Abstract
The exploration of the characteristics of natural disasters (NDs) and their impacts have important implications for guiding disaster prevention and mitigation. This paper discussed the characteristics of the major NDs that occurred in mainland China between 1980 and 2011 based on the number of disasters and fatalities, the affected population, and the resulting economic damages. We further examined the relationships between the level of social/economic development and the disaster losses. At last, we also explored the trend variations in disaster losses and losses expressed as a percentage of gross domestic product (losses/GDP) for 31 provinces in China over the period from 1990 to 2011. The results show that over the past three decades, the number of major NDs and the number of affected population appear to exhibit a detectable increasing trend, while the direct economic losses and the deaths show a slight increase trend. The correlations between the number of disasters and the economic losses as well as deaths and between the economic losses and socioeconomic status were not significant (p > 0.05), which indicates that the growth in the number of disasters do not result in a significant increase in the disaster losses. Further investigations demonstrate that as economies develop, there are fewer losses/GDP in China over the past two decades. The per capita accumulative losses and losses/GDP in the western and central regions were higher than that in the eastern parts of China. There are significant regional differences in the trends in disaster losses and losses/GDP in China. Statistics also indicate that more than 70 % provinces in underdeveloped regions show an increasing trend in disaster losses, whereas exceeding 90 % provinces exhibit a decreasing trend in their losses/GDP. These results suggest that the economic development may have played an important role in improving the capacity of disaster prevention and reduction.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The numbers of droughts, earthquakes, extreme temperatures, floods, insect infestations, mass movement dry (wet), storms, and wildfire that occurred in China during the period 1980–2011 were 28, 106, 11, 193, 1, 62, 206 and 6, respectively.
According a previous report, the eastern region includes Liaoning, Hebei, Beijing, Tianjin, Shangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong, and Hainan; the western region includes Shannxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Sichuan, Chongqing, Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi and Tibet; The central region are Shanxi, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Inner Mongolia, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henai, Hubei, and Hunan (He and Duchin 2009).
References
Borden KA, Cutter SL (2008) Spatial patterns of natural hazards mortality in the United States. Int J Health Geogr 7:64–77. doi:10.1186/1476-072X-7-64
Bouwer LM (2011) Have disaster losses increased due to anthropogenic climate change? Bull Am Meteor Soc 92:39–46. doi:10.1175/2010BAMS3092.1
Bouwer LM, Crompton RP, Faust E, Höppe P, Pielke RA (2007) Confronting disaster losses. Science 318:753. doi:10.1126/science.1149628
Changnon SA, Piekle RA, Changnon D, Sylves R, Pulwarty R (2000) Human factors explain the increased losses from weather and climate extremes. Bull Am Meteor Soc 81:437–442. doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081
Chen Z, Yang G (2013) Analysis of drought hazards in North China: distribution and interpretation. Nat Hazards 65(1):279–294. doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0358-3
Chen X, Wu L, Zhang J (2011) Increasing duration of tropical cyclones over China. Geophys Res Lett 38(2):L02708. doi:10.1029/2010GL046137
Cutter SL, Finch C (2008) Temporal and spatial changes in social vulnerability to natural hazards. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105(7):2301–2306. doi:10.1073_pnas.0710375105
Goklany IM (2007) Death and death rates due to extreme weather events: global and US trends, 1900–2004. In: The civil society report on climate change, International Policy Press, London
Guha-Sapir D, Hargitt D, Hoyois P (2004) Thirty years of natural disasters 1974–2003: the numbers. Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters, Belgium
Hao L, Zhang X, Liu S (2012) Risk assessment to China’s agricultural drought disaster in county unit. Nat Hazards 61:785–801. doi:10.1007/s11069-011-0066-4
He L, Duchin F (2009) Regional development in China: interregional transportation infrastructure and regional comparative advantage. Econ Syst Res 21(1):3–22. doi:10.1080/09535310802703395
He B, Lv A, Wu J, Zhao L, Liu M (2011) Drought hazard assessment and spatial characteristics analysis in China. J Geogr Sci 21(2):235–249. doi:10.1007/s11442-011-0841-x
He B, Wu J, Lv A, Cui X, Zhou L, Liu M, Zhao L (2013) Quantitative assessment and spatial characteristic analysis of agricultural drought risk in China. Nat Hazards 66:155–166. doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0398-8
Hoppe P, Pielke R (2006) Report of the workshop on “Climate change and disaster losses: understanding and attributing trends and projections”. Hohenkammer, Germany
IFRC (International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies) (2000) World disasters report 2000: focus on public health. IFRC, Geneva
IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, New York, p 13
IPCC (2012) A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner GK, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Cambridge University Press, New York
