Elsevier

The Lancet

Volume 383, Issue 9914, 25–31 January 2014, Pages 356-367
The Lancet

Series
Non-communicable diseases in the Arab world

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62383-1Get rights and content

Summary

According to the results of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010, the burden of non-communicable diseases (cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic lung diseases, and diabetes) in the Arab world has increased, with variations between countries of different income levels. Behavioural risk factors, including tobacco use, unhealthy diets, and physical inactivity are prevalent, and obesity in adults and children has reached an alarming level. Despite epidemiological evidence, the policy response to non-communicable diseases has been weak. So far, Arab governments have not placed a sufficiently high priority on addressing the high prevalence of non-communicable diseases, with variations in policies between countries and overall weak implementation. Cost-effective and evidence-based prevention and treatment interventions have already been identified. The implementation of these interventions, beginning with immediate action on salt reduction and stricter implementation of tobacco control measures, will address the rise in major risk factors. Implementation of an effective response to the non-communicable-disease crisis will need political commitment, multisectoral action, strengthened health systems, and continuous monitoring and assessment of progress. Arab governments should be held accountable for their UN commitments to address the crisis. Engagement in the global monitoring framework for non-communicable diseases should promote accountability for effective action. The human and economic burden leaves no room for inaction.

Introduction

The Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2010 identified a clear shift between 1990 and 2010 in the number of deaths from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional causes to deaths caused by non-communicable diseases.1 Two-thirds of the 52·8 million deaths worldwide in 2010 were caused by non-communicable diseases, with ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung cancer, and diabetes ranking among the top ten causes.1 This trend is also true for the Arab world, particularly in middle-income and high-income countries where ischaemic heart disease is the number one cause of death.2 Risk factors have increased substantially for the major non-communicable diseases (cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic lung diseases, and diabetes). In nine Arab countries (Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, occupied Palestinian territory, Tunisia, and Syria), the prevalence of daily tobacco smoking now exceeds 30% in men, and that of obesity, particularly in women, is alarmingly high.3, 4, 5, 6 The region has six of the ten countries in the world with the highest diabetes prevalence.7

Internationally, action against non-communicable diseases is gaining momentum, most notably with the political declaration of the UN General Assembly on the prevention and control of non-communicable diseases in 2011, and the subsequent monitoring framework.8, 9 Cost-effective and evidence-based prevention and treatment measures to address non-communicable diseases—called best buys by WHO—have been identified.10, 11 Arab governments need to engage with this international momentum and should be held accountable for their management of the non-communicable disease crisis, which threatens to derail an already fragile social and economic development trajectory. The response of Arab countries to the crisis has so far been inadequate. The gap between epidemiological burden and policy response is surprising, given that a Global Burden of Disease Study, published in 1997, identified non-communicable diseases—notably cardiovascular disorders—as the leading causes of deaths in the Middle Eastern crescent (which included north Africa, the Middle East, Pakistan, and the central Asian republics of the former Soviet Union).12 Subsequent evidence suggested that the greatest increase in non-communicable disease mortality rate between 2006 and 2015 was expected in Africa (27%) and the eastern Mediterranean region (25%), which includes most Arab countries.13 The discrepancy between epidemiological data and policy response is partly caused by the weaknesses in the public systems (of which health systems are a part) and in the complex political, social, and economic environments in which these public systems operate.14 Poverty, conflict, sex inequality, corruption, and lack of accountability have affected health in the Arab world to varying degrees, and Arab countries have substantial variation in the availability of resources for spending on health.15, 16, 17

This report will focus on current actions and future needs for an effective response to the non-communicable disease crisis. First, we briefly review the burden of non-communicable diseases and their risk factors in Arab countries. We summarise current actions to address non-communicable diseases and discuss the gaps between what needs to be done and what is being done. Following the proposed stepwise approach for national action to meet UN commitments on non-communicable diseases, we show where the focus of future actions must be shifted.18 We will also draw attention to the challenges for effective action against non-communicable diseases.

Section snippets

Mortality, morbidity, and disability burden

In 2010, ischaemic heart disease and stroke were two of the top five causes of death in all income groups in the Arab world, whereas communicable diseases, such as respiratory infections, diarrhoeal diseases, and malaria continued to rank as leading causes of death in low-income countries (figure 1).

In 2008, more than 1·2 million people in the Arab world died from non-communicable diseases, accounting for nearly 60% of all deaths in the region, with wide variations between countries (ranging

Modifiable risk factors

Although prevalence of non-communicable diseases in the Arab world is expected to rise as more people live longer and infectious diseases are better controlled, a substantial proportion of the burden is caused by the modifiable risk factors of these diseases, including tobacco use, physical inactivity, and unhealthy diet.20 Data for consumption of harmful amounts of alcohol show generally low levels of consumption and gaps in reporting, both of which might be due to the prohibition in Islam of

Changes in risk factors

Modernisation, economic development, and technological advances have brought rapid demographic and epidemiological changes to the Arab world. These changes are manifested by increases in death rates from chronic non-communicable diseases, replacing the once-dominant infectious diseases.13, 52

The traditional Arab diet has changed from high-fibre and low-fat food with increased integration of the Arab world into the global market over the past four decades. Unhealthy dietary habits are prevalent

Way forward: a stepwise national response

A phased plan for national action on non-communicable diseases has been proposed that would include, in addition to strong political commitment, three crucial steps: plans to mobilise multisectoral support and to build necessary capacity; implementation of the most important feasible and cost-effective interventions; and accountability through monitoring and review of progress, and appropriate response.18

In the next section, we apply elements of the stepwise approach proposed by Bonita and

Planning

Accurate and relevant data are needed for effective planning. However, relative to other regions, data for non-communicable diseases and their risk factors in Arab countries are rather sparse. Particularly scarce are implementation studies that assess intervention programmes and monitor population-based policies. Existing studies are mostly descriptive, and there is little evidence that they are being used in programme design or policy formulation.60

Although non-communicable diseases will be

Reorientation and strengthening of health systems

Having a burden of communicable and nutritional diseases for many years, health systems in most Arab countries are still oriented towards curative and episode-based care. Reorientation of the health system is needed towards outreach, prevention and management of several risk factors, management of comorbidities, counselling, and patient self-management.

Despite differences in resources, Arab countries need to have universal health coverage to guarantee access to health care and thereby improve

Monitoring and assessment

The capacity of the Arab region to undertake surveillance and to provide stakeholders with timely information needed for development and assessment of policies and programmes varies greatly across countries and is generally inadequate.82 Only ten Arab countries have done population-based national surveys, 12 have government funding allocated for non-communicable disease surveillance, monitoring, and assessment, and eight have a national health reporting system for non-communicable-disease risk

Cost of inaction

With one of the youngest populations in the world, the Arab region stands to reap the economic benefits of the demographic dividend, provided that the appropriate educational and labour policies and investments are put in place.84 However, the human and economic burden of non-communicable diseases might well derail this prospect. In addition to necessitating increased health and social welfare spending, non-communicable diseases also lower the labour supply and labour outputs.85 An analysis of

Search strategy and selection criteria

We did an extensive review of work published between January, 2000, and October, 2013, in PubMed databases. The search language was English, with keywords including “noncommunicable diseases”, “obesity”, “cardiovascular disease”, “cancer”, “hypertension”, “salt interventions”, “physical activity”, “tobacco”, “Arab countries”, “health systems”, and “chronic disease”. Because Arab countries are classified differently by international organisations (namely WHO and the World Bank), search terms

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