Regular ArticleWarfarin treatment in patients with atrial fibrillation: Observing outcomes associated with varying levels of INR control
Section snippets
Intoduction
Recent studies in the US and Europe have reported a prevalence of non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) of approximately 1% [1], [2]. There is a strong age relationship with prevalence in those aged over 85 years of age in excess of 10% [1], [3] and a secular trend of increasing incidence [1], [2], [4].
The risk of stroke has been shown to be five times greater in patients with NVAF than those without [5]. To counter this, the use of long-term oral anticoagulation with a vitamin K antagonist
Patients and setting
The study was conducted in Cardiff and the Vale of Glamorgan, United Kingdom (population = 434,000) using routine data collated between April 1995 and March 2000. In particular three datasets were used. The first was routine hospital inpatient data from April 1995 to March 2000 containing a range of information including up to six diagnostic codes, length of stay and destination on discharge. The second was a haematology laboratory dataset reporting from June 1995 to January 2002 and containing
Results
A total of 222,398 patients were hospitalised during the study period of whom 6,245 (2.8%) were adults with a diagnosis of NVAF. After the exclusion of 139 patients (2.2%) with a history of heart valve surgery there remained 6,106 (97.8%); of these 2,235 (36.6%) had a minimum of 5 INR readings and of these 486 (21.7%) had a CHADS2 score ≥ 2 and hence constituted the warfarin treatment group. There were 3,278 patients in the non-warfarin treatment group of whom 698 (21.3%) had a CHADS2 score ≥ 2.
Discussion
Previous studies have reported that poor INR control was predictive of significantly worse outcomes in NVAF patients treated with warfarin [9]. In this study we sought to define what constituted good control.
After controlling for demographic and morbidity related confounders, multivariate survival analysis demonstrated only those patients a with CHADS2 score ≥ 2 with INR control greater than 40% of time within therapeutic INR range demonstrated a significant improvement in survival. Only those
Conclusion
This paper suggests that only moderate or high risk patients with NVAF eligible for oral anticoagulation, treated with warfarin and achieving an INR control of greater than 70% of time within therapeutic range have significantly improved outcomes in terms of stroke; and only those with control in excess of over 40% have significantly improved outcomes in terms of overall mortality compared to treatment without warfarin. Poorly controlled warfarin therapy is potentially harmful and if good
Conflict of interest
Jonathan Plumb, Andreas Clemens and Paul Robinson are employed by Boehringer Ingelheim which has a new oral anticoagulant currently under investigation for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation patients. Christopher Morgan, Phil McEwan and Andrzej Tukiendorf are employed by Cardiff Research Consortium, an independent research company commissioned by Boehringer Ingelheim to perform this study.
Acknowledgements
This study was funded by Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH.
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