Jiang F, Zhu C, Mu G, Hu R, Meng Q (2006) Magnification of flood disasters and its relation to regional precipitation and local human activities since the 1980s in Xinjiang, Northwestern China. Nat Hazards 36:307–330. doi:10.1007/s11069-005-0977-z
Le K (2000) An analysis of the recent severe storm surge disaster events in China. Nat Hazards 21(2–3):215–223. doi:10.1023/A:1008077621186
Li K, Wu S, Dai E, Xu Z (2012) Flood loss analysis and quantitative risk assessment in China. Nat Hazards 63(2):737–760. doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0180-y
Liu JG, Diamond J (2005) China’s environment in a globalizing world. Nature 435(30):1179–1186. doi:10.1038/4351179a
Liu Y, Yu Y, Li L (2012) Major natural disasters and their spatio-temporal variation in the history of China. J Geogr Sci 22(6):963–976. doi:10.1007/s11442-012-0976-4
Lu C, Wei Y (2002) Quantitatively analytic model for the impact of natural disaster on national economy. J Nat Disasters 11(3):15–20 (Chinese)
Ma Z (1994) The momentous natural disaster and reduction action (general remarks). Science Press (Chinese), Beijing
Ma Z (1998) General situation, countermeasure and comprehensive research of China’s major natural disasters. In: Li Z (ed) Research on natural disaster reduction in China. China Science and Technology Press, Beijing, pp 3–13 (Chinese)
Manntay J, Maroko A (2009) Mapping urban risk: flood hazards, race and environmental justice in New York. Appl Geogr 29:111–124. doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2008.08.002
Mills E (2005) Insurance in a climate of change. Science 309:1040–1044. doi:10.1126/science.1112121
Munich RE (2011) Topic Geo Natural Catastrophes. Analyses, assessments, positions. www.munichre.com/publications/302-07225_en.pdf. Retrieved November 12, 2012
Nie C, Li H, Yang L, Wu S, Liu Y, Liao Y (2012) Spatial and temporal changes in flooding and the affecting factors in China. Nat Hazards 61(2):425–439. doi:10.1007/s11069-011-9926-1
Piegorsch WW, Cutter SL, Hardisty F (2007) Benchmark analysis for quantifying urban vulnerability to terrorist incidents. Risk Anal 27(6):1411–1425. doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2007.0097.x
Schumacher I, Strobl E (2011) Economic development and losses due to natural disasters: the role of hazard exposure. Ecol Econ 72:97–105. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2011.09.002
Schwab AK, Eschelbach K, Brower DJ (2007) Hazard Mitigation and Preparedness. Wiley & Sons, Hoboken
Shi P (1996) Theory on disaster science and disaster dynamics. J Nat Disasters 5(4):6–14 (Chinese)
Shi P (2002) Theory on disaster science and disaster dynamics. J Nat Disasters 11(3):1–9 (Chinese)
Shi J, Cui L (2012) Characteristics of high impact weather and meteorological disaster in Shanghai, China. Nat Hazards 60:951–969. doi:10.1007/s11069-011-9877-6
Shi P, Liu Y (2009) Chinese paradigm for integrated large scale disaster risk governance. J US-China Public Admin 6(6):18–28 (Chinese)
Skidmore M, Toya H (2002) Do natural disasters promote long-run growth? Econ Inq 40(4):664–687. doi:10.1093/ei/40.4.664
Smolka A (2006) Natural disasters and the challenge of extreme events: risk management from an insurance perspective. Phil Trans R Soc A364:2147–2165. doi:10.1098/rsta.2006.1818
UN-ISDR (2009) Risk and poverty in a changing climate: invest today for a safer tomorrow. United Nations International Strategy for Natural Disaster Reduction Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction, 207
Wang J, Shi P, Zhu J (1994) A research on regional distribution of major natural hazards in China. Acta Geographica Sinica 49(1):19–26 (Chinese)
Wang Z, Zhang P, Liu X (1995) Distribution characteristics of natural disasters in China. Acta Geographica Sinica 50(3):248–255 (Chinese)
Wang J, Shi P, Wang P, Wang Y (2006) Spatio-temporal pattern of natural disasters in China. Science Press (Chinese), Beijing
World Bank and UN (2010) Natural Hazards, UnNatural Disasters: The economics of effective prevention. International Bank fro Reconstruction and Development/World Bank, Washington, 254 pp, gfdrr.org/gfdrr/nhud-home
Wu J, He B, Lu A, Zhou L, Liu M, Zhao L (2011) Quantitative assessment and spatial characteristics analysis of agricultural drought vulnerability in China. Nat Hazards 56:785–801. doi:10.1007/s11069-010-9591-9
Xiao F, An Xiao Z (2010) Characteristics of tropical cyclones in China and their impact analysis. Nat Hazards 54:827–837. doi:10.1007/s11069-010-9508-7
Yi L, Ge L, Zhao D, Zhou J, Gao Z (2012) An analysis of disaster management system in China. Nat Hazards 60(2):295–309. doi:10.1007/s11069-011-0011-6
Zhang Q, Wu L, Liu Q (2009) Tropical cyclone damages in China 1983–2006. B Am Meteorol Soc 90(4):489–495. doi:10.1175/2008BAMS2631.1
Zhang W, Meng Q, Ma M, Zhang Y (2011) Lighting casualties and damages in China from 1997 to 2009. Nat Hazards 57:465–476. doi:10.1007/s11069-010-9628-0
Zhang X, Yi L, Zhao D (2012) Community-based disaster management: a review of progress in China. Nat Hazards 65:2215–2239. doi:10.1007/211069-012-0471-3
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41171401), National Basic Research Programme of China (2012CB955402), and International Cooperation Project funded by Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2012DFG20710).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Zhou, Y., Li, N., Wu, W. et al. Exploring the characteristics of major natural disasters in China and their impacts during the past decades. Nat Hazards 69, 829–843 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0738-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0738-3