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Erschienen in: Forensic Science, Medicine and Pathology 3/2023

Open Access 19.11.2022 | Original Article

Evaluation of loci to predict ear morphology using two SNaPshot assays

verfasst von: Saadia Noreen, David Ballard, Tahir Mehmood, Arif Khan, Tanveer Khalid, Allah Rakha

Erschienen in: Forensic Science, Medicine and Pathology | Ausgabe 3/2023

Abstract

Human ear morphology prediction with SNP-based genotypes is growing in forensic DNA phenotyping and is scarcely explored in Pakistan as a part of EVCs (externally visible characteristics). The ear morphology prediction assays with 21 SNPs were assessed for their potential utility in forensic identification of population. The SNaPshot™ multiplex chemistries, capillary electrophoresis methods and GeneMapper™ software were used for obtaining genotypic data. A total of 33 ear phenotypes were categorized with digital photographs of 300 volunteers. SHEsis software was applied to make LD plot. Ordinal and multinomial logistic regression was implemented for association testing. Multinomial logistic regression was executed to construct the prediction model in 90% training and 10% testing subjects. Several influential SNPs for ear phenotypic variation were found in association testing. The model based on genetic markers predicted ear phenotypes with moderate to good predictive accuracies demonstrated with the area under curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity of predicted phenotypes. As an additional EVC, the estimated ear phenotypic profiles have the possibility of determining the human ear morphology differences in unknown biological samples found in crimes that do not result in a criminal database hit. Furthermore, this can help in facial reconstruction and act as an investigational lead.
Hinweise

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at https://​doi.​org/​10.​1007/​s12024-022-00545-7.

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Introduction

The externally visible traits of humans are complex, resulting from polygenic inheritance [13]. Human ear morphology is signified as a highly polymorphic and polygenic trait that exhibits continuous phenotypic distribution and serves as an important target in forensic DNA phenotyping studies [4]. The variability exists among phenotypes of lobe sizes and states, degree of ear protrusion and the difference in helix shape, tragus and antitragus morphology in each individual [5]. In forensics, external ear morphology has been used since Bertillon (1893) for personal identification from photographic images, videos, or ear prints in forensics [6]. An otoscopic forensic opinion has the status of scientific evidence which is admitted by Polish Courts [7]. Earlobe attachment can be highly useful in disaster victim verification [8, 9]. The medico-legal importance of the ear is due to its stable structure and rigidity in burnt bodies which further enables facial reconstruction [10]. Moreover, it is useful in the identification of drowning cases of mutilated faces [9, 11, 12].
Understanding the genetic aetiology is important for ear morphogenesis [13], forensic genetics [14] and diagnostics [15]. The first comprehensive study investigated the pinna trait in the Latin American population and identified seven loci for variations in human ear morphology using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) [16]. Another GWAS for variant association with lobe attachment in multi-ethnic groups (Europeans, Americans cohorts) identified 49 significant loci associations [4]. The genetic variations like SNPs insertion-deletion variants, block substitution and inversion variants may cause amino acid substitutions which alter the functional property of the protein [3]. This results in morphological changes and distinct phenotypes [17].
Previously developed phenotyping assays used a variety of reported techniques to obtain genotypic data including TaqMan assays [18, 19], next-generation sequencing (NGS), Ion Ampliseq technology [20] and whole-genome sequencing (WGS) [21]. However, whole-genome sequencing is an expensive technique and not suitable for the specific traits of interest involving limited genes. Multiplex analyses coupled with the mini sequencing technique offer a targeted approach for retrieval of specific phenotypes of interest [2225]. The phenotypic variation in population caused by genetic variation must be added to modelling parameters [17]. Regression analyses are performed to model the structure (identify the pattern) seen within the dataset following odd ratios [26].
Several phenotyping methods with the multiplex genetic panels and prediction models have been proposed, for example, IrisPlex [27], HIrisPlex [28] and HIrisPlex-S [29]. Furthermore, progress has been made in inferring height [30], baldness [31] [32], freckles [20], hair thickness [33], age [34] and facial morphology from biological samples [35, 36]. Forensic DNA phenotyping (FDP) is the prediction of these externally visible characteristics (EVCs) from DNA traces [3739]. The importance of forensic DNA analysis for criminal investigation is quite evident in the Zainab Murder case [40, 41]. It was confirmed through DNA testing when the 814th sample of suspects showed similarity with the reference sample in the database. In the absence of reference DNA, a DNA phenotyping study can be useful in narrowing down the pool of suspects and can potentially provide more details about the appearance of individuals than eyewitnesses can. It is used as an intelligence tool rather than to confirm individual identity [42].
In Pakistan, only one study is available focusing on the genetic determination of lobe attachment ear phenotype for Southern Punjab subjects [43]. Another study was found regarding the DNA-based prediction of eye colour in the Swat population [44]. No published data is available for other phenotypes of the ear. Much attention is paid to the diagnostic and genetics of hearing loss in Pakistan [45]. Whereas multiplex panels for EVCs prediction are often tested majorly in Europeans [46, 47], Eurasians Americans [48] and Koreans [49]. The utility of forensic DNA phenotyping is in its infancy in Pakistan. The frequency of ear morphological characteristics is well documented [14, 5052].
To fill this gap, the ear phenotypes from a specific combination of genotypes are predicted in the Pakistan population. The study aims to improve the reliability of ear morphology prediction by harnessing three hundred individuals; thirty-three predicted categories from twenty-one significant genetic predictors from genes (MRPS22, TBX15, EDAR, SH3RF3, TGOLN2, SP5, TF binding site, LOC107985447, SLC4A1PP1, LRBA, XPNPEP1, FLJ20021, GCC2, WDR3, LOC100287225, FOXL2, GPR126, LOC153910, Antisense to MYO3b, SULT1C2P1) in previous GWAS were selected [4, 16].

