Hepatitis C prevalence in incarcerated settings between 2013–2021: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains a global health problem prompting the World Health Organization (WHO) to define elimination goals by 2030 (by reducing new infections by 90% and mortality by 65%) [1]. One of the key risk groups for HCV infection is people with a history of (injecting) drug use, with the majority having an opioid use disorder [2, 3]. These individuals often have a lower social health status (e.g., low education level, unstable housing) compared to the general population and are often marginalized [4]. Subsequently, they are difficult to reach and have reduced access to healthcare services [5]. Since drug use is illegal in most countries, these individuals are more likely to end up in incarcerated settings. Prior studies indicate that individuals who are incarcerated are more likely to engage in HCV-related risk behavior such as unsterile tattooing, high-risk sexual behavior, and sharing paraphernalia [2, 6]. Worldwide, this has led to an increased prevalence of HCV in individuals who are incarcerated compared to the general population. The prevalence of HCV antibodies (Ab) in closed settings was estimated in 2013 by Larney et al. to be 30% in Western Europe and varied worldwide with prevalences up to 35% in Australia and 38% in Central Asia [6, 7]. In 2016, Dolan et al. showed a decrease in the estimated pooled HCV Ab prevalence in Western European incarcerated settings (15.5%) [6]. In contrast, HCV Ab is present in 2–3% of the global population [8]. Given that at any moment, an estimated 1.6 million people are incarcerated in Europe and even 10.7 million worldwide, individuals who are incarcerated are a key group to combat for HCV elimination [9].

The high occurrence of HCV infection in individuals who are incarcerated and the substantial risks associated with untreated HCV infection underline the need for HCV screening and access to treatment in individuals who are incarcerated [10]. The WHO, therefore, recommends that all individuals who are incarcerated should be tested for HCV at least once during their stay [11]. However, adherence to WHO guidelines for HCV screening in incarcerated settings is currently inadequate. In Europe, only ten (34.4%) of 29 surveyed countries reported HCV screening programs for individuals who are incarcerated in 2010 [10, 12]. Since then, only scarce data on HCV prevalence in individuals who are incarcerated have been published in Europe or other regions [13]. Also, chronic HCV infection leads to cirrhosis and potentially hepatocellular carcinoma if untreated and is one of the leading causes of liver transplantations in high-income countries [14]. However, neither Larney et al. nor Dolan et al. reported data on HCV RNA or HCV genotype. Nevertheless, they suggested that HCV screening and subsequent antiviral treatment in this group of patients is necessary and will reduce the global HCV transmission rate [15, 16].

To determine the extent of the problem and provide guidance to policymakers and public healthcare, a better understanding of the epidemiology of HCV infection in individuals who are incarcerated is necessary. A valuable meta-analysis on HCV prevalence in closed settings worldwide was published in 2013. This review showed high heterogeneity among prevalence estimates from the different data sources [7]. To reach the WHO goals by 2030, we need to systematically map this global health problem in all risk groups, including individuals who are incarcerated.

Elimination of HCV (reducing new infections by 90% and 80% of eligible patients being treated), even in incarcerated settings, is possible as the Trap HepC study from Iceland demonstrates. They offered screening and (simultaneous) treatment for HCV to all individuals who were incarcerated. If released during treatment, the individual who was incarcerated was followed at one of the TraP HepC treatment sites to facilitate the elimination of HCV in formerly incarcerated persons in the community [17].

Therefore, we performed an update and a new systematic review and meta-analysis on HCV in incarcerated settings worldwide. This review will report not only data on HCV Ab but, for the first time, also on HCV RNA and genotype in incarcerated settings. HCV Ab prevalence will shed light on the overall problem and the need for testing and monitoring. HCV RNA prevalence indicates the necessity of antiviral treatment. Genotyping is essential for countries that do not have access to pangenotypic antivirals. Since HIV is a risk factor for HCV, we also aim to assess the extent to which HCV/HIV coinfection is present in incarcerated settings worldwide.

The data search resulted in 306 potential data sources found on Embase, 333 on PubMed, 421 on Scopus, and 409 on Web of Science. The abstracts of these articles were systematically screened. Whereas 1,340 articles were excluded, 129 were thoroughly reviewed. While reviewing these articles, the snowball method was applied and another four articles and two abstracts were included. Twenty-nine articles were identified as reviews or meta-analyses, and 14 articles were duplicates and therefore excluded. This resulted in 90 eligible articles and two abstracts, reporting data for 36 different countries (Fig. 1) [see Additional file A4].

