Original article
Risk Factors for Five-Year Incident Age-related Macular Degeneration: The Reykjavik Eye Study

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajo.2006.04.015Get rights and content

Purpose

To establish risk factors for five-year incidence of age-related macular degeneration (AMD).

Design

Population-based, prospective cohort study, and risk analysis.

Methods

A random sample from the Reykjavik Population Census for individuals 50 years and older was selected. We took fundus stereo color photographs and used standard grading system to study the five-year incidence of drusen, pigmentary abnormalities, and AMD and to examine possible risk factors. A questionnaire including information on disease, medication, diet, and lifestyle from the Reykjavik Eye Study database provided additional information.

Results

Current alcohol consumption decreased the risk for drusen. Being married rather than divorced or widowed decreased the risk for soft drusen; being single decreased the risk of hypopigmentation as compared with being divorced or married. Both consuming dietary fiber–rich vegetables and meat and meat products once a week or less frequently was a risk factor for developing soft drusen and decreased the risk of pigmentary abnormalities. Those who had smoked 20 pack-years or more as compared with nonsmokers had decreased survival rate over the five years (odds ratio (OR) 0.46, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.27 to 0.80; P = .006).

Conclusions

Risk factors for drusen appear to differ from risk factors for pigmentary abnormalities. The effect of smoking on developing AMD is partly masked by selective mortality.

Section snippets

Methods

The Reykjavik Eye Study is a population-based prospective cohort study of age-related eye disease. Detailed description of grading methods, κ values, and quality assurance for ARM can be found in our previous articles on prevalence7 and five-year incidence of AMD.8 Ethical approval was obtained from the Data Protection Commission and the National Bioethics Committee in Iceland in accordance with the guidelines of the Helsinki Declaration. The National Bioethics Committee also acts as

Results

The annual risk of developing ARM changes is shown in Table 2. The average increase in risk for every one year after the age of 50 years is 7% to 9% for drusen, and 5% to 9% for pigmentary abnormalities. The average increase in risk for each year after 50 years is 21% for geographic atrophy. Similar analysis could not be performed for exudative AMD because only one person developed exudative AMD during the five years.

We calculated ORs for smoking using “ever” vs “never” smoker. We also analyzed

Discussion

The strengths of the current study are the high percentage of patients who were reexamined after five years, the fact that this is a random sample, and the consistency of data-gathering and grading techniques, as well as the fact that every person was examined within two months at baseline and again exactly five years later. The two data sets were graded within six months of each other by the same graders. The main weaknesses are relatively low study power, especially with regard to late AMD,

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    Supported in part by open Grants (all to F.J.) from St Joseph’s Hospital, Landakot Foundation, Reykjavik, Iceland; University National Hospital and University of Iceland Research Grant; and Helga Jonsdottir and Sigurlidi Kristjansson Memorial Research Fund.

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