Family size and birth order are known to influence the risk of some cancers. However, it is still unknown whether these effects change from early to later adulthood. We used the data of the Swedish Family-Cancer Database to further analyze these effects.
Methods
We selected over 5.7 million offspring with identified parents but no parental cancer. We estimated the effect of birth order and family size by Poisson regression adjusted for age, sex, period, region and socioeconomic status. We divided the age at diagnosis in two groups, below and over 50 years, to identify the effect of family size and birth order for different age periods.
Results
Negative associations for increasing birth order were found for endometrial, testicular, skin, thyroid and connective tissue cancers and melanoma. In contrast, we observed positive association between birth order and lung, male and female genital cancers. Family size was associated with decreasing risk for endometrial and testicular cancers, melanoma and squamous cell carcinoma; risk was increased for leukemia and nervous system cancer. The effect of birth order decreased for lung and endometrial cancer from age at diagnosis below to over 50 years. Combined effects for birth order and family size were marginally significant for thyroid gland tumors. Especially, the relative risk for follicular thyroid gland tumors was significantly decreased for increasing birth order.
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that the effect of birth order decreases from early to late adulthood for lung and endometrial cancer.
The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/1471-2407-11-163) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Authors' contributions
MB carried out the statistical data analysis and wrote the manuscript. MW provided guidance and help in the preparation of the manuscript. HT commented on the manuscript. JS provided the data and commented on the manuscript. KH designed the study and commented on the analysis and the manuscript. All authors have accepted the final manuscript.
Abkürzungen
CI
Confidence interval
RR
relative risk
ICD
International Classification of Disease.
Background
Family size and birth order has been shown to have an effect on the risk of cancer through socioeconomic and biological factors. For example, local observations showed that lower birth weight as a consequence of higher birth order has been associated with a lower risk for breast cancer [1‐3] and a lower risk for melanoma [2]. Negative association has also been detected in testicular cancer for children of higher birth order [4‐6]. Higher birth order often implies higher parental age at conception, although the latter has not been reported to be a risk factor in some studies [7, 8] whereas in other studies there was an association found for cancer sites as breast and prostate cancer as well as childhood cancers [9‐13]. Genetic diseases or cancer during childhood may shorten the reproduction phase of parents, which could cause higher risk for individuals in families with fewer children [14]. This might lead to an association of early-onset cancer or childhood cancers within last born children. Risks for many types of cancer and morbidities have been associated with the socioeconomic status of an individual [15, 16]. A decreasing risk for melanoma has been reported for increasing family size and was explained by limited affordability of sunny holidays and solarium visits of larger families [14, 17, 18]. Significant association between socioeconomic factors, family size and lung cancer has also been reported in a previous study based on the Swedish Family-Cancer Database [19, 20]. Socioeconomic factors have been shown to influence obesity which is an important risk factor for endometrial and other cancers such as liver cancer, non-Hodgkin lymphoma and multiple myeloma [21‐24]. The susceptibility to be overweight might be influenced by childhood environment and to be carried on to adulthood. Closer contact among family members of larger families has been shown to increase risk of infection with Helicobacter pylori and other Helicobacter pylori related cancers [2, 25, 26].
The goal of the present study was to systematically analyze the effects of birth order and family size on different types of cancer. As we used the newest update of the Swedish Family Cancer-Database we had more than 75,000 additional registered cancer cases as previous studies with 178,365 cases [19]. This updated version included a total of 254,697 of cancer cases in offspring. Excluding the offspring with affected parents resulted in a study population of 134,896 individuals. The larger number of cancer cases leaded to more robust estimates of associations and allowed us to include also more rare cancers, such as esophageal, eye, small intestinal, laryngeal and salivary gland cancers. Additionally, we were able to divide the age at diagnosis in two categories to quantify the effect of family size and birth order. Differences in risk estimates for individuals diagnosed before and after 50 years of age are useful for identifying the effects of birth order and family size during life. Both influence the childhood environmental and lifestyle. Our aim was to see whether these factors still have an influence on cancer during early and later adulthood and whether they change over time. We focused on that aspect, as this has not been analyzed in previous studies.
