Introduction
Lung cancer is the primary cause of cancer death worldwide [
1]. It ranked sixth among the top 10 leading causes of death in 2019, rising from 1.2 million to 1.8 million cases since 2000. In China, which is currently the most populous country in the world, lung cancer is the malignancy with the highest incidence and the main cause of cancer-related mortality [
2]. Even though the treatment of lung cancer is gradually improving, the 5-year survival rate was still as low as 16.5% in 2012–2015 [
3]. The increasing lung cancer burden in China combined with poor prognosis is a challenge for cancer prevention. LDCT screening among high-risk individuals could lead to a 20–33% lung cancer-specific mortality reduction [
4]. As a consequence, LDCT screening has been introduced and is now recommended as a strategy for the early detection of lung cancer worldwide [
5].
With the progress of higher spatial resolution of CT scanners combined with more advanced postprocessing software, the prevalence of lung nodules in lung cancer screening may vary from 21 to 86% depending on acquisition protocol, the population included, and guidelines used during 2006–2018 [
6]. Although the majority of detected lung nodules are benign, lung cancer rate in participants with non-calcified pulmonary baseline nodules ranges from 2 to 11% [
7,
8]. About 3–4% of the participants with a non-calcified nodule at baseline will develop lung cancer within the following 2–5 years [
9]. The risk factors for lung cancer such as size, age, and smoking have been established [
10], but far less is known about risk factors for the presence of lung nodules and its malignant risk. This may be critical because lung nodules are the early manifestations of lung cancer.
Emphysema is a pathologic condition with enlargement of air spaces in the terminal bronchioles. It is one of the predictive risk factors for neoplastic transformation of the lining epithelium [
11]. There are numerous studies on risk factors involving emphysema as a risk factor for lung cancer [
12,
13]. Some studies on lung cancer screening suggest that 48–58% of the participants with emphysema also have lung nodules [
14], which could lead to a higher lung cancer mortality because of increased susceptibility to biological damage [
15]. Although emphysema and the presence of lung nodules have shared risk factors, such as age and smoking, it is not clear whether emphysema is independently associated with the presence of lung nodules. In previous studies, this could not be investigated since most studies only included a high-risk (smoking) population. However, identifying new risk factors for lung nodules or the malignant risk is important in the future to optimize nodule management of incidentally detected lung nodules in the general population.
For that, the present study aimed to evaluate the association between the presence, subtypes, and severity of visual emphysema, and the presence of lung nodules, as assessed by LDCT in a general Chinese population. The association between emphysema and malignant risk (Lung-RADS category) of lung nodules was also evaluated.
Discussion
In this LDCT screening study in a general Chinese population, we explored the association between the presence of emphysema and the presence of lung nodules. Participants with visual emphysema had a 71% increased risk of having at least one non-calcified lung nodule compared to those without emphysema. In particular, participants with PSE had a higher risk to have lung nodules but nodules in participants with CLE had a higher risk of positive Lung-RADS category (3 or 4). There was a severity-dependent effect; more CLE conferred a higher risk for lung nodules.
In our study, 36.5% of participants had at least one non-calcified lung nodule. This prevalence was between the result of the Dutch-Belgian lung cancer screening trial (Nelson), where 51% of participants had non-calcified nodules [
25] and 27.3% reported by the National lung screening study (NLST) [
26]. The main explanations for this difference are the differences in nodule detection criteria between the studies, with detection thresholds of 15 mm
3 (Nelson), 30 mm
3 (current study), and 4 mm (roughly 34 mm
3, NLST). However, we would expect a lower prevalence of lung nodules in our study, as in our study younger participants without a limit of pack-years were included, while the Nelson and NLST studies included participants, aged 50 to 74 years, who had a history of at least 15 or 30 pack-years of smoking [
26,
27].
