Background
Process
Person
Context
Time
Aims
Methods
Populations
Cohort, Study population | Birth year | Adolescence | Youth | Early adulthood | Midlife |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Finland N = 2269 | 1967 | 1983 / age 16 N = 2194 | 1989 / age 22 N = 1656 (75.5%) | 1999 / age 32 N = 1471 (67.0%) | 2009 / age 42 N = 1334 (60.8%) |
Sweden N = 1083 | 1965 | 1981 / age 16 N = 1080 | 1986 / age 21 N = 1060 (97.8%) | 1995 / age 30 N = 1046 (96.7%) | 2008 / age 43 N = 1010 (93.3%) |
Measures
Social relationships at age 16 in family, peer group and school settings
Heavy episodic drinking
Country
Control variables
Statistical analyses
Results
Scale 1–5 | Dichotomizeda | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Finland | Sweden | Finland | Sweden | |||||||||||||
Women N = 1071 | Men N = 1123 | Women N = 497 | Men N = 545 | Women N = 1071 | Men N = 1123 | Women N = 497 | Men N = 545 | |||||||||
Mean | (sd) | Mean | (sd) | Mean | (sd) | Mean | (sd) | % | (n) | % | (n) | % | (n) | % | (n) | |
Family | ||||||||||||||||
Poor mother relationshipa | 2.1 | (0.9) | 2.0 | (0.8) | 1.5 | (0.7) | 1.4 | (0.6) | ||||||||
Poor fathera relationship | 2.2 | (0.9) | 2.0 | (0.8) | 2.0 | (1.1) | 1.7 | (1.0) | ||||||||
Poor home atmosphere | 2.0 | (1.1) | 1.8 | (1.0) | 1.6 | (0.8) | 1.5 | (0.7) | ||||||||
Does not spend most spare time with family/at home | 3.6 | (1.2) | 3.6 | (1.1) | 2.8 | (1.0) | 2.9 | (1.1) | ||||||||
Poor family relationship index | 2.5 | (0.7) | 2.4 | (0.7) | 2.0 | (0.7) | 1.9 | (0.6) | 32.2 | (344) | 23.9 | (266) | 26.6 | (128) | 20.0 | (105) |
Peers | ||||||||||||||||
Daily peer contact | 3.9 | (1.2) | 4.2 | (1.1) | 3.8 | (1.0) | 3.9 | (1.0) | 40.2 | (430) | 54.0 | (604) | 24.6 | (118) | 32.3 | (169) |
School | ||||||||||||||||
Poor relationships with classmates | 2.0 | (0.8) | 1.8 | (0.8) | 1.9 | (0.8) | 1.8 | (0.7) | 7.3 | (78) | 5.5 | (62) | 17.7 | (85) | 14.3 | (75) |
Heavy episodic drinking (HED) | ||||||||||||||||
HED age 16 | 20.1 | (214) | 23.5 | (262) | 13.5 | (65) | 17.3 | (91) | ||||||||
HED age 22/21 | 13.1 | (116) | 29.6 | (226) | 10.6 | (51) | 43.5 | (229) | ||||||||
HED age 32/30 | 19.0 | (146) | 52.1 | (338) | 11.2 | (54) | 29.5 | (155) | ||||||||
HED age 42/43 | 19.8 | (133) | 47.9 | (267) | 7.9 | (38) | 20.7 | (106) | ||||||||
Parental socioeconomic position age 16 | ||||||||||||||||
Manual workers | 50.5 | (531) | 49.7 | (543) | 48.8 | (234) | 51.7 | (271) |
Finland | Sweden | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HED 22 | HED 32 | HED 42 | HED 21 | HED 30 | HED 43 | |||||||
Women | N = 884 | N = 770 | N = 672 | N = 481 | N = 481 | N = 482 | ||||||
OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | |
MODEL 1 | ||||||||||||
Poor family relationship indexa |
2.27
|
1.75–2.94
|
1.64
|
1.29–2.08
|
1.59
|
1.23–2.05
|
1.57
|
1.04–2.38
|
1.56
|
1.04–2.35
|
1.68
|
1.04–2.72
|
Frequent peer contact |
