Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-jr42d Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-25T00:05:54.441Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Capture-Recapture Methods in Epidemiological Studies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2015

Craig Stephen*
Affiliation:
Department of Health Care and Epidemiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
*
Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1W5, Canada

Abstract

Medical researchers often are faced with the challenge of estimating the total number of cases in a population based on incomplete samples. Because of a lack of explicit methods for determining if all cases have been counted, indirect methods for estimating the abundance of disease have been developed. Capture-recapture models are an indirect method of estimating population sizes that have been employed in recent epidemiological studies. These methods, derived from techniques developed for studies of animal abundance, estimate the true population size by evaluating the degree of overlap among incomplete lists of cases from existing data sources. Although intuitively appealing, the successful application of these methods is dependent upon a clear understanding of the biology of the disorder involved, the dynamics of the reference population, and the assumptions and robustness of the specific models used. Failure to address these issues can lead to inaccurate and sometimes misleading results. This article describes some of the strengths and limitations of recapture techniques and provides the reader with a foundation from which to explore the methods in further detail.

Type
Statistics for Hospital Epidemiology
Copyright
Copyright © The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America 1996

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1.Caughley, G, Sinclair, ARE. Wildlife Ecology and Management. Boston, MA: Blackwell Scientific Publishers; 1994.Google Scholar
2.Robles, SC, Marrett, LD, Clarke, EA, Risch, HA. An application of capture-recapture methods to the estimation of completeness of cancer registration. J Clin Epidemiol 1988;41:495501.Google Scholar
3.Hook, EB, Regal, RR. The value of capture-recapture methods even for apparent exhaustive surveys: the need for adjustment for source of ascertainment intersection in attempted complete prevalence studies. Am J Epidemiol 1992;135:10601067.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
4.Cochi, SL, Edmonds, LE, Dyer, K, et al. Congenital rubella syndrome in the United States, 1970-1985. Am J Epidemiol 1989;129:349361.Google Scholar
5.Sutter, RW, Cochi, SL. Pertussis hospitalization and mortality in the United States, 1985-1988. JAMA 1992;267:386391.Google Scholar
6.McKeganey, N, Barnard, M, Leyland, A, Coote, I, Follet, E. Female streetworking prostitution and HIV infection in Glasgow. BMJ 1992;305:801804.Google Scholar
7.Abeni, DD, Brancato, G, Perucci, CA. Capture-recapture to estimate the size of the population of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 infection. Epidemiol 1994;5:410414.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
8.Mastro, TD, Kitayaporn, D, Weniger, BG, et al. Estimating the number of HIV-infected drug users in Bangkok: a capturerecapture method. Am J Public Health 1994;84:10941099.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
9.Domindo-Salvany, A, Hartnoll, RL, Maguire, A, Suelves, JM, Anto, JM. Use of capture-recapture to estimate the prevalence of opiate addiction in Barcelona, Spain, 1989. Am J Epidemiol 1995;141:567574.Google Scholar
10.Stephen, C, Syrja, L. Evaluation of a passive communicable disease surveillance system. BC Health and Disease Surveillance 1995;4:5562.Google Scholar
11.Egland, GM, Perham-Hester, KA, Hook, EB. Use of capturerecapture analyses in fetal alcohol syndrome surveillance in Alaska. Am J Epidemiol 1995;141:335341.Google Scholar
12.Seber, GAF. The Estimation of Animal Abundance and Related Parameters. 2nd ed. New York, NY: Hafner Press; 1982.Google Scholar
13.Seber, GAF. A review of estimating animal abundance. Biometrics 1986;42:267292.Google Scholar
14.Davis, DE, Winstead, RL. Estimating the numbers of wildlife population. In: Schemnitz, , ed. Wildlife Management Techniques Manual. Washington, DC: The Wildlife Society; 1980:121146.Google Scholar
15.Hook, EB, Regal, RR. Effect of variation in probability of ascertainment by sources (‘variable catchability’) upon capture-recapture estimates of prevalence. Am J Epidemiol 1993;137:11481166.Google Scholar
16.Witte, JT, Colton, T, Sidel, VW. Capture-recapture methods for assessing the completeness of case ascertainment when using multiple information sources. J Chron Dis 1974;27:2536.Google Scholar
17.Carothers, AD. Quantifying unequal catchability and its effect on survival estimates in an actual population. J Anim Ecol 1979;48:863869.Google Scholar
18.Wittes, J, Sidel, VW. A generalization of the simple capturerecapture model with applications to epidemiological research. J Chron Dis 1968;21:287301.Google Scholar
19.Begon, M. Abuses of mathematical techniques in ecology: applications of Jolly's capture-recapture method. Oikos 1983;40:155158.Google Scholar