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Methods
The Swedish Family-Cancer Database includes data from the Second-Generation Register, the Swedish Cancer Registry, the National Census and the Death Notification Registry covering all cancers from 1961 to 2006 according to the seventh revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-7) [27]. Cancer studies (Family-Cancer Database) in the MigMed Database was approved by the Lund regional ethical committee on 8/12/2008 (No. 409/2008) and with complementary approvals dated 9/1/2009 and 1/22/2010. A total of approximately 11 million individuals born after 1932 and their biological parents have been registered. The newest version assembled in 2009 contains also information on more than 1.2 million first and multiple primary cancers and in situ tumors [25]. For most of the individuals affected with cancer clinical information on tumors is also available. Additionally, residential and socioeconomic data are available from national censuses, which were carried out in 1960, 1970, 1980 and 1990.
The study included all individuals from the database with identified parents. Individuals having parents affected with cancer were excluded, because parental cancer history should not be taken into account to avoid any confounding effect. The risk through parental cancer cases will be separated from the risk caused by birth order or family size. This lead to a study population of 5,657,455 individuals where 134,896 individuals were affected with cancer. The birth order of every individual was defined through the mother's parity (grouped 1, 2, 3-4, 5-17). The family size (grouped 1, 2, 3-4, 5-17) is defined as the number of children per mother. There were 669,137 singletons, more than 2.3 million offspring in families with two children, more than 2.2 million in families with three or four children and 437,907offspring in families with at least five children included in the study. To analyze the effects of birth order and family size for early and later adulthood the individuals were categorized for age at diagnosis less and over age 50.
A four-digit diagnostic code according to ICD-7 was used to identify cancer sites. Some cancers were grouped according to the following codes: upper aerodigestive tract (140-141.9, 143.0-148.9), rectum excluding anus (154-154.0, 154.8), liver and gallbladder (155.0-156.9), lung (162.0-163), uterus (173-174), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (200-200.2, 202-202.2) and leukemia (204.0-209.9).
Patients were followed up for a specific time interval depending on the information available for each person in the database. Follow up started at year of immigration, birth year, or start year of cancer registry (1961), whatever came latest, until year of diagnosis, death, emigration or end of the study (2006), whatever occurred first. Cancer cases and person-years were determined for every stratification class of the covariates included in the regression model. For the calculation of the relative risks and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals, age at stopfollow (5-year-bands), sex, calendar period (1961-1985, 1986-1990, 1991-1995, 1996-2000, 2001-2006), region (big cities, northern Sweden, southern Sweden, other), socioeconomic status (agricultural worker, white-collar worker, other worker, professional, private, other), family size, and birth order have been included as covariates. The Genmod procedure in SAS (SAS version 9.2; SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) was used to fit the Poisson regression model. The cancer status (affected or not affected) is specified as a response variable, whereas the included covariates are explanatory variables. Parameter estimates (β) are obtained by maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). These parameters are estimated numerically through an iterative fitting process. Cancer incidence for one group compared to the reference group was calculated to obtain relative risk estimates. P values for trend analysis were calculated using a Jonckheere-Terpstra test which is a nonparametric test for ordered differences among classes.
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Results
The study included around 5.7 million individuals, of which 134,896 were affected with cancer. Table 1 gives an overview on the distribution of individuals and cancer cases by family size and birth order. In Table 2 the age at stop follow of the individuals included in the study is presented.
Table 1
Number of all individuals (and cancer cases) included in the study with respect to birth order and family size
All families
Family size
Birth order
1
2
3-4
5-17
All
1
669,137 (25,209)
1,161,073 (26,279)
681,658 (20,129)
75,738 (4,226)
2,587,606 (75,843)
2
1,169265 (18,325)
686,860 (15,439)
76,402 (3,543)
1,932,527 (37,307)
3-4
851,555 (13,395)
154,668 (5,315)
1,006,223 (18,170)
5-17
131,099 (3,036)
131,099 (3,036)
All
669,137 (25,209)
2,330,338 (44,604)
2,220,073 (48,963)
437,907 (16,120)
5,657,455 (134,896)
Table 2
Age at stopfollow of individuals (and cancer cases) included in the study
Age at stopfollow
All individuals
Cancer cases (%)
0-4
551,205
3,405 (0.62)
5-9
508,742
2,277 (0.45)
10-14
566,083
2,017 (0.36)
15-19
585,185
2,753 (0.47)
20-24
493,490
3,728 (0,76)
25-29
454,454
5,161 (1.14)
30-34
446,358
6,537 (1.46)
35-39
411,925
8,014 (1.95)
40-44
376,844
12,213 (2.71)
45-49
296,309
13,364 (4.51)
50-54
273,077
17,052 (6.24)
55-59
276,905
20,842 (7.53)
60-64
264,047
20,190 (7.65)
65-69
178,049
14,516 (8.15)
70-
109,678
4,827 (4.40)
All
5,657,455
134,896 (2.33)
Table 3 shows relative risk estimates for birth order of all cancer sites analyzed separately for age at diagnosis below 50 years or above 50 years and combining both. Significant results at 5% confidence level are written bold. A significantly increased relative risk for lung cancer (RR = 1.08, 99% CI: 1.00-1.15) was found independent of the age at diagnosis. Birth order was associated with a decreased risk for endometrial and testicular cancers, melanoma, squamous cell skin cancer, and cancers of the thyroid gland and connective tissue. The relative risk for cervical cancer (RR = 0.83) was significantly decreased for individuals diagnosed below age 50 years.
