Skip to main content
Erschienen in: European Journal of Epidemiology 4/2019

06.02.2019 | ESSAY

Nutritional epidemiology: forest, trees and leaves

verfasst von: Edward Giovannucci

Erschienen in: European Journal of Epidemiology | Ausgabe 4/2019

Einloggen, um Zugang zu erhalten

Abstract

Ioannidis has stated that the field of nutritional epidemiology has generated confusion and numerous implausible findings and is in need of radical reform. One of the reforms he proposes is to conduct analyses that take into account the "totality for all nutritional factors measured". This approach is based on isolating and reducing diet into numerous independent variables with little regard to prior knowledge or the interrelations among dietary components, and relying on a "discovery" approach. This method, akin to genomewide association studies (GWAS), would involve very large sample sizes, small associations, no prior knowledge, and multiple testing considerations. This method is contrary to the more traditional hypothesis generating and testing approach built on all types of evidence. This commentary will contrast how suitable these two approaches are to study diet and disease.
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Trepanowski JF, Ioannidis JPA. Perspective: limiting dependence on nonrandomized studies and improving randomized trials in human nutrition research: why and how. Adv Nutr. 2018;9(4):367–77.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Trepanowski JF, Ioannidis JPA. Perspective: limiting dependence on nonrandomized studies and improving randomized trials in human nutrition research: why and how. Adv Nutr. 2018;9(4):367–77.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Ioannidis JPA. The challenge of reforming nutritional epidemiologic research. JAMA. 2018;320(10):969–70.CrossRefPubMed Ioannidis JPA. The challenge of reforming nutritional epidemiologic research. JAMA. 2018;320(10):969–70.CrossRefPubMed
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Patel CJ, et al. Systematic evaluation of environmental and behavioural factors associated with all-cause mortality in the United States national health and nutrition examination survey. Int J Epidemiol. 2013;42(6):1795–810.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Patel CJ, et al. Systematic evaluation of environmental and behavioural factors associated with all-cause mortality in the United States national health and nutrition examination survey. Int J Epidemiol. 2013;42(6):1795–810.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Konner M, Eaton SB. Paleolithic nutrition: twenty-five years later. Nutr Clin Pract. 2010;25(6):594–602.CrossRefPubMed Konner M, Eaton SB. Paleolithic nutrition: twenty-five years later. Nutr Clin Pract. 2010;25(6):594–602.CrossRefPubMed
8.
9.
Zurück zum Zitat GBD 2016 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet. 2017;390(10100):1345–422.CrossRef GBD 2016 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Lancet. 2017;390(10100):1345–422.CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Yuan C, et al. Relative validity of nutrient intakes assessed by questionnaire, 24-hour recalls, and diet records as compared with urinary recovery and plasma concentration biomarkers: findings for women. Am J Epidemiol. 2018;187(5):1051–63.CrossRefPubMed Yuan C, et al. Relative validity of nutrient intakes assessed by questionnaire, 24-hour recalls, and diet records as compared with urinary recovery and plasma concentration biomarkers: findings for women. Am J Epidemiol. 2018;187(5):1051–63.CrossRefPubMed
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Schwingshackl L, et al. Food groups and risk of all-cause mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies. Am J Clin Nutr. 2017;105(6):1462–73.PubMed Schwingshackl L, et al. Food groups and risk of all-cause mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies. Am J Clin Nutr. 2017;105(6):1462–73.PubMed
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Filippini T, et al. The effect of potassium supplementation on blood pressure in hypertensive subjects: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Cardiol. 2017;230:127–35.CrossRefPubMed Filippini T, et al. The effect of potassium supplementation on blood pressure in hypertensive subjects: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Cardiol. 2017;230:127–35.CrossRefPubMed
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Gay HC, et al. Effects of different dietary interventions on blood pressure: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Hypertension. 2016;67(4):733–9.CrossRefPubMed Gay HC, et al. Effects of different dietary interventions on blood pressure: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Hypertension. 2016;67(4):733–9.CrossRefPubMed
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Binia A, et al. Daily potassium intake and sodium-to-potassium ratio in the reduction of blood pressure: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. J Hypertens. 2015;33(8):1509–20.CrossRefPubMed Binia A, et al. Daily potassium intake and sodium-to-potassium ratio in the reduction of blood pressure: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. J Hypertens. 2015;33(8):1509–20.CrossRefPubMed
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Appel LJ. The effects of dietary factors on blood pressure. Cardiol Clin. 2017;35(2):197–212.CrossRefPubMed Appel LJ. The effects of dietary factors on blood pressure. Cardiol Clin. 2017;35(2):197–212.CrossRefPubMed