Methodology

Human ear phenotypes and study cohort

The ear trait phenotypes were assessed with slight modifications in the previous study [14]. The ear trait was classified as (1) lobe size (small, medium, large); (2) lobe attachment (attached lobe, intermediate attachment, free; (3) antitragus (absent, average, prominent), (4) tragus size (absent, average, prominent), (5) posterior helix rolling (under folded, partial folded and over folded), (6) superior helix rolling (under folded, partial folded and over folded), (7) antihelix folding (under folded, partial, over folded), (8) antihelix superior crus (flat, intermediate and extended), (9) Darwin tubercle (absent, degree of presence and prominent), (10) crus helix expression (less prominent, prominent and extended) and (11) ear protrusion (small, medium and large) as shown in (Fig. 2).
A Nikon D5600 camera was used to photograph each ear along with the individual’s head in the Frankfort horizontal plane described by Meijerman et al. [53]. Phenotypes were assessed by high-quality photographs and closely observing the individual ear. The approval of this study was obtained from the ethical review committee of the University of Health Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan. Healthy males and females of age 18–40 years without ear abnormalities were considered in the study. DNA was extracted with an in-house standard protocol of phenol–chloroform isoamyl alcohol [54], and quantitative analysis was performed using Qubit 3 Fluorimeter with a double-stranded DNA broad range assay kit (Thermo Fisher Scientific) according to the manufacturer’s directions [55].

Selection of targeted DNA variants

Genes and their common genetic variants were selected through a systematic literature search [4, 16]. It included twelve intronic (rs10212419, rs17023457, rs13397666, rs7567615, rs2080401, rs1960918, rs3818285, rs9866054, rs263156, rs260674, rs10192049), three intergenic (rs868157, rs1619249, rs1879495), three regulatory (rs7873690, rs6845263, rs10923574), one missense (rs3827760), one 3′UTR (rs7428) and one 5′ UTR (rs2378113) variant. Common genetic variants in regulatory or coding regions of a candidate gene with functional relevance assessed in silico were given high priority during selection. SNPs were assessed by the 1000 Genome Project Phase 3 allele frequencies in the Punjabis in Lahore (PJL) sub-population and were selected for genotyping analysis.

SNP genotyping assay

Primer 3 plus was used to design 21 primer pairs and their respective single-base extension primers using the default parameters of the software program, targeting similar melting temperatures of 60 °C and similar GC contents. Primer sequences are detailed in Table 1 along with final PCR and SBE primer concentrations for both multiplexes [56]. The melting temperature and amplicon size were analysed in silico on the UCSC genome browser [57]. The potential performance of multiplex PCR primers was screened on Autodimer [58] to detect any hairpin and primer dimer formation. Both forward and reverse single-base extension primers were designed, and either one of them was added to the final multiplex system. Poly T-tails have been added to the 5′ end of the SBE primers to ensure complete capillary electrophoresis separation between the SBE products of multiplexes. Optimization of all primers was performed using gradient PCR. Multiplex PCR was performed in a 10-µl final reaction volume containing 1 × Qiagen PCR Multiplex Mix (Hilden, Germany), primer concentrations as specified in Table 1 and 5 ng of DNA. Thermal cycling was performed on a Veriti 96 well thermocycler (Applied Biosystems). The multiplex PCR conditions were as follows: 95 °C for 15 min, 30 cycles of 95 °C for 30 s, 60 °C for 90 s, 72 °C for 60 s and the final extension at 60 °C for 30 min. For removal of unincorporated primers and dNTPs, 3 µl of amplified product was purified with 1 µl Exosap (ExoproStart™) at 37 °C for 1 h and 75 °C for 15 min. Before performing a multiplex extension reaction, all SBE primers were verified for their proper working efficiency by executing the singleplex extension reaction with the corresponding template. The multiplex single-base assay reaction was prepared with final concentrations of 1 × SNaPshot™ ready mix (Thermo Fisher), SBE primer concentrations as stated in Table 1 and 1 µl of purified PCR product, in a Veriti 96-well thermocycler (Applied Biosystems) following thermocycling conditions: 96 °C for 2 min, 25 cycles of 96 °C for 10 s, 50 °C for 5 s and 60 °C for 30 s. The extension product was purified by the addition of 1 µl of SAP enzyme (Applied Biosystems), followed by incubation for 70 min at 37 °C and 20 min at 72 °C.
Table 1
SNP markers included in the Ear-Plex system for ear morphology prediction ordered according to prediction rank with molecular details and genotyping
Assay position
SNP ID
Chr number and region
Gene
Major allele
Minor allele
PCR primer sequences
Primer conc. (µM)
Product size
SBE primer sequence, length of SBE primer, and direction
Detected allele
SBE primer conc. (µM)
Plex1_1
rs10212419
3, intronic
MRPS22
CC
TT
F-CTTTGGGCTCAACCCGACTA
R-TATGTGGAATGGGCTCTCCC
0.3
235
TTTTTTTTTTGCACACGTAGTATCTTGTATAACC, 34, R
T/C
0.2
Plex1_2
rs17023457
1, intronic
TBX15
TT
CC
F-TGGAGACTCTGAGACAACCTGA
R-CCCACTCCTCACCAGAAACT
0.3
296
TTTTTTTTTTTTTGATACCGACCACTAACTAATCAACA, 38, F
T/C
0.2
Plex1 _3
rs13397666
2, intronic
EDAR
AA
GG
F-CAGGTCTGAACCGTAGCCAG
R-CAGAGATGGCCTGAACCTCC
0.3
188
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTATAGGTCGGCGAGGTTCC, 38, F
A/G
0.2
Plex1 _4
rs7567615
2, intronic
SH3RF3
GG
AA
F-CTGTGAGGTCAACTGAGCGG
R-CCCACAATGACAGCCACCTT
0.3
164
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTCCAACGATCAGAAAATAAACCC, 42, R
A/G
0.2
Plex1 _5
rs3827760
2, missense
EDAR
TT
 
