Skip to main content
Erschienen in: International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health 8/2009

01.08.2009 | Original Article

Interpreting epidemiological evidence in the presence of multiple endpoints: an alternative analytic approach using the 9-year follow-up of the Seychelles child development study

verfasst von: Edwin van Wijngaarden, Gary J. Myers, Sally W. Thurston, Conrad F. Shamlaye, Philip W. Davidson

Erschienen in: International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health | Ausgabe 8/2009

Einloggen, um Zugang zu erhalten

Abstract

Purpose

The potential for ill-informed causal inference is a major concern in published longitudinal studies evaluating impaired neurological function in children prenatally exposed to background levels of methyl mercury (MeHg). These studies evaluate a large number of developmental tests. We propose an alternative analysis strategy that reduces the number of comparisons tested in these studies.

Methods

Using data from the 9-year follow-up of 643 children in the Seychelles child development study, we grouped 18 individual endpoints into one overall ordinal outcome variable as well as by developmental domains. Subsequently, ordinal logistic regression analyses were performed.

Results

We did not find an association between prenatal MeHg exposure and developmental outcomes at 9 years of age.

Conclusion

Our proposed framework is more likely to result in a balanced interpretation of a posteriori associations. In addition, this new strategy should facilitate the use of complex epidemiological data in quantitative risk assessment.
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Axelrad DA, Bellinger DC, Ryan LM et al (2007) Dose-response relationship of prenatal mercury exposure and IQ: an integrative analysis of epidemiologic data. Environ Health Perspect 115:609–615PubMedCrossRef Axelrad DA, Bellinger DC, Ryan LM et al (2007) Dose-response relationship of prenatal mercury exposure and IQ: an integrative analysis of epidemiologic data. Environ Health Perspect 115:609–615PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Budtz-Jørgensen E, Keiding N, Grandjean P, Weihe P (2002) Estimation of health effects of prenatal methylmercury exposure using structural equation models. Environ Health 1(1):2PubMedCrossRef Budtz-Jørgensen E, Keiding N, Grandjean P, Weihe P (2002) Estimation of health effects of prenatal methylmercury exposure using structural equation models. Environ Health 1(1):2PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cernichiari E, Toribara TY, Liang L et al (1995) The biological monitoring of mercury in the Seychelles study. Neurotoxicology 16:613–628PubMed Cernichiari E, Toribara TY, Liang L et al (1995) The biological monitoring of mercury in the Seychelles study. Neurotoxicology 16:613–628PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Clarkson TW (2002) The three modern faces of mercury. Environ Health Perspect 110(Suppl 1):11–23PubMed Clarkson TW (2002) The three modern faces of mercury. Environ Health Perspect 110(Suppl 1):11–23PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Crump KS, Van Landingham C, Shamlaye C et al (2000) Benchmark concentrations for methylmercury obtained from the Seychelles child development study. Environ Health Perspect 108:257–263. doi:10.2307/3454443 PubMedCrossRef Crump KS, Van Landingham C, Shamlaye C et al (2000) Benchmark concentrations for methylmercury obtained from the Seychelles child development study. Environ Health Perspect 108:257–263. doi:10.​2307/​3454443 PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Davidson PW, Myers GJ, Cox C et al (1998) Effects of prenatal and postnatal methylmercury exposure from fish consumption on neurodevelopment: outcomes at 66 months of age in the Seychelles child development study. JAMA 280:701–707. doi:10.1001/jama.280.8.701 PubMedCrossRef Davidson PW, Myers GJ, Cox C et al (1998) Effects of prenatal and postnatal methylmercury exposure from fish consumption on neurodevelopment: outcomes at 66 months of age in the Seychelles child development study. JAMA 280:701–707. doi:10.​1001/​jama.​280.​8.​701 PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Glantz SA (2002) A primer of biostatistics. McGraw-Hill, New York Glantz SA (2002) A primer of biostatistics. McGraw-Hill, New York
Zurück zum Zitat McDowell MA, Dillon CF, Osterloh J et al (2004) Hair mercury levels in U.S. children and women of childbearing age: reference range data from NHANES 1999–2000. Environ Health Perspect 112:1165–1171PubMed McDowell MA, Dillon CF, Osterloh J et al (2004) Hair mercury levels in U.S. children and women of childbearing age: reference range data from NHANES 1999–2000. Environ Health Perspect 112:1165–1171PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat National Research Council (2000) Toxicological effects of methylmercury. National Academy Press, Washington, DC National Research Council (2000) Toxicological effects of methylmercury. National Academy Press, Washington, DC
Zurück zum Zitat Perneger TV (1998) What’s wrong with Bonferroni adjustments. BMJ 316:1236–1238PubMed Perneger TV (1998) What’s wrong with Bonferroni adjustments. BMJ 316:1236–1238PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Rothman KJ (1986) Modern epidemiology. Little Brown, Boston Rothman KJ (1986) Modern epidemiology. Little Brown, Boston
Zurück zum Zitat Savitz DA, Olshan AF (1995) Multiple comparisons and related issues in the interpretation of epidemiologic data. Am J Epidemiol 142:904–908PubMed Savitz DA, Olshan AF (1995) Multiple comparisons and related issues in the interpretation of epidemiologic data. Am J Epidemiol 142:904–908PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Savitz DA, Olshan AF (1998) Describing data requires no adjustment for multiple comparisons: a reply from Savitz and Olshan. Am J Epidemiol 147:813–814 discussion 815PubMed Savitz DA, Olshan AF (1998) Describing data requires no adjustment for multiple comparisons: a reply from Savitz and Olshan. Am J Epidemiol 147:813–814 discussion 815PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Shamlaye C, Davidson PW, Myers GJ (2004) The Seychelles child development study: two decades of collaboration. SMDJ Seychelles Med Dent J 7:92–99 Shamlaye C, Davidson PW, Myers GJ (2004) The Seychelles child development study: two decades of collaboration. SMDJ Seychelles Med Dent J 7:92–99
Zurück zum Zitat Stokes ME, Davis CS, Koch GG (2000) Categorical data analysis using the SAS system. SAS Institute, Inc., Cary Stokes ME, Davis CS, Koch GG (2000) Categorical data analysis using the SAS system. SAS Institute, Inc., Cary
Zurück zum Zitat Thompson JR (1998) Invited commentary: Re: Multiple comparisons and related issues in the interpretation of epidemiologic data. Am J Epidemiol 147:801–806PubMed Thompson JR (1998) Invited commentary: Re: Multiple comparisons and related issues in the interpretation of epidemiologic data. Am J Epidemiol 147:801–806PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Thurston SW, Ruppert D, Davidson PW (2009) Bayesian models for multiple outcomes nested in domains. Biometrics Thurston SW, Ruppert D, Davidson PW (2009) Bayesian models for multiple outcomes nested in domains. Biometrics
Zurück zum Zitat WHO (1990) Environmental health criteria 101 methylmercury. World Health Organization, Geneva WHO (1990) Environmental health criteria 101 methylmercury. World Health Organization, Geneva
Metadaten
Titel
Interpreting epidemiological evidence in the presence of multiple endpoints: an alternative analytic approach using the 9-year follow-up of the Seychelles child development study
verfasst von
Edwin van Wijngaarden
Gary J. Myers
Sally W. Thurston
Conrad F. Shamlaye
Philip W. Davidson
Publikationsdatum
01.08.2009
Verlag
Springer-Verlag
Erschienen in
International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health / Ausgabe 8/2009
Print ISSN: 0340-0131
Elektronische ISSN: 1432-1246
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00420-009-0402-0

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 8/2009

International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health 8/2009 Zur Ausgabe