Introduction
Materials and methods
Development phase
Development of NRSP
Generation of nutritional risk predicting models for NRSP
Participants
Investigation, anthropometry, and intellectual developmental and biochemical tests
Nutritional risk definition
Models to predict nutritional risk
Evaluation phase
Participants, investigation, anthropometry, intellectual developmental and biochemical tests
Reliability
Validity
Statistical analysis
Results
Demographic data
Phase | Development | Evaluation | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corrected age (months) | 5–7 | 8–11 | 12–36 | 5–7 | 8–11 | 12–36 |
First recruitment (n) | 120 | 128 | 136 | 182 | 206 | 330 |
Incomplete data (n) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Refusal or inability to participate in the intellectual developmental or biochemical tests (n) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
Absence of anthropometric remeasurement (n) | 8 | 12 | 21 | 16 | 19 | 42 |
Final sample (n) | 104 | 110 | 115 | 154 | 176 | 275 |
Response rate (%) | 86.67 | 85.94 | 84.56 | 84.61 | 85.44 | 83.33 |
Corrected age (months) | 5 to 7 | 8 to 11 | 12 to 36 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phase | Development | Evaluation | P | Development | Evaluation | P | Development | Evaluation | P |
n | 104 | 154 | 110 | 176 | 115 | 275 | |||
Male n (%)a | 72(69.23) | 79(51.30) | 0.008 | 60(54.54) | 105(59.66) | 0.986 | 64(55.65) | 175(63.64) | 0.140 |
Gestational age n (%)a | 0.863 | 0.347 | 0.977 | ||||||
< 32 weeks | 20(19.23) | 26(16.88) | 25(22.73) | 45(25.57) | 24(20.87) | 56(20.36) | |||
32–34 weeks | 20(19.23) | 33(21.43) | 17(15.45) | 38(21.59) | 24(20.87) | 60(21.82) | |||
> 34 weeks | 64(61.54) | 95(61.69) | 68(61.82) | 93(52.84) | 67(58.26) | 159(57.82) | |||
BWTZb | − 0.31(− 0.80,0.75) | −0.24(− 0.72,0.25) | 0.415 | −0.11(− 0.69,0.38) | −0.25(− 0.73,0.27) | 0.815 | − 0.40(− 0.84,0.22) | −0.09(− 0.77,0.46) | 0.361 |
BLGZb | −0.24(− 0.81,0.37) | −0.23(− 0.71,0.36) | 0.309 | −0.20(− 0.711,0.03) | −0.25(− 0.91,0.24) | 0.661 | −0.37(− 1.04,0.15) | −0.36(− 1.00,0.16) | 0.629 |
BHCZb | −0.60(− 1.00,0.13) | − 0.56(− 1.00,0.06) | 0.908 | − 0.35(− 1.29,0.13) | −0.56(− 1.00,0.06) | 0.061 | − 0.47(− 1.00,0.06) | −0.49(− 1.05,0.05) | 0.724 |
Corrected age (months)b | 5.40(5.07,6.13) | 5.20(4.90,5.71) | 0.072 | 9.57(8.05,10.47) | 9.97(8.37,11.40) | 0.151 | 17.20(14.03,24.37) | 16.43(12.80,18.37) | 0.016 |
WTZ1b | −0.06(− 0.77,0.70) | 0.00(− 0.55,0.73) | 0.159 | −0.08(− 0.79,0.48) | −0.34(− 0.80,0.74) | 0.375 | −0.56(− 1.24,0.24) | −0.38(− 1.00,0.16) | 0.527 |
LGZ1b | −0.01 (− 0.59,0.69) | 0.16(− 0.59,0.71) | 0.172 | −0.20 (− 0.80,0.55) | −0.14(− 0.64,0.64) | 0.039 | −0.26(− 1.02,0.55) | −0.37(− 1.33,0.40) | 0.048 |
HCZ1b | −0.28(− 0.74,0.56) | 0.23(− 0.41,0.81) | 0.050 | −0.10(− 0.73,0.70) | −0.01(− 0.80,0.48) | 0.500 | −0.42(− 0.99,0.44) | 0.05(− 1.03,0.59) | 0.905 |
WTZ2b | − 0.28(− 1.16,0.40) | −0.18(− 0.89,0.60) | 0.230 | −0.41(− 0.80,0.29) | −0.24(− 0.84,0.66) | 0.094 | −0.47(− 1.19,0.19) | −0.49(− 1.12,0.25) | 0.691 |
LGZ2b | −0.18(− 0.95,0.43) | 0.07(− 0.60,0.76) | 0.237 | −0.11(− 1.05,0.73) | −0.22 (− 0.82,0.44) | 0.352 | −0.37(− 1.14,0.34) | −0.36(− 1.28,0.25) | 0.908 |
HCZ2b | −0.20(− 0.95,0.55) | 0.03(− 0.63,0.81) | 0.219 | 0.05(− 0.91,0.70) | −0.20(− 0.94,0.50) | 0.460 | −0.32(− 0.96,0.53) | −0.28(− 1.14,0.41) | 0.962 |
