Elsevier

The Spine Journal

Volume 10, Issue 8, August 2010, Pages 659-675
The Spine Journal

Clinical Study
One-year prognosis in sick-listed low back pain patients with and without radiculopathy. Prognostic factors influencing pain and disability

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spinee.2010.03.026Get rights and content

Abstract

Background context

Previous research has documented various psychosocial risk factors with influence on outcome in low back pain (LBP) patients, but the value of clinical predictors has been less well documented.

Purpose

To identify clinical and psychosocial risk factors at baseline influencing disability and pain at 1 year in LBP patients sick-listed 3 to 16 weeks, and to look for differences between nonspecific LBP and radiculopathy.

Study design

Cohort study with 1-year follow-up based on a randomized clinical trial.

Outcome measures

Disability and change of disability, pain and change in pain at 1 year.

Methods

In a randomized clinical study evaluating multidisciplinary versus brief intervention, 325 patients were followed for 1 year. At baseline, they completed a questionnaire and went through a clinical low back examination, including measure of forward flexion and side flexion as well as tender point examination, a method to estimate diffuse tenderness. Furthermore, degenerative changes on plain X-rays of the lumbar spine were quantified, and sciatica was investigated by magnetic resonance imaging.

Results

Radiculopathy was verified by magnetic resonance imaging in 111 (34%) patients. At 1 year, questions of disability in daily life activities and pain were answered by 60% and 67%, respectively. The intensity of back+leg pain and disability was closely correlated. Statistically significant predictors for both disability and back+leg pain at 1 year were intensity of back+leg pain, worrying and health anxiety, many tender points, and little or moderate exercise in leisure time. Two additional risk factors were identified in patients with radiculopathy: older age and “drinking alcohol less than once per month.” Furthermore, disability at 1 year was associated with initial disability and compensation claim, and back+leg pain at 1 year was associated with fear avoidance about physical activity and the duration of pain. Change in disability was more closely associated with return to work than change in pain. Disc degeneration was not associated with disability or pain at 1 year. General health was not statistically significantly associated with outcome when adjusted for back+leg pain, disability, and worrying and health anxiety.

Conclusions

Disability and pain at 1 year were associated with baseline disability and pain, diffuse tenderness, worrying and health anxiety, compensation claim, fear avoidance, and baseline exercise habits. Only in patients with verified nerve root affection, older age, and restrained alcohol seemed to play a role. The multivariate models were insufficient in predicting disability and pain, partly because disability and pain were also strongly associated with return to work.

Introduction

Evidence & Methods

Studies to identify factors associated with failure to return to work continue to be explored. Much of the focus has been on psychosocial factors and less on clinical factors.

Using data from a randomized trial, the authors found that many of the well-known psychosocial factors associated with failure to return to work in patients with isolated low back pain were further supported in this study. They also found that age was an independent predictor of poor outcomes in subjects with demonstrated radiculopathy and root compression. In subjects with demonstrated root compression and radiculopathy it appeared the psychosocial factors were less significant predictors of outcome than these appeared to be in subjects with nonspecific pain low back syndromes.

The study supports previous assumptions; and, appropriately, several of the study's limitations are described by the authors. The study also emphasizes that psychosocial factors may be more consistently important in patients in whom the only findings are common degenerative changes without radiculopathy.

—The Editors

The most important outcome measures in nonspecific low back pain (LBP) are pain, disability in daily life activities, and return to work (RTW) [1]. Only measuring pain-related outcome is not relevant because function may be normal in spite of pain [2]. Furthermore, pain reduction has limited value in patients with restricted function if there is no improvement in function. Function-related outcome is important because low level of function reflects restriction of daily life activities. In patients sick-listed because of LBP, however, the crucial outcome is RTW because of the overwhelming risk of long time sick listing. When LBP patients are sick-listed for more than 4 weeks, more than 20% are still off work 1 year later [1].

The outcomes are interrelated, but change in one outcome may occur without influencing the other outcomes. For instance, in LBP patients who felt at risk of developing disability, cognitive intervention had impact on sick listing the following year but no influence on pain or disability in the first place [3]. Four years later, however, both pain and disability were reduced in the intervention group compared with the control group [4].

A recent systematic review included 16 publications to identify predictors for function-related outcome [5]. The following variables were found to be of some importance: intensity of pain, radiating pain, disability, fear avoidance, number of pain sites, somatization, depression, perceived risk of recovery, age, gender, income, psychological and physical job demands, and school education. However, the studies were very heterogeneous, and the published instruments had only moderate ability to predict or explain function-related outcome.

Multiple pain sites and widespread pain have been identified as risk factors in LBP [5], [6]. Nevertheless, diffuse tenderness has not been investigated as a risk factor for pain and disability. Widespread pain may be estimated clinically by counting the number of tender points, a method for estimating diffuse tenderness. Many tender points are a sign of diffuse mechanical hyperalgesia, which is a sign of sensitization of the nociceptive system [7], [8], [9].

Most studies of risk factors have only included nonspecific LBP with or without leg pain. The present study also included patients with radiculopathy because of disc herniation or spinal stenosis.

The patients participated in a randomized clinical trial are reported elsewhere [10]. It was considered relevant to analyze the outcome as in cohort studies because there were no differences between the two intervention groups in terms of disability, pain, or RTW.

The purpose of the present study was to identify prognostic factors for disability and pain in sick-listed LBP patients and to look for differences between patients with and without radiculopathy; investigate, if the number of tender points was associated with disability and pain; and analyze, if RTW was more associated with change in disability than change in pain. RTW data are presented in detail elsewhere.

Section snippets

Design

Cohort study based on prospective randomized intervention study with 1-year follow-up.

Patients

During the period November 2004 to July 2007, 351 patients were referred from their general practitioner to the Research Unit of the Spine Center, Region Hospital Silkeborg, Denmark. The patients were included in a clinical trial studying the effect of brief clinical intervention versus multidisciplinary intervention; one group receiving clinical evaluation and guidance by a specialist of rheumatology and

Association between disability and pain at 1 year

The disability questions were answered by 196 (60%) patients. Transformed to 0–10 scale, Roland Morris score was mean 6.8 (SD 1.80) at baseline and mean 3.5 (SD 2.80) at 1 year. The pain questions at 1 year were answered by 219 (67%) patients. Transformed to 0–10 scale, the intensity of back+leg pain was mean 5.3 (SD 2.04) at baseline and mean 3.5 (SD 2.38) at 1 year. Patients answering pain questions, but not disability questions (n=30), had statistically significantly more pain, mean 4.7 (SD

Discussion

In the present study, disability and pain at 1 year were more closely correlated than previously shown [18]. The reason for this may have been a better measure of pain intensity owing to the Low Back Pain Rating scale [11]. This scale measures both back and leg pain and is a composite score of pain now, average pain, and worst pain.

Most of the risk factors identified in the analysis of univariables have been reported elsewhere [5]. However, the associations with diffuse tenderness at baseline,

Conclusions

The present study confirmed the importance of well-known risk factors for future disability and pain, such as high initial disability, high intensity of back+leg pain, worrying and health anxiety, compensation claim, and fear avoidance about physical activity. In addition, diffuse tenderness and lack of regular exercise in leisure time at baseline were shown to be associated with both pain and disability at 1 year. In patients with radiculopathy, two additional risk factors were identified:

Acknowledgments

The study is part of a randomized clinical trial supported by the municipality of Silkeborg, Favrskov, Skanderborg, Denmark, and Central Region Denmark.

I would like to thank Associate Professor Niels Trolle Andersen for fruitful discussions and invaluable help with statistical analysis.

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