Introduction
Sepsis is defined as a life-threatening syndrome associated with physiological, pathological and biological abnormalities caused by a dysregulated host response to infections [
1]. It is a global public health concern due to its high mortality and morbidity, and substantial economic burden [
2]. Rudd and colleagues recently reported the shocking global estimates of 48.9 million cases of sepsis in 2017 and 11.0 million sepsis-related deaths [
3]. According to a systematic review published in 2016 and based on studies from high-income countries, more than 30 million cases of hospital-treated sepsis are estimated to occur every year worldwide, with 5.3 million patients dying from sepsis [
4].
Sepsis is also of great significance in the intensive care unit (ICU), where it affects approximately 30% of patients, with large variations between different geographical regions [
5]. A study based in the USA with more than 170,000 sepsis cases reported that 55% of all sepsis cases required ICU admission [
6]. Although it occurs across all age groups, the burden of sepsis is especially high among neonates [
7].
Sepsis can occur as a complication of infections acquired in the community, which is reported to represent up to 70% of all sepsis cases according to Reinhart and colleagues [
2]. It can also develop from healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) that are mostly preventable by appropriate infection prevention and control (IPC) measures [
8]. According to a 2011 global report by the World Health Organization (WHO), HAIs prevalence varies between 5.7 and 19.1% hospital-wide [
9]. More recent data show that in Europe [
10] and the USA [
11] hospital-wide prevalence of HAIs is 6.5% and 3.2%, respectively. A multicentre prospective study in ICUs in Brazil showed that 60% of sepsis cases were from HAIs, suggesting that HAIs relatively play a more significant role in epidemiological burden in low- and middle-income countries [
12].
Importantly, recent data showed that up to 55% of all HAIs can be prevented by the implementation of multifaceted IPC interventions [
13], which would ultimately result in a significant reduction in hospital-acquired sepsis (HA sepsis) cases. However, most sepsis studies lack the differentiation between community-acquired and HA sepsis [
3,
4], and no systematic review on the global burden of HA sepsis has been conducted yet, including in the ICU setting.
Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the prevalence, incidence, patient length of stay and mortality of HA sepsis worldwide and to describe causative organisms, including antimicrobial resistance (AMR) patterns.
Methods
This systematic review followed a protocol published in the Prospective Register for Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO 2018 CRD42018089554) and was performed according to the guidelines in the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) statement [
14].
Search strategy
We systematically searched MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Global Index Medicus (African Index Medicus, Index Medicus for the Eastern Mediterranean Region, Index Medicus for the South-East Asia Region, Latin America and the Caribbean Literature on Health Sciences and Western Pacific Region Index Medicus) for studies published from 1 Jan 2000 to 7 March 2018 (date of last search). Language was restricted to Arabic, English, French, German, Italian, Japanese, Portuguese, Russian or Spanish. Details of the complete search strategy are presented in Supplementary material 1. Potentially relevant articles were retrieved for full-text review. Search results (titles, abstracts, full texts) were independently assessed by at least two investigators (RM, TH, HS, ST). Discordances were solved by a third reviewer or by discussion.
Study selection criteria
Studies, including full-text publications and conference abstracts, were included if they met all of the following criteria. (1) Data reported on the incidence or prevalence of HA sepsis (the condition had to be named “sepsis”, “severe sepsis” or “septic shock” or similar). (2) Sepsis in children and adults defined according to appropriate sepsis definitions (such as consensus definitions like sepsis-1 [
15], -2 [
16], -3 [
1]) or identified with appropriate International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes (Supplementary material 2, Table 1) [
17,
18]. Apart from the diagnosis of clinical sepsis in neonates, studies defining “clinical sepsis” according to the criteria for HAIs of the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)/National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) [
19] were excluded, as this definition only represents a subgroup of healthcare-associated primary bloodstream infections. Due to the difficulty regarding the definition of sepsis in neonates and the lack of validated consensus definitions, we included all studies on neonatal sepsis in neonatal ICUs (NICUs) if their sepsis case definition was based on clinical criteria of systemic infections (e.g. fever, hypothermia, bradycardia, apnoea, etc.). (3) The study could be of any design, apart from a randomised controlled trial, case series or case–control study, and had to provide original data. (4) Data collection had to be finished after 1 January 2000. (5) The study was conducted hospital-wide or in ICUs (including paediatric and NICUs) with largely unselected patient cohorts, i.e. not only high-risk populations (e.g. low birthweight neonates) or those with a specific underlying disease (e.g. cancer). (6) The study provided data at least related to the defined primary outcomes of this systematic review.
Definitions used in this study
For the purpose of this study, “hospital-acquired” is defined as a case of infection/sepsis acquired in the hospital, including ICUs, while “ICU-acquired” denotes a subset of hospital-acquired infections/sepsis and comprises all cases of infection/sepsis acquired during ICU stay. Any reported timescale of “hospital-acquired” was accepted. In the included studies, “hospital-acquired” and “ICU-acquired” were usually defined as disease onset occurring 48–72 h after hospital and ICU admission, respectively.