Table 3
Relative risks for birth order and age at diagnosis
Age at diagnosis < 50 years
Age at diagnosis ≥ 50 years
All
Birth order
Ref
Birth order
Ref
Birth order
Ref
Cancer site
(ICD-7 code)
N
RR
(95% CI)
N
N
RR
(95% CI)
N
N
RR
(95% CI)
N
Upper aero-digestive tract
(140+)
402
0.95
(0.82-1.09)
396
577
1.09
(0.98-1.21)
807
979
1.04
(0.95-1.14)
1203
Salivary glands
(142)
119
0.79
(0.63-0.99)
141
59
0.93
(0.65-1.33)
96
178
0.85
(0.70-1.04)
237
Esophagus
(150)
55
0.89
(0.59-1.37)
52
248
0.89
(0.75-1.05)
435
303
0.89
(0.76-1.05)
487
Stomach
(151)
261
1.03
(0.84-1.26)
232
505
1.07
(0.95-1.19)
757
766
1.06
(0.94-1.20)
989
Small intestine
(152)
84
0.94
(0.71-1.24)
85
147
1.12
(0.92-1.36)
206
231
1.07
(0.91-1.26)
291
Colon
(153)
938
0.94
(0.85-1.04)
928
1532
0.97
(0.91-1.04)
2723
2470
0.97
(0.91-1.02)
3651
Rectum
(154/1541)
376
1.03
(0.85-1.26)
343
1084
1.03
(0.96-1.11)
1740
1460
1.03
(0.95-1.12)
2083
Anus
(1541)
66
1.08
(0.77-1.50)
56
85
0.95
(0.74-1.24)
133
151
1.02
(0.83-1.24)
189
Liver and gallbladder
(155, 156)
217
0.95
(0.80-1.14)
202
467
0.92
(0.82-1.04)
807
684
0.94
(0.85-1.04)
1009
Pancreas
(157)
134
0.88
(0.69-1.12)
128
573
0.93
(0.81-1.07)
972
707
0.93
(0.84-1.03)
1100
Nose
(160)
49
0.99
(0.64-1.52)
46
47
1.19
(0.85-1.67)
67
96
1.05
(0.76-1.45)
113
Larynx
(161)
58
0.82
(0.61-1.10)
71
153
1.05
(0.83-1.32)
227
211
1.00
(0.83-1.19)
298
Lung
(162, 163)
589
1.17
(1.04-1.31)
454
2201
1.03
(0.97-1.09)
3343
2790
1.08
(1.02-1.13)
3797
Breast
(170)
5053
1.03
(0.82-1.28)
4778
5937
0.98
(0.95-1.01)
8751
10990
1.00
(0.91-1.11)
13529
Cervix
(171)
1609
0.95
(0.85-1.06)
1597
245
0.83
(0.71-0.97)
401
1854
0.93
(0.85-1.02)
1998
Endometrium
(172)
213
0.72
(0.64-0.81)
1042
321
0.87
(0.83-0.92)
1924
1255
0.85
(0.81-0.90)
2245
Uterus
(173, 174)
140
0.91
(0.79-1.04)
151
106
0.99
(0.82-1.19)
166
246
0.95
(0.85-1.06)
317
Ovary
(175)
902
0.98
(0.88-1.08)
868
806
1.03
(0.95-1.13)
1177
1708
1.01
(0.94-1.09)
2045
Other female genital
(176)
128
1.34
(1.09-1.64)
90
101
1.03
(0.85-1.26)
138
229
1.20
(1.04-1.38)
228
Prostate
(177)
92
1.04
(0.83-1.31)
76
4552
1.03
(1.00-1.06)
7984
4644
1.03
(1.00-1.06)
8060
Testis
(178)
1668
0.90
(0.84-0.97)
1582
65
0.78
(0.60-1.02)
112
1733
0.89
(0.83-0.95)
1694
Other male genital
(179)
71
1.15
(0.94-1.42)
60
81
1.22
(1.00-1.48)
98
152
1.20
(1.05-1.38)
158
Kidney
(180)
663
1.00
(0.90-1.10)
608
716
0.99
(0.89-1.10)
1184
1379
0.99
(0.92-1.06)
1792
