Background
Methods
Data collection
Statistical analysis
Incident trend decomposition
Patterns of time changes in incidence and mortality of HIV and AIDS
Results
Temporal trends of HIV and AIDS incidence
Changing patterns of HIV and AIDS incidence according to each province
Region | Province | HIV incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | Relative Changes of HIV incidence | AIDS incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | Relative Changes of AIDS incidence | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR | 95%CI | OR | 95%CI | ||||||
ALL | 1.02 | 1.11 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 0.23 | 1.28 | 1.23 | 1.33 | |
North | Beijing | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.14 | 1.22 | 0.48 | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.45 |
Tianjin | 0.37 | 1.26 | 1.18 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.12 | |
Hebei | 0.08 | 1.28 | 1.24 | 1.31 | 0.04 | 1.29 | 1.20 | 1.37 | |
Shanxi | 0.12 | 1.14 | 1.09 | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.16 | 1.09 | 1.23 | |
Inner Mongolia | 0.05 | 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 0.03 | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.56 | |
Northeast | Liaoning | 0.11 | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.40 | 0.04 | 1.48 | 1.40 | 1.58 |
Jilin | 0.23 | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.28 | 0.06 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.49 | |
Heilongjiang | 0.11 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.41 | 0.04 | 1.42 | 1.37 | 1.47 | |
East | Shanghai | 1.62 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 1.10 | 0.19 | 1.34 | 1.24 | 1.46 |
Jiangsu | 0.17 | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.35 | 0.05 | 1.41 | 1.33 | 1.48 | |
Zhejiang | 0.39 | 1.24 | 1.19 | 1.28 | 0.06 | 1.47 | 1.42 | 1.53 | |
Anhui | 0.05 | 1.13 | 1.05 | 1.21 | 0.01 | 1.23 | 1.13 | 1.33 | |
Fujian | 0.40 | 1.27 | 1.23 | 1.32 | 0.14 | 1.32 | 1.28 | 1.36 | |
Jiangxi | 0.14 | 1.26 | 1.20 | 1.32 | 0.08 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.40 | |
Shandong | 0.03 | 1.20 | 1.14 | 1.27 | 0.03 | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.45 | |
Central | Henan | 2.06 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 1.10 | 1.36 | 1.03 | 1.01 | 1.05 |
Hubei | 0.93 | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.24 | 0.41 | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.28 | |
Hunan | 0.57 | 1.13 | 1.10 | 1.15 | 0.14 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.38 | |
South | Guangdong | 1.94 | 1.04 | 1.01 | 1.06 | 0.26 | 1.25 | 1.20 | 1.31 |
Guangxi | 2.90 | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.08 | 0.70 | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.34 | |
Hainan | 1.31 | 1.19 | 1.16 | 1.22 | 0.05 | 1.38 | 1.23 | 1.55 | |
Southwest | Chongqing | 0.71 | 1.20 | 1.16 | 1.25 | 0.11 | 1.62 | 1.54 | 1.70 |
Sichuan | 0.89 | 1.21 | 1.15 | 1.28 | 0.06 | 1.64 | 1.54 | 1.75 | |
Guizhou | 1.93 | 1.17 | 1.13 | 1.21 | 0.01 | 1.63 | 1.46 | 1.82 | |
Yunnan | 8.39 | 1.13 | 1.09 | 1.16 | 0.68 | 1.33 | 1.23 | 1.44 | |
Tibet | 0.00 | 1.23 | 1.16 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 1.36 | 1.26 | 1.47 | |
Northwest | Shaanxi | 0.09 | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.47 | 0.05 | 1.43 | 1.37 | 1.50 |
Gansu | 0.07 | 1.29 | 1.23 | 1.34 | 0.04 | 1.40 | 1.21 | 1.61 | |
Qinghai | 0.17 | 1.41 | 1.33 | 1.49 | 0.13 | 1.40 | 1.27 | 1.54 | |
Ningxia | 0.14 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.26 | 0.00 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.08 | |
Xinjiang | 2.84 | 1.03 | 1.01 | 1.05 | 0.10 | 1.36 | 1.24 | 1.50 |
Changing patterns of HIV and AIDS incidence stratified by age
Age group | Relative Change | Male | Relative Change | Female | Relative Change | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HIV incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | OR | 95%CI | HIV incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | OR | 95%CI | HIV incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | OR | 95%CI | ||||
All | 0.99 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.46 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.14 | 0.51 | 1.10 | 1.06 | 1.13 |
0- | 0.15 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.12 | 0.16 | 1.06 | 1.01 | 1.10 | 0.14 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
5- | 0.08 | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.15 | 0.09 | 1.09 | 1.04 | 1.14 | 0.06 | 1.11 | 1.04 | 1.17 |
10- | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.99 | 1.08 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.06 | 0.04 | 1.10 | 1.06 | 1.14 |
15- | 0.38 | 1.18 | 1.16 | 1.20 | 0.45 | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.26 | 0.29 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.12 |