1.21
|
1.01–1.45
|
1.34
|
1.12–1.60
|
1.49
|
1.22–1.81
| 1.00 | 0.74–1.34 | 1.08 | 0.80–1.45 | 1.11 | 0.77–1.59 |
Poor relationship with classmates | 1.10 | 0.86–1.42 | 1.06 | 0.84–1.34 | 0.83 | 0.65–1.07 |
1.44
|
1.06–1.97
|
1.47
|
1.08–1.99
|
1.51
|
1.06–2.16
|
MODEL 2 | ||||||||||||
Poor family relationship index |
1.95
|
1.48–2.57
|
1.46
|
1.13–1.89
| 1.28 | 0.97–1.69 | 1.29 | 0.82–2.02 | 1.36 | 0.88–2.11 | 1.30 | 0.77–2.20 |
Frequent peer contact | 1.07 | 0.88–1.29 |
1.23
|
1.02–1.48
|
1.37
|
1.12–1.68
| 0.88 | 0.64–1.20 | 0.99 | 0.73–1.35 | 0.95 | 0.65–1.39 |
Poor relationship with classmates | 1.13 | 0.87–1.47 | 1.08 | 0.85–1.38 | 0.81 | 0.63–1.06 | 1.35 | 0.97–1.86 |
1.40
|
1.02–1.92
| 1.38 | 0.95–2.01 |
Men | N = 764 | N = 649 | N = 557 | N = 526 | N = 525 | N = 511 | ||||||
OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | |
MODEL 1 | ||||||||||||
Poor family relationship index |
2.29
|
1.78–2.94
|
1.61
|
1.26–2.06
|
1.36
|
1.05–1.76
|
2.77
|
2.02–3.80
|
1.91
|
1.42–2.58
|
1.47
|
1.06–2.05
|
Frequent peer contact |
1.51
|
1.26–1.80
|
1.24
|
1.07–1.44
| 1.13 | 0.96–1.34 |
1.50
|
1.24–1.81
| 1.16 | 0.96–1.42 | 1.16 | 0.92–1.46 |
Poor relationship with classmates | 1.19 | 0.97–1.45 | 0.95 | 0.78–1.15 | 1.07 | 0.86–1.32 |
1.34
|
1.06–1.70
| 1.24 | 0.97–1.60 |
1.43
|
1.08–1.90
|
MODEL 2 | ||||||||||||
Poor family relationship index |
1.99
|
1.53–2.58
|
1.53
|
1.18–1.97
| 1.24 | 0.95–1.62 |
2.07
|
1.48–2.90
|
1.69
|
1.22–2.36
| 1.18 | 0.80–1.72 |
Frequent peer contact |
1.37
|
1.14–1.65
|
1.19
|
1.02–1.38
| 1.08 | 0.91–1.27 |
1.41
|
1.16–1.71
| 1.12 | 0.92–1.37 | 1.10 | 0.87–1.39 |
Poor relationship with classmates | 1.16 | 0.95–1.43 | 0.95 | 0.78–1.16 | 1.02 | 0.82–1.27 | 1.22 | 0.94–1.58 | 1.17 | 0.91–1.51 | 1.32 | 0.99–1.77 |
Women | Men | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N = 1365 | N = 1251 | N = 1154 | N = 1290 | N = 1174 | N = 1068 | |
HED 22/21 | HED 32/30 | HED 42/43 | HED22/21 | HED 32/30 | HED 42/43 | |
Good family-no daily peer | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Good family- daily peer | 0.82 (0.50–1.34) | 1.36 (0.90–2.07) |
1.97 (1.24–3.11)
|
1.99 (1.48–2.66)
| 1.26 (0.94–1.68) | 1.15 (0.84–1.58) |
Poor family-no daily peer |
1.72 (1.09–2.70)
| 1.57 (1.00–2.45) |
1.91 (1.15–3.17)
|
2.19 (1.42–3.35)
|
1.97 (1.29–3.01)
| 0.83 (0.49–1.39) |
Poor family- daily peer |
1.87 (1.16–3.00)
|
2.11 (1.34–3.33)
|
2.81 (1.71–4.63)
|
3.34 (2.21–5.04)
|
2.36 (1.57–3.57)
|
1.59 (1.02–2.48)
|
RERI (95% CI) | 0.34 (− 0.66–1.33) | 0.18 (− 0.89–1.25) | − 0.06 (− 1.57–1.45) | 0.17 (− 1.32–1.65) | 0.14 (− 1,01–1.30) | 0.61 (− 0.11–1.33) |
Good family-good school |
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
| 1 |
Good family-poor school | 1.36 (0.64–2.88) | 0.40 (0.14–1.14) | 0.28 (0.07–1.16) | 1.02 (0.59–1.77) | 1.35 (0.79–2.30) | 1.12 (0.60–2.08) |
Poor family-good school |
1.85 (1.27–2.70)
|
1.50 (1.05–2.14)
|