F-AGAGTTGCATGCCGTCTGTC
R-CCACGGAGCTGCCATTTGAT
0.3
159
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTCACGTACAACTCTGAGAAGGCTG, 38, R
T/C
0.2
Plex1 _6
rs7428
2, 3′UTR
TGOLN2
TT
CC
F-TCAAACATGAAGTCTGGTGCATT
R-ACCCCTGTTAGGAAGGTTGG
0.3
253
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTGCTTACTGGCAGTTTGACATACTA, 46, F
T/C
0.2
Plex1 _7
rs868157
1, intergenic
TF binding site
LOC107985447
TT
GG
F-AGCCCTTGAATGAGGGTTGG
R-GGGGGCTTGCACATCATAGA
0.3
229
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTATTATCTACCATACCAAAACTATGAGCT, 50, F
G/T
0.2
Plex1 _8
rs2080401
2, intronic
SP5
AA
CC
F-TAGTAGAGTAGCCCACAGA
R-CTGGTCTTGAACTCCTGA
0.3
122
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTGCAACTAGTAGAGTAGCCCACAGAA, 50, F
A/C
0.2
Plex1 _9
rs7873690
9, regulatory region
SLC4A1PP1
CC
TT
F-TTCCGTTGAAGGGTGCTGTA
R-CCCTGAAACTGGAACAGAGCC
0.3
300
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTCAGGGGAATCCCAGGAG, 54, F
T/C
0.2
Plex 1_10
rs1960918
4, intronic
LRBA
TT
CC
F-AACAAGAAACCAAGAACCCAAATA
R-TCCTTCTTCCTGTCTGTCCTCTTA
0.3
254
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTGAGATAATTGAGTGAATCTCGGTAA, 58, F
T/C
0.2
Plex2_1
rs3818285
10, intronic
XPNPEP1
AA
GG
F-GAACAGAGTCACAACTGGGCTA
R-ACCTTATTGACTCGGGTGCT
0.4
215
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTAAGGTGGACAGCTGAGCTCC, 34, R
G/A
0.4
Plex2_2
rs6845263
7 regulatory region
FLJ20021
CC
TT
F-GCACCTCATCACTCTCTGCC
R-AGGTTAGAAAAACTAACCCAGACT
0.4
285
TTTTTTTTTTCATCTGTATGTGTGCTGTGTTTGA, 34, F
T/C
0.4
Plex2 _3
rs2378113
2, 5′ UTR
GCC2
AA
GG
F-TTTTAGTGTGCGCAATCGCC
R-AGCCCACAGATCAGAATCCC
0.4
208
TTTTTTTTATAAAGCAGTCTAAGAAGGTTTATATAGTG, 38, F
G/A
0.4
Plex2_4
rs10923574
1, regulatory region
WDR3
AA
CC
F-ACCCTATGAAAAGAGCATGTAGT
R-AATCACGTAGACTGAGGGGA
0.4
263
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTAACAGCCTTTTCAAGAAATACCTATTA, 42, F
A/C
0.4
Plex2 _5
rs1619249
2, intergenic
LOC100287225
TT
CC
F-CTTGATCTCCTGACCTCTT
R-GTGGACTTTACATTTACTCTGA
0.4
84
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTGTGGGCGGATAGGAGGC, 38, R
T/C
0.4
Plex2 _6
rs9866054
3, intronic
MRPS22, FOXL2
GG
AA
F-TTGAGGGCTTCTCTTGTGGC
R-CCCACTGTCTTAAAGTAGCCCATT
0.4
109
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTAGCTGTTTTCTAGGCTGGATTG, 46, F
G/A
0.2
Plex2 _7
rs263156
6, intronic
GPR126, LOC153910
CC
AA
F-CAAAGGCCCATGCAGCTACT
R-TTGGAAGGCACATCAACCAC
0.4
181
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTCTCATCTACCCTATCATTCCACC, 50, R
A/C
0.2
Plex2_8
rs260674
2, intronic
EDAR
AA
GG
F-ACTCAAAACCGAGTGTCCCG
R-TGAACCCCGCCAATGTCCTA
0.4
121
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTGCTTTGGTTACGTCTGCCC, 54, F
G/A
0.1
Plex2 _9
rs10192049
2, intronic
Antisense to MYO3b
AA
GG
F-TCGTGGCAAGTTACGTGTGTA
R-AATGCTTGGTGCACGGTAGG
0.4
281
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTAGTATCAGTCCATATGCCTTCACA, 58, R
G/A
0.4
Plex2_10
rs13427222
2, intronic
EDAR
AA
GG
F-GGCCTGATGGTTCGGAGTTA
R-AAGGAGAG TAGCGCTGGGT
0.4
277
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTCCAGCACCTTGCCTCCC, 62, R
A/G
0.4
Plex2_11
rs1879495
11, intergenic
SULT1C2P1
CC
AA
F-AAGTGACCTCCTGGACTTGG
R-GCACCAGCAGGGGAAAGTA
0.4
299
TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTGGGTAGAACTGGAACAAAATCTT, 66, R
A/C
0.4

Capillary electrophoresis and allele calling

The purified extension product (1 µl) was mixed with 10 µl Hi-Di formamide and 0.4 µl Genescan-120 Liz size standard and run on a 3130xl Genetic analyser (Applied Biosystem) after rapid heating of the reaction mix at 100 °C for 2 min and cooling for 2 min. The analyser has POP-7 as the sieving polymer, on a 36-cm capillary length under an injection voltage of 2.5 kV for 10 s and with a running time of 500 s at 60 °C using the default run module and E5 dye set. Allele calling and analysis of results were performed with GeneMapper™ ID software version 3.1.

Statistical analysis

The output files generated through SNaPshot™ were analysed to assess levels of association between phenotype and genetic variation across all individuals typed.

