K, et al. Quality of care of people with type 2 diabetes in eight European countries. Diabetes Care 2013;36(9):2628–2638.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Stone MA, Charpentier G, Doggen K, et al. Quality of care of people with type 2 diabetes in eight European countries. Diabetes Care 2013;36(9):2628–2638.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
9.
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Strain WD, Blüher M, Paldánius P. Clinical inertia in individualising care for diabetes: is there time to do more in type 2 diabetes?, Diabetes Ther 2014;5(2):347–354.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Strain WD, Blüher M, Paldánius P. Clinical inertia in individualising care for diabetes: is there time to do more in type 2 diabetes?, Diabetes Ther 2014;5(2):347–354.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Osataphan S, Chalermchai T, Ngaosuwan K. Clinical inertia causing new or progression of diabetic retinopathy in type 2 diabetes: A retrospective cohort study. J Diabetes 2017;9(3):267–274.PubMedCrossRef Osataphan S, Chalermchai T, Ngaosuwan K. Clinical inertia causing new or progression of diabetic retinopathy in type 2 diabetes: A retrospective cohort study. J Diabetes 2017;9(3):267–274.PubMedCrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Li Y, Lawley MA, Siscovick DS, Zhang D, Pagán JA. Agent-Based Modeling of Chronic Diseases: A Narrative Review and Future Research Directions. Prev Chronic Dis 2016;13:150561.CrossRef Li Y, Lawley MA, Siscovick DS, Zhang D, Pagán JA. Agent-Based Modeling of Chronic Diseases: A Narrative Review and Future Research Directions. Prev Chronic Dis 2016;13:150561.CrossRef
13.
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Epstein JM. Generative Social Science: Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ; 2006. Epstein JM. Generative Social Science: Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ; 2006.
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Rigotti NA, Wallace RB. Using Agent-Based Models to Address “Wicked Problems” Like Tobacco Use: A Report from the Institute of Medicine. Ann Intern Med 2015;163(6):469–471.PubMedCrossRef Rigotti NA, Wallace RB. Using Agent-Based Models to Address “Wicked Problems” Like Tobacco Use: A Report from the Institute of Medicine. Ann Intern Med 2015;163(6):469–471.PubMedCrossRef
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Li Y, Kong N, Lawley M, Weiss L, Pagán JA. Advancing the Use of Evidence-Based Decision-Making in Local Health Departments With Systems Science Methodologies. Am J Public Health 2015;105(S2):S217–S222.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Li Y, Kong N, Lawley M, Weiss L, Pagán JA. Advancing the Use of Evidence-Based Decision-Making in Local Health Departments With Systems Science Methodologies. Am J Public Health 2015;105(S2):S217–S222.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Li Y, Kong N, Lawley MA, Pagán JA. Using Systems Science for Population Health Management in Primary Care. J Prim Care Community Health 2014;5(4):242–246.PubMedCrossRef Li Y, Kong N, Lawley MA, Pagán JA. Using Systems Science for Population Health Management in Primary Care. J Prim Care Community Health 2014;5(4):242–246.PubMedCrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Li Y, Kong N, Lawley M, Pagán JA. Assessing lifestyle interventions to improve cardiovascular health using an agent-based model. In: Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE Press; 2014:1221–1232. Li Y, Kong N, Lawley M, Pagán JA. Assessing lifestyle interventions to improve cardiovascular health using an agent-based model. In: Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE Press; 2014:1221–1232.
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Hoerger TJ, Bethke AD, Richter A, et al. Cost-effectiveness of intensive glycemic control, intensified hypertension control, and serum cholesterol level reduction for type 2 diabetes. JAMA 2002;287(19):2542–2551.CrossRef Hoerger TJ, Bethke AD, Richter A, et al. Cost-effectiveness of intensive glycemic control, intensified hypertension control, and serum cholesterol level reduction for type 2 diabetes. JAMA 2002;287(19):2542–2551.CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhou H, Isaman DJ, Messinger S, et al. A computer simulation model of diabetes progression, quality of life, and cost. Diabetes Care 2005;28(12):2856–2863.PubMedCrossRef Zhou H, Isaman DJ, Messinger S, et al. A computer simulation model of diabetes progression, quality of life, and cost. Diabetes Care 2005;28(12):2856–2863.PubMedCrossRef
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Stevens RJ, Coleman RL, Adler AI, Stratton IM, Matthews DR, Holman RR. Risk factors for myocardial infarction case fatality and stroke case fatality in type 2 diabetes UKPDS 66. Diabetes Care 2004;27(1):201–207.PubMedCrossRef Stevens RJ, Coleman RL, Adler AI, Stratton IM, Matthews DR, Holman RR. Risk factors for myocardial infarction case fatality and stroke case fatality in type 2 diabetes UKPDS 66. Diabetes Care 2004;27(1):201–207.PubMedCrossRef
22.
Zurück zum Zitat American Diabetes Association. Standards of medical care in diabetes—2016 abridged for primary care providers. Clin Diabetes 2016;34(1):3–21.PubMedCentralCrossRef American Diabetes Association. Standards of medical care in diabetes—2016 abridged for primary care providers. Clin Diabetes 2016;34(1):3–21.PubMedCentralCrossRef