20- | 1.33 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.14 | 1.88 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.19 | 0.76 | 1.02 | 0.97 | 1.08 |
25- | 2.86 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.08 | 4.35 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.36 | 1.03 | 0.99 | 1.07 |
30- | 3.21 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 5.02 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 1.05 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 0.99 | 1.06 |
35- | 1.84 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.08 | 2.81 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.07 | 0.81 | 1.08 | 1.03 | 1.13 |
40- | 1.02 | 1.14 | 1.12 | 1.17 | 1.49 | 1.14 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 0.52 | 1.16 | 1.12 | 1.19 |
45- | 0.62 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 1.29 | 0.91 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.28 | 0.32 | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.33 |
50- | 0.55 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.28 | 0.67 | 1.26 | 1.23 | 1.29 | 0.41 | 1.24 | 1.21 | 1.26 |
55- | 0.23 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.38 | 0.28 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.38 | 0.19 | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.39 |
60- | 0.17 | 1.37 | 1.31 | 1.43 | 0.24 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 0.10 | 1.42 | 1.34 | 1.50 |
65- | 0.18 | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.46 | 0.28 | 1.38 | 1.30 | 1.47 | 0.06 | 1.38 | 1.32 | 1.45 |
70- | 0.12 | 1.37 | 1.29 | 1.45 | 0.20 | 1.36 | 1.29 | 1.44 | 0.04 | 1.40 | 1.31 | 1.51 |
75- | 0.07 | 1.41 | 1.30 | 1.52 | 0.13 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.51 | 0.02 | 1.50 | 1.32 | 1.70 |
80- | 0.04 | 1.42 | 1.32 | 1.54 | 0.07 | 1.42 | 1.32 | 1.53 | 0.01 | 1.49 | 1.32 | 1.68 |
85- | 0.25 | 1.17 | 1.01 | 1.36 | 0.56 | 1.22 | 1.07 | 1.38 | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 1.02 |
Age group | Both sex | Relative Change | Male | Relative Change | Female | Relative Change | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AIDS incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | OR | 95%CI | AIDS incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | OR | 95%CI | AIDS incidence in 2004 (/10^5) | OR | 95%CI | ||||
All | 0.23 | 1.28 | 1.23 | 1.34 | 0.29 | 1.31 | 1.26 | 1.36 | 0.16 | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.28 |
0- | 0.04 | 1.15 | 1.06 | 1.25 | 0.05 | 1.14 | 1.05 | 1.23 | 0.02 | 1.17 | 1.08 | 1.27 |
5- | 0.04 | 1.12 | 1.07 | 1.18 | 0.05 | 1.12 | 1.06 | 1.18 | 0.03 | 1.12 | 1.05 | 1.20 |
10- | 0.03 | 0.96 | 0.89 | 1.04 | 0.03 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 0.94 | 1.14 |
15- | 0.02 | 1.35 | 1.24 | 1.47 | 0.02 | 1.39 | 1.28 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 1.30 | 1.18 | 1.43 |
20- | 0.10 | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.47 | 0.11 | 1.47 | 1.35 | 1.59 | 0.08 | 1.26 | 1.18 | 1.34 |
25- | 0.39 | 1.27 | 1.19 | 1.35 | 0.54 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 0.24 | 1.21 | 1.14 | 1.28 |
30- | 0.65 | 1.21 | 1.15 | 1.27 | 0.88 | 1.23 | 1.16 | 1.29 | 0.41 | 1.16 | 1.11 | 1.23 |
35- | 0.51 | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.27 | 0.64 | 1.24 | 1.20 | 1.29 | 0.38 | 1.15 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
40- | 0.40 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 1.30 | 0.48 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 0.32 | 1.19 | 1.15 | 1.24 |
45- | 0.25 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.40 | 0.31 | 1.38 | 1.34 | 1.42 | 0.19 | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.35 |
50- | 0.27 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 | 0.33 | 1.32 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 0.20 | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.27 |
55- | 0.13 | 1.38 | 1.34 | 1.43 | 0.17 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.45 | 0.09 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.40 |
60- | 0.12 | 1.44 | 1.37 | 1.51 | 0.16 | 1.46 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 0.06 | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.48 |
65- | 0.08 | 1.47 | 1.41 | 1.53 | 0.13 | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.55 | 0.02 | 1.43 | 1.37 | 1.49 |
70- | 0.07 | 1.50 | 1.41 | 1.60 | 0.12 | 1.50 | 1.41 | 1.61 | 0.01 | 1.49 | 1.41 | 1.58 |
75- | 0.03 | 1.54 | 1.44 | 1.64 | 0.05 | 1.56 | 1.46 | 1.66 | 0.01 | 1.42 | 1.31 | 1.54 |
80- | 0.01 | 1.58 | 1.49 | 1.68 | 0.02 | 1.57 | 1.48 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 1.12 | 1.06 | 1.18 |
85- | 0.01 | 1.45 | 1.31 | 1.60 | 0.04 | 1.45 | 1.32 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 1.05 | 1.02 | 1.10 |