Population analysis

All variant data were tested for Hardy–Weinberg expectations using the HWE calculator of Micheal H. Court’s (2005–2008) online calculator Excel-based HWE test and SNPstats (https://​www.​snpstats.​net/​start.​htm). Linkage disequilibrium testing was performed with the online software SHEsis [59].

Association testing

To predict the probability of an ordered outcome of lobe sizes, tragus size, antitragus sizes, posterior and superior helix rolling, antihelix folding, antihelix superior crus, Darwin tubercle and crus helix expression, ordinal logistic regression was applied. The multinomial logit was performed on phenotypes of lobe states and ear protrusions being not in the order form. The multiple SNP association testing was performed using R programming through the multinomial regression. For each phenotype, one multinomial logistic regression or ordinal regression was applied, whatever is fitted. The significance regression coefficient of the respective genotype, i.e., SNP, was described by a Wald statistics-based p-value, with the threshold of 0.05. For better interpretation, the fitted model transforms the regression coefficients into the odds ratio. An odds ratio (OR) measures the effect of SNPs over the respective phenotype. An odds ratio equal to one indicates the change in SNP level in genotype has no effect on the phenotype, and odds ratio greater or below than one indicates the change in SNP level in genotype has an effect on the phenotype. 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and p-values were calculated for minor allele classifications. The dependent variable was coded as “1” for phenotype category 1 and “2” for phenotype 2 and 3 for phenotype 3 category.

Prediction modelling

The established sets of significant associated SNPs with phenotype were used for prediction modelling not all 21 SNPs. Prediction modelling was performed with R programming. The number of model parameters, p, must be such that: p ≤ min (n1, n2, n3)/10 where ni = number of observed phenotypes within each category (i = 1, 2, 3) and p = number of markers multiplied by the number of genotypes minus one. So, for 21 bi-allelic SNPs, each with 3 possible genotypes (two homozygotes and a heterozygote), separate testing and training set was employed to avoid model overfitting. Tenfold cross-validation was also used where data was split into a training dataset and testing dataset. And the trained model was also tested on test data. Ninety per cent of samples was called as ‘known group’ or training sets in which phenotypes were known and 10% samples were used in the testing set also known as ‘blind sample’ in which phenotype was not known. The performance of the fitted ordinal and multinomial regression model using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was evaluated for final prediction accuracy on the dataset. The AUC basically can be considered as the probability that the test correctly identifies the phenotype. It is the integral of ROC curves ranging from 0 to 1. Additionally, the sensitivity of the model, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), positive predictive value (PPV) and maximal probability approach was assessed. The threshold of probability for ear phenotypes prediction was tested ranging from p-value > 0.05 to > 0.09.

Results

Population data

The percentage distribution of phenotypes is shown in Supplementary Fig. S1. The association testing was performed on all SNPs in order to draw the all-possible information in pilot-scale preliminary work. One rare SNP marker (rs3827760) was excluded at the level of statistical analyses (monomorphic in our dataset). Deviation from Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium was noted for few SNPs shown in Table S2 as the p-values < 0.05 were not consistent with HWE. Details of LD analysis are shown in Fig. 1. All the SNPs were not in Linkage disequilibrium. The ear traits and phenotypes are shown in Fig. 2.

SNaPshot™ multiplex SNP genotyping assay and screening of genotypes

The two genotyping assays were based on the principle of multiplex PCR followed by multiplex single-base extension assays using SNaPshot™ chemistry: Plex-1 assay encompassed of 10 SNPs whereas Plex-2 included 11 SNPs. Amplicons were designed to be 300 bp or smaller in length. According to the quality of amplicons, primer concentrations and annealing temperatures were optimized. Both the PCR and SBE multiplexes were optimized to achieve the balanced Plex-1 and Plex-2 SNP genotype profile (Figs. 3 and 4). The activity of SBE primer was verified by executing a single Plex extension reaction with a corresponding template PCR product. DNA input in assays was 5 ng. All expected peaks were detected, sized properly with accurate genotyped with uniform strength as shown in Figs. 3 and 4. Each peak was fragmented into genotypes and was interpreted following the peak(s) present at that site, with a single peak indicating homozygous genotype for that allele and double peaks indicating a heterozygote genotype for that SNP. Peaks with a relative fluorescence unit (RFU) value below 50 were excluded.

SNP associations testing in Punjab population

As demonstrated in Table 2, the highest statistical significance was obtained for the seven SNPs including rs17023457, rs13397666, rs1960918, rs1619249, rs9866054, rs13427222 and rs1878495, explaining the variation in lobe size. The individuals’ genotype changed from CC to TT in rs17023457, 3.049 times (p-value = 0.045) more likely to have large lobe size. The individual genotype changed from GG to AG in rs13397666 with 0.454 times (p-value = 0.043), from CC to CT in rs1960918 with 0.466 time (p-value = 0.042), from CC to CT in rs1619249 with 0.180 times (p-value = 0.031), from AA to AG in rs9866054 with 0.376 times (p-value = 0.041), from GG to AG in rs13427222 with 0.150 times (p-value = 0.001), from GG to AA in rs3427222 with 0.221 times (p-value = 0.009) and from AA to CC in rs1878495 with 0.457 times (p-value = 0.044) less likely to have large lobe size.
Table 2
SNP association testing: p-value and odd ratio from ordinal and multinomial logistic regression performed on all SNPs to reveal their association with ear morphological traits
 
B
Std. error
p-value
Odds ratio
Lobe size
Small
−7.665
1.8989
.000
.100
Medium
−4.471
1.8518
.016
.214
Large
References
rs17023457
TT
1.115
.5556
.045
3.049
 