Urinary bladder
(181)
489
1.02
(0.90-1.16)
486
1082
0.94
(0.88-1.02)
1964
1571
0.97
(0.91-1.04)
2450
Melanoma
(190)
2789
0.88
(0.83-0.95)
2952
1310
0.87
(0.81-0.93)
2232
4099
0.88
(0.84-0.92)
5184
Squamous cell skin
(191)
412
0.97
(0.84-1.12)
405
638
0.87
(0.79-0.95)
1309
1050
0.90
(0.83-0.98)
1714
Eye
(192)
297
1.04
(0.89-1.22)
243
88
0.90
(0.71-1.15)
146
385
1.01
(0.88-1.15)
389
Nervous system
(193)
3730
1.00
(0.95-1.06)
3214
1126
0.99
(0.92-1.07)
1630
4856
1.01
(0.96-1.06)
4844
Thyroid
gland
(194)
821
0.86
(0.79-0.95)
894
156
0.79
(0.64-0.97)
289
977
0.85
(0.78-0.92)
1183
Endocrine glands
(195)
1013
0.99
(0.91-1.09)
961
568
0.87
(0.78-0.98)
952
1581
0.95
(0.89-1.02)
1913
Bone
(196)
500
1.06
(0.94-1.20)
412
37
1.11
(0.69-1.79)
47
537
1.08
(0.95-1.22)
459
Connective tissue
(197)
572
0.88
(0.78-0.98)
576
161
1.00
(0.82-1.21)
254
733
0.90
(0.82-0.99)
830
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma
(200, 202)
1330
1.06
(0.97-1.15)
1115
1029
0.99
(0.91-1.08)
1611
2359
1.03
(0.97-1.10)
2726
Hodgkin lymphoma
(201)
1001
0.92
(0.84-1.01)
947
76
1.00
(0.75-1.33)
109
1077
0.93
(0.85-1.01)
1056
Myeloma
(203)
119
0.94
(0.74-1.19)
117
332
1.04
(0.89-1.21)
535
451
1.02
(0.89-1.15)
652
Leukaemia
(204 - 209)
2208
0.98
(0.90-1.06)
1910
709
1.02
(0.93-1.12)
1117
2917
1.00
(0.94-1.07)
3027
Other and unspecified sites
(other)
406
0.91
(0.79-1.04)
398
838
0.89
(0.80-0.99)
1505
1244
0.91
(0.84-0.98)
1903
Any site
(any)
29574
0.97
(0.94-0.99)
27895
29479
0.96
(0.93-1.00)
47948
59053
0.97
(0.95-1.00)
75843
Reference group: first born child. Bold type, 95% CI does not include 1.00. Poisson regression adjusted for age, sex, period, region, socioeconomic status. Ref.: reference, N:number of cases
The association between family size and cancer with singletons as reference is presented in Table 4. Family size was associated with a decreased relative risk for endometrial (RR = 0.76, 99% CI: 0.70-0.84) and testicular cancer, squamous cell skin cancer and melanoma, whereas the opposite was observed for cancer of the nervous system and leukemia (RR = 1.20). For lymphoid leukemia there was a relative risk of 1.30 (95% CI: 1.04-1.61) found for increasing family size (data not shown). In the stratified analysis for the age at diagnosis, the relative risk was increased for stomach cancer (RR = 1.17) and decreased for cervical cancer (RR = 0.82) for individuals above age 50 at diagnosis.
