Introduction
Selection of an optimal GBCM has gained focus in recent years based on evidence that a tiny quantity of gadolinium administered with GBCM is retained in the brain and body for months or years [
1‐
4]. The clinical importance of such gadolinium retention is unknown, but is a relevant consideration, especially in young patients and those receiving repeated lifetime administrations (e.g., women at intermediate or high risk for breast cancer undergoing MRI screening) [
5‐
7]. However, choice of gadolinium-based contrast media (GBCM) is more complex than gadolinium retention alone and influenced by its potential benefits (e.g., detection sensitivity) as well as its risks (e.g., adverse reaction rate, intracranial gadolinium retention, cost) [
8].
It is currently unclear how patients prioritize this recently emphasized [
6] gadolinium retention relative to other GBCM risks and benefits [
8]. For example, is a GBCM with low risk of long-term gadolinium retention but low detection sensitivity and high allergic-like reaction rate preferred over a GBCM with higher risk of long-term gadolinium retention, higher detection sensitivity, and lower allergic-like reaction rate? The complex interplay between these factors can leave GBCM selection to provider gestalt, and often without patient input. The aim of this study was to measure preferences for properties of GBCM in an annual screening MRI population at greatest potential risk of GBCM-related side effects. We prospectively studied patients at risk for gadolinium retention at four centers to elicit their implied preferences for GBCM properties.
Material and methods
This Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant prospective discrete choice conjoint survey was approved by the Institutional Review Boards at each of 4 participating institutions. Informed consent was obtained from all participants. The Standardizing Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines were used in the preparation of this manuscript.
Study population
We conducted a prospective observational discrete choice conjoint survey at 4 institutions in Michigan, Minnesota, New York, and Indiana from July 2018 to March 2020. The institutions were chosen to support a broad range of demographic characteristics. Patients participating in breast MRI screening programs are known to have a skewed demographic distribution compared to the general population [
9‐
13]. The inclusion criteria were chosen to reflect individuals with a vested personal interest in cancer detection and a high likelihood of repeated lifetime administrations of GBCM. Inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) outpatient, (2) intermediate or high risk for breast cancer [
14] undergoing annual screening breast MRI. Exclusion criterion was previous participation in the study (N = 0). Indications for MRI were based on the American Cancer Society’s 2007 guidelines for breast cancer screening with MRI [
14].
Conjoint survey development and administration
Our study design used a paired discrete choice-based conjoint survey. This type of survey provides respondents with 2 options and asks them to select which one they would prefer. Each option has a series of attributes that the investigators wish to study. In our context, those attributes were the risks and benefits of GBCM. That process is repeated multiple times. At the conclusion of the survey, implied preferences can be derived that indicate what attributes were prioritized by the respondents when making their choices.
Our discrete choice-based conjoint survey (
Supplemental Material; Sawtooth Software, Inc (Provo, UT, USA); [
15]) used a partial profile design and provided respondents with 15 paired choice sets. Each choice was between two unique hypothetical GBCM with the same 5 attributes set at the same or different levels (sensitivity for cancer detection [range 80–95%], intracranial gadolinium retention [range 1–100 molecules retained per 100 million molecules administered], severe allergic-like reaction rate [range 1–19 per 100,000 administrations], mild allergic-like reaction rate [range 10–1000 per 100,000 administrations], and out-of-pocket cost [range $25–$100]). Only one answer was allowed per question. The range of most GBCM attribute levels was derived from the literature (cancer detection sensitivity [
16,
17], gadolinium retention [
18], severe allergic-like reaction rate [
19], and mild allergic-like reaction rate) [
19]. Out-of-pocket cost was informed by common co-pay rates, and online drug prices and proprietary vendor-negotiated price contracts from participating institutions. The content of the survey was vetted by patient advocates with experience in survey design and underwent precognitive pilot-testing for content and readability by five patients undergoing breast MRI who were not included in the study and who met inclusion criteria. A professional medical illustrator created infographic information to facilitate patient understanding.
The survey software considered the active ratings of the respondents to generate a personalized choice set that maximized analyzability of their responses. The experiment had a near-orthogonal design with level balance and minimal attribute level overlap. Details of the administered surveys are provided in Supplementary Table
1.