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Fagiolo G, Moneta A, Windrum P. A critical guide to empirical validation of agent-based models in economics: Methodologies, procedures, and open problems. Comput Econ 2007;30(3):195–226.CrossRef Fagiolo G, Moneta A, Windrum P. A critical guide to empirical validation of agent-based models in economics: Methodologies, procedures, and open problems. Comput Econ 2007;30(3):195–226.CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Eddy DM, Hollingworth W, Caro JJ, Tsevat J, McDonald KM, Wong JB. Model transparency and validation a report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force–7. Med Decis Mak 2012;32(5):733–743.CrossRef Eddy DM, Hollingworth W, Caro JJ, Tsevat J, McDonald KM, Wong JB. Model transparency and validation a report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force–7. Med Decis Mak 2012;32(5):733–743.CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Adler AI, Stevens RJ, Manley SE, et al. Development and progression of nephropathy in type 2 diabetes: the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS 64). Kidney Int 2003;63(1):225–232.PubMedCrossRef Adler AI, Stevens RJ, Manley SE, et al. Development and progression of nephropathy in type 2 diabetes: the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS 64). Kidney Int 2003;63(1):225–232.PubMedCrossRef
26.
Zurück zum Zitat The Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes Study Group. Effects of intensive glucose lowering in type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2008;2008(358):2545–2559. The Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes Study Group. Effects of intensive glucose lowering in type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2008;2008(358):2545–2559.
27.
Zurück zum Zitat UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Group. Intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin compared with conventional treatment and risk of complications in patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 33). Lancet 1998;352(9131):837–853.CrossRef UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Group. Intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin compared with conventional treatment and risk of complications in patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 33). Lancet 1998;352(9131):837–853.CrossRef
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Li G, Zhang P, Wang J, et al. The long-term effect of lifestyle interventions to prevent diabetes in the China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Study: a 20-year follow-up study. Lancet 2008;371(9626):1783–1789.PubMedCrossRef Li G, Zhang P, Wang J, et al. The long-term effect of lifestyle interventions to prevent diabetes in the China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Study: a 20-year follow-up study. Lancet 2008;371(9626):1783–1789.PubMedCrossRef
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Partanen J, Niskanen L, Lehtinen J, Mervaala E, Siitonen O, Uusitupa M. Natural history of peripheral neuropathy in patients with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. N Engl J Med 1995;333(2):89–94.PubMedCrossRef Partanen J, Niskanen L, Lehtinen J, Mervaala E, Siitonen O, Uusitupa M. Natural history of peripheral neuropathy in patients with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. N Engl J Med 1995;333(2):89–94.PubMedCrossRef
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Hoerger TJ, Hicks KA, Sorensen SW, et al. Cost-effectiveness of screening for pre-diabetes among overweight and obese US adults. Diabetes Care 2007;30(11):2874–2879.PubMedCrossRef Hoerger TJ, Hicks KA, Sorensen SW, et al. Cost-effectiveness of screening for pre-diabetes among overweight and obese US adults. Diabetes Care 2007;30(11):2874–2879.PubMedCrossRef
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Paul SK, Klein K, Thorsted BL, Wolden ML, Khunti K. Delay in treatment intensification increases the risks of cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2015;14(1):100.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Paul SK, Klein K, Thorsted BL, Wolden ML, Khunti K. Delay in treatment intensification increases the risks of cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2015;14(1):100.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Assessing the Effect of Clinical Inertia on Diabetes Outcomes: a Modeling Approach
verfasst von
Maria F. Correa, MS
Yan Li, PhD
Hye-Chung Kum, PhD
Mark A. Lawley, PhD
Publikationsdatum
18.12.2018
Verlag
Springer International Publishing
Erschienen in
Journal of General Internal Medicine / Ausgabe 3/2019
Print ISSN: 0884-8734
Elektronische ISSN: 1525-1497
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-018-4773-3

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 3/2019

Journal of General Internal Medicine 3/2019 Zur Ausgabe

Clinical Practice: Clinical Images

Hyperacute Gonococcal Keratoconjunctivitis

Leitlinien kompakt für die Innere Medizin

Mit medbee Pocketcards sicher entscheiden.

Seit 2022 gehört die medbee GmbH zum Springer Medizin Verlag

Neu im Fachgebiet Innere Medizin

23.04.2024 | Parkinson-Krankheit | Podcast | Nachrichten

Parkinson-Therapie im Wandel – aktuelle Leitlinie im Fokus

Professorin Dr. Claudia Trenkwalder, Neurologin

22.04.2024 | DGIM 2024 | Kongressbericht | Nachrichten

Krebspatienten impfen: Was? Wen? Und wann nicht?

22.04.2024 | DGIM 2024 | Kongressbericht | Nachrichten

Nierenultraschall: Tipps vom Profi

Update Innere Medizin

Bestellen Sie unseren Fach-Newsletter und bleiben Sie gut informiert.