Introduction
Methods
Results
Incidence rate and risk factors for new chronic pain
Number | Incidence (%) | Crude OR (95 % CI) |
p value | Multivariate-adjusted ORa
(95 % CI) |
p value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All | 531/4797 | 11.1 | |||||
Gender | |||||||
Men | 220/2110 | 10.4 | 1 | 1 | |||
Women | 311/2687 | 11.6 | 1.12 (0.94–1.35) | 0.209 | 1.47 (1.17–1.85) | 0.001 | |
Age | |||||||
20–29 | 54/496 | 10.9 | 1 | 1 | |||
30–39 | 100/733 | 13.6 | 1.29 (0.91–1.84) | 0.153 | 1.07 (0.73–1.63) | 0.728 | |
40–49 | 113/794 | 14.2 | 1.36 (0.96–1.92) | 0.083 | 1.11 (0.76–1.63) | 0.595 | |
50–59 | 92/794 | 11.6 | 1.07 (0.75–1.53) | 0.700 | 0.92 (0.62–1.37) | 0.692 | |
60–69 | 93/1044 | 8.9 | 0.80 (0.56–1.14) | 0.218 | 0.80 (0.54–1.20) | 0.282 | |
70–79 | 72/854 | 8.4 | 0.75 (0.52–1.09) | 0.136 | 0.89 (0.58–1.35) | 0.571 | |
80– | 7/82 | 8.5 | 0.76 (0.33–1.74) | 0.522 | 0.71 (0.27–1.88) | 0.496 | |
Area | |||||||
Hokkaido | 27/211 | 12.8 | 1 | 1 | |||
Touhoku | 32/295 | 10.9 | 0.83 (0.48–1.43) | 0.501 | 0.86 (0.50–1.50) | 0.602 | |
Kanto | 204/1837 | 11.1 | 0.85 (0.55–1.31) | 0.462 | 0.80 (0.51–1.23) | 0.307 | |
Chubu | 55/553 | 10.0 | 0.75 (0.46–1.23) | 0.256 | 0.74 (0.45–1.23) | 0.246 | |
Hokuriku | 17/205 | 8.3 | 0.62 (0.32–1.17) | 0.138 | 0.64 (0.33–1.23) | 0.182 | |
Kinki | 101/855 | 11.8 | 0.91 (0.58–1.44) | 0.694 | 0.90 (0.56–1.42) | 0.644 | |
Chugoku | 38/295 | 12.9 | 1.01 (0.59–1.71) | 0.977 | 1.09 (0.63–1.87) | 0.760 | |
Shikoku | 8/127 | 6.3 | 0.46 (0.20–1.04) | 0.063 | 0.52 (0.22–1.19) | 0.122 | |
Kyushu | 49/419 | 11.7 | 0.90 (0.55–1.49) | 0.689 | 0.80 (0.48–1.36) | 0.414 | |
City size | |||||||
500,000≦ | 180/1390 | 13.0 | 1 | 1 | |||
150,000≦ | 163/1521 | 10.7 | 0.81 (0.64–1.01) | 0.062 | 0.83 (0.66–1.05) | 0.122 | |
<150,000 | 142/1360 | 10.4 | 0.78 (0.62–1.00) | 0.041 | 0.83 (0.65–1.06) | 0.134 | |
County | 39/401 | 9.7 | 0.72 (0.50–1.04) | 0.084 | 0.78 (0.54–1.14) | 0.201 | |
No answer | 7/125 | 5.6 | 0.40 (0.18–1.01) | 0.021 | 0.47 (0.20–1.10) | 0.082 | |
Occupation | |||||||
Othersb
| 346/3427 | 10.1 | 1 | 1 | |||
Professional, manager, clerical, and skill | 183/1345 | 13.6 | 1.41 (1.16–1.70) | <0.001 | 1.36 (1.08–1.71) | 0.010 | |
Marital status | |||||||
Divorced/widowed/single | 100/1038 | 9.6 | 1 | 1 | |||
Married | 427/3702 | 11.5 | 1.22 (0.97–1.54) | 0.086 | 1.27 (0.98–1.64) | 0.073 | |
Living condition | |||||||
Alone | 28/324 | 8.6 | 1 | ||||
Not alone | 497/4417 | 11.3 | 1.34 (0.90–2.00) | 0.150 | |||
BMI category | |||||||
−18.49 | 48/400 | 12.0 | 1.15 (0.83–1.58) | 0.395 | 1.03 (0.74–1.44) | 0.864 | |
18.5–24.9 | 368/3469 | 10.6 | 1 | 1 | |||
25.0– | 108/857 | 12.6 | 1.22 (0.97–1.53) | 0.095 | 1.28 (1.01–1.62) | 0.038 | |
Alcohol drinkingc
| |||||||
Never | 197/2033 | 9.7 | 1 | 1 | |||
Ex-drinker | 49/365 | 13.4 | 1.45 (1.03–2.02) | 0.031 | 1.4 (0.98–1.98) | 0.061 | |
Current drinker | 282/2344 | 12.0 | 1.27 (1.05–1.55) | 0.014 | 1.23 (1.00–1.52) | 0.050 | |
Smokingc
| |||||||
Never | 335/3155 | 10.6 | 1 | 1 | |||
Ex-drinker | 74/753 | 9.8 | 0.92 (0.70–1.20) | 0.524 | 0.92 (0.69–1.22) | 0.567 | |
