Background
The World Health Organisation declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020, which was caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the resulting coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) [
1]. SARS-CoV-2 appeared to affect children less often during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic due to mostly asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic cases [
2,
3]. However, subsequent studies showed that children are as likely as adults to acquire and transmit SARS-CoV-2 [
4‐
6]. During COVID-19–related lockdown periods, the German government issued, among other non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) (i.e. physical distancing, stay-at-home orders, lockdown of non-essential shops, mandatory mask wearing), the closure of schools and day care centres. Given that all respiratory viruses are transmitted via similar mechanisms – aerosols or droplets – NPI targeting SARS-CoV-2 also had the potential to reduce infections by respiratory viruses other than SARS-CoV-2 [
7‐
10]. In Germany, for example, flu season suddenly stopped in week 14 during winter 2019/20 (after the first COVID-19 lockdown was issued in week 12) [
11], and an almost undetectable flu season followed during winter 2020/21 (in a period of stepwise increasing restrictions) [
12]. In children, studies using data based on hospital records or registers from Australia, Austria, Finland and Japan show that the incidence decreased for different respiratory viruses, e.g. influenza, respiratory syncytial virus and metapneumovirus but not for rhino-/enterovirus and adenovirus during lockdown periods [
8,
13‐
15].
So far, studies have shown reduced frequencies of acute respiratory infections (ARI) and changed viral and bacterial presence during COVID-19 lockdown periods using mostly hospital data or data based on registers from laboratories only. However, most ARI in children are not medically attended [
16], and hospital based studies are related to severe infections, thus most of the ARI among preschool children are not included in previous research. In addition, the viral and bacterial profile might be disrupted in hospital-based studies. Furthermore, during the lockdown period, parents were reported to avoid seeing medical doctors for consultations, possibly further changing the viral spectrum detected in medical settings [
9,
10,
17].
This study aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19–related NPI during the winter period 2020/21 compared to the winter period 2019/20 on the occurrence of all ARI, i.e. also those not medically attended, and the respiratory viral and bacterial presence among 3- and 4-year-old children in a population-based cohort in Germany.
Methods
Study sample
We used data and nasal swabs from the birth cohort study LoewenKIDS (Clinicaltrials.Gov Identifier: NCT02654210) which is described in detail elsewhere [
18]. Briefly, between 2014 and 2018, we enrolled 782 newborns in five German study centres (336 children in Braunschweig, 174 children in Hannover, 97 children in Bremen, 91 children in Munich and 76 children in Halle). During the first six years of their child’s life, parents are asked to fill in a daily symptom diary and take nasal swabs at each event of respiratory symptoms. The Ethics Committees of the Martin Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg (No. 2016-04), the Medical School Hannover (No. 6794) and the Ludwig Maximilian University Munich (No. 445 − 15), Germany approved the study. Parents received detailed information on the objectives of the cohort study and provided written informed consent.
Symptom diary and ARI episode definition
Parents were asked to record symptoms and to rate their severity on a daily basis in a symptom diary. Symptoms included fever, wheezing, cough with sputum (category A) and runny nose or nasal congestion, sore throat, cough, chills, loss of appetite, increased need to sleep, increased attachment (category B) and were classified as previously described [
19]. Participants aged three or four years in the times of interest with at least 80% completeness of daily entries for the symptoms were included in the analysis of the ARI episodes.
Nasal swabs
Parents collected nasal swabs at the beginning of an ARI, which was defined as one or more symptoms of category A or two or more symptoms of category B. Swabs were put in tubes with transport media (eNat or Amies Medium) and transported via regular mail to the laboratory within 48h of collection. Specimens were stored at -80°C until further analysis. We analysed all symptomatic nasal swabs (n = 457) of 206 children aged 3–4 years in the period October 2019 to March 2020 (pre-pandemic period) and all swabs (n = 261) of 162 children aged 3–4 years in the period October 2020 to March 2021 (pandemic period). Participants did not receive the results of the nasal swab testing. There were no restrictions for the selection of nasal swabs regarding the completeness of the symptom diary.
