Background
Background on young workers
Rationale for level of aggregation
Indicators and pathways for geographic variation
Methods
Data Sources
Main Outcome
Estimates for lost-time injury claims
Estimates of Full-time-equivalents worked in 2000
Independent variables
Analytic strategy
Reduction of predictors
Regression analyses
Results
Variable | Mean | Range | Correlation with Adjusted* claim rate |
---|---|---|---|
Population density (log) | 3.45 | -1.6 – 8.3 |
0.31†
|
15 – 24 yr olds with only high school education | 0.44 | 0.32 – 0.64 |
-0.34†
|
Households spending 30%+ on expenses | 0.15 | 0.10 – 0.22 | 0.20 |
Dwelling ownership | 0.74 | 0.51 – 0.86 | -0.02 |
Same address – 5 yrs | 0.61 | 0.52 – 0.70 |
-0.49†
|
Same address – 1 yr | 0.87 | 0.83 – 0.90 | -0.28‡ |
Outside Canada – 5 yrs | 0.02 | 0.00 – 0.11 | 0.19 |
Percent union | 0.27 | 0.08 – 0.45 | -0.10 |
Unemployment 15 – 24 yrs | 0.14 | 0.09 – 0.25 | -0.22 |
Percent completing literacy test | 0.59 | 0.43 – 0.70 | 0.15 |
Single mother families | 0.06 | 0.04 – 0.08 | 0.10 |
Percent aboriginal (log) | -3.94 | -5.65 – -1.05 | -0.24 |
Average earnings | 31,067 | 23,934 – 45,835 | 0.28‡ |
25+ years with only high school education | 0.32 | 0.18 – 0.41 |
-0.33†
|
Value of dwellings | 154,576 | 87,314 – 298,018 | 0.18 |
Ratio of pop 65+ to pop 25 – 64 years | 0.22 | 0.11 – 0.32 |
-0.47†
|
Population growth 96 – 01 | 0.03 | -0.09 – 0.23 |
0.35†
|
Percent of labour force in small workplaces | 0.48 | 0.36 – 0.65 |
-0.50†
|
Percent of youth in small workplaces | 0.52 | 0.32 – 0.88 |
-0.31†
|
Variable | Factor One | Factor Two | Factor Three | Factor Four |
---|---|---|---|---|
Population density (log) | -0.71 | |||
15 – 24 yr olds with only high school education | 0.84 | |||
Households spending 30%+ on expenses | -0.61 | 0.66 | ||
Dwelling ownership | 0.65 | -0.71 | ||
Same address – 5 yrs | 0.58 | |||
Same address – 1 yr | 0.66 | |||
Outside Canada – 5 yrs | -0.70 | |||
Percent union | 0.48 | |||
Unemployment 15 – 24 yrs | 0.85 | |||
Percent completing literacy test | -0.58 | |||
Single mother families | 0.90 | |||
Percent aboriginal (log) | 0.74 | |||
Average earnings | 0.80 | |||
25+ years with only high school education | -0.41 | |||
Value of dwellings | 0.56 | |||
Ratio of pop 65+ to pop 25 – 64 years | -1.01 | |||
Population growth 96 – 01 | 0.64 | |||
Percent of labour force in small workplaces | 0.65 | |||
Percent of youth in small workplaces | 0.72 |
Factor | Description | Typical regions | Atypical regions |
---|---|---|---|
One | low population density, low youth education, low spending on household expenses, high household ownership and low population mobility | 1. Rainy river district 2. Bruce county 3. Kenora district 4. Manitoulin and Sudbury districts | 1. Toronto division 2. Peel Region 3. Ottawa division 4. Frontenac county 5. York region |
Two | High union membership, high youth unemployment, low household ownership, low literacy test completion, high single mother families, high aboriginal population | 1. Kenora district 2. Cochrane district 3. Nipissing district 4. Thunder Bay district | 1. York region 2. Halton region 3. Huron county 4. Dufferin county 5. Perth county |
Three | High earnings, high adult education, high value of dwellings, young population, high population growth | 1. York region 2. Halton region 3. Peel region 4. Ottawa division 5. Durham region | 1. Timiskaming district 2. Haliburton & Parry Sound districts 3. Manitoulin & Sudbury districts 4. Algoma district |
Four | High number of small workplaces, high spending on household expenses | 1. Manitoulin & Sudbury districts 2. Muskoka district 3. Haliburton & Parry Sound districts 4. Dufferin county | 1. Halton region 2. Durham region 3. Frontenac county 4. Essex county 5. Peel region |
Variable | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Est | se | T-stat | Est | se | T-stat | |
Factor One | -0.13 | 0.06 | -2.21 | -0.06 | 0.06 | -1.02 |
Factor Two | -0.07 | 0.09 | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.08 | -0.59 |
Factor Three | 0.18 | 0.07 | 2.54 | -- | -- | -- |
Factor Four | -0.35 | 0.10 | -3.45 | -0.30 | 0.12 | -2.58 |
Variable | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Est | se | T-stat | Est | se | T-stat | |
Factor 1: Percent of population living at the same address for the last 5-years | -6.04 | 1.61 | -3.76 | -3.84 | 1.84 | -2.09 |
Factor 2: Unemployment rate 15 to 24 years old | -0.05 | 0.03 | -1.46 | -- | -- | -- |
Factor 3: Ratio of the population aged over 65 years to population aged 15 to 64 years | -5.50 | 1.56 | -3.53 | -- | -- | -- |
Factor 4: Percent of labour force in small workplaces | -0.05 | 0.01 | -3.84 | -0.0318 | 0.014 | -2.20 |
Lowest rate region | Lower rate region | Middle rate region | High rate region | Highest rate region | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nature of Injury | N | % | N | % | N | % | N | % | N | % |
Cuts | 45 | 15.1% | 217 | 16.3% | 716 | 19.7% | 767 | 17.0% | 750 | 19.1% |
Burns | 10 | 3.3% | 75 | 5.6% | 168 | 4.6% | 221 | 4.9% | 168 | 4.3% |
Fractures | -- | -- | 90 | 6.7% | 191 | 5.3% | 252 | 5.6% | 209 | 5.3% |
Amputations | -- | -- | 13 | 1.0% | 40 | 1.1% | 50 | 1.1% | 36 | 0.9% |
Sprains & Strains | 101 | 33.8% | 409 | 30.7% | 1089 | 29.9% | 1396 | 30.9% | 1214 | 30.9% |
Contusions | 39 | 13.0% | 154 | 11.5% | 544 | 15.0% | 619 | 13.7% | 521 | 13.2% |
Other | 104 | 34.8% | 376 | 28.2% | 890 | 24.5% | 1208 | 26.8% | 1035 | 26.3% |