Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Cancer Causes & Control 1/2010

01.01.2010 | Original paper

The impact of changes in hormone therapy on breast cancer incidence in the US population

verfasst von: Nathan J. Coombs, Kathleen A. Cronin, Richard J. Taylor, Andrew N. Freedman, John Boyages

Erschienen in: Cancer Causes & Control | Ausgabe 1/2010

Einloggen, um Zugang zu erhalten

Abstract

Objective

This study combines population changes in hormone therapy (HT) use with reported relative risks to estimate directly the impact of reductions in HT use on US breast cancer incidence.

Methods

Using breast cancer incidence rates and prevalence estimates of HT use, the breast cancer incidence in HT users and non-users was derived. Attributable fraction calculations used risk data from the Million Women Survey (MWS), Collins’ meta-analysis (CMA), and the initial or later data from the Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) study.

Results

Between 2000 and 2005, HT use fell from 25.0 to 11.3%. The reported breast cancer incidence (in women aged 40–79) fell 8.8%. Derived incidence rates among non-users of HT remained unchanged (MWS or later WHI data) or slightly lower (initial WHI and CMA data), suggesting reductions in incidence are almost entirely (MWS or later WHI data) or partially (initial WHI or CMA data) due to reduced HT use.

Conclusion

Changes in reported breast cancer incidence may be partially or largely explained by changes in HT use in the US population.
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Howe HL, Wu X, Ries LA et al (2006) Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer, 1975–2003, featuring cancer among U.S. Hispanic/Latino populations. Cancer 107(8):1711–1742CrossRefPubMed Howe HL, Wu X, Ries LA et al (2006) Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer, 1975–2003, featuring cancer among U.S. Hispanic/Latino populations. Cancer 107(8):1711–1742CrossRefPubMed
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Coombs NJ, Taylor R, Wilcken N, Boyages J (2005) HRT and breast cancer: impact on population risk and incidence. Eur J Cancer 41(12):1775–1781CrossRefPubMed Coombs NJ, Taylor R, Wilcken N, Boyages J (2005) HRT and breast cancer: impact on population risk and incidence. Eur J Cancer 41(12):1775–1781CrossRefPubMed
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Chlebowski RT, Hendrix SL, Langer RD, WHI Investigators et al (2003) Influence of estrogen plus progestin on breast cancer and mammography in healthy postmenopausal women: the Women’s Health Initiative Randomized Trial. JAMA 289(24):3243–3253CrossRefPubMed Chlebowski RT, Hendrix SL, Langer RD, WHI Investigators et al (2003) Influence of estrogen plus progestin on breast cancer and mammography in healthy postmenopausal women: the Women’s Health Initiative Randomized Trial. JAMA 289(24):3243–3253CrossRefPubMed
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Rossouw JE, Anderson GL, Prentice RL, Writing Group for the Women’s Health Initiative Investigators et al (2002) Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results from the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled trial. JAMA 288(3):321–333CrossRefPubMed Rossouw JE, Anderson GL, Prentice RL, Writing Group for the Women’s Health Initiative Investigators et al (2002) Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results from the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled trial. JAMA 288(3):321–333CrossRefPubMed
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Stefanick ML, Anderson GL, Margolis KL, WHI Investigators et al (2006) Effects of conjugated equine estrogens on breast cancer and mammography screening in postmenopausal women with hysterectomy. JAMA 295(14):1647–1657CrossRefPubMed Stefanick ML, Anderson GL, Margolis KL, WHI Investigators et al (2006) Effects of conjugated equine estrogens on breast cancer and mammography screening in postmenopausal women with hysterectomy. JAMA 295(14):1647–1657CrossRefPubMed
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Chlebowski RT, Kuller LH, Prentice RL et al (2009) Breast Cancer after use of estrogen plus progestin I post-menopausal women. N Engl J Med 360(6):573–587CrossRefPubMed Chlebowski RT, Kuller LH, Prentice RL et al (2009) Breast Cancer after use of estrogen plus progestin I post-menopausal women. N Engl J Med 360(6):573–587CrossRefPubMed