1.56 (1.06–2.29)
|
1.88 (1.36–2.58)
|
2.03 (1.47–2.81)
| 1.09 (0.76–1.57) |
Poor family-poor school |
2.70 (1.40–5.22)
| 1.66 (0.84–3.28) |
2.29 (1.10–4.77)
|
2.61 (1.35–5.04)
| 1.82 (0.97–3.39) | 1.42 (0.71–2.85) |
RERI (95% CI) | 0.50 (− 1.48–2.47) | 0.75 (− 0.47–1.98) | 1.45 (− 0.26–3.16) | 0.71 (− 1.12–2.54) | − 0.56 (− 1.98–0.86) | 0.21 (− 1.01–1.42) |
Good family- Sweden | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Good family-Finland | 1.08 (0.67–1.72) |
1.77 (1.14–2.73)
|
3.10 (1.82–5.27)
|
0.49 (0.37–0.65)
|
2.57 (1.93–3.41)
|
3.63 (2.64–5.00)
|
Poor family-Sweden | 1.73 (0.94–3.20) | 1.69 (0.93–3.08) |
2.10 (1.03–4.28)
|
2.27 (1.41–3.65)
|
2.12 (1.34–3.34)
| 1.26 (0.74–2.14) |
Poor family-Finland |
2.16 (1.32–3.55)
|
2.77 (1.71–4.50)
|
5.12 (2.90–9.06)
| 0.90 (0.61–1.33) |
4.76 (3.16–7.17)
|
3.92 (2.49–6.18)
|
RERI (95% CI) | 0.35 (− 0.77–1.48) | 0.32 (− 0.95–1.58) | 0.93 (− 1.22–3.08) | − 0.86 (− 1.94–0.22) | 1.08 (− 0.78–2.93) | 0.03 (− 1.70–1.75) |
No daily peer-good school | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1
|
1
| 1 |
No daily peer-poor school | 1.49 (0.80–2.75) | 0.80 (0.40–1.61) | 1.37 (0.66–2.84) | 1.63 (0.97–2.75) | 1.38 (0.83–2.31) | 1.32 (0.73–2.38) |
Daily peer-good school | 0.97 (0.67–1.42) | 1.39 (0.99–1.95) |
1.99 (1.38–2.88)
|
2.05 (1.57–2.68)
|
1.34 (1.03–1.74)
|
1.35 (1.01–1.81)
|
Daily peer-poor school | 1.73 (0.75–3.98) | 1.23 (0.49–3.08) | 0.88 (0.25–3.06) |
2.21 (1.09–4.46)
| 1.56 (0.78–3.12) | 1.53 (0.71–3.30) |
RERI (95%CI) | 0.27 (− 1.38–1.91) | 0.04 (− 1.24–1.32) | − 1.48 (− 3.12–0.15) | − 0.47 (− 2.22–1.28) | − 0.17 (− 1.44–1.11) | − 0.14 (− 1.52–1.25) |
No daily peer- Sweden | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
No daily peer- Finland | 0.96 (0.63–1.48) | 1.42 (0.93–2.16) |
2.02 (1.22–3.33)
|
0.36 (0.25–0.51)
|
2.18 (1.58–3.02)
|
3.19 (2.20–4.61)
|
Daily peer-Sweden | 0.60 (0.29–1.27) | 1.01 (0.52–1.94) | 1.06 (0.48–2.30) |
1.61 (1.10–2.37)
| 1.12 (0.75–1.68) | 1.20 (0.76–1.91) |
Daily peer-Finland | 1.12 (0.71–1.76) |
2.24 (1.45–3.45)
|
4.32 (2.62–7.12)
| 0.81 (0.60–1.11) |
3.12 (2.26–4.32)
|
4.42 (3.07–6.36)
|
RERI (95% CI) | 0.56 (−0.05–1.16) | 0.81 (− 0.10–1.72) |
2.25 (0.65–3.85)
| −0.16 (− 0.76–0.44) | 0.81 (− 0.20–1.84) | 1.03 (− 0.37–2.43) |
Good school-Sweden | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1
| 1 | 1 |
Good school-Finland | 1.22 (0.82–1.83) |
1.77 (1.22–2.56)
|
3.18 (2.03–5.00)
|
0.50 (0.38–0.64)
|
2.56 (1.97–3.32)
|
3.80 (2.82–5.13)
|
Poor school-Sweden | 1.50 (0.75–3.02) | 0.99 (0.47–2.07) | 1.47 (0.65–3.33) | 1.30 (0.78–2.18) | 1.33 (0.79–2.23) | 1.50 (0.84–2.69) |
Poor school-Finland | 2.04 (0.94–4.44) | 1.14 (0.45–2.85) | 1.65 (0.54–5.07) | 0.66 (0.32–1.36) |
3.29 (1.65–6.55)
|
3.17 (1.42–7.04)
|
RERI (95% CI) | 0.32 (− 1.42–2.05) | −0.61 (− 1.95–0.72) | − 2.00 (− 4.45–0.45) | −0.13 (− 0.94–0.67) | 0.41 (− 1.89–2.70) | −1.14 (− 3.81–1.53) |