In this study, “sepsis” is an umbrella term for cases of sepsis, sepsis with organ dysfunction and septic shock. Similarly, “sepsis with organ dysfunction” is an umbrella term for cases of sepsis with organ dysfunction and septic shock. Importantly, cases of “severe sepsis” defined here by sepsis-1 and sepsis-2 definitions were termed “sepsis with organ dysfunction”. As the current sepsis-3 definition includes organ dysfunction as part of its sepsis case definition, “sepsis” cases in these studies were designated as “sepsis with organ dysfunction” cases.
Study outcomes
Primary outcomes were population and/or hospital-wide/ICU incidence, incidence density and/or prevalence of HA sepsis; proportion of HA sepsis (1) among all sepsis patients (both of community and hospital origin) or (2) among all patients with HAIs. Secondary outcomes were (1) attributable and crude mortality; (2) length of stay; (3) microbiological data, including data on AMR of microorganisms isolated from sepsis patients.
Data extraction and risk of bias assessment
From eligible studies, at least two independent reviewers (RM, TH, HS, ST) extracted data on the primary and secondary outcomes and the following study characteristics using standardized forms: study location (including WHO region and income level according to the World Bank [
20]; study design; study period; patient inclusion and exclusion criteria; age group; sepsis case definition used; study sponsorship; conflict of interests; infection origin (i.e. hospital-acquired or ICU-acquired); and blood culture status (studies in NICUs). The risk of bias of individual studies was assessed using the tool developed by Hoy et al. [
21]. After the initial PROSPERO registration, we modified the protocol and decided not to use the GRADE methodology to assess the quality of evidence because of methodological uncertainties in the application of GRADE to incidence and prevalence studies [
22].
Statistical analysis
HA sepsis types were categorized into sepsis, sepsis with organ dysfunction and septic shock. Studies were grouped into hospital-wide, ICU-based and NICU-based. Pooled estimates were calculated using a random-effects model with logit-transformed raw proportions, and between-study variance τ2 was estimated using the DerSimonian–Laird estimator. Statistical heterogeneity was quantified using I2 statistics. All statistical analyses were performed using R (version 3.6.1) and the “meta” package (version 4.9.5).
Role of the funding source
WHO provided funding for the study and acted as a consultant in study design, data extraction, data interpretation and writing of the manuscript. The corresponding author had full access to all the data in the study and had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication.
Discussion
To our knowledge, this systematic review is the first to investigate the burden of HA sepsis at both hospital and ICU level. The main finding of our study is that HA sepsis poses a major burden among hospitalized patients, particularly in ICUs.
In ICUs, nearly one in four (24.4%) cases of sepsis with organ dysfunction was acquired during ICU stay, and more compelling, nearly half of all cases (48.7%) had originated in the hospital. The significance of HA sepsis with organ dysfunction in the ICU is also emphasized by our findings that 36 and 56 out of 1000 ICU patients developed sepsis with organ dysfunction in the ICU and in the hospital, respectively. This high rate has a major clinical implication as it has been shown that patients who develop sepsis during ICU stay have a significantly higher mortality and longer length of stay than ICU patients without sepsis [
76]. Importantly, we found that the mortality of ICU patients with ICU- or hospital-acquired sepsis exceeded 40%, which is considerably higher than the overall mortality rates reported in critically ill ICU patients [
77]. The incidence of HA sepsis was particularly high among neonates treated in NICUs. More than 110 out of 1000 admitted neonates suffered from HA sepsis, with HA neonatal sepsis representing more than 50% of all HAIs in this setting. Moreover, we found that the average length of ICU or hospital stay of patients with HA sepsis is much longer than that of patients with community-acquired sepsis, thus highlighting the considerable clinical and economic significance of HA sepsis in ICUs.
These findings indicate the urgent need to increase efforts to promote IPC programmes and interventions to reduce HAIs and their evolution to septic complications. WHO has repeatedly acknowledged the significant role of IPC programmes to combat sepsis, with clear calls to action [
78]. Sepsis is avoidable in both the community and healthcare settings by preventing infection and halting its evolution to more severe conditions by rapidly establishing appropriate support and antimicrobial therapy [
79,
80]. In particular, WHO and others have provided strong evidence and recommendations on the effectiveness of IPC to reduce the incidence of severe HAIs worldwide [
13,
81‐
84], including sepsis [
85]. However, much has still to be done, when considering that only 28% of countries worldwide report to have functional IPC programmes implemented at the national level and in all healthcare facilities, according to WHO recommendations [
86].
Similar to a previous systematic review on the global incidence of hospital-treated sepsis [
4], we identified a limited number of population-based studies. Thus, the global incidence of HA sepsis remains unclear and needs to be addressed in future studies. However, based on four large multicentre studies, we found a pooled population-level estimate of ICU-treated HA sepsis with organ dysfunction of 40.8 cases per 100,000 population per year. If the pooled estimate of the three European studies [
34,
44,
54] (24.5 cases per 100,000 population) is extrapolated to countries of the European Union (EU) and European Economic Area (EEA) (518 million inhabitants), a tentative estimate would suggest approximately 127,000 cases of ICU-treated HA sepsis with organ dysfunction every year in this area. In line with this, Cassini and colleagues estimated that about 2,600,000 new cases of HAIs occur in the EU/EEA every year and that HAIs are considered the top infectious disease issue in this area [
87].
