Study design and participants
The BIODOPT trial has previously been reported in details [
10,
18]. It was a pragmatic, multicentre, randomised, open-label, equivalence trial of 18 months duration conducted in Denmark. Patients ≥ 18 years old, diagnosed with RA, PsA, or axSpA, on stable biologic dose, and in LDA ≥ 12 months were randomised (2:1) to tapering or control. A sustained, tapered (lower than standard) TNFi dose at enrolment were allowed if the lower dose was kept ≥ 12 months prior to inclusion. The tapering group followed a disease activity-guided algorithm which increased the TNFi dosing interval with approximately 25% every 4 months until flare or withdrawal [
10,
18]. However, due to the long dosing interval, infliximab was spaced with two weeks at each infusion. The control group maintained their baseline biological dosing interval but, as usual practise, a small increase was allowed if requested by the patient.
In this secondary analysis reporting, blood samples collected in connection to the baseline, 12- and 18-months visit were analysed. These specific time points were chosen as patients potentially could taper their TNFi to discontinuation after 12 months; thus, TNFi drug-levels were expected to be lowest at the end of the study which could lead to an increased formation of ADAb.
The blood samples were stored in the Danish Rheumatology Biobank. TNFi drug-levels (adalimumab, certolizumab-pegol, etanercept, golimumab, and infliximab) and ADAb were measured by IDKmonitor enzyme-linked immunoassorbant assays, Immundiagnostik AG, Bensheim, Germany. In accordance with the manufacturer’s recommendation, ADAb were considered positive if values were ≥ 10 arbitrary units/mL. The timing of blood sampling was not fixed to the timing of last TNFi administration; however, the date of last TNFi administration was noted at each visit. Only patients treated with a TNFi at baseline were included in these analysis as assays for measuring abatacept or tocilizumab drug-levels not were available.
At 18-months, patients were considered to have successfully tapered their TNFi if the dose was reduced by ≥ 50% compared to baseline, no protocol violations had occurred, and they were in LDA, defined as RA or PsA: Disease Activity Score28-C-Reactive Protein (DAS28-CRP) ≤ 3.2, or axSpA: Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS) < 2.1.
Statistical analysis
These secondary analyses were conducted and reported in accordance with the pre-specified SAP (provided as a supplementary), the CONSORT statement [
19,
20] and the TRIPOD statement [
21,
22]. The analyses were based on intention-to-treat (ITT) i.e., all randomised participants independent of subsequent protocol deviations.
Baseline characteristics were summarised by count and percentage, mean and standard deviation, or median ad interquartile range according to distribution.
The primary outcome ‘TNFi drug-level’ was evaluated as categorised as very low and very high values were truncated. Based on previous literature [
15,
23,
24] or the manufacturer’s recommendation, the variable was divided into ‘low’, ‘intermediate’, and ‘high’, Supplementary Table S1.
Binary outcomes (TNFi drug-levels and ADAb) were analysed using mixed Poisson regression with robust variance estimator with the fixed effects: group (tapering vs control), diagnosis, biologic failure history (on biologic number ≤ 2, or ≥ 3), centre, time-point (0, 12, or 18 months) and the interaction between group and time. Patient id number were included as random intercept. Continuous outcomes (disease activity) were analysed using a t-test with unequal variance (if normally distributed). An equivalence margin of ± 0.5 disease activity points was pre-specified.
In the primary analysis, missing values for binary outcomes were handled by ‘single-step imputation’; thus, ‘TNFi drug-level category’ was imputed as ‘intermediate TNFi drug-level’ as this represent the ‘normal range’ for most patients, and’ADAb’ was imputed as ‘not having developed ADAb’. To analyse the potential implication of missing data, a sensitivity analysis was conducted where missing values of ‘ADAb’ was handled as ‘having developed ADAb’, and missing values of ‘TNFi drug-level category’ as having ‘low TNFi drug-level’. The continuous variable ‘disease activity’ were evaluated as observed i.e., missing values were not imputed.
Post-hoc analyses on the primary and secondary outcomes were performed to capture changes within the trial groups from baseline to month 18 (or month 12). Binary outcomes were analysed by McNemar’s test, and continuous outcomes were evaluated by a t-test with unequal variance (if normally distributed). Moreover, a sensitivity analysis on the primary outcome (TNFi drug-level category) was performed to explore potential implications of blood sampling time in relation to the last dose of TNFi.
In the prediction analysis, missing values for ‘successful TNFi tapering’ were imputed as trial failure i.e., successful tapering was not achieved. The following baseline variables were included in analysis: female sex, age, Body Mass Index (BMI), diagnosis, disease duration, on conventional synthetic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (csDMARDs), on ≥ 2 csDMARDs, on methotrexate, repeated biologics failure (on biological agent number ≥ 3), duration of baseline biological therapy, previous biologic tapering attempt, C-reactive protein, in remission (RA and PsA: DAS28-CRP < 2.6, or axSpA: ASDAS < 1.3), TNFi drug-level category, and presence of ADAb. Continuous variables were grouped to identify relevant non-linearity in which case the variable would be categorised into clinically relevant groups by expert opinion. The potential baseline predictors were analysed using univariable modified Poisson regression with robust variance estimator. Variables with a univariate p-value < 0.10 were included in a multivariable, data-driven regression analysis. Moreover, a multivariable, clinical-driven regression analysis including baseline variables judged to be of particular interest by expert opinion (BMI, TNFi drug-level category, presence of ADAb, and on csDMARDs) were also performed. Pairwise correlation between predictors were explored using treelet transformation. Leave-one-out cross-validation was performed to receive the area under the receiving operator curve.
All analyses were performed using commercially available statistical software (STATA, version 18, or SAS, version 9.4).