OncologyBiopsy Criteria for Determining Appropriateness for Active Surveillance in the Modern Era
Section snippets
Materials and Methods
Consecutive African American (AA) men (n = 100) with preoperative serum PSA level <10 ng/mL, biopsy Gleason score ≤6, stage T1c, and 12-core sampling who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) from 2004 to 2012 were selected. Four hundred and fifty consecutive men (410 Caucasian and 40 others) with identical criteria were selected from 2010 to 2012. Although a slightly different period from when AAs were selected to obtain a large number of AA men for analysis, clinical and pathologic assessment
Results
Preoperative data are summarized in Table 2 and largely showed no difference between training and validation cohorts. We first tested in a multivariate regression analysis the negative predictive value (NPV) of PSA (P = .02) and PSAD (P <.001) because they are highly related, by comparing which measure had the fewest and least advanced cases misclassified as insignificant. Because PSAD was superior to PSA, PSAD was included in all algorithms, a similar finding to our original study.1 Caucasian
Comment
The crux of AS programs is to identify cancers, which, if left untreated, would likely not cause harm to patients. A complicating factor in developing algorithms to predict insignificant cancer is that there is a spectrum of severity in cases defined as “significant cancer.” What is universally accepted as insignificant prostate cancer is organ-confined, Gleason score 3 + 3 = 6 disease with dominant tumor nodule volume ≤0.5 cm3.1 The problem with this as the sole classification, is that, for
Conclusions
The Epstein algorithm, either the original or modified criteria that we have now adopted, maintains its accuracy in the modern era of prostate cancer with extended biopsy sampling. Approximately one-half of the tumors incorrectly predicted to be insignificant were anteriorly located, which may not be sampled by a standard 12-core prostate biopsy. Because AAs have more anterior tumors that are hard to sample, multiparamteric MRI should be recommended in AAs considering surveillance. In assessing
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Prediction of Organ-confined Disease in High- and Very-high-risk Prostate Cancer Patients Staged with Magnetic Resonance Imaging: Implications for Clinical Trial Design
2021, European Urology FocusCitation Excerpt :Many models of preoperative clinical characteristics to predict adverse pathology at radical prostatectomy (RP) or increased risk of poor long-term oncologic outcomes have been described (CAPRA, Epstein criteria, Kattan nomograms, Partin tables, etc.) [1–5].
Financial Disclosure: The authors declare that they have no relevant financial interests.