Introduction

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is a common obstetric complication, and its prevalence has been increasing worldwide1. Risk factors for GDM include advanced maternal age, pregravid obesity or metabolic disease, family history of diabetes, parity, multiple pregnancy, assisted reproduction technology (ART) treatment, and the specific races of Black African and South Asian2,3,4. GDM is associated with adverse obstetric outcomes such as large for gestational age (LGA) neonates, shoulder dystocia, neonatal respiratory morbidity, and cesarean delivery5, also with a long-term risk of type 2 DM (T2DM)6. Moreover, GDM requiring insulin treatment (GDM + IT) compared with GDM not requiring insulin treatment (GDM − IT), and Asian origin compared with Caucasian, were suggested as predictive factors for the development of T2DM, among women with GDM7. Therefore, Asian women with GDM + IT can be considered to be a very vulnerable risk group for T2DM. In Republic of Korea, the prevalence of GDM increased abruptly, from 3.86% in 2007 to 9.5% in 20108.

Advances in ART and the increased proportion of medically assisted conceptions in older women have both contributed to the steep increase in the incidence of multiple pregnancies since the 1980s9,10. In twin pregnancy, maternal complications including GDM, hypertension, hemorrhage, cesarean delivery, and postpartum depression, as well as perinatal complications including preterm birth, perinatal mortality, and neurodevelopmental impairments, occur more frequently than in singleton pregnancy11. Although several countries have seen a reduction in multiple birth rate after setting strategies involving reducing the number of embryos transferred12, the multiple birth rate in Korea has exhibited an increasing tendency to date13.

There is increasing evidence that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in early pregnancy is an independent risk factor for GDM, with a result as patients who developed GDM had high levels of AST, GGT and ALT14. Since the liver is an important organ to maintain the glucose homeostasis and insulin resistance, GDM is a strong risk factor to the future NAFLD15,16. Obstetric cholestasis and acute fatty liver have a higher risk of occurrence in twin pregnancy than in singleton pregnancy17. Our previous study demonstrated that elevated pregravid liver enzyme levels are associated with a risk of developing GDM in singleton pregnancies18. However, the association between pregravid liver enzyme levels and the development of GDM in twin pregnancies has to date never been investigated. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the associations between pregravid liver enzyme levels and the risk of GDM + IT or GDM − IT in a subsequent twin pregnancy.

Material and methods

The methods have been fully described in the previous report18. Briefly, women who developed GDM − IT were identified by having more than three claims of GDM (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision [ICD-10] codes O24.4 or O24.9), without prescriptions of insulin or oral diabetic medication. Women of GDM + IT were identified by prescription of insulin. Variables in the health interview and health examination, including definitions and classifications of pre-pregnancy factors from the National Health Screening Examination (NHSE) database were also used as same as descriptions in the previous study18. The pre-pregnancy levels of GGT, ALT, and AST were dichotomized into high (Q4) and low (Q1–Q3), and those levels were used as binary variables for subgroup analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed based on pre-pregnancy obesity (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 25.0 kg/m2) or metabolic syndrome (MetS). This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, Catholic University of Korea (KC19ZESI0530) and Korean National Health Insurance Sharing Service (Approval No. NHIS-2021-1-009). Informed consent requirement was waived by the Institutional Review Board of Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, Catholic University of Korea, because personal identifying information was not accessed. All research was conducted in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations.

Study population

Total 373,911 women gave birth within one year of the examination, among 1,214,655 women took the NHSE between January 2011 and December 201518. The final study population consisted of 4348 women who were pregnant with twins, out of 373,911 women (Fig. 1). The other 369,563 women were excluded due to history of treatment for diabetes (N = 3448), fasting hyperglycemia (≥ 126 mg/dL, N = 1636), fewer than four claims with a GDM diagnostic code during pregnancy (N = 144,259), prescription of oral diabetes medication for gestational diabetes (N = 43), missing data concerning BMI or metabolic status (N = 1605), or singleton pregnancies (N = 218,572).

Figure 1
figure 1

Flowchart of the study population.

Statistical analyses

Each variable was checked for normality using the Kolmogorov–Smirnov equality of distributions test. There are expressed as means ± standard deviations or as numbers (percentages). Differences between groups (non-GDM vs. GDM − IT and non-GDM vs. GDM + IT) were analyzed using an independent t-test for continuous variables and the chi-square test for categorical variables. After controlling for covariates of maternal age, parity, smoking, alcohol consumption, income level, exercise status, BMI, and metabolic syndrome, adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated for GDM − IT or GDM + IT development, in multivariate logistic regression analysis. In subgroups based on BMI or MetS, multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate the adjusted ORs for the development of GDM − IT or GDM + IT according to GGT, ALT, or both enzyme levels (high or low). All tests were two-sided, and a P-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Statistical analysis was performed using SAS 9.4.

