Background
Methods
Sample selection
A. Series 1 for development of the BRCA1 classifier | ||||
Training set | Validation set | |||
N | % | N | % | |
Material type | ||||
Fresh frozen | 27 | 38 | 24 | 34 |
FFPE | 44 | 62 | 46 | 66 |
ER status | ||||
ER neg | 48 | 68 | 48 | 69 |
ER pos | 21 | 30 | 21 | 30 |
Unknown | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
HER status | ||||
HER2 neg | 24 | 34 | 21 | 30 |
HER2 pos | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Unknown | 43 | 61 | 56 | 66 |
Array-based BRCA1-like classification | ||||
Non-BRCA1-like | 30 | 42 | 28 | 40 |
BRCA1-like | 41 | 58 | 42 | 60 |
Mutation status | ||||
BRCA1mut | 8 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
BRCA2mut | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Unknown | 61 | 86 | 59 | 84 |
BRCA1 promoter methylation | ||||
Non-methylated | 39 | 55 | 36 | 51 |
BRCA1-methylated | 14 | 20 | 12 | 17 |
Unknown | 18 | 25 | 22 | 31 |
B. Series 2 for development of the BRCA2 classifier | ||||
Training set | Validation set | |||
N | % | N | % | |
Material type | ||||
Fresh frozen | 21 | 38 | 21 | 38 |
FFPE | 34 | 62 | 35 | 63 |
ER status | ||||
ER neg | 13 | 24 | 16 | 29 |
ER pos | 40 | 73 | 38 | 68 |
Unknown | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
HER status | ||||
HER2 neg | 20 | 36 | 20 | 36 |
HER2 pos | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Unknown | 30 | 55 | 32 | 57 |
Array-based BRCA2-like classification | ||||
Non-BRCA2-like | 30 | 55 | 28 | 50 |
BRCA2-like | 25 | 46 | 28 | 50 |
Mutation status | ||||
BRCA1mut | 1 | 13 | 1 | 13 |
BRCA2mut | 7 | 88 | 7 | 88 |
Unknown | 47 | 48 | ||
C. Series 3 for assessing treatment prediction power | ||||
FEC | HD-CTC | Total | pvalue | |
n(%) | n(%) | n(%) | ||
Age | ||||
< 40 | 17 (32%) | 20 (29%) | 37 (30%) | 0.84 |
> 40 | 36 (68%) | 49 (71%) | 85 (70%) | |
ER status | ||||
Neg | 21 (40%) | 22 (32%) | 43 (35%) | 0.45 |
Pos | 32 (60%) | 47 (68%) | 79 (65%) | |
PR status | ||||
Neg | 30 (57%) | 28 (41%) | 58 (48%) | 0.10 |
Pos | 23 (43%) | 41 (59%) | 64 (52%) | |
pT-stage | ||||
1 | 6 (11%) | 16 (23%) | 22 (18%) | 0.03 |
2 | 37 (70%) | 49 (71%) | 86 (70%) | |
3 | 10 (19%) | 4 (6%) | 14 (11%) | |
Grade | ||||
I | 6 (12%) | 13 (21%) | 19 (17%) | 0.17 |
II | 16 (31%) | 25 (40%) | 41 (35%) | |
III | 29 (57%) | 25 (40%) | 54 (47%) | |
No. of positive lymph nodes | ||||
< 10 | 34 (64%) | 47 (68%) | 81 (66%) | 0.70 |
≥ 10 | 19 (36%) | 22 (32%) | 41 (34%) | |
Array-based BRCA1-like classification | ||||
Non-BRCA1-like | 39 (74%) | 56 (81%) | 95 (78%) | 0.38 |
BRCA1-like | 14 (26%) | 13 (19%) | 27 (22%) | |
Array-based BRCA2-like classification | ||||
Non-BRCA2-like | 40 (75%) | 53 (77%) | 93 (76%) | 1.00 |
BRCA2-like | 13 (23%) | 16 (23%) | 29 (24%) | |
D. Clinical variables in patients included in the digitalMLPA analysis and in the total HER2-negative trial population | ||||
digitalMLPA tested,n(%) | digitalMLPA not tested,n(%) | pvalue | ||
n | 122 | 500 | ||
Age (median (SD)) | 44.00 (6.96) | 44.67 (6.12) | 0.28 | |
Treatment | ||||
CONV | 53 (43.4) | 249 (49.8) | 0.25 | |
HD | 69 (56.6) | 251 (50.2) | ||
ER status | ||||
Negative (< 10%) | 43 (35.2) | 106 (21.2) | < 0.01 | |
Positive (≥ 10%) | 79 (64.8) | 393 (78.6) | ||
NA | 0 (0.0) | 1 (0.2) | ||
PR status | ||||
Negative (< 10%) | 58 (47.5) | 170 (34.0) | 0.01 | |
Positive (≥ 10%) | 64 (52.5) | 319 (63.8) | ||
NA | 0 (0.0) | 11 (2.2) | ||
pT-stage | ||||
1 | 22 (18.0) | 129 (25.8) | 0.05 | |
2 | 86 (70.5) | 290 (58.0) | ||
3 | 14 (11.5) | 79 (15.8) | ||
NA | 0 (0.0) | 2 (0.4) | ||
Grade | ||||