Table 4
Relative risks for family size and age at diagnosis
Age at diagnosis < 50 years
Age at diagnosis ≥ 50 years
All
Family size
Ref
Family size
Ref
Family size
Ref
Cancer site
(ICD-7 code)
N
RR
(95% CI)
N
N
RR
(95% CI)
N
N
RR
(95% CI)
N
Upper aero-digestive tract
(140+)
694
1.00
(0.81-1.23)
104
1068
0.96
(0.84-1.09)
316
1762
0.97
(0.87-1.09)
420
Salivary glands
(142)
222
0.85
(0.62-1.17)
38
117
0.87
(0.61-1.24)
38
339
0.87
(0.68-1.10)
76
Esophagus
(150)
85
0.52
(0.33-0.82)
22
528
0.99
(0.82-1.18)
155
613
0.92
(0.77-1.10)
177
Stomach
(151)
423
0.91
(0.68-1.21)
70
1009
1.17
(1.02-1.34)
253
1432
1.11
(0.96-1.29)
323
Small intestine
(152)
140
0.76
(0.53-1.09)
29
282
1.14
(0.91-1.44)
71
422
1.03
(0.84-1.27)
100
Colon
(153)
1633
1.01
(0.88-1.17)
233
3213
0.95
(0.89-1.02)
1042
4846
0.97
(0.91-1.03)
1275
Rectum
(154/1541)
632
1.13
(0.78-1.65)
87
2152
0.96
(0.88-1.04)
672
2784
0.98
(0.88-1.09)
759
Anus
(1541)
105
0.93
(0.59-1.48)
17
171
1.03
(0.75-1.41)
47
276
1.01
(0.79-1.30)
64
Liver and gallbladder
(155, 156)
376
1.23
(0.92-1.65)
43
972
0.95
(0.83-1.08)
302
1348
0.99
(0.88-1.11)
345
Pancreas
(157)
231
1.00
(0.72-1.40)
31
1176
0.93
(0.81-1.06)
369
1407
0.94
(0.84-1.05)
400
Nose
(160)
85
1.24
(0.58-2.67)
10
95
1.53
(0.96-2.44)
19
180
1.39
(0.89-2.17)
29
Larynx
(161)
111
1.09
(0.64-1.86)
18
304
1.15
(0.91-1.45)
76
415
1.15
(0.90-1.47)
94
Lung
(162, 163)
926
1.20
(0.97-1.48)
117
4254
0.95
(0.89-1.02)
1290
5180
0.99
(0.93-1.05)
1407
Breast
(170)
8325
0.91
(0.70-1.20)
1506
11473
0.98
(0.95-1.02)
3215
19798
0.96
(0.86-1.08)
4721
Cervix
(171)
2782
0.97
(0.82-1.14)
424
488
0.82
(0.69-0.98)
158
3270
0.93
(0.82-1.05)
582
Endometrium
(172)
412
0.67
(0.55-0.81)
122
2145
0.78
(0.72-0.84)
821
2557
0.76
(0.71-0.82)
943
Uterus
(173, 174)
258
1.29
(1.05-1.60)
33
208
0.94
(0.77-1.15)
64
466
1.07
(0.93-1.24)
97
Ovary
(175)
1532
0.98
(0.84-1.16)
238
1542
0.99
(0.89-1.11)
441
3074
0.99
(0.90-1.09)
679
Other female genital
(176)
195
1.32
(0.95-1.83)
23
189
1.02
(0.76-1.38)
50
384
1.14
(0.92-1.40)
73
Prostate
(177)
144
0.85
(0.60-1.21)
24
9489
0.98
(0.95-1.01)
3047
9633
0.98
(0.95-1.02)
3071
Testis
(178)
2857
0.87
(0.80-0.94)
393
139
0.96
(0.75-1.22)
38
2996
0.87
(0.81-0.94)
431
Other male genital
(179)
114
1.08
(0.80-1.46)
17
145
1.16
(0.91-1.49)
34
259
1.14
(0.95-1.36)
51
Kidney
(180)
1112
1.01
(0.86-1.19)
159
1460
0.99
(0.88-1.11)
440
2572
0.99
(0.91-1.08)
599
Urinary bladder
(181)
834
1.04
(0.88-1.22)
141
2295
0.94
(0.87-1.02)
751
3129
0.96
(0.89-1.03)
892
Melanoma
(190)
4919
0.85
(0.78-0.93)
822
2740
0.96
(0.88-1.04)
802
7659
0.90
(0.84-0.96)
1624
Squamous cell skin
(191)
708
0.98
(0.80-1.21)
109
1433
0.89
(0.81-0.97)
514
2141
0.90
(0.82-0.99)
623
Eye
(192)
480
0.97
(0.75-1.25)
60
181
0.96
(0.72-1.28)
53
661
0.97
(0.80-1.18)
113
Nervous system
(193)
6286
1.16
(1.05-1.29)
658
2192
1.06
(0.96-1.16)
564
8478
1.13
(1.05-1.21)
1222
Thyroid gland
(194)
1496
1.00
(0.87-1.14)
219
356
1.12
(0.89-1.41)
89
1852
1.03
(0.91-1.16)
308
Endocrine glands
(195)
1718
1.00
(0.88-1.14)
256
1189
1.00
(0.88-1.13)
331
2907
1.01
(0.92-1.10)
587
Bone
(196)
821
1.04
(0.84-1.29)
91
69
1.12
(0.71-2.17)
15
890
1.08
(0.89-1.31)
106
Connective tissue
(197)
1013
0.96
(0.81-1.14)
135
318
0.94