Results of the quality assessment showed that half of the articles were rated A, B1, or B2, respectively 4 (4.3%), 38 (41.3%) and 2 (2.2%). The other half was rated C, D or E, respectively 35 (38.0%), 7 (7.6%) and 6 (6.5%).

The estimated prevalence of HCV Ab ranged from 0.3% to 74.4%. Jaquet et al. (Fig. 2) reported the lowest prevalence in 347 individuals who are incarcerated held in the state prison of Lome, Togo (Table 1) [109]. None of the HCV Ab positives individuals in Lome reported a history of intravenous drug use (IVDU) and information on other transmission routes was unavailable. The same authors found similar results for a prison in Dakar, Senegal (0.6%).

In contrast, the highest prevalence of HCV Ab was reported in Silbernagl et al. in the smallest study, with 133 individuals who are incarcerated receiving opioid agonist therapy (OAT) in four different prisons in Austria [33]. In this study, HCV Ab positivity was related to lifetime IVDU and younger age at first IVDU. The second highest prevalence (60.2%) was found in Ukraine in soon-to-released individuals who are incarcerated [32].

HCV RNA was available in 46/92 (50.0%) sources and ranged from 0% to 56.3% (Fig. 2). The lowest prevalence (0.2%) was reported by do Nascimento et al. in 37,497 individuals who are incarcerated in Brazil. Kivimets et al. reported the highest prevalence among 1,845 newly incarcerated individuals who are incarcerated in Estonia [25, 82]. Only 19 (41.3%) of these articles mentioned the HCV genotypes. The genotypes most frequently reported in incarcerated settings were 1(a) and 3 (Table 2).

The proportion of PWID was studied and reported in 49 articles and ranged from 0.6% to 100% [see Additional file A5]. Thirty-five out of 92 studies reported analyses on risk factors associated with HCV seroprevalence. In 24 of these studies, IVDU was present as a risk factor significantly associated with HCV seroprevalence. HCV Ab prevalence in anincarcerated setting appears to be increased when IDU prevalence is higher within that incarcerated setting [see Additional file A6]. HIV coinfection was reported in 36 sources and varied between 0% in Australia, Belgium, Egypt, Ethiopia, Switzerland, and one study in Missouri, USA, to 42.7% in a Spanish prison [see Additional file A5].

In the meta-analysis, regardless of which transformation was used, I² was high, for example 99.8% (95%CI 99.8–99.8%) when using the double arcsine transformation. In the GLMM, I² was still high (99.9%). Analyses excluding the smallest study (Silbernagl et al., 2018), which had a very high prevalence estimate (72%; 95%CI 64–80%), did not affect the results. This indicates that almost all observed heterogeneity reflects true differences in estimates between studies, and a pooled prevalence estimate cannot be obtained (Fig. 3). Subgroup analyses revealed a significant difference regarding the study region (p = 0.004). Based on results from univariate analyses, study region (p = 0.022), proportion of PWID (p < 0.001), and proportion of males (p = 0.119), as well as their two-way interactions, were included in the multivariable meta-regression model. The final meta-regression model included significant interactions between region and proportion of PWID, as well as between proportion of PWID and proportion of males, and explained 76.0% of the between-study heterogeneity among the 42 studies reporting PWID that were included in this model.

Regarding HCV RNA prevalence in inmates, 46 studies were included in a meta-analysis. I² was 99.8% (95%CI 99.8–99.8%), indicating that almost all observed heterogeneity reflects true differences in prevalence between studies (Fig. 4). Subgroup analyses revealed a significant difference between regions (p < 0.001). Based on results from univariate analyses, study region (p = 0.002), single- vs multi-site study (p = 0.064), proportion HIV (p = 0.001), and proportion of PWID (p < 0.001) would be included in the multivariable meta-regression model. However, due to the limited number of studies reporting on HIV (n = 24) and PWID (n = 22) these were not included in the multivariable model. The final meta-regression model included only region (p = 0.002) and explained 67.1% of the between-study heterogeneity among studies reporting HCV RNA prevalence.

