Psychosocial adjustment of directly exposed survivors 7 years after the Oklahoma City bombing
Introduction
Recent decades of disaster mental health research have yielded a sizeable literature on the mental health consequences of exposure to disaster. Much less is known, however, about the effects of direct exposure to large-scale terrorist events. Posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) prevalence among the few available studies of directly exposed survivors of terrorist incidents ranges from 18% to 50% [1].
General population research on PTSD has shown that PTSD follows an often chronic course [2], [3], [4]. A comprehensive review of disaster research [5] noted that few studies have chronicled the long-term course of PTSD among disaster survivors, and even fewer have used true panels (ie, prospective assessment of the same individuals repeatedly over time). The longest major prospective study of disaster survivors, conducted many years ago, examined a sample of litigants at 2 and 14 years after the Buffalo Creek dam disaster [6]. In that study, the current prevalence of PTSD was 44% at 2 years, dropping to 28% at 14 years.
Most longitudinal disaster studies have found that PTSD prevalence diminishes with time [5], [7]. Few consistent predictors of recovery from PTSD have been described, however. One negative predictor may be the amount of early postdisaster symptoms, which has been shown to predict PTSD chronicity in several studies [5]. Remission of symptoms of the avoidance/numbing (group C) symptom cluster of PTSD seems to be pivotal to recovery from PTSD [8], [9].
The long-term course of psychopathology in populations directly exposed to terrorist attacks has not been studied. One research group retrospectively examined adult survivors of a terrorist attack on their school in Israel 17 years earlier when they were adolescents. The majority still had traumatic stress symptoms, most commonly hyperalertness [10]. Because this study examined symptoms rather than PTSD and no early assessment was conducted, the longitudinal course of PTSD in these survivors of terrorism cannot be traced.
At the time, the Oklahoma City bombing was the deadliest act of terrorism ever perpetrated on American soil. Previous research by our team found that one third (34%) of directly exposed survivors of the Oklahoma City bombing developed PTSD in relation to it [11]. Approximately 6 months after the Oklahoma City bombing, our group conducted a study of a random sample of directly exposed survivors from a comprehensive state registry, systematically collecting data using a structured diagnostic assessment. The strength of the sampling, severe exposure level of the participants, and the full diagnostic assessment methods of the Oklahoma City bombing study provided a benchmark for research on psychiatric effects of extreme trauma. Its findings informed the efforts of mental health authorities to estimate psychiatric consequences and develop interventions after the September 11, 2001, attacks [12].
The most highly disaster-exposed groups are likely to experience the most profound mental health effects [1], [13], but paradoxically, the most highly exposed groups are typically the most difficult to access and engage in research. Despite the difficulties inherent in studying highly exposed groups, research on those with the greatest disaster impact is needed to determine the maximally anticipated mental health needs as they evolve from the early phases to long-term outcomes. Observations on the long-term course of the highly exposed Oklahoma City bombing sample may help anticipate outcomes and needs for long-term interventions for high-exposure survivors of the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, who were not systematically studied in the early postdisaster period.
The systematic data collected in the Oklahoma City bombing study in the early postdisaster period provide an important foundation for longitudinal study of postdisaster psychopathology in these survivors who were carefully assessed in the early postdisaster phases [9], [11]. Approximately 7 years after the bombing, a follow-up study of the directly exposed bombing survivors used measurement instruments consistent with those in the index study. The purpose of this study was to describe and identify predictors of the long-term course of psychiatric disorders, emotional distress, and social and occupational functioning after the bombing. The main research questions to be investigated by this study were as follows: (1) how much recovery from the most prevalent psychiatric disorders (PTSD and major depression) would occur during the course of 7 years; (2) how the recovery curve for PTSD would compare with the recovery curve for PTSD symptoms in the absence of full PTSD; (3) how the recovery curve for PTSD would compare with the recovery curve for new postdisaster major depressive episodes; (4) determination of the course of social and occupational functional impairment over time and their relationships to PTSD and recovery from PTSD; and (5) identification of predictors of remission from PTSD.
Section snippets
Sample recruitment and retention
Systematic assessment of 182 survivors in the direct path of the Oklahoma City bombing, randomly sampled from the Oklahoma State Department of Health's public registry of 1092 survivors, was conducted approximately 6 months postdisaster with a 71% participation rate. A more detailed description of this sample is provided in an earlier publication [11]. Approximately one third of the sample was in the Murrah Building; the remaining two thirds were either in nearby damaged buildings where
Psychiatric disorders and symptoms
After the bombing, 41% (46/113) of the sample developed bombing-related PTSD. No PTSD cases with symptoms beginning more than 6 months after the bombing were detected, demonstrating, per DSM-IV-TR definition, no delayed-onset PTSD. At 7 years, 26% (29/113) of the sample had active bombing-related PTSD in the current month; 37% (17/46) of those with PTSD had achieved full remission. No demographic, exposure, or predisaster psychiatric diagnosis variables predicted remission from PTSD. Most (97%)
Discussion
This study examined the long-term course of psychopathology, symptoms, and functioning among directly exposed survivors of the Oklahoma City bombing during the first 7 years after the bombing. The comprehensive information obtained on this high-exposure group at index allowed prospective examination of fully assessed psychiatric disorders over time within the same individuals. Strengths of this research are its prospective design beginning in the first postdisaster months, the focus on a highly
Acknowledgment
This research was partially supported under Award Number MIPT106-113-2000-020 from the National Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism (MIPT) and the Office for Domestic Preparedness, US Department of Homeland Security to Dr Pfefferbaum, and by the National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) Grants MH40025 and MH68853 to Dr North. Dr North discloses employment by VA North Texas Health Care System, Dallas, TX. Points of view in this document are those of the author(s) and do not
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