Clinical Investigation
Impact of Neoadjuvant Prostate-Specific Antigen Kinetics on Biochemical Failure and Prostate Cancer Mortality: Results From a Prospective Patient Database

Presented in part at the 52nd Annual Meeting of the American Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO) San Diego, CA, October 31-November 4, 2010.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrobp.2012.04.009Get rights and content

Purpose

To confirm findings from an earlier report showing that neoadjuvant (NA) prostate-specific antigen (PSA) halving time (PSAHT) impacts biochemical failure (BF) rates, and to examine its association with prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS), in a large prospective cohort of patients.

Methods and Materials

A total of 502 patients were selected from a prospective database, who had localized prostate adenocarcinoma treated with 2-12 months of neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (N-ADT) followed by external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) between 1994 and 2000, and had at least 2 NA PSA values. Seventy-four percent of patients had high-risk prostate cancer. Median initial PSA value, N-ADT duration, total ADT duration, and radiation therapy dose were 14 ng/mL, 6.9 months, 10.8 months, and 68 Gy, respectively.

Results

At a median follow-up of 9.9 years, 210 patients have had a BF. Median PSAHT was 18 days. On univariate analysis, PSAHT was not shown to predict for BF (P=.69) or PCSS (P=.28). However, NA nadir PSA (nanPSA) and post-therapy nadir PSA (ptnPSA), when analyzed as continuous or categoric variables, predicted for BF (P<.001) and PCSS (P<.001). On multivariate analysis, nanPSA (P=.037) and ptnPSA (P<.001) continued to be significantly associated with BF. However, N-ADT duration lost significance (P=.67), and PSAHT remained a nonsignificant predictor (P=.97). For PCSS, multivariate analysis showed nanPSA (P=.049) and ptnPSA (P<.001) to be significant. Again PSAHT (P=.49) remained nonsignificant.

Conclusions

In this large, prospective cohort of patients, NA PSA kinetics, expressed as PSAHT, did not predict BF or PCSS. However, nadir PSAs, in both the NA and post-therapy settings, were significant predictors of BF and PCSS. Optimization of therapy could potentially be based on early PSA response, with shorter durations of ADT for those predicted to do favorably, and intensification of therapy for those likely to have poorer outcomes.

Introduction

Neoadjuvant androgen deprivation (N-ADT) has been shown to improve biochemical outcomes in patients with localized prostate adenocarcinoma undergoing external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) (1). However, its optimum duration is still unclear, and there have been conflicting data from randomized and population-based studies regarding its potential adverse effects 2, 3. Namely, a pooled analysis from 3 randomized trials showed a shorter time to fatal myocardial infarction in older men receiving 6 months of N-ADT. A further report using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database of 73,196 patients suggested a higher risk of diabetes, coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, and sudden cardiac death with the use of ADT.

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics in the post-therapy setting has been shown to predict outcomes, especially after biochemical failure (BF). In addition, a number of more recent reports have examined and correlated the impact of PSA response during N-ADT, expressed as a nadir PSA value, on outcomes. However, PSA kinetics during N-ADT before EBRT has been less well described.

In 2010, Malik et al (4) first reported on the impact of PSA kinetics during N-ADT on biochemical outcomes in a retrospective analysis of 117 men. They showed that a faster PSA decline (expressed as a shorter PSA halving time [PSAHT]) during N-ADT and before EBRT was associated with lower BF rates. In particular, men with a PSAHT <2 weeks had a 4-year PSA control rate of 96%, vs 81% for those men with PSAHT >2 weeks.

This study aimed to validate this finding in a larger, prospectively followed cohort of patients.

Section snippets

Patients

Eligible patients with localized prostate adenocarcinoma were treated at our institution between June 1994 and January 2001 and followed as part of a prospective study. This database was set up to prospectively collect baseline treatment and follow-up information on a cohort of patients undergoing curative EBRT, with the sole inclusion criterion being the availability and willingness of the patient to attend for routine follow-up. Patients were seen 6 weeks after the completion of EBRT, then

Results

A total of 502 patients with at least 2 PSA values were eligible for analysis. Baseline characteristics are outlined in Table 1.

The median PSAHT was 18.4 days. The distribution of PSAHT was as follows: 0-2 weeks (n=152), 2-4 weeks (n=195), >4 weeks (n=100). Fifty-five patients had a rising NA PSA level. Median interval between start of N-ADT and first NA PSA level was 79 days. Median interval between the last NA PSA level and start of radiation therapy was 50 days. Median N-ADT duration was 6.9

Discussion

The present study comprises a large cohort of patients from a prospective database with extended follow-up. Our findings that PSAHT and NA PSA slope do not significantly predict for BF or PCSS contrast with those reported by Malik et al (4).

A number of differences between the 2 studies may have influenced this and warrant further discussion. First, the present group of patients shows poorer prognostic features, with 50% of all patients having ≥T3 primary tumors, and 74% were in the high-risk

References (20)

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Conflict of interest: none.

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