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Beral V, Million Women Study Collaborators (2003) Breast cancer and hormone-replacement therapy in the Million Women Study. Lancet 362(9382):419–427CrossRefPubMed Beral V, Million Women Study Collaborators (2003) Breast cancer and hormone-replacement therapy in the Million Women Study. Lancet 362(9382):419–427CrossRefPubMed
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Haas JS, Kaplan CP, Gerstenberger EP, Kerlikowske K (2004) Changes in the use of postmenopausal hormone therapy after the publication of clinical trial results. Ann Intern Med 140(3):184–188PubMed Haas JS, Kaplan CP, Gerstenberger EP, Kerlikowske K (2004) Changes in the use of postmenopausal hormone therapy after the publication of clinical trial results. Ann Intern Med 140(3):184–188PubMed
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Coombs NJ, Boyages J (2005) Changes in HT prescriptions in Australia since 1992. Aust Fam Physician 34(8):697–698PubMed Coombs NJ, Boyages J (2005) Changes in HT prescriptions in Australia since 1992. Aust Fam Physician 34(8):697–698PubMed
10.
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Ravdin PM, Cronin KA, Howlader N et al (2007) The decrease in breast-cancer incidence in 2003 in the United States. N Engl J Med 356(16):1670–1674CrossRefPubMed Ravdin PM, Cronin KA, Howlader N et al (2007) The decrease in breast-cancer incidence in 2003 in the United States. N Engl J Med 356(16):1670–1674CrossRefPubMed
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Taylor R, Boyages J (2001) Estimating risk of breast cancer from population incidence affected by widespread mammographic screening. J Med Screen 8(2):73–76CrossRefPubMed Taylor R, Boyages J (2001) Estimating risk of breast cancer from population incidence affected by widespread mammographic screening. J Med Screen 8(2):73–76CrossRefPubMed
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Feuer EJ, Wun LM (1992) How much of the recent rise in breast cancer incidence can be explained by increase in mammography utilization? Am J Epidemiol 136(12):1423–1436PubMed Feuer EJ, Wun LM (1992) How much of the recent rise in breast cancer incidence can be explained by increase in mammography utilization? Am J Epidemiol 136(12):1423–1436PubMed
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Hunt K, Vessey M, McPherson K, Coleman M (1987) Long-term surveillance of mortality and cancer incidence in women receiving hormone replacement therapy. Br J Obstet Gynaecol 94(7):620–635PubMed Hunt K, Vessey M, McPherson K, Coleman M (1987) Long-term surveillance of mortality and cancer incidence in women receiving hormone replacement therapy. Br J Obstet Gynaecol 94(7):620–635PubMed
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Grady D, Rubin SM, Petitti DB et al (1992) Hormone therapy to prevent disease and prolong life in postmenopausal women. Ann Intern Med 117(12):1016–1037PubMed Grady D, Rubin SM, Petitti DB et al (1992) Hormone therapy to prevent disease and prolong life in postmenopausal women. Ann Intern Med 117(12):1016–1037PubMed
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Buist DS, Newton KM, Miglioretti DL et al (2004) Hormone therapy prescribing patterns in the United States. Obstet Gynecol 104(5pt1):1042–1050PubMed Buist DS, Newton KM, Miglioretti DL et al (2004) Hormone therapy prescribing patterns in the United States. Obstet Gynecol 104(5pt1):1042–1050PubMed
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Taylor R, Boyages J (2000) Absolute risk of breast cancer for Australian women with a family history. Aust N Z J Surg 70:725–731CrossRefPubMed Taylor R, Boyages J (2000) Absolute risk of breast cancer for Australian women with a family history. Aust N Z J Surg 70:725–731CrossRefPubMed
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Collins JA, Blake JM, Crosignani PG (2005) Breast cancer risk with postmenopausal hormone treatment. Hum Reprod Update 11(6):545–560CrossRefPubMed Collins JA, Blake JM, Crosignani PG (2005) Breast cancer risk with postmenopausal hormone treatment. Hum Reprod Update 11(6):545–560CrossRefPubMed
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Coombs NJ, Taylor R, Wilcken N, Boyages J (2005) Hormone replacement therapy and breast cancer: estimate of risk. BMJ 331(7512):347–349CrossRefPubMed Coombs NJ, Taylor R, Wilcken N, Boyages J (2005) Hormone replacement therapy and breast cancer: estimate of risk. BMJ 331(7512):347–349CrossRefPubMed
21.