RNA extraction and qPCR analysis
Viral RNA was extracted from 200 μl of nasopharyngeal aspirate specimens using the Quick-DNA/RNATM Viral MagBeadkit (Zymo Research), according to the manufacturer’s instructions. We screened the samples by multiplex PCR with the AllplexTM Respiratory Panel 2–4 and AllplexTM SARS-CoV-2/FluA/FluB/RSV Assay (Seegene Germany GmbH) using the CFX96 Dx System (Bio-Rad). The samples were analysed using the CFX Manager™ Dx Software v3.1 and Seegene Viewer. All assays were carried out as described by the manufacturer’s instructions. The four panels included assays for the following respiratory viruses and bacteria: Influenza A virus (FluA), Influenza B virus (FluB), Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV A & B), Adenovirus (AdV), Enterovirus (HEV), Metapneumovirus (MPV), Parainfluenza 1–4 (PIV1-4), Bocavirus (HBoV), Coronaviruses (229E, OC43, NL63), Rhinovirus (HRV), SARS-CoV-2 (N gene, RdRP gene), Bordetella parapertussis (BPP), Bordetella pertussis (BP), Chlamydophila pneumoniae (CP), Haemophilus influenzae (HI), Legionella pneumophila (LP), Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) and Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP). Invalid samples with negative internal control values (n = 2) were not included in the analysis.
Statistical analysis
R software (Version 4.0.5) was used for data handling and all statistical analyses. For the classification of symptoms and episodes, we used the R-package lkstaR [
20]. Descriptive characteristics were summarised using counts, percentages and means, with a 95% confidence interval (95% CI). For the incidence rate, we divided the number of ARI by the number of person-months in the respective period. We calculated the incidence rate ratio by dividing the incidence rate (number of ARI per person and month) during the pandemic period by the incidence rate of participants during the pre-pandemic period.
Discussion
Our results show that the COVID-19 pandemic-related NPI strongly reduced the number of self-reported ARI in healthy 3- and 4-year-old infants in Germany. NPI suppressed the spread of most seasonal viruses except HRV.
The observed reduction of ARI incidence during the NPI is in line with other studies focusing on the paediatric population in hospitals or using register data [
8,
21,
22]. The reduction is likely to be caused by various NPI, although the impact of individual components is unclear. Respiratory infections, especially in early childhood, are very common and cause not just high socioeconomic burdens [
23] but are also associated with the development of chronic diseases later in life [
24]. However, fewer infections during NPI likely mean a reduced immunity afterwards. In some parts of the world, a strong atypical resurgence of respiratory infections, like RSV, was observed during summer months for children after easing NPI [
25‐
27]. The high proportion of susceptible individuals and the lack of exposure to certain viruses and bacteria could affect timing and severity of future ARI seasons [
28].
We found that the prevalence of viral strains changed before and during NPI with suppression of severe viruses such as FluA + B, PIV1-4, RSV and MPV. The natural season period of some viruses was interrupted through the NPI. For example MPV, which is normally detected in late winter and spring [
29], was no longer detectable during the pandemic period [
30,
31]. However, some studies reported an off-season outbreak of MPV from May to July 2021 [
32,
33]. Similarly, RSV, which mostly occurs between December to March each year [
29], could rarely be found during the pandemic period [
30,
34‐
36]. Many hospitals, however, registered a massive off-season outbreak during summer months [
27,
30,
34]. Interestingly, influenza virus infection incidence remained low during summer months [
37,
38], this could indicate that climatic conditions and seasonality differentially affects the various viruses. In contrast, HRV was less affected by the NPI. HRV infections are highly common in children [
39] and can cause light symptoms, which are usually associated with a common cold [
40]. However, HRV can also cause severe symptoms leading to lower respiratory tract infections such as bronchitis [
41]. In our study, HRV infections usually showed only mild symptoms.