CT
1.087
.6193
.079
2.965
 
CC
References
rs13397666
AA
−.477
.4120
.247
.621
 
AG
−.789
.3942
.043
.454
 
GG
References
rs1960918
TT
−.387
.4297
.368
.679
 
CT
−.765
.3758
.042
.466
 
CC
References
rs1619249
TT
−1.074
.7516
.153
.342
 
CT
−1.716
.7965
.031
.180
 
CC
References
rs9866054
GG
−.790
.4227
.062
.454
 
AG
−.979
.5011
.041
.376
 
AA
References
rs13427222
AA
−1.509
.5779
.009
.221
 
AG
−1.900
.5955
.001
.150
 
GG
References
rs1878495
CC
−.784
.4071
.044
.457
 
AC
−.274
.4000
.493
.760
 
AA
References
Lobe attachment
Presence
−.339
1.9358
.861
.712
Intermediate
2.334
1.9441
.049
5.318
Free
References
rs7873690
CC
.649
.4071
.111
1.914
 
CT
.976
.4860
.045
2.654
 
TT
References
rs1960918
TT
−.470
.4226
.266
.625
 
CT
−.706
.3789
.042
.493
 
CC
References
rs1619249
TT
3.194
.9180
.001
4.376
 
CT
2.961
.9452
.002
1.919
 
CC
References
rs13427222
AA
−1.400
.6092
.022
.246
 
AG
−1.390
.6148
.024
.249
 
GG
References
Anti-tragus size
Absent
.535
1.7502
.760
1.708
Average
2.808
1.7572
.049
7.579
Prominent
References
rs868157
TT
1.641
.8342
.049
5.159
 
GT
1.086
.8747
.214
2.963
 
GG
References
rs7873690
CC
−.841
.3868
.030
.431
 
CT
−1.115
.4580
.015
.328
 
TT
References
rs13427222
AA
1.017
.5084
.045
2.765
 
AG
.612
.5176
.237
1.844
 
GG
References
Tragus size
Absent
.932
1.8039
.605
2.540
Average
4.112
1.8261
.024
6.083
Prominent
References
rs17023457
TT
1.155
.5747
.044
3.175
 
CT
1.148
.6366
.071
3.151
 
CC
References
rs868157
TT
1.655
.8096
.041
5.235
 
GT
1.312
.8559
.125
3.714
 
GG
References
rs7428
TT
−.839
.3622
.021
.432
 
CT
−.683
.3191
.032
.505
 
CC
References
rs7873690
CC
.579
.3989
.147
1.784
 
CT
.897
.4783
.041
2.452
 
TT
References
rs684523
CC
.533
.3095
.085
1.704
 
CT
.653
.3153
.038
1.922
 
TT
References
rs1619249
TT
1.724
.7839
.028
5.609
 
CT
1.369
.8121
.092
3.931
 
CC
References
rs263156
CC
.398
.3492
.254
1.489
 
AC
−.683
.3464
.049
.505
 
AA
References
Superior helix rolling
Under folded
−.402
1.8691
.830
.669
Partial folded
3.424
1.8775
.048
7.691
Over folded
References
rs13397666
AA
.221
.4244
.603
1.247
 
AG
.806
.4134
.041
2.240
 
GG
References
rs7567615
GG
.898
.3844
.020
2.454
 
AG
.283
.4915
.565
1.327
 
AA
References
Posterior helix rolling
Under folded
.326
1.7224
.850
1.386
Partial folded
2.981
1.7317
.045
5.716
Over folded
References
rs7428
TT
−.839
.3622
.021
.432
CT
−.683
.3191
.032
.505
CC
References
rs684523
CC
.533
.3095
.085
1.704
CT
.653
.3153
.038
1.922
TT
References
rs1619249
TT
1.724
.7839
.028
5.609
CT
1.369
.8121
.092
3.931
CC
References
rs263156
CC
.398
.3492
.254
1.489
AC
−.683
.3464
.049
.505
AA
References
Antihelix folding
Under folded
−.699
1.8591
.707
.497
Partial folded
2.986
1.8709
.031
4.806
Over folded
References
rs2080401
AA
.474
.4031
.239
1.607
 
AC
.915
.3790
.016
2.496
 
CC
References
rs260674
AA
−1.663
.9087
.047
.190
 
AG
−1.511
.9323
.105
.221
 
GG
References
Antihelix superior crus
Flat
−6.903
1.9609
.000
.001
Intermediate
−4.480
1.9352
.021
.011
Extended
References
rs17023457
TT
−1.048
.6025
.082
.351
 
CT
−1.462
.6622
.027
.232
 
CC
References
rs7567615
GG
.780
.3618
.031
2.182
 
AG
.635
.4815
.187
1.887
 
AA
References
rs1960918
TT
1.230
.4330
.005
3.420
 
CT
.842
.3729
.024
2.321
 
CC
References
rs9866054
GG
−.933
.4727
.048
.393
 
AG
−.790
.5549
.154
.454
 
AA
References
rs10192049
AA
−.939
.4278
.028
.391
 
AG
−.503
.4265
.238
.605
 
GG
References
rs13427222
AA
−1.322
.6336
.037
.267
 
AG
−1.348
.6419
.036
.260
 
GG
References
rs1878495
CC
−.811
.4275
.048
.444
 
AC
.014
.4231
.974
1.014
 
AA
References
Darwin tubercle
Absent
2.221
28.9650
.049
6.000
Degree of Tubercle
2.587
28.9650
.999
1.076
Prominent
References
rs13397666
AA
1.107
.7257
.127
3.026
 
AG
1.244
.6863
.049
3.471
 
GG
References
rs260674
AA
−2.081
.9516
.029
.125
 
AG
−1.624
.9752
.096
.197
 
GG
References
 
AA
0b
  
1
Crus helix expression
Less
−.171
1.6985
.920
.843
Prominent
1.857
1.7030
.048
6.402
Extended
References
rs7428
TT
−.695
.3582
.052
.499
 
