Review articleDoes mild cognitive impairment always lead to dementia? A review
Introduction
Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) refers to a transitional state between “normal aging” and dementia [10], [29]. MCI has been receiving much attention in research for its associated risk for dementia, particularly Alzheimer's disease (AD) [4], [5], [6], [7], [9], [12], [14], [15], [16], [24], [30], [37], [40], [42], [44], [47]. A meta-analysis of 41 MCI studies, using Mayo Clinic criteria [32], [34], identified the annual progression rate to dementia from MCI as 10% in clinical settings (8% of the entire sample progressed to AD) and 5% in community settings (7% of the entire sample progressed to AD) [26], suggesting that the annual MCI progression rate is low (5–10%). More importantly, these data clearly suggest that a large proportion of MCI patients do not progress to dementia and may revert to normal cognition. Surprisingly, few studies have examined the characteristics of MCI patients who follow this trajectory, and the available studies constitute only a small fraction of those on progression to dementia from MCI. Further, no review to date has fully integrated the findings of predictors of MCI reversion. Thus, the main purpose of this article is to examine the characteristics and/or predictive factors of MCI reversion. Additionally, we review the few but intriguing studies that evaluate the characteristics and/or predictors of patients with MCI who remain diagnostically stable over time. Articles for this review were selected from databases of Medline, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, PsycINFO, and PubMed, using keywords “dementia,” “Alzheimer's disease,” “mild cognitive impairment,” “pre-MCI,” “reversion,” “normal cognition,” “aging,” “course of illness,” and “recovery.”
Section snippets
MCI reversion incidence/prevalence rates
To date, several studies have estimated the incidence rate of MCI reversion. We will focus on findings of incidence/prevalence rates of MCI reversion from community-based, rather than clinic/referral-based, studies to minimize subject selection bias and a spuriously high MCI prevalence rate often inherent in the latter. It is also important to consider that incidence rate of MCI reversion can vary depending on the MCI criteria used in the study. For example, the MCI criteria from the Mayo
Predictors of MCI reversion to normal cognitive function
Despite the relatively high rates of MCI reversion, significantly fewer studies have characterized MCI patients who follow this trajectory compared to studies of MCI progression. The first comprehensive MCI reversion study [22], using data from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center and revised MCI criteria by Petersen and Morris [33], found higher Mini Mental State Exam (MMSE) scores, lower Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Boxes (CDR-SOB) and Functional Assessment Questionnaire (FAQ)
MCI stability prevalence/incident rates
While MCI patients may progress to dementia or revert to normal cognition, a large proportion of MCI patients may remain clinically stable (i.e., evidencing neither progression nor reversion) for their entire observed clinical course. Population/community-based studies from Italy, the United States, France, Korea, and Australia, using the Mayo-revised [29] or IWG-expanded [46] MCI criteria for participant selection, have documented MCI stability incident rates to range from 37% to 67% over the
Predictors of MCI stability
MCI stability is the largest subgroup that makes up the MCI group, yet data are not available to examine specific group characteristics or predict stability. In studies with any focus on MCI stability, this group has been used as a reference in modeling MCI progression or reversion, or described/compared to those with MCI progression and MCI reversion. For example, one study found the MCI stable group had significantly higher baseline MMSE scores than the MCI progression group, but lower scores
MCI trajectories: beyond MCI stability and MCI reversion
Do patients who have reverted to normal cognition remain cognitively normal over a long-term period? Do patients with stable MCI remain diagnostically static, if followed long enough? Available data offer both “yes” and “no” answers to these questions. A 12-year epidemiological study that used MCI criteria established in the Cardiovascular Health Study-Cognition Study [24] found nearly 35% of the incident MCI cases remained stable and 10% reverted over time. However, 10% of these incident MCI
MCI trajectories: implications
A growing number of research groups have found high rates of MCI reversion and stability, each of which is frequently higher than that of MCI progression to dementia. These rates appear to remain high when followed over time, contradictory to the generally held notion that MCI is an intermediate stage between normal aging and inevitable dementia. Additionally, there is evidence for highly variable trajectories of MCI, like those noted by Lopez et al. [24]. Based on existing studies, progression
Conclusions
MCI is a concept with clinical and prognostic heterogeneity that has been shown by numerous studies to not necessarily lead to dementia. Instead, rates of MCI reversion and stability are larger than those for progression to dementia, suggesting that progression is less frequent than research has previously depicted. Therefore, MCI reversion and stability are trajectories in need of further understanding and characterization. Results of such examination could help clinicians and researchers
Acknowledgments
This project was supported by the Friends of the UT Southwestern Alzheimer’s Disease Center.
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