Our findings from a population-based setting are in line with recent reports of registers or hospital data published in various countries which all describe that HRV circulation was unchanged during NPI to control the spread of SARS-CoV-2 [
9,
13,
42,
43], but we also detected similar levels of AdV before and during the pandemic. This suggests that non-enveloped viruses were less affected by NPI. A major reason could be the stability of non-enveloped viruses, (e.g., HRV has been proven to be more resistant to detergents for hand washing [
44] or disinfectants [
45]). HRV and AdV are more effective than other airborne viruses at using the indirect transmission pathway (e.g. hand-to-hand contact followed by self-inoculation) [
46‐
48]. This might explain the high prevalence of HRV in children, as the hygiene behaviour is not yet well established [
49]. However, we detected a strong decline in HEV, which also belongs to the non-enveloped viruses. Thus, a comprehensive explanation of our findings is still lacking, and further research is needed to better understand the circulation of enveloped and non-enveloped viruses during NPI. It has been also proposed that surgical masks might not prevent the transmission of HRV [
50]. On the other hand, it was discussed that HRV might display some form of colonization and thus be present independently of infection symptoms [
51,
52]. If HRV were part of the microbiome, then the fraction of symptomatic swabs without a responsible virus would substantially increase, particularly during the pandemic period when fewer co-detections were present. However, we detected HRV without co-detections in the symptomatic nasal swabs especially during the pandemic period, which points towards HRV being the causative virus in our samples. There is also the possibility that we detected different HRV species. There is evidence that HRV-A and HRV-C are frequently associated with more severe infections, while HRV-B is often associated with asymptomatic infections [
53,
54]. However, we did not analyse the species.
The proportion of viral co-detections before the pandemic was surprisingly high compared to most previous studies where co-detection rates up to 40% [
55,
56] were reported. However, most of those studies were conducted in hospital settings with severely infected children so that virus patterns might be altered compared to the LoewenKIDS’ community setting. In healthy children, higher co-detections may be normal; however, literature about co-detection in community settings is very limited. An explanation for co-detection could be that some viral shedding is prolonged although the infection already passed. It was also shown that some viruses (e.g., HRV) are able to colonise the nasal microbiome and are therefore non-pathogenic [
51,
52]. During the pandemic period, viral co-detection was markedly reduced, which reflects the decline of most viruses.
A recent systematic review and meta-analysis showed that viral co-detections in children do not have an impact on the severity of the disease, where mostly hospital-based studies with clinical outcomes were included [
57]. In our analysis, we also did not observe any change in severity of symptoms.
The bacterial presence was not affected by NPI, which is supported by findings for pneumococcal carriage [
58,
59]. Detection of viral and bacterial strains in the same sample was rather common, and among them, almost all samples yielded bacterial co-detections with SP and HI. Asymptomatic nasopharyngeal carriage in healthy preschool children has been documented, 64% for HI [
60] and at least 50% for SP [
61], meaning that children are mostly colonised with those acting commensals after entering daycare [
62]. Most of the children in our cohort entered day care in the second year of life [
19] potentially explaining the high prevalence of HI and SP in our samples.
Strengths and limitations
This study has several strengths, including the utilisation of data from the prospective, longitudinal birth cohort study LoewenKIDS in a community setting [
63]. Parents reported symptoms on a daily basis making it possible to evaluate the true disease burden, because mild diseases are recorded even if a physician was not consulted. Furthermore, parents provided symptomatic nasal swabs whenever the child had symptoms of ARI. Multiplex PCR including 25 major respiratory viruses and bacteria is unusual for regular care; therefore, our study provides a valuable insight into the viral prevalence of ARI during both winter seasons in a healthy paediatric cohort.
This study also has several limitations. First, we cannot exclude that the NPI and the pandemic situation in general had an impact on our participants. It might be possible that parents were more sensitive to perceive symptoms, and we overestimated the number of ARI during the pandemic period. However, participants of our study have been trained for several years to record symptoms routinely. Second, we included nasal swabs which were taken by the parents of the children and not from a health care worker. However, we provided a detailed description on how to take the swab to minimise individual sample techniques and ensure that detection rates were equal. Third, there were ARI episodes in the symptom diary without nasal swabs, and sometimes parents sent nasal swabs without corresponding entries in the symptom diary. However, the numbers were similar in both periods. ARI characteristics of the episodes with nasal swabs did not differ from the episodes without swabs (data not shown), so the missing information should not have an impact on the results. Fourth, the participants of the LoewenKIDS cohort are mostly well educated and affluent [
13], (e.g., most of the parents have high academic degrees and could probably work in a home office to avoid contact to other people). This does not reflect the majority of the population in Germany, so our results could be biased by the high socio-economic status of our study population.
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