Prediction and diagnosis of bladder cancer recurrence based on urinary content of hTERT, SENP1, PPP1CA, and MCM5 transcripts
- Open Access
- 01.12.2010
- Research article
Abstract
Background
Methods
Patient material
Grade and stage distribution | None | Grade 1 | Grade 2 | Grade 3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No tumor | 59 | 59 | |||
Ta | 10 | 26 | 7 | 43 | |
T1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | ||
T2-4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | ||
CIS | 4 | 4 | |||
Total | 59 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 123 |
Recurrent and primary | Non-recurrent | P-value (Mann-Whitney) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
EORTC | 1 year | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.12 |
Recurrence score* N = 99 | 5 years | 0.55 | 0.51 | 0.13 |
EORTC | 1 year | 0.032 | 0.029 | 0.16 |
Progression score* N = 99 | 5 years | 0.11 | 0.099 | 0.16 |
Age at urine sample (years) | 69 | 71 | 0.18 | |
Male/female ratio | 57/20 | 35/11 | ||
Follow-up time (months) | 28 | 29 | 0.75 | |
Leucocyte pos/neg ratio | 5/68 | 5/40 | ||
BCG or MMC treatment before urine sampling | 13 | 11 | 0.82 | |
Average pellet size** | 1.39 | 1.41 | 0.95 | |
Average RNA quality (RIN) | 3.70 | 3.83 | 0.89 | |
Average RNA conc. (pg/μL) | 5995 (32-169186) | 7990 (5-117671) | 0.0029 | |
Urine sampling and RNA processing
Quantitative polymerase chain reaction
Statistical analysis
Results
Characterization of the patients and the urine samples
Analysis of RT-PCR data using biopsy proven recurrence at sampling
Sens. | Spec. | AUC | OR | 95%CI | PPV | NPV | P(chi2) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
hTERT
| 62.5 | 72.9 | 0.68 | 4.48 | 2.09-9.58 | 71.4 | 64.2 | < 0.001 |
PPP1CA
| 68.8 | 62.7 | 0.66 | 3.7 | 1.76-7.77 | 66.7 | 64.9 | < 0.001 |
SENP1
| 56.3 | 78 | 0.67 | 4.55 | 2.08-9.94 | 73.5 | 62.2 | < 0.001 |
MCM5
| 62.5 | 65.9 | 0.64 | 3.21 | 1.36-7.62 | 68.2 | 60 | 0.008 |
Cytology ALL* | 41.7 | 87.9 | 0.65 | 5.2 | 2.06-13.1 | 78.1 | 59.3 | < 0.001 |
Cytology Gr.2-3(Cyt2-3) | 48.3 | 79.3 | 0.64 | 3.59 | 1.6-8 | 70.7 | 59.7 | 0.002 |
Cyt2-3+hTERT**
| 73.3 | 74.1 | 0.74 | 7.88 | 3.49-17.8 | 74.6 | 72.9 | < 0.001 |
Cyt2-3+MCM5**
| 77.8 | 67.5 | 0.73 | 7.27 | 2.8-18.9 | 72.9 | 73 | < 0.001 |
Cyt2-3+ SENP1**
| 65 | 74.1 | 0.70 | 5.32 | 2.42-11.7 | 72.2 | 67.2 | < 0.001 |
Cyt2-3+PPP1CA**
| 75 | 60.3 | 0.68 | 4.57 | 2.09-9.96 | 66.2 | 70 | < 0.001 |
Cyt2-3+MCM5+hTERT***
| 77.8 | 67.5 | 0.73 | 7.27 | 2.8-18.9 | 72.9 | 73 | < 0.001 |
Analysis of RT-PCR data using follow-up information
Sensitivity | Specificity | AUC | OR | 95% CI | PPV | NPV | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
hTERT
| 62 | 84.1 | 0.73 | 8.63 | 3.47-21.4 | 87.5 | 55.2 | < 0.001 |
MCM5
| 61 | 73.3 | 0.67 | 4.3 | 1.66-11.1 | 81.8 | 48.9 | 0.002 |
SENP1
| 53.2 | 84.1 | 0.69 | 6 | 2.43-14.7 | 85.7 | 50 | < 0.001 |
PPP1CA
| 64.6 | 65.9 | 0.65 | 3.52 | 1.63-7.6 | 77.3 | 50.9 | 0.001 |
Cyt2-3*
| 42.7 | 100 | 0.71 | 100 | 50 | < 0.001 | ||
MCM5+Cyt2-3*
| 73.2 | 75.9 | 0.75 | 8.59 | 3.09-23.8 | 85.4 | 59.5 | < 0.001 |
hTERT+Cyt 2-3*
| 70.7 | 86 | 0.78 | 14.9 | 5.59-39.2 | 89.8 | 62.7 | < 0.001 |
hTERT+SENP1**
| 68.4 | 75 | 0.72 | 6.48 | 2.85-14.7 | 83.1 | 56.8 | < 0.001 |
hTERT+MCM5
| 71.2 | 66.7 | 0.69 | 4.94 | 1.94-12.6 | 80.8 | 54.1 | 0.001 |
hTERT+MCM5+Cyt2-3*
| 73.2 | 75.9 | 0.75 | 8.59 | 3.09- 23.8 | 85.4 | 59.5 | < 0.001 |