A large frontal QRS-T angle is a strong predictor of the long-term risk of myocardial infarction and all-cause mortality in the diabetic population

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Abstract

Background

A large angle between the QRS vector and the T-wave vector (QRS-T angle) in electrocardiograms (ECGs) has recently been introduced as a marker of poor prognosis. The prognostic value in diabetes is unknown. We assessed the long-term predictive power of the frontal plane QRS-T angle in the diabetic population.

Methods

In 1992–93, the diabetic population of the municipality of Horsens, Denmark, was delineated by the prescription method, and an age- and gender-stratified sample of 240 diabetic persons was randomly selected. In 2015, 12-lead ECGs taken in 1993–94 were analyzed. Vital statistics were obtained from the Danish Civil Registration System and data regarding hospitalizations taken from The National Patient Registry in July 2015.

Results

In total, 178 people agreed to participate (74%) in the study, with the mean (sd) age being 58.9 (10.2) years and 56% being male. The total observation time was 21.5 (0.18) years, during which time 122 (69%) persons died, 32 (18%) suffered a myocardial infarction (MI) and 126 (71%) reached the composite endpoint of non-fatal MI or all-cause death.

In Cox regression multivariate analysis a QRS-T angle above 90° was found to be an independent predictor of all-cause death (HR = 2.2 (95% CI: 1.3–3.8)), MI (HR = 2.95 (95% CI: 1.1–7.7)) and MI or all-cause death (HR = 2.0 (95% CI: 1.2–3.5)) (all p < 0.05), when adjusting for the effects of co-variates (gender, age, length of diabetes, BMI, total cholesterol, diabetes type, hemoglobin A1c, smoking, hypertension and previous MI).

Conclusion

A large QRS-T angle is a strong, independent long-term predictor of all-cause mortality, MI and MI or all-cause death in the diabetic population.

Introduction

The risk of cardiovascular disease and death is significantly higher in the diabetic population compared to the non-diabetic population (Leland & Maki, 1985). Although several factors are known to be related to adverse outcomes in diabetes, strong predictors of risk are still requested, in order to be able to focus on diabetic individuals in extra need of intensive treatment.

The angle between the mean vector in left ventricular depolarization and repolarization (QRS-T angle) has recently been introduced as a marker of poor prognosis. The QRS-T angle may be measured in the three-dimensional space or as a projection on the frontal plane in a standard electrocardiogram (ECG) (Oehler, Feldman, Henrikson, & Tereshchenko, 2014). Although the spatial QRS-T angle may be the stronger predictor of a poor outcome compared to its frontal plane counterpart (Brown & Schlegel, 2011), the latter has been shown to predict total mortality in the general population (Aro et al., 2012, Zhang et al., 2015), in cardiomyopathy (Pavri et al., 2008), in congestive heart failure (Gotsman et al., 2013) and in acute coronary syndrome (Lown et al., 2012). Contrary to the spatial QRS-T angle, the frontal QRS-T angle is easily read from a standard ECG. It is well-known that the QRS-T angle differs according to age and gender (Oehler et al., 2014), but for pragmatic reasons 90° is often used as a cut-off between a normal and an abnormal result (Gandhi et al., 2010, Li et al., 2013, Palaniswamy et al., 2009, Pavri et al., 2008).

An increased spatial QRS-T angle has been related to the presence of diabetes (Voulgari et al., 2006), and in diabetic patients the frontal plane QRS-T angle has been associated with other adverse outcome factors in a cross-sectional study (Cardoso, Leite, & Salles, 2013). The prognostic value of the frontal plane QRS-T angle in the diabetic population is unknown.

The purpose of this study was to assess the long-term predictive value of the frontal plane QRS-T angle in the diabetic population on all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction (MI) and MI or all-cause death. The aim was to investigate the value of the QRS-T angle as a continuous variable as well as when dichotomized at 90°. In addition, we wanted to examine the predictive information of the QRS-T angle in values below 90°.

Section snippets

Methods

The study was carried out in a population-based sample of medically treated diabetic individuals drawn from the population in the municipally of Horsens, Denmark, in 1993–1994. The material has previously been described in detail (May, Arildsen, Damsgaard, & Mickley, 1997). In brief, the diabetic part of the population in the municipality was delineated from information on all prescriptions for anti-diabetic medication over an eight-month period from November 1st, 1992 until June 30th, 1993. In

Results

In total, 178 patients (74% of those invited) agreed to participate, with males accounting for 56% of the cohort and a mean age of 58.9 (10.2) years. The patients included were significantly younger than the non-responders, with males at 47% and a mean age of 61.9 (10.4) years (p = 0.049). The groups did not differ in gender (p = 0.20).

The mean QRS-T angle was 38° (39°), and 18 patients (10%) had a QRS-T angle above 90°. Twenty-five patients (14%) had an abnormal QRS-T angle which was associated

Discussion

This is the first study to report on the long-term prognostic value of the QRS-T angle in diabetes. We found that the a QRS-T angle above 90° was a powerful independent prognostic factor for future all-cause mortality as well as MI and the composite endpoint MI or all-cause death. The estimated overall survival times were 2.4 times longer in the group with a QRS-T angle below 90° compared to patients with an angle above 90°.

The QRS-T angle in our study of patients with diabetes had a mean of

Limitations of the study

The cohort examined may not be exactly representative of the diabetic population today, but this is an unavoidable problem in long-term studies. Furthermore, only medically treated individuals with diabetes were included. The prognosis may be better in diabetes treated by diet only, and so the negative prognostic value of the QRS-T angle found in this study may thus differ from the prognosis in diabetes treated by diet alone. Additionally, the prognosis in the group studied herein may be better

Conclusion

A large QRS-T angle is a strong long-term predictor of all-cause mortality and myocardial infarction in the diabetic population. Values of QRS-T angles below 90° also seem to hold predictive information.

Funding

None.

References (19)

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Conflicts of Interest: Nothing to declare.

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