Elsevier

European Urology

Volume 73, Issue 6, June 2018, Pages 879-887
European Urology

Platinum Priority – Prostate Cancer
Editorial by Martin Spahn and Jean-Luc Fehr on pp. 888–889 of this issue
Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging Is an Independent Predictor of Salvage Radiotherapy Outcomes After Radical Prostatectomy

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eururo.2017.11.012Get rights and content

Abstract

Background

The Stephenson nomogram is widely used to estimate the success of salvage radiotherapy (sXRT) for prostate cancer (PCa) recurrence after radical prostatectomy (RP).

Objective

To determine whether multiparametric pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) performed for biochemical recurrence after RP improves prognostication of sXRT relative to the Stephenson nomogram.

Design, setting, and participants

Men undergoing RP at our institution from 2003 to 2012 who had biochemical recurrence evaluated by mpMRI within 12 mo of sXRT were retrospectively reviewed. Exclusion criteria included PCa treatment prior to RP, adjuvant XRT after RP, salvage cryotherapy before sXRT, and hormone refractory disease prior to sXRT.

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis

Multivariable Cox regression analyses (adjusting for Stephenson nomogram covariates) associated mpMRI findings with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) recurrence and metastasis after sXRT. The mpMR images were compared in a binary fashion: no lesion versus vesicourethral/seminal vesical bed/prostate fossa lesions.

Results and limitations

Among 473 sXRT patients, 57%(204) had lesions on mpMRI: 26%(124) vesicourethral, 28%(135) seminal vesical bed/prostatic fossa, 7%(34) nodal, and 1%(3) bone. Median PSA at mpMRI with lesions was 0.46 versus 0.40 ng/ml without lesions. After excluding nodal/bone lesions, 29% of men developed PSA recurrence and 14% metastasis (median follow-up 45 mo after sXRT). For patients with a pre-sXRT PSA of ≤0.5 ng/ml, negative mpMRI was associated with increased PSA recurrence (39% vs 12%, p < 0.01) and metastasis (16% vs 2%, p < 0.01) at 4 yr after sXRT. For patients with a PSA of ≤0.5 ng/ml, the addition of mpMRI to the propensity score (created using variables from the original Stephenson nomogram) improved the c-statistic from 0.71 to 0.77 for PSA recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 3.60, p < 0.01) and from 0.66 to 0.77 for metastasis (HR 6.68, p < 0.01). Limitations include evolutions in MRI technique and lack of a cohort of men undergoing mpMRI electing against sXRT.

Conclusions

Pre-sXRT mpMRI improves clinicopathologic variables to estimate sXRT success, particularly in the early sXRT setting.

Patient summary

Men who have biochemically recurrent prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy often receive salvage radiotherapy. In our study, multiparametric pelvic magnetic resonance imaging prior to salvage radiotherapy was a significant predictor of prostate-specific antigen failure and metastasis after radiotherapy.

Introduction

Approximately 70 000 radical prostatectomies (RPs) are performed for prostate cancer (PCa) annually in the USA [1], [2], and ∼30% of these men experience biochemical recurrence (BCR) [3]. At 10 yr, only 10% of men with BCR will die of PCa [4]. Salvage radiotherapy (sXRT) may achieve durable prostate-specific antigen (PSA) remissions, and Stephenson nomograms are widely used in this setting to estimate the success of sXRT [5], [6]. On this basis, the “early” delivery of sXRT at PSA ≤0.5 ng/ml has been advocated due to improved PSA recurrence and metastasis rates [7].

However, some patients may not benefit from sXRT, particularly those who harbor distant disease at the time of sXRT. Indeed, 50% of men undergoing sXRT with a PSA between 0.2 and 0.5 ng/ml experience a PSA recurrence at 10 yr [6]. Accordingly, the updated Stephenson nomogram's concordance index for PSA recurrence is only 0.68 [6], supporting the need for further research to identify the optimal sXRT candidate. Moreover, minimizing overtreatment with sXRT may improve quality of life for patients, considering the toxicities [8], [9] associated with sXRT.

Advanced PCa imaging may become sensitive enough to identify patients with distant metastases, and improve upon existing clinical and pathologic predictors of sXRT success. Nevertheless, a median PSA value of ∼2 ng/ml per positive scan limits the utility of C11-choline [10] and prostate specific membrane antigen [11] positron emission tomography (PET) and computed tomography (CT) scans in the early sXRT setting. Instead, multiparametric pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) has sensitivity of >90% at PSA levels of ∼1 ng/ml with an area under the curve of 0.93 [12] and 0.91 [13] for identifying local recurrences after BCR.

Herein, we evaluate the utility of mpMRI to predict PSA recurrence and metastasis after sXRT, and improve upon the clinical and pathologic variables of the original [5] and updated [6] Stephenson nomograms. We hypothesize that patients with negative mpMRI may be more prone to sXRT failure due to an increased risk of distant disease.

Section snippets

Patient population

In this Institutional Review Board–approved study, men undergoing RP from January 2003 to December 2012 who had BCR (defined as PSA ≥ 0.2 or rising PSA before 0.2) and received sXRT (N = 1111) were identified using a prospectively maintained institutional prostatectomy registry. A retrospective chart review identified patients who received mpMRI for BCR after RP. The mpMRI was performed within 12 mo prior to sXRT. Exclusion criteria were as follows: PCa treatment prior to RP (radiotherapy,

Baseline characteristics

A total of 473 patients undergoing sXRT received mpMRI prior to sXRT, with a median of 1 mo (interquartile range [IQR]: 0–3) between mpMRI and sXRT. Overall, 56.9% (204) of mpMR images had a lesion. The median PSA at mpMRI for patients without visible lesions was 0.40 ng/ml (IQR: 0.27–0.55) versus 0.46 ng/ml (IQR: 0.34–1.15) for patients with visible lesions. Fifty-four percent of patients with a PSA of 0.2–0.5 ng/ml had an identifiable lesion on mpMRI. Figure 1 depicts the univariable logistic

Discussion

In a cohort of 473 patients undergoing mpMRI prior to sXRT, we found that approximately 50% of patients will have mpMRI lesions even at PSA levels of 0.2–0.5 ng/ml. Furthermore, mpMRI was most useful in the early sXRT setting, improving the c-statistic of the original Stephenson nomogram from 0.71 to 0.77 for PSA recurrence and 0.66 to 0.77 for metastasis. Decision curve analysis further supported that mpMRI may have a role in evaluating patients prior to sXRT. Our hypothesis was validated in

Conclusions

Pre-sXRT mpMRI is a valuable adjunct to current clinicopathologic variables used to estimate the success of sXRT. Approximately 50% of patients will have mpMRI lesions even at PSA levels of 0.2–0.5 ng/ml. Negative mpMRI was an independent risk factor for PSA recurrence and metastasis for patients undergoing sXRT with a PSA level of <0.5 ng/ml. Furthermore, rigorous studies are warranted to verify the benefits and limitations of mpMRI in the early sXRT setting.

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