Applied nutritional investigationPredictors of weight gain and cardiovascular risk in a cohort of racially diverse kidney transplant recipients
Introduction
Renal transplantation (RT) is the most common solid organ transplantation procedure, with more than 12 000 performed in 1999 in the United States.1 The growing success of organ transplantation is due in large part to dramatic improvements in immunosuppressive therapy resulting in greater than 90% 1-y graft and patient survival.1, 2 Patient survival has improved in large part because of a reduction in immunosuppression-related infectious mortality. In place of infectious causes of death, a number of reports have noted a growing incidence of cardiovascular complications, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is now believed to be the leading cause of death in RT recipients.3 Estimates of the frequency of ischemic heart disease range from 25% to 58%, with significant numbers of recipients also suffering from peripheral vascular disease and carotid atherosclerosis.3, 4 Estimates of the relative incidence indicate that CVD is four times as great as in the general population, suggesting that transplantation accelerates the atherogenic process.5 To a small degree the increased incidence of CVD reflects the increase in length of survival and the inclusion of a greater number of diabetic and older patients with pre-existent CVD. In addition, the presence of a renal allograft initiates a host immune reaction that may generalize and directly affect vasculature outside of the transplanted graft.5, 6
A growing number of studies have documented striking racial disparities in RT outcomes. Recent data indicates that African Americans (AA) are 1.7 times as likely as European Americans (W) and others (O; Hispanics, Asians and Native Americans) to suffer graft failure in living related donor recipients in whom the impact of differences in graft preservation and human leukocyte antigens are minimized.7 A similar trend was noted in patient survival with the risk of death among AAs at 1.37 times that of W recipients adjusted for age and sex.7 The mechanisms responsible for the racial disparities in transplant outcomes are poorly understood; however, the increased incidence of obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular risk in AAs in the general public led us to postulate that similar racial differences in CVD risk affect post-transplant mortality. A growing body of data also suggests that CVD risk factors may adversely affect the development of allograft vasculopathy, suggesting another possible mechanism for racial and ethnic disparities in graft survival.5 Therefore, we evaluated the relative importance of race, ethnicity, immunosuppressive medication, and other demographic variables on the risk of developing intermediate risk factors for cardiovascular disease in a large RT database.
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Subjects
Between 1983 and 1998, data on 780 RT recipients were collected prospectively as part of a clinical database at the University of Illinois at Chicago Medical Center. After approval from the university institutional review board, we retrospectively analyzed data on 506 adult RT recipients provided they had complete demographic and medical information as well as height and weight data at the time of transplant and weight at 1 y post-transplant. Subjects were assigned to three groups based on race
Baseline characteristics and transplant outcomes
At baseline there were no differences in BMI and the percentage of overweight (BMI > 25) or obesity (BMI > 30; Table I). The AA group tended to be older, taller, and heavier, with higher baseline creatinine concentrations and a higher percentage of hypertensive nephropathy. The W group had the highest baseline triacylglycerol level, and the AA and W groups had higher baseline cholesterol levels than the O group.
Immunosuppressive therapy, renal function, rejection episodes, graft survival, and
Discussion
Retrospective studies of transplant databases have indicated that the primary cause of death for RT recipients has shifted from infection to CVD8; our studies support this conclusion, with CVD accounting for 40% of deaths. Aker et al. demonstrated that PTDM, male sex, older age, cigarette smoking, hypercholesterolemia, hyperuricemia, and overweight (BMI > 25kg/m2) were statistically significant independent predictors of CVD, whereas post-transplant hypertension was not.8 A major deficiency in
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