CT
−.639
.3055
.036
.528
 
CC
References
rs2080401
AA
−.672
.3812
.048
.510
 
AC
−.352
.3529
.319
.703
 
CC
References
rs7873690
CC
−.741
.4060
.048
.476
 
CT
−.802
.4749
.091
.449
 
TT
References
Ear protrusion
Under folded
−1.488
1.7271
.044
.226
Partial folded
.861
1.7263
.618
2.366
Over folded
References
rs263156
CC
−.639
.3487
.047
.528
AC
−.273
.3401
.422
.761
AA
References
rs1878495
CC
−.746
.3985
.041
.474
AC
−.596
.3887
.125
.551
AA
References
Four genetic predictors (rs7873690, rs1960918, rs1619249, rs13427222) have shown significant association with the attached ear lobe. The individuals’ genotype changed from TT to CT in rs7873690 with OR = 2.654 times (p-value = 0.045), from CC to CT in rs1619249 with OR = 1.91 times (p-value = 0.002) and from CC to TT in rs1619249 with 4.376 times more likely to get free ear lobes. The individuals’ genotype change from CC to CT in rs1960918 is 0.493 times (p-value = 0.042), from GG to AG in rs13427222 is 0.249 times (p-value = 0.024) and from GG to AA in rs13427222 is 0.246 times (p-value = 0.022) less likely to have free ear lobes.
Three SNPs (rs868157, rs7873690, rs13427222) explain the variation in antitragus size. The individual genotype changed from GG to TT in rs868157, with 5.159 times (p-value = 0.049) and from GG to AA in rs13427222 with 2.76 times (p-value = 0.045) more likely to get prominent antitragus. The genotype change from TT to CT in rs7873690 is 0.328 times (p-value = 0.015) less likely to get prominent antitragus.
Seven genetic predictors (rs17023457, rs868157, rs7428, rs7873690, rs684523, rs1619249, rs263156) were significantly associated with tragus size. The individuals’ genotype change from CC to TT in rs17023457 is 3.175 times more likely (p-value = 0.044), from GG to TT in rs868157 5.235 times (p-value = 0.041), from TT to CT in rs7873690 2.452 times (p-value = 0.041), from TT to CT in rs684523 1.922 times (p-value = 0.038) and from CC to TT in rs1619249 5.609 times (p-value = 0.028) more likely to get prominent tragus. The individuals’ genotype change from CC to CT in rs7428 is 0.505 times (p-value = 0.032), from CC to TT in rs7428 0.432 times (p-value = 0.009) and from AA to AC in rs263156 0.505 times (p-value = 0.049) less likely to get prominent tragus.
The highest statistical significance was obtained for two SNP (rs13397666, rs7567615) which explains the variation in superior helix rolling. The subjects’ genotype change from GG to AG in rs13397666 is OR = 2.24 times (p-value = 0.041) and the genotype change from AA to GG in rs7567614 2.4 times (p value = 0.02) more likely to get over folded superior helix rolling.
Four genetic predictors (rs7428, rs684523, rs1619249, rs263156) were significantly associated with posterior helix rolling. The individual genotype alters from CC to CT in rs7428 which is 0.505 times (p-value = 0.032), from CC to TT in rs7428 which is 0.432 times (p-value = 0.021) and from AA to AC in rs26315 which is 0.505 times (p-value = 0.049) less likely to get over folded posterior helix rolling. The genotype changed from TT to CT in rs684523 making it 1.922 times (p-value = 0.038) and from CC to TT in rs1619249 making it 5.609 times (p-value = 0.028) more likely to get prominent posterior helix rolling.
Two SNPs (rs2080401, rs260674) were significantly associated with antihelix folding. The subject genotype change from CC to AC in rs2080401 with 2.496 times (p-value = 0.016) more likely to have over folded antihelix folding. The genotype change from GG to AA in SNP rs260674 is 0.190 times (p-value = 0.041) less likely to get prominent antihelix folding.
The highest statistical significance was obtained for seven SNPs (rs17023457, rs7567615, rs1960918, rs9866054, rs10192049, rs13427222, rs1878495) which explains variation in antihelix superior crus. The individual genotype change from AA to GG in rs7567615 is 2.182 times (p-value = 0.031) and from CC to TT in rs1960918 is 3.420 times (p-value = 0.005) more likely to have extended antihelix superior crus. The individual genotype change from CC to CT in rs17023457 is 0.232 times (p-value = 0.027), from AA to GG in rs9866054 0.393 times (p-value = 0.048), from GG to AG in SNP rs1342722 0.260 times (p-value = 0.238), from GG to AA in rs10192049 0.391 times (p-value = 0.028), from GG to AA in rs13427222 0.267 times (p-value = 0.037) and from AA to CC in rs1878495 0.444 times (p-value = 0.048) less likely to get prominent antihelix superior crus.
Two SNPs (rs13397666, rs260674) were significantly associated with Darwin tubercle. The individuals’ genotype change from GG to AG which is rs1339766 is 3.471 times (p-value = 0.049) more likely to have prominent Darwin tubercle. The genotype change from GG to AA in rs260674 is 0.125 times (p-value = 0.029) less likely to get prominent Darwin tubercle. Three genetic predictors (rs7428, rs2080401, rs7873690) were significantly associated with crus helix expression. The individuals genotype change from CC to CT in rs7428 is 0.528 times (p-value = 0.036), from CC to AA in rs2080401 is 0.510 times (p-value = 0.048) and from TT to CC in rs7873690 is 0.476 times (p-value = 0.048) less likely to get extended crus helix expression. Two SNPs (rs263156, rs1878495) were significantly associated with ear protrusion. The genotype changed from AA to CC in rs1878495, with 0.474 times (p-value = 0.041) and from AA to CC in rs263156 with 0.474 times (p-value = 0.041) less likely to get large protrusion. The complete details of Table 2 are discussed in the supplementary material of Table S2.

