Original Research
Can demographic and anthropometric characteristics predict clinical improvement in patients with chronic non-specific low back pain?

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bjpt.2018.06.005Get rights and content

Highlights

  • Gender, marital status, BMI, and duration of pain do not influence the prognosis of patients with chronic LBP.

  • Age has little influence on the clinical improvement of patients with chronic LBP after four weeks of treatment.

  • Physical therapists can predict the clinical improvement of their patients based on a simple assessment of their disability at baseline consultation. This model explains 42.1% of the variability.

Abstract

Objective

To identify potential prognostic factors that may predict clinical improvement of patients treated with different physical therapy interventions in the short-term.

Methods

This is a prospective cohort study. A total of 616 patients with chronic non-specific low back pain treated with interventions commonly used by physical therapists were included. These patients were selected from five randomized controlled trials. Multivariate linear regression models were used to verify if sociodemographic characteristics (age, gender, and marital status), anthropometric variables (height, body mass, and body mass index), or duration of low back pain, pain intensity at baseline, and disability at baseline could be associated with clinical outcomes of pain intensity and disability four weeks after baseline.

Results

The predictive variables for pain intensity were age (β = 0.01 points, 95% CI = 0.00 to 0.03, p = 0.03) and pain intensity at baseline (β = 0.23 points, 95% CI = 0.13 to 0.33, p = 0.00), with an explained variability of 4.6%. Similarly, the predictive variables for disability after four weeks were age (β = 0.03 points, 95% CI = 0.00 to 0.06, p = 0.01) and disability at baseline (β = 0.71 points, 95% CI = 0.65 to 0.78, p = 0.00), with an explained variability of 42.1%.

Conclusion

Only age, pain at baseline and disability at baseline influenced the pain intensity and disability after four weeks of treatment. The beta coefficient for age was statistically significant, but the magnitude of this association was very small and not clinically important.

Introduction

Low back pain is a highly prevalent condition worldwide, and in some cases, it can be severely disabling.1 Recent studies show that this condition is associated with loss of function and often related to poorly adapted changes in how patients perceive and interpret their pain.2 The Global Burden of Disease identified low back pain as one of the highest-ranking health conditions in terms of years lived with disability.3 In Brazil, the National Household Sample Survey4 pointed to low back pain as the second most prevalent health condition,4 with the prevalence5 of chronic low back pain (present for more than 12 weeks)6 varying between 4.2% and 14.7%. In addition, in 2011, low back pain was listed as the main cause of disability among retirement and accident compensation recipients, with an incidence of 29.96 per 100,000 social security payers. These estimates were more frequent among men and older people.7

An Australian study that included patients with acute low back pain (i.e., with a pain duration of up to six weeks)6 who sought primary health care showed that a higher pain intensity may be associated with female gender, advanced age, intake of medication, and duration of low back pain episode.8 Other studies on prognostic factors and their influence on recovery from low back pain showed several prognostic factors related to low back pain: sociodemographic data such as educational level, age, and gender; physical factors such as pain intensity and perceived disability; psychological factors such as depression, anxiety, fear related to movement, and catastrophizing of symptoms; and occupational factors.9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 A systematic review that investigated the prognostic factors related to persistent disabling low back pain showed that sociodemographic data (age, gender, smoking, weight, and educational level) could not correctly predict disability in patients with low back pain.16

In summary, prognostic factors can be useful to provide information related to clinical decision making and understanding the process of prediction and definition of groups that may present risks of poor prognosis.16, 17, 18, 19 This information is especially important when modifiable prognostic factors are evident. Considering that, as aging increases in the world's population20 and with the estimate that approximately one-third of the adult population is overweight,21 there has been growing interest in the search for these prognostic factors and their association with the recovery in patients with low back pain.16, 17, 18, 19 In the same way, it is unclear whether demographic and anthropometric characteristics can influence the rate of clinical improvement in patients with chronic non-specific low back pain. Therefore, the objective of this study is to identify prognostic factors that can predict clinical improvement of pain intensity and disability of patients treated with physical therapy interventions in the short-term.

Section snippets

Study design

This is a prospective cohort study. Participants with chronic non-specific low back pain were selected from five randomized controlled trials,22, 23, 24, 25, 26 conducted in public and private clinics in Brazil between 2011 and 2014. The studies samples ranged from 8623, 25 to 14822, 24, 26 patients with chronic non-specific low back pain who received the following physical therapy interventions: Pilates,23, 25 Kinesio Taping,22, 26 McKenzie therapy,24 exercise and manual therapy,22 and

Results

A total of 616 patients with chronic non-specific low back pain participated in the analysis, of which 466 were women and 150 were men with a mean age of 47 years, predominantly married and overweight. At baseline assessment, patients presented an average of 7.0 points of pain intensity and 11.4 points of disability (Table 1). After approximately four weeks of physical therapy, most patients showed a large improvement in these outcomes. For example, an average reduction of about 40–50% of the

Discussion

This study aimed to identify prognostic factors that could predict clinical improvement of pain intensity and disability of patients treated with physical therapy interventions in the short-term in Brazil. Age, pain intensity at baseline and disability at baseline were associated with pain intensity and disability after four weeks of treatment. It is worth noting that the association of age in both models was statistically significant, but the magnitude of this association was very small and

Conclusion

Age, gender, marital status, BMI, and duration of pain do not seem to influence the prognosis of patients with chronic non-specific low back pain. Age, pain intensity at baseline and disability at baseline seem to influence the clinical improvement of patients with chronic non-specific low back pain after four weeks of treatment. It is worth noting that the association of age in both models was statistically significant, but the magnitude of this association was very small and not clinically

Conflicts of interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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