Current diseases n (%)a | 0.173 | 0.765 | 0.240 | ||||||
Neurological disorders | 2(1.92) | 5(3.25) | 1(0.91) | 4(2.27) | 3(2.61) | 4(1.45) | |||
Cardiopulmonary disorders | 0 | 2(1.30) | 0 | 1(0.57) | 2(1.74) | 0 | |||
Gastrointestinal disorders | 0 | 2(1.30) | 0 | 1(0.57) | 0 | 0 | |||
Haematological system diseases | 2(1.92) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2(0.73) | |||
Acute diseases | 3(2.88) | 12(7.79) | 9(8.18) | 18(10.23) | 7(6.09) | 23(8.36) | |||
Allergic diseases | 8(7.69) | 10(6.49) | 6(5.45) | 11(6.25) | 3(2.61) | 6(2.18) |
Models to predict nutritional risks
For preterm infants at the corrected age of 5–7 months
For preterm infants at the corrected age of 8–11 months
For preterm children at the corrected age of 12–36 months
Reliability
Corrected Age (months) | 5 to 7 | 8 to 11 | 12 to 36 |
---|---|---|---|
Interrater reliability (κ) | 0.667* | 0.758* | 0.889* |
Test-retest reliability (κ) | 0.760* | 0.706* | 0.609* |
Models to predict underweight | |||
AUC(95%CI) | 0.863 (0.634–1.000)* | 0.953 (0.885–1.000)* | 0.907 (0.805–1.000)* |
Accuracy | 0.954 | 0.954 | 0.909 |
Sensitivity | 0.769 | 0.692 | 0.652 |
Specificity | 0.972 | 0.976 | 0.933 |
Positive predictive value | 0.714 | 0.692 | 0.469 |
Negative predictive value | 0.979 | 0.975 | 0.967 |
Positive likelihood ratio | 27.084 | 28.257 | 9.662 |
Negative likelihood ratio | 0.237 | 0.315 | 0.373 |
rs | 0.558* | 0.490* | 0.476* |
Models to predict stunting | |||
AUC(95%CI) | 0.894 (0.741–1.000)* | 0.975 (0.940–1.000)* | 0.924 (0.870–0.978)* |
Accuracy | 0.916 | 0.969 | 0.894 |
Sensitivity | 0.636 | 0.636 | 0.828 |
Specificity | 0.937 | 0.970 | 0.901 |
Positive predictive value | 0.437 | 0.583 | 0.432 |
Negative predictive value | 0.971 | 0.976 | 0.983 |
Positive likelihood ratio | 10.102 | 21.003 | 8.328 |
Negative likelihood ratio | 0.388 | 0.375 | 0.193 |
rs | 0.405* | 0.443* | 0.511* |
Models to predict microcephaly | |||
AUC(95%CI) | 0.730 (0.492–0.967)* | 0.729 (0.465–0.993)# | 0.922 (0.860–0.983)* |
Accuracy | 0.714 | 0.710 | 0.902 |
Sensitivity | 0.692 | 0.692 | 0.720 |
Specificity | 0.716 | 0.712 | 0.920 |
Positive predictive value | 0.184 | 0.161 | 0.474 |
Negative predictive value | 0.962 | 0.967 | 0.970 |
Positive likelihood ratio | 2.440 | 2.402 | 9.000 |
Negative likelihood ratio | 0.430 | 0.432 | 0.304 |
rs | 0.401* | 0.355* | 0.513* |
Validity
Underweight | Stunting | Microcephaly | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR (95% CI) | P | OR (95% CI) | P | OR (95% CI) | P | |
Corrected age of 5–7 months | ||||||
Feeding practice score | 0.787 (0.454–1.364) | 0.393 | 0.342 (0.120–0.972) | 0.044 | 0.773 (0.404–1.482) | 0.438 |
Nutrient supplementation score | – | – | 1.578 (0.620–4.019) | 0.339 | 0.503 (0.129–1.965) | 0.323 |
Anthropometric assessment score | 2.516 (1.322–4.753) | 0.004 | 1.376 (0.629–3.010) | 0.424 | 1.467 (0.948–2.271) | 0.085 |
Corrected age of 8–11 months | ||||||
Feeding practice score | 0.996 (0.646–1.535) | 0.986 | 0.739 (0.312–1.750) | 0.492 | 1.165 (0.883–1.538) | 0.280 |
Nutrient supplementation score | – | – | 1.710 (0.776–3.767) | 0.183 | 1.369 (0.675–2.776) | 0.384 |
Anthropometric assessment score | 2.451 (1.556–3.862) | < 0.001 | 5.879 (2.006–17.228) | 0.001 | 1.795 (1.032–3.124) | 0.038 |