Ethical approval

This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, Catholic University of Korea (KC19ZESI0530) and Korean National Health Insurance Sharing Service (Approval No. NHIS-2021-1-009). Informed consent requirement was waived by the Institutional Review Board of Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, Catholic University of Korea, because personal identifying information was not accessed. All research was performed in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations.

Results

Characteristics of the study participants

Among the total population of 4348 twin pregnant women, 3860 (88.78%) women in the non-GDM group, 369 (8.49%) in the GDM − IT group were included, and 119 (2.74%) were contained in the GDM + IT group (Table 1). Among the study participants, 10.25% of women had pregravid obesity and 2.67% of women had pregravid MetS. Women in the GDM − IT and GDM + IT groups were significantly older than women in the non-GDM group. When compared to the non-GDM group, the two GDM groups had significantly higher rates of obesity, dyslipidemia, family history of DM, metabolic syndrome, abdominal obesity, hypertriglyceridemia, and low HDL-cholesterol. Mean levels of fasting glucose, ALT, and GGT were significantly higher in the GDM − IT and GDM + IT groups, but the mean level of AST was significantly higher in the GDM + IT group only, and not in the GDM − IT group, when compared to the non-GDM group. There were significant differences in smoking history, income level, and blood pressure between the non-GDM and GDM + IT groups, but not between the non-GDM and GDM − IT groups.

Table 1 Characteristics of the study participants.

GDM risks in a subsequent twin pregnancy, according to pregravid liver enzyme levels

Pregravid levels of AST, ALT, and GGT across all participants were divided into 4 quartiles. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, women had significantly increased ORs for developing GDM − IT and GDM + IT in twin pregnancy when they were in the 4th quartile for levels of ALT (OR 1.629, 95% CI 1.12–2.368 and OR 2.714, 95% CI 1.308–5.633, respectively) and GGT (OR 1.699, 95% CI 1.18–2.446 and OR 2.126, 95% CI 1.098–4.114, respectively), but not AST (OR 1.065, 95% CI 0.734–1.546 and OR 1.349, 95% CI 0.677–2.691, respectively), compared to women in the lower quartiles of each liver enzyme, after adjusting for family history of DM, dyslipidemia, waist circumference, maternal age, parity, smoking, alcohol consumption, income level, exercise status, BMI, and MetS (Table 2). Pregravid AST level was not associated with the development of GDM − IT or of GDM + IT.

Table 2 Adjusted Odds ratios for developing GDM − IT and GDM + IT in women with twin pregnancy according to pregravid liver enzyme levels.

GDM risks in a subsequent twin pregnancy, according to pregravid liver enzyme levels and obesity

In the subgroup analysis, women were grouped based on obesity status (obese, BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2, or not obese, BMI < 25 kg/m2) and GGT levels (low, < 18 U/L, or high, ≥ 18 U/L). Women with pregravid obesity and high GGT levels showed importantly elevated ORs for GDM − IT (OR 1.811, 95% CI 1.069–3.07) and GDM + IT (OR 3.011, 95% CI 1.293–7.009) in comparison to women without pregravid obesity and with low GGT levels, in multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusted for maternal age, parity, smoking, alcohol consumption, income level, exercise status, and MetS (Table 3). When women were arranged by pregravid obesity and ALT levels (low, < 17 U/L, or high, ≥ 17 U/L), women with pregravid obesity and high ALT levels also showed significantly raised ORs for GDM − IT (OR 1.747, 95% CI 1.021–2.992), and GDM + IT (OR 3.193, 95% CI 1.381–7.382), as against women without pregravid obesity and with low ALT levels. However, high GGT or ALT in non-obese women was not meaningfully related with an increased risk for GDM − IT or GDM + IT.

Table 3 GDM risks in a subsequent twin pregnancy, according to pregravid liver enzyme levels and obesity.

GDM risks in a subsequent twin pregnancy, according to pregravid liver enzyme levels and MetS

In the other subgroup analysis, women were gathered and divied by pregravid MetS and GGT levels (low, < 18 U/L, or high, ≥ 18 U/L) or ALT levels (low, < 17 U/L, or high, ≥ 17 U/L). ORs for GDM + IT in women with pregravid MetS and high GGT levels (OR 5.142, 95% CI 1.878–14.081) were significantly increased, but not for GDM − IT (OR 2.328, 95% CI 0.997–5.438), contrast to women without pregravid MetS and with low GGT levels, in multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusted for maternal age, parity, smoking, alcohol consumption, income level, exercise status, and BMI (Table 4). When classified by pregravid MetS and ALT levels, ORs of GDM + IT in women with MetS, regardless of ALT level, notably raised as compared to women without pregravid MetS and with low ALT. Women with MetS and low ALT had significantly increased ORs for GDM − IT (OR 3.344, 95% CI 1.378–8.115), compared to women without pregravid MetS and with low ALT.