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Aune D, et al. Fruit and vegetable intake and the risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality—a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies. Int J Epidemiol. 2017;46(3):1029–56.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Aune D, et al. Fruit and vegetable intake and the risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality—a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies. Int J Epidemiol. 2017;46(3):1029–56.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Aune D, et al. Whole grain consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all cause and cause specific mortality: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies. BMJ. 2016;353:i2716.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Aune D, et al. Whole grain consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all cause and cause specific mortality: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies. BMJ. 2016;353:i2716.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Sacks FM, et al. Dietary fats and cardiovascular disease: a presidential advisory from the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2017;136(3):e1–23.CrossRefPubMed Sacks FM, et al. Dietary fats and cardiovascular disease: a presidential advisory from the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2017;136(3):e1–23.CrossRefPubMed
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Hooper L, et al. Reduction in saturated fat intake for cardiovascular disease. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2015;(6). p. CD011737. Hooper L, et al. Reduction in saturated fat intake for cardiovascular disease. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2015;(6). p. CD011737.
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Estruch R, et al. Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with a mediterranean diet supplemented with extra-virgin olive oil or nuts. N Engl J Med. 2018;378(25):e34.CrossRefPubMed Estruch R, et al. Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with a mediterranean diet supplemented with extra-virgin olive oil or nuts. N Engl J Med. 2018;378(25):e34.CrossRefPubMed
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Aune D, et al. Nut consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer, all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies. BMC Med. 2016;14(1):207.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Aune D, et al. Nut consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer, all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies. BMC Med. 2016;14(1):207.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Jakobsen MU, et al. Major types of dietary fat and risk of coronary heart disease: a pooled analysis of 11 cohort studies. Am J Clin Nutr. 2009;89(5):1425–32.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Jakobsen MU, et al. Major types of dietary fat and risk of coronary heart disease: a pooled analysis of 11 cohort studies. Am J Clin Nutr. 2009;89(5):1425–32.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Estruch R, et al. Retraction and republication: primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with a mediterranean diet. N Engl J Med. 2018;378(25):2441–2.CrossRefPubMed Estruch R, et al. Retraction and republication: primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with a mediterranean diet. N Engl J Med. 2018;378(25):2441–2.CrossRefPubMed
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Howard BV, et al. Low-fat dietary pattern and risk of cardiovascular disease: the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled dietary modification trial. JAMA. 2006;295(6):655–66.CrossRefPubMed Howard BV, et al. Low-fat dietary pattern and risk of cardiovascular disease: the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled dietary modification trial. JAMA. 2006;295(6):655–66.CrossRefPubMed
27.
Zurück zum Zitat de Lorgeril M, et al. Mediterranean alpha-linolenic acid-rich diet in secondary prevention of coronary heart disease. Lancet. 1994;343(8911):1454–9.CrossRefPubMed de Lorgeril M, et al. Mediterranean alpha-linolenic acid-rich diet in secondary prevention of coronary heart disease. Lancet. 1994;343(8911):1454–9.CrossRefPubMed
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Giovannucci E. A framework to understand diet, physical activity, body weight, and cancer risk. Cancer Causes Control. 2018;29(1):1–6.CrossRefPubMed Giovannucci E. A framework to understand diet, physical activity, body weight, and cancer risk. Cancer Causes Control. 2018;29(1):1–6.CrossRefPubMed
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Fogelholm M, et al. Dietary macronutrients and food consumption as determinants of long-term weight change in adult populations: a systematic literature review. Food Nutr Res. 2012;56:19103.CrossRef Fogelholm M, et al. Dietary macronutrients and food consumption as determinants of long-term weight change in adult populations: a systematic literature review. Food Nutr Res. 2012;56:19103.CrossRef
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Swinburn BA, et al. The global obesity pandemic: shaped by global drivers and local environments. Lancet. 2011;378(9793):804–14.CrossRefPubMed Swinburn BA, et al. The global obesity pandemic: shaped by global drivers and local environments. Lancet. 2011;378(9793):804–14.CrossRefPubMed
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Rodgers A, et al. Prevalence trends tell us what did not precipitate the US obesity epidemic. Lancet Public Health. 2018;3(4):e162–3.CrossRefPubMed Rodgers A, et al. Prevalence trends tell us what did not precipitate the US obesity epidemic. Lancet Public Health. 2018;3(4):e162–3.CrossRefPubMed
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Scarborough P, et al. Increased energy intake entirely accounts for increase in body weight in women but not in men in the UK between 1986 and 2000. Br J Nutr. 2011;105(9):1399–404.CrossRefPubMed Scarborough P, et al. Increased energy intake entirely accounts for increase in body weight in women but not in men in the UK between 1986 and 2000. Br J Nutr. 2011;105(9):1399–404.CrossRefPubMed
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Young LR, Nestle M. Expanding portion sizes in the US marketplace: implications for nutrition counseling. J Am Diet Assoc. 2003;103(2):231–4.CrossRefPubMed Young LR, Nestle M. Expanding portion sizes in the US marketplace: implications for nutrition counseling. J Am Diet Assoc. 2003;103(2):231–4.CrossRefPubMed