The survey was administered by trained interviewers. Potential participants were recruited by reviewing the daily breast MRI schedule at each participating institution and consenting patients in real-time the day of their examination. Demographic data (patient age, patient ethnicity, indication for MRI) were extracted from the electronic medical record for all screened patients at each site to (1) reduce the question burden from each patient, and (2) to characterize the non-respondent population.
Sample size calculation
An a priori power calculation was performed to estimate the needed sample size. Based on the largest observed standard deviation available from preliminary data, to achieve a ± utility confidence interval length of 10 required 170 patients, and to achieve a ± utility confidence interval length of 5 required 670 patients. The study was terminated after 236 patients had been accrued due to the emerging novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic [
20].
Statistical design
Hierarchical Bayesian modeling and a Monte Carlo Markov chain algorithm were used to estimate part-worth utilities (and their 95% confidence intervals) for each GBCM attribute [
21‐
23]. A total of 50,000 posterior simulation iterations were used. Part-worth utilities were an interval measure of patient preference for levels within an attribute—somewhat analogous to a beta coefficient from a logistic regression. To aid interpretation, part-worth utilities were zero-centered so that positive values indicated increased likelihood of selection and negative values indicated decreased likelihood of selection.
Attribute importance is the estimated average relative importance participants placed on a given attribute when making GBCM selection decisions. For each participant, attribute importance was calculated as the range of their part-worth utilities for that attribute, divided by the sum of the ranges for all attributes, multiplied by 100 (i.e., \( \frac{Specific\ attribute\ utility\ range}{\sum All\ attribute\ utility\ ranges}\times 100 \)). The average attribute importance was reported as a percentage and a 95% confidence interval. Attribute importances summed to 100%.
Demographic data were summarized with descriptive statistics. Patient-specific attribute importances were modeled using linear regression. The covariates used for analysis included age, education, health insurance, employment, household income, and previous allergic-like reaction to GBCM. The mean attribute importance difference was calculated between each covariate subgroup.
Statistical analysis was performed using SAS software (v9.4). For primary endpoints, p < 0.05 is considered significant. For secondary endpoints (i.e., when assessing differences in attribute importance), p < 0.01 was considered significant to account for multiple comparisons.
Creating a GBCM preference simulator based on patient preference data
We created a simulator that could be used to ascertain how current and future (i.e., hypothetical) GBCM products would perform in the marketplace (relative to each other) if GBCM selection was solely based on the patient preference data we collected in our multi-site study. Utility values for a combination of GBCM properties were combined to build a multi-product competitive model using the randomized first choice method to estimate share of preference. Patient-specific share of preference for a GBCM was calculated as the antilog of the total product utility (based on patient-specific part-worth utilities). Results for each product were rescaled to sum to 100%. Overall share of preference was calculated as the mean of patient-specific shares of preference. Patient-centered simulations were performed to compare 3 existing GBCM (using published data) with 3 hypothetical GBCM using the patient-level part-worth utilities derived from our study. The specific GBCM property information is included in Table
1. Although these six GBCM (3 existing, 3 hypothetical) were the only GBCM formally analyzed in our simulations, the simulator derived from our data (
Supplementary Material) permits the user to input any combination of attribute levels based on existing or novel GBCM to determine its hypothetical value (from the patient’s perspective) vs. a user-defined number of competitor GBCM.
Table 1
Gadolinium-based contrast media (GBCM) properties for simulation products
Existing Product A | Linear ionic | 83 | 83 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 39 |
Existing Product B | Linear ionic | 94 | 100 | 4.0 | 12 | 130 |
Existing Product C | Macrocyclic | 94 | 72 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 150 |
Test Product D(a) | Linear nonionic | 83 | 25 | 20 | 1.6 | 12 |
Test Product E(b) | Macrocyclic | 78 | 100 | 0.2 | 12 | 72 |
Test Product F(b) | Macrocyclic | 83 | 75 | 0.1 | 18 | 130 |
Discussion
Patients at intermediate or high risk for breast cancer undergoing screening MRI screening strongly prioritize cancer detection (attribute importance 44.3%) over GBCM-related risks (attribute importance 11.6–19.5%). This is predictable because patients undergo a test when they perceive the benefits outweigh the risks. It also implies that clinically meaningful differences in GBCM relaxivity are likely to be valued by patients. Among GBCM-related risks, patients place greater importance on allergic-like reactions (17.0–19.5%) than gadolinium retention (11.6%), and greater importance on gadolinium retention (11.6%) than out-of-pocket cost (7.5%). These relationships are maintained regardless of patient demographics and background, but the degree of importance patients place on these attributes varies by household income and presence of a college education. We believe these data can be used to inform the selection or innovation of contrast media for patients undergoing repeated lifetime contrast-enhanced MRI—a population potentially at greatest risk of GBCM-related side effects.