Prediction modelling accuracy

The predictive model calculated probability of belonging to a particular class. A cutoff value was selected between 0 and 1, and if the calculated probability was over that threshold, the observation was assigned to the class. Overall excellent prediction accuracy of the multinomial model reached the value of AUC = 0.956 for lobe size, AUC = 0.9245 for Darwin tubercle, AUC = 0.915 for superior helix rolling and AUC = 0.8845 for superior helix rolling. The highest prediction accuracy of the model was obtained for posterior helix rolling AUC = 0.884, for crus helix expression AUC = 0.8611, for ear protrusion AUC = 0.853, for lobe attachment AUC = 0.852, for antitragus size AUC = 0.845 and for antihelix superior crus AUC = 0.8045. The reasonably good prediction accuracies were for antihelix folding AUC = 0.796 and tragus size = 0.7768 shown in Fig. 5.
Sensitivity is a proportion of true positive identified correctly. The highest sensitivity of the model was observed for medium lobe size (76.9%), free ear lobe (76.9%), absent antitragus (78.2%), large tragus (65.7%), under folded posterior helix rolling (76.25%), under folded superior helix rolling (61.75%), under folded antihelix folding (68.025%), extended antihelix superior crus (63.83%), absent Darwin tubercle (61.75%) and large crus helix (63.3%) individuals. The lowest sensitivity of the models was obtained for attached ear lobes (24.1%), average antitragus (19.4%), average tragus (37%), partial posterior helix rolling individuals (18.3%), partial folded superior helix rolling individuals (27.1%), medium crus helix (30.8%), average antihelix superior crus (33.7%), average Darwin tubercle individuals (27.1%), medium crus helix (30.8%) and medium protruding ear individuals (31.02%). Intermediate sensitivity was obtained for average attachment (56.8%), absent tragus (49.2%), over folded posterior helix (56.3%), over folded superior helix rolling (60.1%), over folded antihelix folding (57.3%), flat antihelix superior crus (53.38%), prominent Darwin tubercle (60.1%), small crus helix (56.8%) and flat ear (48.82%) individuals as shown in Table 3. The details are shown in the supplementary file Table S3.
Table 3
Accuracy of prediction modeling
Model
Phenotype
Sensitivity%
Specificity%
PPV%
NPV%
Multinomial
Small lobe size
56.8
81.5
62.3
77.8
Medium lobe size
76.9
50.3
63
66.3
Large lobe size
18.1
99.1
56.7
90.4
Attached ear lobe
24.1
99.1
56.7
90.4
Average attachment
56.8
81.5
62.3
77.8
Free ear lobe
76.9
50.3
63
66.3
Absent antitragus
78.2
51.6
64.3
67.6
Average antitragus
19.4
95.8
58
91.7
Large antitragus
58.1
82.8
63.6
79.1
Absent tragus
49.2
73.95
59
76.95
Average tragus
37
89.65
56.8
83.7
Large tragus
65.7
64.85
61.3
71.1
Under folded posterior helix
76.25
50.2
62.8
65.55
Partial folded posterior helix rolling
18.3
96.8
54.65
90.65
Over folded posterior helix rolling
56.3
81.1
61.6
77.5
Underfolded superior helix rolling
61.75
61.375
60.15
70.225
Partial folded superior helix rolling
27.1
93.725
54.05
86.65
Over folded superior helix rolling
60.1
72.125
60.45
73.5
Underfolded antihelix folding
68.025
55.0875
60.725
66.8625
Partially folded antihelix folding
22.15
95.7625
52.675
88.125
Over folded antihelix folding
57.3
75.7625
60.025
74.7
Flat antihelix superior crus
53.38
69.76
59.38
74.71
Average antihelix superior crus
33.7
91.01
55.88
84.68
Extended antihelix superior crus
63.83
67.28
61.02
71.9
Absent Darwin tubercle
61.75
61.38
60.15
70.23
Average Darwin tubercle
27.1
93.73
54.05
86.65
Prominent Darwin tubercle
60.1
72.13
60.45
73.5
Small Crus helix expression
60.56
65.92
61.36
73.96
Medium crus helix expression
30.68
91.71
58.09
86.96
Large crus helix expression
63.3
72.01
62.66
74.5
Flat ear
48.82
67.96
60.3
75.43
Medium protrusion
31.02
90.11
58.02
85.19
Large protrusion
64.51
66.97
62.33
72.78
However, on the contrary, the highest specificity large lobe size individuals (99.1%), attached ear lobes individuals (99.1%), average antitragus size (95.8%), average tragus size (89.65%), partial folded posterior helix rolling (96.8%,) partial folded superior helix rolling (93.725%) and partial folded antihelix folding prediction were recorded (95.7625%); average antihelix superior crus (91.01), average Darwin tubercle (93.73%) and medium crus helix were recorded (91.71%) and medium protrusion individuals (90.1%). Lowest specificity was observed for medium lobe size, 50.3% for free ear lobes, 51.6% for absent antitragus, 64.85% for large tragus, 50.2% for under folded posterior helix rolling, 61.375% for under folded superior helix rolling, 55.0875% for under folded antihelix folding, 67.28% for extended antihelix superior crus, 61.38% for absent Darwin tubercle, 65.92% for small crus helix expression and 66.97% for large protruding subjects as shown in Table 3.

