We provide epidemiological descriptive data on the incidence, real-life usage of different MCS systems and survival in CS over the last decade in a European high-income country. To note, survival data cannot be derived for evidence for superiority or minority of different MCS systems.
Incidence of CS
We found a significant increase in the incidence of reported CS. Our findings are in line with similar increases in recent smaller registries from London, UK [
27], or Bremen, Germany [
28]. However, they diverge from nationwide French or Swiss registries, which find decreasing or stable incidences of CS [
9,
29]. However, the latter cover an earlier time period. In Germany, cardiovascular disease is the number one cause of death, with 344,500 (37%) deaths in 2017 (compared to deaths due to cancer at 30%, deaths due to traffic accidents at 0.4%) [
26]. In view of our findings that 18,300 deaths are due to CS in 2017, CS causes death in 5.3% of cardiac death cases, and 1.9% of all deaths in Germany.
Due to the nature of this research, we cannot rule out that the increase in reported number of CS is caused by increased coding. There is only one code for CS in the ICD-10 code, which eliminates the confounder of overlap or double hits. Since hospital survival rate is not dramatically improving, a significant over-coding of patients without CS seems implausible.
MCS usage
The type of MCS used has significantly changed over the last decade. In 2007, the predominant MCS used was IABP. A sharp decline in the utilization of this formerly, most frequently used method is seen in 2013 and may be attributable to the IABP shock trial which was negative for the use of IABP in cardiogenic shock [
17]. Other MCS have not been validated in prospective randomized trials. Therefore, it might be reasonable that the percentage of patients with MCS in CS decreased over the last decade. Our data from Europe is in agreement with data from the USA from 2004 to 2014, which reported a steeper increase in CS incidence than in MCS usage [
30]. VA-ECMO as well as pVAD compensated for the reduced usage of IABP by 2013. Selection and use of MCS devices may have been biased by local differences in patient selection for MCS, equipment, resources, operator training and economic considerations. Since sicker patients might have been put on VA-ECMO as rescue therapy, survival differences seen for each MCS cannot be used as surrogate for effectiveness in treatment of cardiogenic shock based on our data.
Survival of CS
Hospital survival in patients with reported CS remains low at 40.2%, with a very small increase of 2.1% over the last decade. Our observation is in line with literature that reports an in-hospital survival rate in CS of around 30% in the 1980s, a rate which has increased and tapered to around 40% in the last years [
3].
Tremendous efforts have been undertaken in improving the outcome of CS over the last decade and might be responsible for the improvement. Due to the descriptive nature of the data presented here, we can only speculate on which steps might have been associated with outcomes.
First, early revascularization in CS due to AMI (suggested Class 1B recommendation in current ESC guidelines) is a cornerstone of improved survival [
14]. It has been demonstrated elegantly that especially in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction and CS, delayed revascularization results in inferior outcomes [
7] and that culprit-only percutaneous coronary intervention might be superior to a complete revascularization [
11].
High hopes were placed on the implementation of MCS in CS [
31]. Our data suggest that MCS usage in everyday care, however, is limited to a minority of patients with CS. Hospital survival rate of patients with (any) MCS is higher than in patients without (survival: any MCS = 44.8%; medical treatment = 39.5%). Interestingly, leaving out IABP, hospital survival with pVAD or VA-ECMO is lower (suggesting a use as salvage therapy). Importantly, we report a significant difference in outcome connected to the different MCS used. VA-ECMO had the lowest survival rate (30.5%) compared to the other MCS devices. The presented VA-ECMO survival data are lower than the overall hospital survival reported by the international ELSO registry (42% survival to discharge or transfer) in adult VA-ECMO in CS. ELSO data have been used for derivation of the SAVE-Score (survival after veno-arterial ECMO) [
32]. The international ELSO registry lists 2492 total VA-ECMO runs in CS from 1986 to 2016 with a survival of 41%; the present data identifies four times as many cases (9774 total VA-ECMO runs) from 2007–2017 with a survival of 30%—nevertheless, we cannot avoid a possible bias of previous CPR situations in this analysis.
The Impella-EUROSHOCK-registry reports a 30-day mortality of 64.2% in CS and Impella 2.5 (
N = 120) [
33]. These results are in line with our results with 3945 pVAD runs.
The hospital survival rates of patients with IABP were significantly higher than for patients with other MCS or for patients with medical therapy. A recent retrospective study from the USA reported a higher risk between 2015 and 2017 of in-hospital death and major bleeding among 1,680 pVAD compared to matched pairs of IABP-supported patients in CS following myocardial infarction [
34]. These exciting findings, together with older data from IABP trials [
35], might trigger more research with IABP to determine if there is a patient collective which might benefit from a counter pulsation.
Improved medical treatment on the intensive care units comprises hemodynamic stabilization by fluid resuscitation, vasopressors and inotropic agents, as well as additional treatments for liver and renal failure.
In chronic heart failure, recent pharmaceutic advantages are implemented into daily routine following expert consensus (sodium–glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors, sacubitril/valsartan). Sacubitril/valsartan might also play a role in new-onset heart failure without CS [
36]. In acute heart failure, pharmaceutics are still in the experimental state, such as omecamtiv mecarbil (GALACTIC-HF), ularitide (TRUE-HF), serelaxin (RELAX-HF-2), tolvaptan (EVEREST-HF), SERCA-2a gene modulation (CUPID-2b) [
36,
37]. The use of diuretics is indisputable in patient with signs of fluid overload and vasodilators in acute heart failure with a systolic blood pressure > 90 mmHg. Inotropic agents can be considered for short-term use in case of hypotension or end-organ dysfunction. Additionally, vasopressors might be necessary [
38]. Out of a large number of pharmaceutics designed for acute heart failure, levosimendan remains the only potentially useful drug, currently reaching only a low level of evidence [
39]. The SURVIVE study reported about a beneficial effect of levosimendan in 2007 [
40], followed by meta-analyses from 2012 to 2015 underpinning the positive outcome. In 2017, levosimendan did not prove to be superior to standard care in cardiac surgery [
41]. PDE III inhibitors are only considered to reverse beta-blocker effects and did not prove superior to standard care in 2002 [
42].
To improve quality, standardize therapeutic strategies and lower mortality in cardiogenic shock, in 2016 the German cardiology society (DGK) encouraged building highly specialized units for heart failure (HFU) analog to chest pain units (CPU) in acute myocardial infarction. Thus, the first CPUs were certified in 2008 for the improved care of patients with acute myocardial infarction or alternative diagnosis (so far, 292 CPUs have been introduced;
https://cpu.dgk.org last accessed 08/11/2020). The positive impact of these units has not been proven decisively, as study results are conflicting [
43,
44]. Later on, the first HFU was introduced in 2012 in Heidelberg [
45,
46]. Until today, 32 supraregional HFU next to 37 regional HFU have been established (
https://hfu.dgk.org, last accessed 08/11/2020). A relevant number of patients with heart failure (up to 25% within 1 year) die after hospitalization [
47]. This is why the DGK promotes HF-networks (HF-NET) with physicians and nurses in the ambulatory sector. The impact of HFU and HF-NET on the mortality of patients with CS remains unclear, but symptoms and quality of life might improve [
48,
49].