Heart failure
Usefulness of Left Atrial Volume in Predicting First Congestive Heart Failure in Patients ≥65 Years of Age With Well-Preserved Left Ventricular Systolic Function

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2005.05.031Get rights and content

Left atrial (LA) volume is a barometer of diastolic dysfunction. Whether it predicts congestive heart failure (CHF) in patients with preserved left ventricular (LV) systolic function is not known. Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents aged ≥65 years referred for transthoracic echocardiography from 1990 to 1998, who were in sinus rhythm without a history of CHF were followed in the medical records to 2003 (mean follow-up duration 4.3 ± 2.7 years). Of the 1,495 patients identified, 1,375 (92%) with LV ejection fractions ≥50% (mean age 75 ± 7 years; 59% women) constituted the study population, 138 (10%) of whom developed CHF. Baseline LA volume ≥32 ml/m2 was an independent predictor of first CHF (p <0.001). Of the 138 patients who had first CHF, ejection fractions were assessed within 4 weeks of diagnosis in 98 subjects, 74 (76%) of whom had ejection fractions remaining at ≥50%, with a mean increase in LA volume of 8 ± 10 ml/m2 (p <0.001) from baseline. The age-adjusted CHF-free survival rates for LA volume tertiles (<28, 28 to ≤37, and >37 ml/m2) were 95%, 91%, and 83%, respectively (p <0.001). In conclusion, LA volume independently predicted first CHF in an elderly cohort with well-preserved LV systolic function.

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Study design and population

After obtaining study approval from the Mayo Foundation Institutional Review Board, potential subjects were identified from a computerized search of the echocardiographic database (after the exclusion of patients who had not provided authorization for the use of their clinical data in research). Search criteria were residence in Olmsted County, Minnesota; a record of ≥1 transthoracic echocardiogram performed at the Mayo Clinic, the Olmsted Medical Center, or their affiliated hospitals from

Results

We identified 1,495 Olmsted County residents (aged ≥65 years without a history of CHF, atrial fibrillation, stroke, valvular heart disease, congenital heart disease, or pacemaker implantation) who were referred for ≥1 echocardiographic study from 1990 to 1998. Of these patients, 1,375 (92%) had LV ejection fractions ≥50% at baseline and constituted the study population (811 women and 564 men). The mean age of the cohort was 75 ± 7 years. The referral indications included dyspnea and/or chest

Discussion

In this study involving an elderly cohort with well-preserved LV systolic function referred for echocardiographic study, a considerable proportion (10%) developed first CHF within 5 years of follow-up. The incidence rate of CHF was slightly higher than that reported for the participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (also aged ≥65 years),9 probably because of the referral-based nature of our study population. In most patients who developed CHF in our study, systolic function remained

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    Nevertheless, LA volume alteration may not effectively represent acute changes in LV filling pressure.4 However, this marker has been reported as a strong predictor of adverse outcomes in a variety of cardiac diseases.5,8,9,10,11,12 Moreover, indexes that are based on LA volume change, such as LA ejection fraction, LA emptying fraction, and LA expansion index13 have clinical implications.

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This study was supported by the American Heart Association, Dallas, Texas, and the American Society of Echocardiography, Raleigh, North Carolina.

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