Table 4 GDM risks in a subsequent twin pregnancy, according to pregravid liver enzyme levels and metabolic syndrome.

GDM risks in a subsequent twin pregnancy, according to pregravid liver enzyme levels, obesity and MetS

Women with high levels of GGT and ALT had increased ORs for the development of GDM + IT not only in obese women (OR 6.348, 95% CI 2.579–15.625), but also in non-obese women (OR 3.05, 95% CI 1.565–5.946) when compared to women without obesity and with low enzyme levels (Fig. 2 and Supplementary 1). ORs for the development of GDM + IT in women with high levels of GGT and ALT were higher than women without MetS and with low levels of GGT and ALT, whether they were with MetS (OR 6.879, 95% CI 2.232–21.204) or without MetS (OR 3.338, 95% CI 1.86–5.992). However, there were no significant differences in the risks for development of GDM − IT, irrespective of pregravid obesity or MetS and enzyme levels of ALT and GGT (Table 5).

Figure 2
figure 2

Odd ratios for developing GDM + IT in women with twin pregnancy, according to (A) pregravid obesity and liver enzyme levels, and (B) pregravid metabolic syndrome and liver enzyme levels.

Table 5 GDM − IT risks in a subsequent twin pregnancy, according to pregravid liver enzyme levels, obesity and metabolic syndrome.

Discussion

In this study, we investigated the association between pregravid liver enzyme levels and the risk of GDM + IT or GDM − IT in a subsequent twin pregnancy. Our main findings are: (1) High levels of pregravid GGT (Q4, ≥ 18 U/L) showed a significant association with the development of GDM + IT in women with pregravid obesity or MetS. (2) High levels of pregravid ALT (Q4, ≥ 17 U/L) showed a significant association with the development of GDM + IT in women with pregravid obesity, but not in women with MetS. (3) High levels of pregravid GGT or ALT were associated with the development of GDM − IT in women with pregravid obesity, but not in women with pregravid MetS. (4) High levels of GGT and ALT before pregnancy were associated with GDM + IT, regardless of pregravid obesity or MetS. However, there was no association between high levels of either enzyme before pregnancy and GDM − IT. (5) Pregravid AST level was not associated with GDM − IT or GDM + IT in a subsequent twin pregnancy.

Several studies have suggested that twin pregnancies are associated with an increased risk of GDM compared to singleton pregnancies, due to greater placental mass and higher levels of the diabetogenic hormone, human placental lactogen11,19. However, a previous study reported that twin pregnancy is associated with an increased risk of GDM − IT, but not GDM + IT20. In this study, incidences of overall GDM, GDM − IT, and GDM + IT in women pregnant with twins were 11.2%, 8.49%, and 2.74%, respectively. In our original study including both singleton and multiple pregnancies, we reported incidences of overall GDM, GDM − IT, and GDM + IT as 6.85%, 5.74%, and 1.11%, respectively18. Although we cannot conclude that twin pregnancy is more closely associated with GDM + IT compared to the overall pregnancy population, the high incidence of GDM + IT in twin pregnancies should be recognized because GDM + IT is a strong long-term risk factor of developing T2DM7.

Pregravid obesity or MetS are well-known risk factors for GDM2,21. However, it was reported that the association between maternal obesity and GDM was weaker in twin pregnancy, compared to the association seen in singleton pregnancy21,22. In this present study, we demonstrated that elevated GGT or ALT levels in women with obesity increased the risk of GDM − IT and GDM + IT in subsequent twin pregnancies. In addition, high levels of GGT and ALT were associated with an increased risk of GDM + IT, regardless of pregravid obesity or MetS, in subsequent twin pregnancies.

GDM has been associated with a risk of abnormal glucose metabolism or MetS during early postpartum in both singleton and twin pregnancies23. MetS is a known risk factor for the development of T2DM and cardiovascular disease24. Several meta-analyses reported that the risk of T2DM after GDM was more than seven-fold, compared to normoglycemic pregnancy6,25,26. In addition, insulin treatment in pregnancy was a strong predictor for the development of T2DM7,27,28. Therefore, the increased risk for GDM + IT in a subsequent twin pregnancy in women with elevated pregravid levels of GGT, ALT, or both enzymes should be recognized, especially when they had pregravid obesity or MetS.