Gathering data on HCV prevalence in different settings is key to tracking the path to micro-elimination by 2030. Micro-elimination is a practical approach involving population segmentation to tailor concentrated elimination efforts to specific subgroups of the population. In addition, mapping the prevalence of HCV RNA is crucial to assess the need for treatment within incarcerated settings. This is the first meta-analysis to determine the HCV RNA prevalence in incarcerated settings worldwide. Despite the efforts, the data were too heterogeneous to establish a reliable pooled prevalence.

As expected, HCV Ab prevalence was higher than in the general population, identifying the population in an incarcerated setting as a risk group to target for micro-elimination. This elevated HCV prevalence could impose a financial burden on the health care system. It is striking that the prevalence of HCV Ab varies widely, even within a region of high-income countries such as Western Europe. The high numbers from Italy, Ireland, Scotland (the United Kingdom), and Sweden stand out. As the studies from Italy and Ireland are monocentric studies, they are not nationally representative. This is confirmed by the fact that the other Italian studies reported a substantially lower prevalence (10.0%-12.7% compared to 22.4%) [41, 42]. In this study, we also attempted to collect data on HCV RNA prevalence in incarcerated settings. However, only half of the studies reported these data, which is important for treatment and ultimately eliminating the virus.

It is crucial to obtain qualitatively strong and thus multicenter data on HCV prevalence that are representative of a country. Just under half of the studies were multicenter, and the quality assessment showed that half of all articles were rated A, B1, or B2.

Reporting HCV genotype is also essential as there are still countries where pangenotypic treatment is not yet available [114]. From the data collected on HCV genotypes, it appears that genotypes 1 and 3 are the most prevalent in an incarcerated setting. This finding supports the argument that HCV in individuals who are incarcerated is acquired primarily by IVDU since genotypes 1a and 3 are more prevalent in the PWID population worldwide than in the general population [115]. HCV/HIV coinfection varied between 0% and 42.7% and was highest in Italy, Estonia, Pakistan, and Spain. Dolan et al. associated higher HIV prevalence within an incarcerated setting with higher prevalence of PWID, but we lack sufficient data to support this argument.

Moreover, treatment for chronic HCV infection in closed settings can be delivered with sustained virologic response rates similar to those in community settings [116]. Treatment in closed settings would benefit individuals who are incarcerated and provide significant public health benefits, including reduced transmission and lowering the disease burden associated with chronic HCV infection. However, the high cost of treatment often remains a burden to implement it widely. After all, it places a heavy financial burden on the healthcare budgets of closed institutions [7].

This meta-analysis has several limitations and demonstrates the pitfalls of this kind of study. First, we only searched for articles published from 2013 onwards. Larney et al. concluded that many countries lacked epidemiological data on the extent of HCV infection in detained populations and that more efforts were needed. The available data were too heterogeneous and would have no added value in the current meta-analysis [7]. In addition, we did not include grey literature or unpublished results. Second, selection bias was a potential problem in some studies due to high non-response rates or flaws in the study design. Further, variables that could explain between-study heterogeneity, such as duration of incarceration, sexual behavior, and the number of previous incarcerations, were not analyzed because consistently reported data were mainly lacking. Thereby, even in the articles mentioning high-risk behavior in incarcerated settings such as IVDU, not everything may have been reported. Given that admitting particular risk behavior may have social implications for the individual who is incarcerated, self-reported data might not be reliable, leading to underreporting of high-risk behavior [115, 117]. As in the study of Larney et al., we could not include data from countries with a large population of incarcerated people, such as China or Russia. This study also did not include information on the incarcerated setting and incarceration policies in a country. These items could explain the wide variation in prevalence between different countries within a given region.

To conclude, HCV in incarcerated settings is still a significant problem with a higher prevalence than in the general population. In addition, data on HCV RNA are scarce, while these data are critical for HCV micro-elimination within the an incarcerated setting. Therefore, more studies need to be conducted to estimate the actual global burden of HCV in incarcerated settings. Future studies should consistently report more information on study design, type and size of the incarcerated setting, specific high-risk population included (e.g., PWID and people living with HIV), and use a better study method (e.g., multicenter and/or multiple sample types) to ensure data quality. Finally, it is of utmost importance to start screening for HCV (Ab and RNA) in incarcerated settings to give clear, reliable and recent figures to plan further treatment. This is all in the context of meeting the 2030 WHO targets which are only less than a decade away.