Original article
Pancreas, biliary tract, and liver
Excellent Outcomes of Liver Transplantation Following Down-Staging of Hepatocellular Carcinoma to Within Milan Criteria: A Multicenter Study

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2017.11.037Get rights and content

Background & Aims

Single-center studies have reported excellent outcomes of patients who underwent liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after successful down-staging (reduction of tumor burden with local-regional therapy), but multi-center studies are lacking. We performed a multi-center study, applying a uniform down-staging protocol, to assess outcomes of liver transplantation and performed an intention to treat analysis. We analyzed factors associated with treatment failure, defined as dropout from the liver transplant waitlist due to tumor progression, liver-related death without transplant, or recurrence of HCC after transplant.

Methods

We performed a retrospective multi-center study of 187 consecutive adults with HCC enrolled in the down-staging protocol at 3 liver transplant centers in California (Region 5), from 2002 through 2012. All patients underwent abdominal imaging 1 month after each local-regional treatment, and at a minimum of once every 3 months. The primary outcome was probability of treatment failure.

Results

Liver transplantation was performed after successful down staging in 109 patients (58%). Tumor explant from only 1 patient had poorly differentiated grade and 7 (6.4%) had vascular invasion. Based on Kaplan-Meier analysis of data collected a median 4.3 years after liver transplantation, 95% of patients would survive 1 year and 80% of patients would survive 5 years; probabilities of recurrence-free survival were 95% and 87%, respectively. There were no center-specific differences in survival in the intention to treat analysis (P = .62), in survival after liver transplantation (P = .95), or in recurrence of HCC (P = .99). Patients were removed from the liver transplantation waitlist due to tumor progression in (n = 59; 32%) or liver-related death without liver transplantation (n = 9; 5%). Factors associated with treatment failure, based on multivariable analysis, were pre-treatment levels of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >1000 ng/mL (hazard ratio, 3.3; P < .001) and Child Pugh class B or C (hazard ratio, 1.6; P < .001). The probability of treatment failure at 2 years from the first down-staging procedure was 100% for patients with levels of AFP >1000 and Child Pugh class B or C vs 29.4% for patients with neither risk factor (P < .001).

Conclusions

In a retrospective, multi-center study on HCC down staging under a uniform protocol, we found patients to have excellent outcomes following liver transplantation, with no center-specific effects. Our findings support application of the down-staging protocol on a broader scale. Patients with Child Pugh class B or C and AFP >1000 are unlikely to benefit from down staging.

Section snippets

Down-Staging Protocol

The United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) Region 5 down-staging protocol adopted from University of California, San Francisco has previously been described in detail (Table 1).12 The present study included consecutive adult HCC patients enrolled in the down-staging protocol at 3 LT centers in Region 5 (University of California, San Francisco, California Pacific Medical Center, and Scripps Green Hospital) from 2002–2012. A minimum follow-up of 6 months after the first down-staging treatment

Baseline Characteristics and Local Regional Therapy

The baseline characteristics and details of LRT are presented in Table 2. Most of the cohort (69.5%) was from Center 1. At the time of first down-staging procedure, median MELD was 10, a total of 57.5% were Child’s class A (Child-Turcotte-Pugh [CTP] 5–6), 31.8% were Child’s B (CTP 7–9), and 10.6% were Child’s C (CTP 10–15). There were 38.0% with a single lesion, 51.3% with 2–3 lesions, and 10.7% with 4–5 lesions. Median baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 24 (interquartile range [IQR], 8–154)

Discussion

In recent years there has been a paradigm shift in the selection of HCC patients for LT.17, 18, 19 Rather than relying solely on tumor size and number, there has been a greater emphasis on incorporating markers of tumor biology, including AFP20, 21 and response to LRT,22, 23 in the selection scheme. In this context, high AFP and tumor progression despite LRT identify more aggressive tumors with a substantially greater risk for HCC recurrence after LT. A period of observation is required for

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    Conflicts of interest The authors disclose no conflicts.

    Funding This work is supported in part by a grant from the National Institutes of Health to the University of California, San Francisco Liver Center (P01DK26743).

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