Clinical Science
Prevalence of frailty and its association with mortality in general surgery

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjsurg.2014.05.022Get rights and content

Abstract

Background

We assessed the prevalence of frailty in an older acute general surgical population and its correlation with length of hospital stay, readmission to hospital, and 30- and 90-day mortality.

Methods

In 3 acute surgical admission units, we assessed consecutive participants aged over 65 years with general surgical conditions. We measured the prevalence of frailty using a 7-point frailty score. We measured length of hospital stay, readmission to hospital, and mortality at both 30 and 90 days.

Results

We studied 325 participants with an average age of 77.3 years 8.2 (standard deviation), 185 (57%) women. There were 88 (28%) participants who were classified as being mildly, moderately, or severely frail. The frail group spent longer in hospital (7.6 days, 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.1 to 9.2 vs 11.1, 95% CI 7.2 to 15.0; P = .03). They also were more likely to die at both 30 and 90 days (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 4.0, 95% CI 1.1 to 15.2, P = .04; OR 3.0, 95% CI 1.3 to 7.4, P = .02). Readmission to hospital did not differ (OR 1.1, 95% CI .5 to 2.3).

Conclusions

Over 1 in 4 people were frail. These individuals spent longer in hospital and were more likely to die.

Section snippets

Patients and Methods

In 3 sites, 1 in Wales, 1 in England, and 1 in Scotland, comprising rural and urban populations, we prospectively studied consecutive patients aged over 65 years of age admitted to the acute general surgical admission units during May and June 2013. This study was part of a wider surgical collaboration, which focuses on surgical disease in the older person (www.opsoc.eu).

In each of the 3 sites, patients with orthopedic, urological, neurosurgical, or vascular conditions would ordinarily be

Statistical Analysis

Cross-sectional observations were tested using the chi-square test. Odds ratios (ORs) were constructed using a forward fitting model, which was tested for confounding using all the available variables. A final parsimonious model was derived by incorporating any variable that altered the unadjusted model by at least 5%. All statistical calculations were conducted using STATA 11 (Stata Corp, USA).

Results

We collected data on 325 people, all of whom were included in the analysis. Their mean age was 77.3 years (standard deviation 8.2, range 65 to 101), and 185 (57%) were women, who were not older than the men (P = .13). Three people were deemed to have a primary diagnosis consistent with a vascular surgical condition, 2 with a primary urological diagnosis and 1 with a primary diagnosis of an orthopedic condition. The remaining 319 had diagnoses in keeping with acute general surgical conditions,

Comments

The great advances in life expectancy in the recent past are a cause for celebration. As a result of this development, all aspects of medicine are learning to appropriately manage the older person and emergency general surgery is no exception. However, in keeping with most aspects of current surgical practice in older people, there is a distinct lack of epidemiological evidence to support it. This study uses the comparatively new concept of frailty to describe the older surgical patient and

References (18)

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    There was no significant difference in pooled prevalence estimates of frailty stratified by continent (p = 0.32) (Supplementary Figure H). Fourteen of the included studies were conducted in the United States of America (Baldwin et al., 2014; Courtney-Brooks et al., 2012; Engelhardt et al., 2018; Gleason et al., 2017; Jokar et al., 2016; Joseph et al., 2014; Joseph et al., 2016; Karlekar et al., 2017; Khan et al., 2019; Lee et al., 2018; Madni et al., 2018; Maxwell et al., 2018; Pollack et al., 2017; Purser et al., 2006); 13 the United Kingdom (Hartley et al., 2017; Hewitt et al., 2015; Hewitt et al., 2016; Ibrahim et al., 2019; Induruwa et al., 2017; Keevil et al., 2018; Mason et al., 2018; McGuckin et al., 2018; Morton et al., 2018; Myint et al., 2018; Parmar et al., 2019; Wallis et al., 2015; Wou et al., 2013); 12 Australia (Cheung et al., 2017; Dent et al., 2014; Eeles et al., 2012; Hilmer et al., 2011; Lin et al., 2017; Nguyen et al., 2016; Patel et al., 2018; Peel et al., 2017; Perera et al., 2009; Poudel et al., 2016; Rose et al., 2014; Thai et al., 2015); nine Spain (Alonso Salinas et al., 2018; Amblàs-Novellas et al., 2018; Gullón et al., 2018; Llaó et al., 2018; Martín et al., 2018; Pelavski et al., 2017; Sánchez et al., 2011; Sanchis et al., 2015; Vidán et al., 2014); eight Italy (Attisano et al., 2017; Bo et al., 2015; Bo et al., 2016; Dal Moro et al., 2017; Ferrero et al., 2017; Pasqualetti et al., 2018; Ticinesi et al., 2016; Valentini et al., 2018); five Canada (Andrew et al., 2017; Eamer et al., 2018; Juma et al., 2016; McIsaac et al., 2019; Sikder et al., 2019); five Germany (Dorner et al., 2014; Dutzi et al., 2017; Muessig et al., 2018; Ritt et al., 2015; Sündermann et al., 2014); four Ireland (Coleman et al., 2012; Crozier-Shaw, Joyce, 2018; Nolan et al., 2016; Timmons et al., 2015); three Singapore (Chew et al., 2017; Chia et al., 2016; Chong et al., 2017) two New Zealand (Heppenstall et al., 2011; Hii et al., 2014); two China (Kang et al., 2015; Ma et al., 2013); two France (Blanco et al., 2017; Le Maguet et al., 2014); two Greece (Papageorgiou et al., 2018; Papakonstantinou et al., 2018); two Japan (Koyama et al., 2018; Kusunose et al., 2018); and, two the Netherlands (Andela et al., 2010; Jacobs et al., 2017). Additionally, one study was conducted in each of Belgium (Joosten et al., 2014); Brazil (Oliveira et al., 2013); Turkey (Öztürk et al., 2017); Poland (Kenig et al., 2015); Sweden (Ekerstad et al., 2011); and Switzerland (Müller et al., 2017).

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Jonathan Hewitt, the lead author and guarantor, affirms that the manuscript is an honest, accurate, and transparent account of the study being reported and that no important aspects of the study have been omitted.

There were no relevant financial relationships or any sources of support in the form of grants, equipment, or drugs.

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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