34.
Zurück zum Zitat Bray GA, Nielsen SJ, Popkin BM. Consumption of high-fructose corn syrup in beverages may play a role in the epidemic of obesity. Am J Clin Nutr. 2004;79(4):537–43.CrossRefPubMed Bray GA, Nielsen SJ, Popkin BM. Consumption of high-fructose corn syrup in beverages may play a role in the epidemic of obesity. Am J Clin Nutr. 2004;79(4):537–43.CrossRefPubMed
35.
Zurück zum Zitat Giovannucci E. An integrative approach for deciphering the causal associations of physical activity and cancer risk: the role of adiposity. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2018;110(9):935–41.CrossRefPubMed Giovannucci E. An integrative approach for deciphering the causal associations of physical activity and cancer risk: the role of adiposity. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2018;110(9):935–41.CrossRefPubMed
37.
Zurück zum Zitat Tabung FK, et al. Development and validation of empirical indices to assess the insulinaemic potential of diet and lifestyle. Br J Nutr. 2016;8:1–12. Tabung FK, et al. Development and validation of empirical indices to assess the insulinaemic potential of diet and lifestyle. Br J Nutr. 2016;8:1–12.
38.
39.
Zurück zum Zitat Tabung FK, et al. Association of dietary insulinemic potential and colorectal cancer risk in men and women. Am J Clin Nutr. 2018;108(2):363–70.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Tabung FK, et al. Association of dietary insulinemic potential and colorectal cancer risk in men and women. Am J Clin Nutr. 2018;108(2):363–70.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
40.
Zurück zum Zitat Toivonen KI, et al. Folic acid supplementation during the preconception period: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Prev Med. 2018;114:1–17.CrossRefPubMed Toivonen KI, et al. Folic acid supplementation during the preconception period: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Prev Med. 2018;114:1–17.CrossRefPubMed
41.
Zurück zum Zitat He K, et al. Folate, vitamin B6, and B12 intakes in relation to risk of stroke among men. Stroke. 2004;35(1):169–74.CrossRefPubMed He K, et al. Folate, vitamin B6, and B12 intakes in relation to risk of stroke among men. Stroke. 2004;35(1):169–74.CrossRefPubMed
42.
Zurück zum Zitat Bazzano LA, et al. Dietary intake of folate and risk of stroke in US men and women: NHANES I epidemiologic follow-up study. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Stroke. 2002;33(5):1183–8.CrossRefPubMed Bazzano LA, et al. Dietary intake of folate and risk of stroke in US men and women: NHANES I epidemiologic follow-up study. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Stroke. 2002;33(5):1183–8.CrossRefPubMed
44.
Zurück zum Zitat Yang Q, et al. Improvement in stroke mortality in Canada and the United States, 1990 to 2002. Circulation. 2006;113(10):1335–43.CrossRefPubMed Yang Q, et al. Improvement in stroke mortality in Canada and the United States, 1990 to 2002. Circulation. 2006;113(10):1335–43.CrossRefPubMed
45.
Zurück zum Zitat Keum N, et al. Calcium intake and colorectal cancer risk: dose-response meta-analysis of prospective observational studies. Int J Cancer. 2014;135(8):1940–8.CrossRefPubMed Keum N, et al. Calcium intake and colorectal cancer risk: dose-response meta-analysis of prospective observational studies. Int J Cancer. 2014;135(8):1940–8.CrossRefPubMed
46.
Zurück zum Zitat Martineau AR, et al. Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory tract infections: systematic review and meta-analysis of individual participant data. BMJ. 2017;356:i6583.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Martineau AR, et al. Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory tract infections: systematic review and meta-analysis of individual participant data. BMJ. 2017;356:i6583.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
47.
Zurück zum Zitat Wolsk HM, et al. Prenatal vitamin D supplementation reduces risk of asthma/recurrent wheeze in early childhood: a combined analysis of two randomized controlled trials. PLoS ONE. 2017;12(10):e0186657.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Wolsk HM, et al. Prenatal vitamin D supplementation reduces risk of asthma/recurrent wheeze in early childhood: a combined analysis of two randomized controlled trials. PLoS ONE. 2017;12(10):e0186657.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
48.
Zurück zum Zitat Machisio P, et al. Vitamin D supplementation reduces the risk of acute otitis media in otitis-prone children. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2013;32(10):1055–60.CrossRef Machisio P, et al. Vitamin D supplementation reduces the risk of acute otitis media in otitis-prone children. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2013;32(10):1055–60.CrossRef
50.
Zurück zum Zitat Manson JE, et al. Vitamin D supplements and prevention of cancer and cardiovascular disease. N Engl J Med. 2019;380(1):33–44.CrossRefPubMed Manson JE, et al. Vitamin D supplements and prevention of cancer and cardiovascular disease. N Engl J Med. 2019;380(1):33–44.CrossRefPubMed
52.
Zurück zum Zitat Munger KL, et al. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and risk of multiple sclerosis. JAMA. 2006;296(23):2832–8.CrossRefPubMed Munger KL, et al. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and risk of multiple sclerosis. JAMA. 2006;296(23):2832–8.CrossRefPubMed
Metadaten
Titel
Nutritional epidemiology: forest, trees and leaves
verfasst von
Edward Giovannucci
Publikationsdatum
06.02.2019
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
European Journal of Epidemiology / Ausgabe 4/2019
Print ISSN: 0393-2990
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7284
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-019-00488-4

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 4/2019

European Journal of Epidemiology 4/2019 Zur Ausgabe