Discussion

Our phenotypic characteristics were comparable with previous studies [16, 52]. The Ear-Plex was designed on a similar pattern to IrisPlex and HIrisPlex-S [60] [29]. It was verified that all SBE primers worked correctly by executing a single Plex extension reaction with the corresponding template PCR product. This step was important when considering low-level peak height that may be susceptible to dropout when multiplexed as demonstrated in previous studies [61]. DNA input around 5 ng in assays was reported previously in studies [31]. We did not prefer to use very low concentrations of DNA to avoid heterozygote imbalance and allelic dropout issues [20]. Some of the obtained allelic peak height imbalances were as expected which is influenced by differences in intensity levels of the four fluorescence dyes used to label the four bases in the primer extension reaction of the SNaPshot™ chemistry. This is unavoidable unless moving away from fluorescence-based SNP-typing technologies [22].The high peak height was resolved by reducing the concentration of the respective primer. Minor shifts in the electrophoretic mobility were observed due to the incorporated base at the end of each probe and to the POP-7™ polymer. However, these shifts did not interfere with the analysis because poly-T tails increased probe spacing as consistent with other reported studies [22]. A few samples evidenced one PCR product peak with more than one colour due to pull-ups. The peak in blue produced a secondary peak in black or green; this problem is probably due to bleed-through.
We use same SNPs for multiple phenotype variants because a single SNP can affect multiple phenotypes. The proposed method elucidates the underlying associations. Their genetic underpinnings were highlighted as those SNPs were related to the same trait of interest and that is ear morphologies. It gives insights to SNP-phenotype associations and helps to find pleiotropic loci as well.
The individual’s genotype change from GG to AA in rs13427222 was 0.246 times (p-value = 0.022) less likely to have free lobes. The rs13427222 association with the attached ear lobe was previously reported in another study [16]. The individual genotype change from AA to GG in rs7567615 was 2.454 times (p-value = 0.020) more likely to cause superior helix rolling as was previously reported [16]. The possible reason might be that these genetic variations are common in the Asians, Americans and Europeans. As Europeans are considered genetically closer to Pakistanis, we hypothesized that some of the previously reported loci of ear morphology might also be associated with ear morphology in the Punjabi Pakistani population [62, 63]. Our other eighteen variants are linked to different ear phenotypes compared to the phenotypes reported by Adhikari et al. Compared to our methodology, the study reported by Adhikari et al. used a different methodology to link the ear phenotypes to the genetic variants [16]. This suggests that further validation through functional studies would be required to confirm the link of the genetic variants to the predicted phenotypes in the Punjabi population of Pakistan. The statistical non-significance of SNPs for the trait of interest suggests that those SNPs might not play a role in Pakistani population ear morphology and are non-informative. The Punjab population of Pakistan is highly conserved due to consanguinity [64] compared to the European or American admixed populations [65]. The genetic variations may not be common in Asians to account for sample size.
We oversampled young individuals in our study. In the future, however, anthropometric measurements could be taken into account for better accuracies. Analysis of full genes sequences may be important to achieve good accuracy of prediction. Closely related populations may show differences in allele frequencies affecting the significance of certain predictors and consequently affecting prediction results. Therefore, further studies on the prediction models should involve sample sets from various ethnicities in the Punjabis of Pakistanis, which may improve prediction accuracies. An additional argument is including age- and gender-dependent morphological changes in prediction modelling of appearance traits. It is still unclear how sex can affect ear phenotypes.
Based on our data, we proposed p > 0.7 as the optimal threshold which allows for increased prediction accuracy. There are fluctuations in prediction accuracies from excellent prediction, highly predictive and reasonably good predictive phenotypes. This suggests that epigenetic factors, insertion-deletion and repeated variations, pleiotropic and epistasis might be contributing to phenotypic traits. Notably, the higher values of AUC indicate the statistical model being used has higher accuracy because data was split into the training and testing sets to avoid any overfitting. Another possible reason is that as multinomial logistic regression is a useful categorical classifier and has been employed for the prediction of eye, hair and skin colour, there is a real risk of over-fitting data with small sample sizes. It is important to have enough data to avoid overfitting. Future work will be directed on a large sample size to avoid this aspect. The result obtained is a novel step towards providing Pakistan norms including data which provide the medico-legal scientist with robust classification statistics that can be easily applied when they are confronted with ear or ear prints.

Conclusion

Ear morphologies can be predicted from biological samples using multiplex PCR assays combined with SNaPshot™ chemistry and predictive modeling, as developed in this study. A set of 21 SNPs were analysed for association with ear morphologies and revealed significant results. The study confirms independent SNP association for rs13427222 with lobe attachment prediction and rs7567615 with helix rolling in our Punjab population as previously reported in other studies of ear morphologies. However, in our study, the SNaPshot assays are shown to be good predictive for ear phenotypes in the representative Punjabi population of Pakistan. Importantly, the DNA prediction model showed higher accuracy for superior helix rolling, Darwin tubercle and lobe size prediction. Combining these SNPs into one assay for inferring hair, skin, eye colour and ear phenotypes of the Pakistani population simultaneously would be an ideal strategy for developing a phenotypic profile of multiple traits from an unknown source sample.

Key points

1.
We evaluated 21 SNPs for predictive DNA analysis of ear morphologies in the Punjab origin of the Pakistan population.
 
2.
Two multiplex SNaPshot (Plex-1 and Plex-2) assays were developed.
 
3.
Genotype phenotype associations and prediction models were formed.
 

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank Dr. Denise Syndercomb-court for helping with the experiments in Kings Forensic Lab that were undertaken as part of a Ph.D. project and Higher Education commission for International Research Support initiative Program (IRSIP). The authors would like to thank volunteers for giving blood samples and photographs. In addition, thanks to Dr. Ali Ammar, Dr. Midhat Salman and Dr. Asif Farooq for providing the technical assistance on this project and constructive feedback when required.

Declarations

Ethical declarations

All participants gave their informed consent in writing after the study aims, and the procedures were carefully explained to them in their language. The study was approved by the ethical review board of the University of Health Sciences and by the standards of the Declaration of Helsinki.

Conflict of interest

The author declares no competing interests.
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Metadaten
Titel
Evaluation of loci to predict ear morphology using two SNaPshot assays
verfasst von
Saadia Noreen
David Ballard
Tahir Mehmood
Arif Khan
Tanveer Khalid
Allah Rakha
Publikationsdatum
19.11.2022
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Forensic Science, Medicine and Pathology / Ausgabe 3/2023
Print ISSN: 1547-769X
Elektronische ISSN: 1556-2891
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12024-022-00545-7

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