Current drinker | 119/841 | 14.2 | 1.39 (1.11–1.74) | 0.004 | 1.32 (1.03–1.69) | 0.031 | |
Education | |||||||
High school or lower | 241/2457 | 9.8 | 1 | 1 | |||
Technical or higher | 287/2316 | 12.4 | 1.30 (1.08–1.56) | 0.005 | 1.24 (1.02–1.51) | 0.030 | |
Income | |||||||
−3,990,000 | 188/1752 | 10.7 | 1 | ||||
4,000,000–7,990,000 | 226/2022 | 11.2 | 1.05 (0.85–1.29) | 0.662 | |||
8,000,000–9,990,000 | 60/461 | 13.0 | 1.24 (0.91–1.70) | 0.167 | |||
10,000,000– | 48/432 | 11.1 | 1.04 (0.74–1.46) | 0.820 |
Persistence rate for chronic pain, and risk factors for persistence
Number | Continuance rate |
p value for χ
2 test | Crude OR (95 % CI) |
p value | Multivariate-adjusted ORa
(95 % CI) |
p value | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All | 660/1460 | 45.2 % | |||||||
Gender | |||||||||
Men | 248/564 | 44.0 % |
p = 0.452 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Women | 412/896 | 46.0 % | 1.08 (0.88–1.34) | 0.452 | 1.23 (0.94–1.61) | 0.124 | |||
Age | |||||||||
20–29 | 78/138 | 56.5 % |
p < 0.001 | 1 | 1 | ||||
30–39 | 125/270 | 46.3 % | 0.66 (0.44–1.00) | 0.051 | 0.74 (0.44–1.24) | 0.255 | |||
40–49 | 159/309 | 51.5 % | 0.82 (0.54–1.22) | 0.322 | 1.14 (0.68–1.90) | 0.628 | |||
50–59 | 121/269 | 45.0 % | 0.63 (0.42–0.95) | 0.028 | 0.80 (0.47–1.36) | 0.411 | |||
60–69 | 101/256 | 39.5 % | 0.5 (0.33–0.76) | 0.001 | 0.76 (0.44–1.33) | 0.340 | |||
70–79 | 72/194 | 37.1 % | 0.45 (0.29–0.71) | 0.001 | 0.71 (0.40–1.27) | 0.246 | |||
80– | 4/24 | 16.7 % | 0.15 (0.05–0.47) | 0.001 | 0.37 (0.10–1.30) | 0.120 | |||
Area | |||||||||
Hokkaido | 32/65 | 49.2 % |
p = 0.519 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Touhoku | 41/86 | 47.7 % | 0.94 (0.49–1.79) | 0.850 | 0.96 (0.44–2.07) | 0.910 | |||
Kanto | 264/590 | 44.8 % | 0.84 (0.5–1.39) | 0.491 | 0.64 (0.35–1.18) | 0.155 | |||
Chubu | 85/180 | 47.2 % | 0.92 (0.52–1.63) | 0.781 | 0.81 (0.41–1.60) | 0.554 | |||
Hokuriku | 28/53 | 52.8 % | 1.16 (0.56–2.39) | 0.697 | 0.74 (0.31–1.77) | 0.498 | |||
Kinki | 101/231 | 43.7 % | 0.80 (0.46–1.39) | 0.431 | 0.70 (0.36–1.36) | 0.294 | |||
Chugoku | 33/83 | 39.8 % | 0.68 (0.35–1.31) | 0.250 | 0.55 (0.25–1.21) | 0.136 | |||
Shikoku | 12/39 | 30.8 % | 0.46 (0.2–1.06) | 0.067 | 0.38 (0.14–1.07) | 0.067 | |||
Kyushu | 64/133 | 48.1 % | 0.96 (0.53–1.73) | 0.883 | 0.86 (0.43–1.71) | 0.659 | |||
City size | |||||||||
500,000≦ | 220/460 | 47.8 % |
p = 0.605 | 1 | |||||
150,000≦ | 206/474 | 43.5 % | 0.84 (0.65–1.09) | 0.181 | |||||
<150,000 | 173/385 | 44.9 % | 0.89 (0.68–1.17) | 0.401 | |||||
County | 52/114 | 45.6 % | 0.91 (0.61–1.38) | 0.672 | |||||
Occupation | |||||||||
Othersb
| 491/1139 | 43.1 % |
p = 0.002 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Professional, manager, clerical, and skill | 169/319 | 53.0 % | 1.49 (1.16–1.91) | 0.002 | 1.33 (0.96–1.85) | 0.086 | |||
Marital status | |||||||||
Divorced/widowed/single | 156/287 | 54.4 % |
p = 0.001 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Married | 503/1166 | 43.1 % | 0.64 (0.49–0.83) | 0.001 | 0.72 (0.51–1.01) | 0.061 | |||