(0.76-1.17)
97
1331
0.95
(0.83-1.09)
232
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma
(200, 202)
2163
1.00
(0.85-1.18)
282
2038
0.97
(0.88-1.07)
602
4201
0.98
(0.90-1.07)
884
Hodgkin lymphoma
(201)
1736
0.94
(0.81-1.09)
212
141
0.86
(0.62-1.20)
44
1877
0.93
(0.81-1.07)
256
Myeloma
(203)
211
1.32
(0.89-1.94)
25
660
0.96
(0.82-1.11)
207
871
1.00
(0.87-1.15)
232
Leukaemia
(204 - 209)
3775
1.30
(1.07-1.59)
343
1429
1.06
(0.95-1.18)
397
5204
1.20
(1.08-1.33)
740
Other and unspecified sites
(other)
707
1.00
(0.81-1.24)
97
1766
0.90
(0.80-1.03)
577
2473
0.93
(0.84-1.02)
674
Any site
(any)
50261
0.97
(0.94-1.00)
7208
59426
0.99
(0.94-1.04)
18001
109687
0.99
(0.96-1.02)
25209
Reference group: one-child families. Bold type, 95% CI does not include 1.00. Poisson regression adjusted for age, sex, period, region, socioeconomic status. Ref: reference, N: number of cases
The relative risk for cancer of the thyroid gland was marginally significantly decreased for birth order (P for trend = <.0001; data not shown). The relative risk for the second born (RR = 0.87) was slightly higher than for the third or fourth born (RR = 0.82) or higher birth orders (RR = 0.75).
The relative risk for testicular cancer was inversely associated with family size (data not shown). It was decreasing with increasing family size. There was no significant combined effect with birth order even if the trend seemed to show an inverse association. Table 5 shows significantly decreased relative risks with increasing birth order for papillary (RR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.72-0.92) and follicular thyroid gland tumors (RR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.52-0.94).
Table 5
Relative risks for cancer of the thyroid gland
All
All
Birth order *
Ref
Family size **
Ref
Cancer site
N
RR (95% CI)
N
N
RR (95% CI)
N
Thyroid gland
papillary
397
0.81 (0.72-0.92)
442
736
0.93 (0.77-1.12)
103
follicular
58
0.70 (0.52-0.94)
82
116
0.76 (0.50-1.17)
24
medullary
20
0.81 (0.50-1.32)
23
37
0.92 (0.49-1.74)
6
other
31
0.85 (0.59-1.24)
45
64
1.17 (0.69-1.98)
12
Reference group: * = first born child, ** = one-child families. Bold type, 95% CI does not include 1.00. Poisson regression adjusted for age, sex, period, region, socioeconomic status.
Ref: reference, N: number of cases
In the separate analysis for the two groups of age at diagnosis (Figure 1), family size was positively associated with stomach cancer for age of diagnosis of at least 50 years. We found highly significant results independent of the birth order (one child families: RR = 0.67; two child families: RR = 0.73; three or four child families: RR = 0.75). Most of the stomach cancer cases occur with an age of diagnosis of at least 50 years and the separate analysis for the younger age group shows no significant associations.
×
Lung cancer was positively associated with birth order for lower age at diagnosis. The relative risk ranged from 1.02 for second born to 1.38 for third or fourth born offspring to 1.39 for the fifth born. In contrast the relative risk was not significant for different birth order when the age at diagnosis was at least 50 years even if a trend was still noticeable.