Zurück zum Zitat National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States 2006. With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States 2006. With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Armitage P, Berry G (1994) Statistical methods in medical research, 3rd edn. Blackwell, London Armitage P, Berry G (1994) Statistical methods in medical research, 3rd edn. Blackwell, London
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Shapiro S (2004) The million women study: potential biases do not allow uncritical acceptance of the data. Climacteric 7(1):3–7CrossRefPubMed Shapiro S (2004) The million women study: potential biases do not allow uncritical acceptance of the data. Climacteric 7(1):3–7CrossRefPubMed
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Bakken K, Alsaker E, Eggen AE, Lund E (2004) Hormone replacement therapy and incidence of hormone-dependent cancers in the Norwegian Women and Cancer study. Int J Cancer 112(1):130–134CrossRefPubMed Bakken K, Alsaker E, Eggen AE, Lund E (2004) Hormone replacement therapy and incidence of hormone-dependent cancers in the Norwegian Women and Cancer study. Int J Cancer 112(1):130–134CrossRefPubMed
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Coombs NJ, Taylor R, Wilcken N, Fiorica J, Boyages J (2005) Hormone replacement therapy and breast cancer risk in California. Breast J 11(6):410–415CrossRefPubMed Coombs NJ, Taylor R, Wilcken N, Fiorica J, Boyages J (2005) Hormone replacement therapy and breast cancer risk in California. Breast J 11(6):410–415CrossRefPubMed
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Carney PA, Miglioretti DL, Kankasas BC et al (2003) Individual and combined effects of age, breast density, and hormone replacement therapy use on the accuracy of screening mammography. Ann Intern Med 138(3):168–175PubMed Carney PA, Miglioretti DL, Kankasas BC et al (2003) Individual and combined effects of age, breast density, and hormone replacement therapy use on the accuracy of screening mammography. Ann Intern Med 138(3):168–175PubMed
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Carney PA, Tosteson AN, Titus-Ernstoff L et al (2006) Hormone therapies in women aged 40 and older: prevalence and correlates of use. Maturitas 53(1):65–76CrossRefPubMed Carney PA, Tosteson AN, Titus-Ernstoff L et al (2006) Hormone therapies in women aged 40 and older: prevalence and correlates of use. Maturitas 53(1):65–76CrossRefPubMed
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Anderson GL, Chlebowski RT, Rossouw JE et al (2006) Prior hormone therapy and breast cancer risk in the Women’s Health Initiative randomized trial of estrogen plus progestin. Maturitas 55(2):103–115CrossRefPubMed Anderson GL, Chlebowski RT, Rossouw JE et al (2006) Prior hormone therapy and breast cancer risk in the Women’s Health Initiative randomized trial of estrogen plus progestin. Maturitas 55(2):103–115CrossRefPubMed
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Graubard BI, Flegal KM, Williamson DF, Gail MH (2007) Estimation of attributable number of deaths and standard errors from simple and complex sampled cohorts. Stat Med 26(13):2639–2649CrossRefPubMed Graubard BI, Flegal KM, Williamson DF, Gail MH (2007) Estimation of attributable number of deaths and standard errors from simple and complex sampled cohorts. Stat Med 26(13):2639–2649CrossRefPubMed
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Beral V, Reeves G, Banks E (2005) Current evidence about the effect of hormone replacement therapy on the incidence of major conditions in postmenopausal women. BJOG 112(6):692–695CrossRefPubMed Beral V, Reeves G, Banks E (2005) Current evidence about the effect of hormone replacement therapy on the incidence of major conditions in postmenopausal women. BJOG 112(6):692–695CrossRefPubMed
Metadaten
Titel
The impact of changes in hormone therapy on breast cancer incidence in the US population
verfasst von
Nathan J. Coombs
Kathleen A. Cronin
Richard J. Taylor
Andrew N. Freedman
John Boyages
Publikationsdatum
01.01.2010
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Cancer Causes & Control / Ausgabe 1/2010
Print ISSN: 0957-5243
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7225
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10552-009-9437-5

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2010

Cancer Causes & Control 1/2010 Zur Ausgabe

Update Onkologie

Bestellen Sie unseren Fach-Newsletter und bleiben Sie gut informiert.