Regarding the microbiological aetiology and related AMR patterns of HA sepsis, we could find limited evidence provided by seven studies only and substantial differences in findings were observed between individual ICU- and NICU-based studies. AMR is recognized as being one of the greatest public health challenges [
88‐
90]. Accordingly, we found that a substantial proportion of organisms causing HA sepsis exhibited clinically relevant AMR. Given the clinical impact of resistant organisms on the treatment of sepsis [
91], more studies specifying microbiological profiles in HA sepsis are needed.
Our study has some limitations. Due to the rigorousness of our methodology, we were only able to include a relatively low number of studies clearly reporting data on HA sepsis. Indeed, we excluded 490 papers, including some large good-quality studies, during the full-text review as the distinction between healthcare-associated and community-acquired sepsis was unclear. This is also linked to the fact that many epidemiological studies on sepsis rely on the use of ICD codes for sepsis case detection, rather than the prospective collection of data according to clinical consensus definitions, thus leading to a greater difficulty in distinguishing between healthcare-associated and community-acquired sepsis. Despite our broad search strategy with a special focus on low- and middle-income countries, most included hospital-wide and ICU-based studies were from high-income countries from the European and American WHO regions. Although our search/inclusion strategy comprised a wide range of languages, we cannot exclude that, due to language restrictions, some relevant studies particularly from low- and middle-income countries might have been missed. Therefore, similar to previous reviews or global estimates on sepsis, our findings might not represent the epidemiology of HA sepsis in low- and middle-income countries and in other WHO regions. However, it is likely that the incidence of HA sepsis among hospital-treated patients is even higher than our estimates suggest as HAIs are more prevalent in these countries [
92]. Furthermore, we were unable to estimate the incidence of HA-sepsis-related deaths as no studies with data on attributable mortality were identified. Another limitation is that only two included studies used the current sepsis-3 consensus definition. The majority of hospital- and ICU-wide studies (including those that are recent) were based on the sepsis-1 definition. In view of this, our estimates for “sepsis with organ dysfunction”, including “severe sepsis” according to sepsis-1 and sepsis-2 definitions and “sepsis” according to the sepsis-3 definition, better reflect the current epidemiology of sepsis as the sepsis-3 definition includes organ dysfunction as defining criteria.
It is encouraging that the risk of bias of the individual ICU-based studies included was low to moderate, with the main source of risk being the unclear national representativeness of most reports. In contrast, the overall risk of bias was moderate to high in the great majority of hospital-wide and NICU-based studies, mostly due to low national representativeness and unclear reliability of the applied sepsis case definitions. We consistently found a very large heterogeneity between individual study estimates which should lead to caution in the interpretation of the meta-analyses results. However, based on our approach to only pool studies from similar settings, we decided that reporting these summaries provides a sufficiently robust analysis and a valuable contribution to this very relevant epidemiological topic. The variations between individual studies may be explained by methodological differences among studies, including applied sepsis case definitions, such as differences between clinical consensus definitions and administrative data [
93,
94]. To our knowledge, there is no validated approach using administrative data to specifically identify sepsis cases of healthcare-associated origin. Indeed, it is a current research priority to reach a final international consensus on the most suitable ICD codes to trace sepsis cases and the most frequent conditions that lead to sepsis-related death. Moreover, as there is no validated sepsis definition for neonatal sepsis [
95], case definitions varied and mainly relied on clinical symptoms and often did not include laboratory testing. In addition, the diagnostic criteria of neonatal sepsis used in the included studies might have also captured infections without any organ dysfunction. Furthermore, inter-study variations may also be caused by differences in patient characteristics (such as age [
96] and comorbidities [
97]), time of the study or could reflect true differences in the prevalence of underlying HAIs between countries and regions as well as between individual hospitals, as observed in several studies [
10,
92,
98]. Ultimately, heterogeneity may be also explained by country differences in healthcare access and quality, since it has been shown that locations with less developed healthcare systems exhibit a higher sepsis incidence and mortality [
3]. Based on these limitations and identified knowledge gaps, we conclude that more methodologically robust studies, especially from low- and middle-income countries, are needed to accurately understand the global burden of healthcare-associated sepsis (see Supplementary material 2, Table 8).
In summary, our study provides the first comprehensive summary of published evidence on the burden of HA sepsis including ICU-acquired sepsis. Our findings emphasize the public health importance of HA sepsis among hospitalized patients, with particular focus on ICUs, and the urgent need to improve the implementation of global and local IPC strategies to reduce the burden of HAIs, as well as approaches for their early diagnosis and adequate treatment to prevent a progression to sepsis complications. Further research is required to close major knowledge and methodological gaps identified by our study.
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