Grade I | 19 (15.6) | 121 (24.2) | 0.05 | |
Grade II | 41 (33.6) | 192 (38.4) | ||
Grade III | 54 (44.3) | 176 (35.2) | ||
NA | 8 (6.6) | 11 (2.2) | ||
No. of positive lymph nodes | ||||
LN < 10 | 81 (66.4) | 324 (64.8) | 0.82 | |
LN ≥ 10 | 41 (33.6) | 176 (35.2) | ||
Array-based BRCA1-like classification | ||||
Non-BRCA1-like | 95 (77.9) | 115 (23.0) | 0.05 | |
BRCA1-like | 27 (22.1) | 16 (3.2) | ||
NA | 0 (0.0) | 369 (73.8) | ||
Array-based BRCA2-like classification | ||||
Non-BRCA2-like | 93 (76.2) | 105 (21.0) | 0.27 | |
BRCA2-like | 29 (23.8) | 22 (4.4) | ||
NA | 0 (0.0) | 373 (74.6) |
Development of digitalMLPA probe mix for BRCAness
digitalMLPA experiments
Data analysis
Class prediction
Statistics
Results
Training and validation of digitalMLPA-based BRCAness classifiers
Predicted with digitalMLPA | Class error rate (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|
BRCA1-like | Non-BRCA1-like | ||
Array-based score | |||
Training set | |||
BRCA1-like | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Non-BRCA1-like | 1 | 29 | 3 |
Overall error rate | 1 | ||
Test set | |||
BRCA1-like | 39 | 3 | 7 |
Non-BRCA1-like | 3 | 25 | 10 |
Overall error rate | 9 | ||
Performance in the test set | |||
Sensitivity = 93% | |||
Specificity = 90% | |||
Accuracy = 91% |
Results of the classifier in the prediction of BRCA2-like status
Predicted with digitalMLPA | Class error rate (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|
BRCA2-like | Non-BRCA2-like | ||
Array-based score | |||
Training set | |||
BRCA2-like | 21 | 4 | 16 |
Non-BRCA2-like | 2 | 28 | 7 |
Overall error rate | 11 | ||
Test set | |||
BRCA2-like | 21 | 7 | 25 |
Non-BRCA2-like | 3 | 25 | 11 |
Overall error rate | 18 | ||
Performance in test set | |||
Sensitivity = 75% | |||
Specificity = 89% | |||
Accuracy = 82% |
Classifier performance in BRCA-mutated and BRCA-methylated samples
N with correct classification | |
---|---|
BRCA1-like classification | |
BRCA1-mutated | 88% (14/16) |
BRCA1 promoter methylation | 96% (26/27) |
BRCA2-like classification | |
BRCA2-mutated | 93% (13/14) |
Survival analysis Dutch high dose study
Variable | All 114 patients with 47 events | 37 TN patients with 17 events | 77 HR pos patients with 30 events | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. events/no. patients | Hazard ratio | 95% CI | p value | No. events/no. patients | Hazard ratio | 95% CI | p value | No. events/no. patients | Hazard ratio | 95% CI | p value | |
pT-stage | ||||||||||||
pT1/pT2 | 36/100 | 1.00 | 12/31 | 1.00 | 24/69 | 1.00 | ||||||
pT3 | 11/14 | 2.87 | 1.35–6.08 | 0.006 | 5/6 | 1.92 | 0.63–5.87 | 0.249 | 6/8 | 1.71 | 1.50–10.94 | 0.06 |
Histologic grade | ||||||||||||
I/II | 21/60 | 1.00 | 3/8 | 1.00 | 18/52 | 1.00 | ||||||
III | 26/54 | 1.96 | 1.01–3.81 | 0.0478 | 14/29 | 1.97 | 0.52–7.47 | 0.318 | 12/25 | 1.25 | 0.96–4.78 | 0.064 |
digitalMLPA | ||||||||||||
Non-BRCA-like tumor | 23/58 | 1.00 | 5/10 | 1.00 | 18/48 | 1.00 | ||||||
BRCA-like tumor | 24/56 | 0.94 | 0.50–1.76 | 0.845 | 12/27 | 1.18 | 0.29–2.50 | 0.765 | 12/29 | 1.79 | 0.44–2.05 | 0.906 |
BRCA-like tumor | ||||||||||||
FE90C chemotherapy | 21/29 | 1.00 | 10/14 | 1.00 | 11/15 | 1.00 | ||||||
HD-CTC chemotherapy | 3/27 | 0.12 | 0.04–0.44 | 0.001 | 2/13 | 0.15 | 0.03–0.73 | 0.0185 | 1/14 | 0.09 | 0.01–0.80 | 0.0311 |
Non-BRCA-like | p interaction = 0.011* | p interaction = 0.072 | p interaction = 0.070 | |||||||||
FE90C chemotherapy | 10/22 | 1.00 | 3/6 | 1.00 | 7/16 | 1.00 | ||||||
HD-CTC chemotherapy | 13/36 | 0.90 | 0.37–2.18 | 0.818 | 2/4 | 0.91 | 0.10–8.02 | 0.934 | 11/32 | 0.75 | 0.28–1.97 | 0.558 |