Figure 2 shows a detailed analysis on endometrial cancer. There was an inverse association of risk and birth order for age at diagnosis below age 50. The relative risk ranges from 0.73 for second born to 0.74 for third or fourth born until 0.56 for at least fifth born with first born children are the reference. For age at diagnosis above 50 years the same trend was observed. Family size was negatively associated with relative risk for endometrial cancer for age at diagnosis below age 50 (one child families: RR = 0.65; two child families: RR = 0.64; three or four child families: 0.72). In contrast, the relative risk in the older age group was negatively associated with family size.
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Discussion
Our results show that there is an effect of family size and birth order on different cancer sites. A significantly decreased risk for testicular cancer by increasing birth order is in line with previously published results [5, 6]. Also family size was associated with testicular cancer which has been suggested to be the result of parental subfertility [28].
Family size and birth order showed protective effects for melanoma, in agreement with previous results on socioeconomic status [15, 29‐31]. We observed a similar association for squamous cell carcinoma, which might be related to the same factors.
Risk for cancer of the nervous system was positively associated with family size which is also supported by previous findings [32]. The number of siblings correlated with the risk for cancer suggesting an infectious etiology [33]. Some subtypes of leukemia as acute lymphoblastic leukemia have their origin in viral or bacterial infection [34, 35]. These can be shared easily in large families where all members have closer contact [36].
Family size influenced the risk of stomach cancer. Offspring in families with five or more children had an increased risk which has also been shown in previous studies [19, 37]. Helicobacter pylori is an important cause of gastric cancer. The risk of infection is directly associated with sibship size [2, 38‐40]. As a consequence, members of larger families can easily share some infections.
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Risk for lung cancer was increased in large families, most likely because of an association with low socioeconomic status [41, 42]. An increasing risk with birth order and family size can clearly be seen for individuals diagnosed below age 50. This might be due to the fact that the effect of birth order and family size is stronger in younger ages, where children still live with their parents and siblings. The effect of birth order and family size decreased from early to later adulthood.
Risk for endometrial cancer decreased with increasing birth order and family size. Family size showed a negative association for endometrial cancer in the group of people diagnosed before 50 years. This is in agreement with already published results reporting obesity as an important risk factor [21, 43‐45]. Obesity is associated with socioeconomic status [46, 47], which may explain the decreased risk of large families with lower socioeconomic status [7]. Low birth order has been shown to be associated with obesity, especially in young women [48]. This might be explained by dietary habits depending on paternal resource.
Negative association between birth order and thyroid gland tumors is in line with already published results [14]. Nevertheless, more biological and epidemiological research is warranted to clarify the exact mechanisms through which higher birth order children have a decreased risk especially for subtypes as papillary and follicular thyroid gland tumors.
There are some limitations to our study. The information of smoking was not registered in our data. We were not able to include the smoking habits in our analysis. This information might have explained the association of lung cancer and birth order in a better way. As well as active, passive smoking can also have an effect on the risk of lung cancer. Lower birth order could lead to more passive smoking if older siblings smoke during the individual's childhood. Active smoking has an effect on the risk of cancer which cannot be taken into account in our analysis. Additionally, the information of obesity was not present in our data which could have helped us to explain effects on the risk of endometrial cancer.
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Conclusion
Our results agree with already published findings on the influence of birth order and family size in melanoma. As these can be explained by the socioeconomic status this could also be an explanation for squamous cell carcinoma which shows an association of risk with birth order and family size. Our findings show that the risk of endometrial cancer is associated with birth order and family size. This can be explained by dietary habits that differ in families with varying number of children. Family size and birth order are associated with different cancer sites not only because of the effect of socioeconomic status. Taken together, our results suggest that the effect of birth order and family size decreases from early to later adulthood for some cancer sites as lung cancer and endometrial cancer.
Acknowledgements
Supported by Deutsche Krebshilfe, the Swedish Cancer Society, The Swedish Council for Working Life and Social Research, LSHC-CT-2004-503465. The Family-Cancer Database was created by linking registers maintained at Statistics Sweden and the Swedish Cancer Registry.
This article is published under license to BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Authors' contributions
MB carried out the statistical data analysis and wrote the manuscript. MW provided guidance and help in the preparation of the manuscript. HT commented on the manuscript. JS provided the data and commented on the manuscript. KH designed the study and commented on the analysis and the manuscript. All authors have accepted the final manuscript.