Elsevier

Journal of Hepatology

Volume 31, Issue 5, November 1999, Pages 867-873
Journal of Hepatology

Non-invasive diagnosis of esophageal varices in chronic liver diseases

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-8278(99)80288-8Get rights and content

Abstract

Background/Aims: The primary prevention of bleeding from esophageal varices is a major therapeutic issue requiring early screening of esophageal varices. Our aim was to study the diagnostic accuracy of non-endoscopic means for the diagnosis of esophageal varices.

Methods: Sixty-three clinical, biochemical, endoscopic and Doppler ultrasound variables were prospectively recorded in 207 consecutive patients with chronic liver disease. Diagnostic accuracy was evaluated by discriminant analysis, first globally using all variables with diagnostic accuracy≥65% in univariate analysis, then by stepwise regression.

Results: A) whole group (n=207), 1) diagnosis of esophageal varices: diagnostic accuracy was globally 81%, and 81% with 1 variable: irregular liver surface at ultrasound, 2) Diagnosis of large esophageal varices (grades 2+3): diagnostic accuracy was globally 80%, and 79% with 2 variables: prothrombin index, γ-globulins. B) patients with cirrhosis (n=116), 1) diagnosis of esophageal varices: diagnostic accuracy was globally 71%, and 72% with 2 variables: platelet count, prothrombin index, 2) diagnosis of large esophageal varices (grades 2+3): diagnostic accuracy was globally 71%, and 72% with 3 variables: platelet count, prothrombin index, spider naevi. The ROC curve showed that the best threshold for the diagnostic accuracy of platelet count was 160 G/I providing a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 58%. Platelet count ≥260 G/I has a negative predictive value ≥91%.

Conclusions: Using a few non-endoscopic criteria, esophageal varices can be correctly diagnosed in 81% of patients with chronic liver disease and in 71% of patients with cirrhosis. These results show that the non-invasive screening of patients who are candidates for the primary prevention of variceal bleeding is possible, but should be improved before being used in a clinical setting.

Section snippets

Patients

The 243 consecutive patients considered for this study were admitted to the hepatogastroenterology unit of the University Hospital in Angers, France, in 1994–5 for alcoholism or alcoholic liver disease, or for chronic hepatitis B or C infection. Patients were included who had drunk at least 50 g of alcohol per day for the past 5 years, who were positive for hepatitis B surface antigen or C serum markers, and who had had persistently elevated serum aminotransferases >1.5 N for at least 6 months

Characteristics of population

Among the 207 patients included, 66% were male and the mean age was 50±12 years. The prevalence of cirrhosis was significantly higher in patients with alcoholic CLD than in patients with viral CLD (60.5 vs 42%, respectively, p<0.05). The distribution of EV was as follows: in the 91 patients with CLD, EV were present in 10%, all grade 1; in the 116 patients with cirrhosis EV were present in 72% with grade 1 in 28%, grade 2 in 42% and grade 3 in 2%. The distribution of Child-Pugh classes in

Discussion

The prevalence of cirrhosis in developed countries ranges between 0.4% in the USA or France 19., 20. and 1.1% in Italy (21). PHT and liver dysfunction are the most frequent complications of cirrhosis. The main consequence of PHT is the development of collateral circulation, including EV which are the most frequent and most dangerous complication. EV and variceal bleeding are an early complication of cirrhosis justifying early screening for EV (4). The usual means of diagnosing EV is upper

Acknowledgements

We thank Pr. Daniel Chappard for his contribution to image analysis and Ms Dale Roche for her contribution.

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