A prospective study about NAFLD in early pregnancy and the subsequent risk of LGA birthweight demonstrated that steatosis on ultrasound in early pregnancy was related to an increased risk of delivering an LGA infant28. The other study also reported that unexplained elevated ALT levels in the first trimester were associated with a fourfold increase in the risk of having a neonate with LGA29. While most adverse perinatal outcomes of GDM occur similarly in twin and singleton pregnancies30, the risk of LGA in neonates was about twofold higher in twin GDM pregnancies, compared to singleton GDM pregnancies, in a large population study31. Neonates with LGA in GDM pregnancies have shown a significantly increased risk of developing MetS32 and academic delay in childhood33. Previously, incremental increases in ALT within normal range were suggested to be an indirect parameter for hepatic insulin resistance34. Several studies have consistently reported that elevated GGT levels during early to middle pregnancy are associated with the development of GDM35,36,37, although associations between ALT and AST and the risk of GDM are still controversial21,37,38. Further study may be needed to determine whether women with high pregravid liver enzyme levels a) need a liver ultrasound, b) are at increased risk for delivering an LGA or SGA infant, and c) can decrease their risk of GDM + IT through modification of lifestyle or medication. Many studies have reported that NAFLD has a significant association with MetS39. Because ALT and GGT are also associated with the development of T2DM40,41, GDM + IT in women with high levels of both enzymes may be associated with a higher risk of T2DM in the future, regardless of obesity or MetS, compared to GDM + IT in women with low levels of ALT and GGT.

This study has several limitations. First, it did not include data about ART or polycystic ovarian syndrome as confounding variables for GDM4,42,43,44, because it could not be evaluated using the available data. The lack of ART data can be the biggest limitation in this study. We used the data from the National Health Insurance claims and NHSE, which does not have information about ART, because ART is not covered by national insurance. However, multiple birth rates in Korea have been increased, mainly from ART, despite of extreme low birth rate in Korea13. Although ART has been associated with increased risk of GDM in singleton pregnancies, it is still unclear whether ART increases risk of GDM in multiple pregnancies4. It is possible that several medications for ART may have negative influence on liver function in women with elevated pregravid liver enzyme levels. Therefore, prepregnancy health check-up including liver enzyme levels may be required in women who receive ART. In addition, endocrinologists need to consider the risk of GDM + IT in women with elevated pregravid liver enzyme levels, when they counsel the number of transferring embryo and ART. More studies may be needed to investigate association between GDM or GDM + IT and ART in multiple pregnancies, especially in women with elevated liver enzyme levels. Secondly, diagnosis of GDM − IT was based on the ICD-10 codes for GDM because of the deficient data on HbA1c and oral glucose tolerance test results in the nationwide database. To reduce diagnostic faults for GDM − IT, we excluded women with fewer than four claims with GDM. Thirdly, we could not approach information about liver enzyme levels during pregnancy or about pregnancy outcomes such as chorionicity, gestational age at delivery, birth weight, gestational weight gain, and other obstetric complications.

The main strengths of our study are its population-based nature and the large sample size of twin pregnancies. A Swedish national registry study reported that women with pregravid NAFLD had a 2.78-fold risk of GDM in singleton pregnancy45. However, the study did not evaluate any association between pregravid NAFLD and GDM + IT, nor in particular, the association in twin pregnancies. This study is the first study to demonstrate the correlation between pregravid liver enzyme levels and GDM + IT in a subsequent twin pregnancy. The second strength is that the study population consisted primarily of Asian women with twin pregnancies. Although diversity regarding interracial marriages has been increasing in Korea, more than 90% of marriages remain between a Korean man and a Korean woman, and about 7% of marriages are between a Korean man and a foreign woman46. Moreover, more than 80% of the married immigrant women in Korea are from Asian countries, mostly China, Vietnam, and the Philippines46. Women from Asia and those with older age and higher BMI are a known high-risk group for developing T2DM3,25. Therefore, identification of a significant risk factor in this high-risk group may be important. Lastly, another strength is that we performed subgroup analyses based on the important confounding variables of pregravid maternal BMI and MetS. Elevated levels of both enzymes, GGT and ALT, prior to pregnancy, were associated with GDM + IT, not only in women with pregravid obesity or MetS, but also in women without pregravid obesity or MetS.

Over recent decades, the prevalence of GDM has increased due to demographic changes in pregnant women such as older age, obesity, and MetS, making the disease an urgent concern worldwide47. From a public health point of view, the increased prevalence of GDM could contribute to the growing global health burden of obesity and T2DM. The risk of LGA neonates in GDM pregnancies, more likely in twin GDM pregnancies, may contribute to the bigger burden of obesity, MetS, GDM, and T2DM in the next generation.

Conclusion

Women with high levels of pregravid GGT and ALT need to recognize their increased risk of GDM+IT, regardless of pregravid obesity or MetS, when they get pregnant twin. Endocrinologists need to consider and explain the risk of GDM+IT in women with elevated pregravid liver enzyme levels, when they counsel the number of transferring embryo and ART. Because GDM+IT is strongly associated with the future risk of T2DM, obstetricians need to monitor weight gain, liver enzyme levels, and development of GDM+IT, during pregnancy and provide education about postpartum weight control and glucose test, in twin pregnant women with high levels of pregravid liver enzymes.