Predicting delayed extubation and transfer to the intensive care unit in children undergoing posterior fusion surgery for scoliosis

Delayed extubation and transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU) in children undergoing major scoliosis surgery may increase postoperative complications, prolong hospital stay, and increase medical expenses; however, whether a child will require delayed extubation or transfer to the ICU after scoliosis orthopedic surgery is not fully understood. In this study, we reviewed the risk factors for delayed extubation and transfer to the ICU after scoliosis orthopedic surgery in children.

The electronic medical records of pediatric patients (≤ 18 years) who underwent posterior spinal fusion surgery between January 2018 and November 2021 were reviewed and analyzed. Patient characteristics (age, sex, body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists, ASA, grade, preoperative lung function, and congenital heart disease), preoperative Cobb angle, scoliosis type, correction rate, vertebral fusion segments, pedicle screws, surgical osteotomy, intraoperative bleeding, intraoperative allogeneic transfusion, intraoperative hemoglobin changes, intraoperative mean arterial pressure changes, intraoperative tidal volume (ml/kg predicted body weight), surgical time, postoperative extubation, and transfer to the ICU were collected. The primary outcomes were delayed extubation and transfer to the ICU. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to determine the risk factors for delayed extubation and ICU transfer.

A total of 246 children who satisfied the inclusion criteria were enrolled in this study, of whom 23 (9.3%) had delayed extubation and 81 (32.9%) were transferred to the ICU after surgery. High ASA grade (odds ratio [OR] 5.42; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.49–19.78; p = 0.010), high Cobb angle (OR 1.04; 95% CI 1.02–1.07; p < 0.001), moderate to severe pulmonary dysfunction (OR 10.9; 95% CI 2.00–59.08; p = 0.006) and prolonged surgical time (OR 1.01; 95% CI 1.00–1.03; p = 0.040) were risk factors for delayed extubation. A high Cobb angle (OR 1.02; 95% CI 1.01–1.04; p = 0.004), high intraoperative bleeding volume (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.03–1.10; p = 0.001), allogeneic transfusion (OR 3.30; 95% CI 1.24–8.83; p = 0.017) and neuromuscular scoliosis (OR 5.38; 95% CI 1.59–18.25; p = 0.007) were risk factors for transfer to the ICU. A high Cobb angle was a risk factor for both delayed extubation and ICU transfer. Age, sex, body mass index, number of vertebral fusion segments, correction rate, and intraoperative tidal volume were not associated with delayed postoperative extubation and ICU transfer.

The most common risk factor for delayed extubation and ICU transfer in pediatric patients who underwent posterior spinal fusion was a high Cobb angle. Determining risk factors for a poor prognosis may help optimize perioperative respiratory management strategies and planning of postoperative care for children undergoing complicated spinal surgery.