GBCM selection from the patient’s perspective is more nuanced than the recent focused attention on gadolinium retention [
8]. This point is relevant because newly described potential risks like gadolinium retention sometimes can receive outsized importance in clinical decision-making. In our population, gadolinium retention and cost were less important to patients than allergic-like reaction risks and cancer detection sensitivity. The slightly greater importance patients placed on mild vs. severe reactions likely relates to the ranges of tested prevalence (mild, 10–1000/100,000; severe, 1–19/100,000). The rarity of severe reactions likely counterbalanced their severity. This also illustrates that, from the patient’s perspective, “nuisance” mild reactions have relevance and that relevance is prioritized over the uncertain clinical importance of gadolinium retention. Reaction rates probably should be considered at least as important as (if not more important than) gadolinium retention during GBCM selection.
Despite recruiting from 4 institutions, the demographics of our patient population (white 85%, income > $75,000 77%, college educated 81%, full-time employment 64%, employer-based healthcare 75%) were skewed relative to the US general population [
24]. Rather than study-related selection bias, this likely reflects disproportionate access to breast MRI screening in the USA [
9‐
13]. Haas et al (2016) analyzed 316,172 women aged 35–69 years from 5 Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium registries and found that non-Hispanic white women with < 20% lifetime risk of breast cancer were 62% more likely than non-white women to receive an MRI, and that college-educated women in that cohort were 132% more likely to receive an MRI than those with a high school education or less [
9]. In women at high risk (≥ 20% lifetime risk of breast cancer), there was no significant difference in MRI access by race or ethnicity, but high-risk women with no more than a high school education were significantly less likely to receive an MRI than those with a college education (relative risk 0.40) [
9].
In our study, household income affected how patients weighted GBCM attributes. In particular, patients with less household income placed greater importance on out-of-pocket cost (+3.5 to +9.2%) and less importance on detection sensitivity (−7.2 to −15.7%). These data reflect how financial pressure affects healthcare decision-making and viewed broadly can contribute to worse clinical outcomes [
25‐
28]. In our study, patients with less income were exchanging diagnostic accuracy for less immediate out-of-pocket cost. Not only were impoverished patients making choices that hypothetically could impair their health, they were less likely to access MRI screening in general. Poverty contributes to poor breast cancer outcomes due to lack of primary care, inadequate health insurance, and poor healthcare access [
28]. Finding ways to address the barriers of poverty and other social determinants of health [
27] is necessary to attain equity in the US healthcare.
There were several limitations of our study. There was not a pre-existing conjoint instrument for external validation. To address this, we had our instrument reviewed and approved by patient advocates with experience in survey design, used infographics and explanatory text to improve comprehension, and performed precognitive testing for content and readability by five patients prior to dissemination. We intentionally performed our analysis from the patient’s point of view even though patients are not generally involved in choosing a GBCM. This was done to inform radiologists and GBCM vendors which GBCM attributes patients consider most important. We used a breast MRI screening population because this population is exposed to repeated lifetime doses of GBCM, has a vested interested in cancer detection, and is potentially at greatest risk (if any) from long-term gadolinium retention. Our results may be different in other populations (e.g., those receiving a single GBCM dose). Risk of bias in survey administration was minimized by use of professional conjoint software that automates a near-orthogonal design with level balance and minimal attribute level overlap. Sampling bias was minimized by recruiting from 4 institutions and having an excellent response rate (87%).
In conclusion, patients at intermediate or high risk for breast cancer undergoing MRI screening prioritize cancer detection sensitivity over GBCM-related risks, and prioritize reaction risks over gadolinium retention. Although these relationships were consistent across various demographic and socioeconomic strata, patients with less household income were more willing to exchange GBCM diagnostic accuracy for affordability. These data, and the simulator, should be useful when selecting or innovating contrast media for patients undergoing annual MR screening.
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