Clinical Investigation
Coronary Artery Disease
Insulin resistance independently predicts the progression of coronary artery calcification

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ahj.2009.02.006Get rights and content

Background

Change in coronary artery calcification is a surrogate marker of subclinical coronary artery disease (CAD). In the only large prospective study, CAD risk factors predicted progression of coronary artery calcium (CAC).

Methods

We measured CAC at enrollment and after 24 months in a community-based sample of 869 healthy adults aged 60 to 72 years who were free of clinical CAD. We assessed predictors of the progression of CAC using univariate and multivariate models after square root transformation of the Agatston scores. Predictors tested included age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking status, body mass index, family history of CAD, C-reactive protein and several measures of diabetes, insulin levels, blood pressure, and lipids.

Results

The mean age of the cohort was 66 years, and 62% were male. The median CAC at entry was 38.6 Agatston units and increased to 53.3 Agatston units over 24 months (P < .01). The CAC progression was associated with white race, diabetes, dyslipidemia, hypertension, lower diastolic blood pressure, and higher pulse pressure. After controlling for these variables, higher fasting insulin levels independently predicted CAC progression.

Conclusions

Insulin resistance, in addition to the traditional cardiac risk factors, independently predicts progression of CAC in a community-based population without clinical CAD.

Section snippets

Study sample

The participants in this study were recruited from Kaiser Permanente of Northern California, a large health care system that provides comprehensive care to >3 million people in the San Francisco Bay Area. The details of the recruitment of these subjects have been published previously.16, 17 Briefly, the subjects in the study cohort were between 60 and 72 years old, lived within 50 miles of the research facility, and did not have a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease, cancer, renal failure,

Results

Of the 1,024 healthy older subjects recruited for this study, 967 had a measurement of CAC at their initial visit. The 869 subjects with a baseline CAC measurement who also had a follow-up CAC measurement formed the study group. The follow-up CAC measurements were performed at a median of 23.7 months.

At the time of enrollment, the mean age of the subjects was 66 years, 62% were men, 76% were white, and 10% were African American (Table I). The CAD risk factors were common, including hypertension

Discussion

This study confirms that the traditional cardiac risk factors of diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension independently predict CAC progression in a community-based sample of older adults free of clinical CAD. These results are consistent with the results of the large prospective Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis,10 small prospective studies of diabetic patients,14, 15, 23 and the findings of retrospective studies in other selected populations.13, 24 We also found that insulin resistance

Disclosures

Supported by a grant from the Donald W Reynolds Foundation, Las Vegas, NV.

Acknowledgements

We thank Robert Tibshirani, PhD, for statistical advice.

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      The use of CACS as a simple and safe surrogate marker for subclinical atherosclerosis is increasing. Recent studies have reported an association between an increased risk of CAC and high HbA1c levels in subjects with insulin resistance [17–23]. They showed a good correlation between insulin resistance and high HbA1c with CAC development and progression.

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    Submission to the American Heart Journal under the classification of Clinical Investigations.

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