Living condition | |||||||||
Alone | 36/70 | 51.4 % |
p = 0.292 | 1 | |||||
Not alone | 622/1382 | 45.0 % | 0.77 (0.48–1.25) | 0.294 | |||||
BMI category | |||||||||
−18.49 | 63/139 | 45.3 % |
p = 0.838 | 1.02 (0.71–1.46) | 0.913 | ||||
18.5–24.9 | 438/977 | 44.8 % | 1 | ||||||
25.0– | 156/334 | 46.7 % | 1.08 (0.84–1.38) | 0.552 | |||||
Alcohol drinkingc
| |||||||||
Never | 253/591 | 42.8 % |
p = 0.240 | 1 | |||||
Ex-drinker | 83/169 | 49.1 % | 1.29 (0.92–1.82) | 0.146 | |||||
Current drinker | 322/693 | 46.5 % | 1.16 (0.93–1.45) | 0.189 | |||||
Smokingc
| |||||||||
Never | 413/922 | 44.8 % |
p = 0.640 | 1 | |||||
Ex-drinker | 101/228 | 44.3 % | 0.98 (0.73–1.31) | 0.893 | |||||
Current drinker | 145/304 | 47.7 % | 1.12 (0.87–1.46) | 0.378 | |||||
Education | |||||||||
High school or lower | 317/715 | 44.3 % |
p = 0.540 | 1 | |||||
Technical or higher | 339/738 | 45.9 % | 1.07 (0.87–1.31) | 0.540 | |||||
Income of family | |||||||||
−3,990,000 | 220/511 | 43.1 % |
p = 0.185 | 1 | 1 | ||||
4,000,000–7,990,000 | 280/618 | 45.3 % | 1.1 (0.87–1.39) | 0.448 | 1.00 (0.75–1.34) | 0.997 | |||
8,000,000–9,990,000 | 63/149 | 42.3 % | 0.97 (0.67–1.4) | 0.867 | 0.86 (0.55–1.35) | 0.510 | |||
10,000,000– | 80/152 | 52.6 % | 1.47 (1.02–2.11) | 0.038 | 1.14 (0.73–1.78) | 0.554 | |||
Strength of pain (VAS) | |||||||||
5–6 | 412/984 | 41.9 % |
p = 0.001 | 1 | 1 | ||||
7–8 | 228/433 | 52.7 % | 1.54 (1.23–1.94) | <0.001 | 1.43 (1.10–1.87) | 0.008 | |||
9–10 | 20/43 | 46.5 % | 1.21 (0.65–2.23) | 0.547 | 1.33 (0.63–2.85) | 0.455 | |||
Frequency of pain | |||||||||
2–3 times/week | 141/404 | 34.9 % |
p < 0.001 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Once/day | 100/270 | 37.0 % | 1.1 (0.80–1.51) | 0.571 | 1.34 (0.91–1.96) | 0.135 | |||
Always | 419/786 | 53.30 % | 2.13 (1.66–2.73) | <0.001 | 2.40 (1.79–3.23) | <0.001 | |||
Duration of pain | |||||||||
<3 years | 152/432 | 35.2 % |
p < 0.001 | 1 | 1 | ||||
3–5 years | 89/214 | 41.6 % | 1.31 (0.94–1.84) | 0.114 | 1.45 (0.97–2.17) | 0.073 | |||
5–10 years | 145/270 | 53.7 % | 2.14 (1.57–2.91) | <0.001 | 2.13 (1.47–3.08) | <0.001 | |||
10 years– | 274/544 | 50.4 % | 1.87 (1.44–2.42) | <0.001 | 1.76 (1.29–2.42) | <0.001 | |||
Site of pain | |||||||||
Others | 81/201 | 40.3 % |
p = 0.001 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Neck | 131/252 | 52.0 % | 1.6 (1.1–2.33) | 0.013 | 1.33 (0.87–2.02) | 0.188 | |||
Shoulder | 115/257 | 44.8 % | 1.2 (0.83–1.74) | 0.340 | 1.02 (0.68–1.54) | 0.920 | |||
Low back | 207/393 | 52.7 % | 1.65 (1.17–2.33) | 0.004 | 1.62 (1.11–2.37) | 0.012 | |||
Knee | 32/93 | 34.4 % | 0.78 (0.47–1.3) | 0.335 | 0.81 (0.47–1.39) | 0.443 | |||
Treatment | |||||||||
None | 342/780 | 43.9 % |
p = 0.553 | 1 | |||||
At hospital/clinic | 134/289 | 46.4 % | 1.11 (0.84–1.45) | 0.462 | |||||
At folk remedy | 139/295 | 47.1 % | 1.14 (0.87–1.49) | 0.336 | |||||
Both | 26/50 | 52.0 % | 1.39 (0.78–2.46) | 0.262 | |||||
Change of practice | |||||||||
No | 126/290 | 43.5 % |
p = 0.082 | 1 | |||||
Yes | 144/284 | 50.7 % | 1.34 (0.96–1.86) | 0.082d
|