We constructed an ICI-treated cohort comprising response data and mutational data from four studies (
n = 2069) across 10 cancer types to explore the impact of KMT2 family mutations on clinical outcomes in patients receiving ICI therapy. Patients were divided into the KMT2 (A, B, C, D)-MUT and KMT2-WT groups according to the family or individual KMT2 mutation status. First, we explored the difference in TMB between the KMT2-MUT and KMT2-WT groups in the ICI-treated cohort and found that the KMT2-MUT group had a higher TMB (Fig.
1G); similar results were observed in the KMT2 (A, B, C, D)-MUT group (Fig
S1C). In the TCGA pan-cancer cohort, we found that non-silent and silent mutation rates were higher in the KMT2-MUT (Fig.
1G) and KMT2 (A, B, C, D)-MUT groups compared with the KMT2-WT group (Fig
S1D, E). These results suggested that KMT2-MUT tumors had improved immunogenicity. The mRNA expression levels of three immune checkpoints (PDCD1, CTLA-4, CD274) were compared between the KMT2-MUT and KMT2-WT group, and they were all significantly elevated in the KMT2-MUT group (Fig.
1H). Similar results were observed in the KMT2 (A, B, C, D)-MUT group (Fig
S3A), suggesting that KMT2-MUT tumors might be sensitive to ICI therapy. Moreover, we analyzed clinical outcomes (PFS, OS, DCB, and ORR) in the KMT2-MUT and KMT2-WT groups. The results indicated that the KMT2-MUT group had significantly longer OS (median OS: 34.0 months vs. 16.4 months,
P < 0.001, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.733 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.632–0.850]) and PFS (median PFS: 9.1 months vs. 3.5 months,
P = 0.002, HR = 0.669 [95% CI: 0.518–0.864]) (Fig.
1C, E), and significantly higher ORR (40.6% vs. 22.0%
P < 0.001) and DCB (54.1% vs. 32.6%
P < 0.001) (Fig.
1D, F). Similar results were observed in the KMT2(A, B, C, D)-MUT group (Fig
S3B-E). OS- or PFS-related univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were further conducted, and we found that mutations in the KMT2 family are potential independent predictor for the prognosis of patients receiving ICI therapy (Fig.
1-I, J); similar results were observed in the KMT2 (A, B, C, D)-MUT group (Fig
S4). Using random sampling for 1000 iterations, we analyzed the clinical outcomes (PFS, OS, DCB, and ORR) within each generated internal clinical cohort. Patients in the KMT2-MUT group exhibited longer average median OS (34.00 vs. 16.58 months, HR = 0.574 [95% CI: 0.617–0.877]) and PFS (9.07 vs. 3.55 months, HR = 0.667 [95% CI: 0.498–0.894]), along with higher average ORR (40.6% vs. 22.0%) and DCB (54.4% vs. 33.3%) (Supplementary file
3).