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Erschienen in: European Radiology 6/2018

19.01.2018 | Cardiac

Integrated prediction of lesion-specific ischaemia from quantitative coronary CT angiography using machine learning: a multicentre study

verfasst von: Damini Dey, Sara Gaur, Kristian A. Ovrehus, Piotr J. Slomka, Julian Betancur, Markus Goeller, Michaela M. Hell, Heidi Gransar, Daniel S. Berman, Stephan Achenbach, Hans Erik Botker, Jesper Moller Jensen, Jens Flensted Lassen, Bjarne Linde Norgaard

Erschienen in: European Radiology | Ausgabe 6/2018

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Abstract

Objectives

We aimed to investigate if lesion-specific ischaemia by invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR) can be predicted by an integrated machine learning (ML) ischaemia risk score from quantitative plaque measures from coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA).

Methods

In a multicentre trial of 254 patients, CTA and invasive coronary angiography were performed, with FFR in 484 vessels. CTA data sets were analysed by semi-automated software to quantify stenosis and non-calcified (NCP), low-density NCP (LD-NCP, < 30 HU), calcified and total plaque volumes, contrast density difference (CDD, maximum difference in luminal attenuation per unit area) and plaque length. ML integration included automated feature selection and model building from quantitative CTA with a boosted ensemble algorithm, and tenfold stratified cross-validation.

Results

Eighty patients had ischaemia by FFR (FFR ≤ 0.80) in 100 vessels. Information gain for predicting ischaemia was highest for CDD (0.172), followed by LD-NCP (0.125), NCP (0.097), and total plaque volumes (0.092). ML exhibited higher area-under-the-curve (0.84) than individual CTA measures, including stenosis (0.76), LD-NCP volume (0.77), total plaque volume (0.74) and pre-test likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD) (0.63); p < 0.006.

Conclusions

Integrated ML ischaemia risk score improved the prediction of lesion-specific ischaemia by invasive FFR, over stenosis, plaque measures and pre-test likelihood of CAD.

Key Points

Integrated ischaemia risk score improved prediction of ischaemia over quantitative plaque measures
Integrated ischaemia risk score showed higher prediction of ischaemia than standard approach
Contrast density difference had the highest information gain to identify lesion-specific ischaemia
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Metadaten
Titel
Integrated prediction of lesion-specific ischaemia from quantitative coronary CT angiography using machine learning: a multicentre study
verfasst von
Damini Dey
Sara Gaur
Kristian A. Ovrehus
Piotr J. Slomka
Julian Betancur
Markus Goeller
Michaela M. Hell
Heidi Gransar
Daniel S. Berman
Stephan Achenbach
Hans Erik Botker
Jesper Moller Jensen
Jens Flensted Lassen
Bjarne Linde Norgaard
Publikationsdatum
19.01.2018
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
European Radiology / Ausgabe 6/2018
Print ISSN: 0938-7994
Elektronische ISSN: 1432-1084
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-017-5223-z

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