In total, 58% of participants had emphysema, which is almost similar to 61% as reported in the COPDGene Study using the American population [
28]. This is remarkable, since the participants in those studies had a longer cumulative tobacco exposure of 42 pack-years in current and former smokers, while in our population, participants had a mean of 8 pack-years and 67% of them were never-smokers. It is worth noting that 65% of participants with emphysema only had trace emphysema. The much more severe outdoor air pollution and indoor cooking fume in China (Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region) compared to western countries [
29,
30] may play an important role in emphysema formation since there is evidence showing outdoor air pollution and indoor cooking fume contribute to higher incidence and prevalence of emphysema [
31].
We found that participants with emphysema had more than one-and-a-half-fold risk for the presence of lung nodules compared to participants without emphysema, which is somewhat higher than a previous study in which a non-significant risk was reported (OR: 1.18, 95% CI: 0.74–1.73) [
14]. In our study, participants with PSE seemed to have a higher risk of lung nodules than CLE, although 95% CI overlapped. Compared with CLE, PSE is more frequently associated with marked thickening walls of bronchi with distinct airway inflammatory [
22], which facilitates lung nodule formation [
32]. We also observed that greater severity of CLE conferred a greater risk of lung nodules. It could be explained by the effects of smoking intensity, varied air pollution exposure, and advancing age. In the current study, regarding the malignant risk of lung cancer, participants with emphysema in our study had a 70% increased risk for positive Lung-RADS category (3 or 4). This is consistent with findings from Burnett-Hartman et al that COPD is positively associated with Lung-RADS 4 (OR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.45–2.20) [
33]. More specifically, the association found in our study was only held for participants with CLE, not PSE. Similarly, a study by Gonzalez et al showed that CLE is associated with increased lung cancer risk [
34]. When we focused on the participants with lung nodules, the presence of emphysema was related to larger nodules and participants with 2–3 nodules. This is consistent with findings of a study by Ewa et al, who found that emphysema is more frequently associated with larger and multiple lung nodules [
11].
Several mechanisms can explain the association between emphysema and lung nodules. Most of the nodules are not malignant in general [
35]. First, local accumulations of inflammatory cells such as lymphocytes, macrophages, and neutrophils occur on external stimulus, which could facilitate lung injury resulting in emphysema and lung nodule formation [
36]. Second, as the shared risk factor for emphysema and lung nodule, smoking exposure could induce oxidative stress which will cause reactive oxygen production and antioxidant reduction. The progress of oxidative stress enhances inflammation, DNA damage, and accelerated aging, which can result in emphysema, lung nodules, and ultimately lung cancer [
37]. Third, air pollutants, such as nitrogen oxides and particulate matter 2.5 (PM
2.5), are highly reactive oxidants and could cause long-term inflammation [
38]. In addition, PM
2.5 could also induce changes in long-noncoding RNAs through reactive oxygen species, thereby promoting autophagy and proliferation of lung cells, further leading to the occurrence of emphysema and lung nodules [
39]. Finally, the main pathological feature of emphysema is the permanent enlargement of airspaces distal to the terminal bronchioles, which will be the risk factor for neoplastic transformation [
11].
Strengths and limitations
This study is, to the best of our knowledge, the first to analyze the association between the subtypes and severity of emphysema and the presence of lung nodules based on LDCT chest CT in a general Chinese population. Moreover, the participants in this study came from a general population with no inclusion criteria regarding the smoking status and pack-years, making the results innovative and more generalizable compared to hospital-based and other population-based screening studies. Additionally, our study had a good interobserver agreement of emphysema, which is comparable to that of study using the Fleischner Society classification system (
k = 0.82, 95%: 0.80–0.84) [
28]. This study also has some limitations. First, the number of participants with PSE and confluent-ADE of CLE was relatively small, so we merged it with moderate severity and did not perform an analysis for PSE severity. Second, this was a cross-sectional study, which limits the ability to explore the etiological relationship between emphysema and lung nodules. Third, lung function was not measured in the current study, while this might be an important confounding factor that could compromise the OR of emphysema for lung nodules after adjusting. Fourth, there is a lack of complete follow-up for lung cancer diagnosis of all participants. To overcome this limitation, the Lung-RADS risk for malignancy of nodules was added.
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