Corrected age of 12–36 months | ||||||
Feeding practice score | 1.474 (1.039–2.091) | 0.030 | 1.571 (1.062–2.326) | 0.024 | 2.158 (1.358–3.429) | 0.001 |
Nutrient supplementation score | – | – | 1.101 (0.629–1.928) | 0.736 | 1.496 (0.703–3.183) | 0.295 |
Anthropometric assessment score | 2.186 (1.429–3.346) | < 0.001 | 2.376 (1.407–4.013) | 0.001 | 1.664 (1.043–2.656) | 0.033 |
Corrected age | 5–7 months | 8–11 months | 12–36 months | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Group | High nutritional risk | Low nutritional risk | P | High nutritional risk | Low nutritional risk | P | High nutritional risk | Low nutritional risk | P |
n | 83 | 175 | 65 | 221 | 99 | 291 | |||
Male n (%)a | 57 (68.67) | 94 (53.71) | 0.031 | 32 (49.23) | 133 (60.18) | 0.084 | 60 (60.61%) | 179 (61.51) | 0.873 |
GA (weeks)b | 35.14 (32.71, 36.28) | 35.14 (32.29, 36.14) | 0.899 | 34.57 (32.00, 35.57) | 34.57 (31.43, 35.96) | 0.068 | 34.57 (32.43,35.86) | 34.43 (32.57, 35.71) | 0.763 |
WTZ2b | −0.51 (−1.43, −0.12) | 0.01 (−0.69, 0.90) | < 0.001 | −1.08 (−2.12, −0.58) | −0.12 (−0.66, 0.67) | < 0.001 | −1.57 (−2.11, −0.79) | −0.41 (−0.96, 0.32) | < 0.001 |
LGZ2b | −0.36 (−1.08, 0.29) | 0.16 (−0.56, 0.87) | 0.003 | −1.11 (−1.82, −0.28) | 0.06 (−0.58, 0.82) | < 0.001 | −1.37 (− 1.98, −0.30) | −0.27 (−0.92, 0.39) | < 0.001 |
HCZ2b | −0.34 (− 1.28, 0.22) | 0.10 (− 0.58, 0.83) | 0.002 | − 1.03 (− 1.89, − 0.15) | 0.19 (− 0.52, 0.73) | < 0.001 | − 1.33 (− 2.19, − 0.52) | − 0.09 (− 0.75, 0.63) | < 0.001 |
Haemoglobin (g/L)c | 117.40 (11.13) | 115.80 (12.56) | 0.385 | 119.09 (14.77) | 120.88 (10.10) | 0.361 | 124.70 (8.39) | 126.11 (9.40) | 0.235 |
RBC count (1012/L)c | 4.76 (0.44) | 4.76 (0.45) | 0.977 | 4.90 (0.52) | 4.79 (0.46) | 0.174 | 4.82 (0.43) | 4.99 (2.88) | 0.593 |
MCV (fL)c | 78.17 (6.98) | 76.74 (9.90) | 0.300 | 76.49 (9.10) | 79.32 (8.42) | 0.058 | 80.70 (8.14) | 81.31 (8.00) | 0.558 |
MCH (pg)c | 24.81 (2.42) | 24.48 (3.00) | 0.436 | 24.52 (3.68) | 25.43 (2.87) | 0.085 | 26.02(2.60) | 26.44 (2.71) | 0.231 |
MCHC (g/L)c | 317.41 (15.23) | 317.26 (15.05) | 0.947 | 319.51 (22.09) | 320.64 (16.32) | 0.713 | 322.61 (13.00) | 325.25 (14.54) | 0.151 |
Serum iron (μmol/L)c | 11.79 (2.34) | 11.25 (2.27) | 0.166 | 11.02 (3.30) | 12.13 (2.70) | 0.187 | 12.91 (3.06) | 13.41 (3.64) | 0.444 |
Serum vitamin D (nmol/L)c | 79.17 (14.67) | 77.74 (14.07) | 0.557 | 82.54 (12.91) | 83.32 (11.80) | 0.840 | 74.64 (17.37) | 77.65 (17.51) | 0.400 |
Gross motor DQc | 94.09 (17.25) | 95.37 (12.91) | 0.537 | 91.87 (12.15) | 93.50 (10.90) | 0.363 | 92.01 (12.45) | 95.78 (11.49) | 0.012 |
Fine motor DQc | 90.48 (15.27) | 95.70 (14.16) | 0.013 | 86.57 (10.60) | 90.70 (10.99) | 0.019 | 87.94 (11.55) | 87.98 (12.83) | 0.985 |
Adaptability DQc | 89.20 (13.03) | 94.13 (12.12) | 0.006 | 90.11 (12.04) | 94.26 (10.03) | 0.014 | 91.80 (11.05) | 92.65 (11.33) | 0.550 |
Verbal DQc | 95.67 (10.53) | 98.60 (11.47) | 0.068 | 88.53 (10.74) | 92.61 (10.17) | 0.014 | 83.28 (12.66) | 85.99 (13.25) | 0.104 |
Social communication DQc | 93.22 (12.26) | 96.33 (11.00) | 0.059 | 91.60 (10.48) | 94.14 (9.03) | 0.089 | 79.96 (11.26) | 84.41 (10/83) | 0.001 |
Full scale DQc | 92.57 (10.47) | 96.03 (9.00) | 0.012 | 90.18 (7.68) | 93.04 (7.42) | 0.017 | 86.99 (7.51) | 89.39 (8.07) | 0.017 |