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Erschienen in: Systematic Reviews 1/2017

Open Access 01.12.2017 | Research

A systematic review of the processes used to link clinical trial registrations to their published results

verfasst von: Rabia Bashir, Florence T. Bourgeois, Adam G. Dunn

Erschienen in: Systematic Reviews | Ausgabe 1/2017

Abstract

Background

Studies measuring the completeness and consistency of trial registration and reporting rely on linking registries with bibliographic databases. In this systematic review, we quantified the processes used to identify these links.

Methods

PubMed and Embase databases were searched from inception to May 2016 for studies linking trial registries with bibliographic databases. The processes used to establish these links were categorised as automatic when the registration identifier was available in the bibliographic database or publication, or manual when linkage required inference or contacting of trial investigators. The number of links identified by each process was extracted where available. Linear regression was used to determine whether the proportions of links available via automatic processes had increased over time.

Results

In 43 studies that examined cohorts of registry entries, 24 used automatic and manual processes to find articles; 3 only automatic; and 11 only manual (5 did not specify). Twelve studies reported results for both manual and automatic processes and showed that a median of 23% (range from 13 to 42%) included automatic links to articles, while 17% (range from 5 to 42%) of registry entries required manual processes to find articles. There was no evidence that the proportion of registry entries with automatic links had increased (R 2 = 0.02, p = 0.36). In 39 studies that examined cohorts of articles, 21 used automatic and manual processes; 9 only automatic; and 2 only manual (7 did not specify). Sixteen studies reported numbers for automatic and manual processes and indicated that a median of 49% (range from 8 to 97%) of articles had automatic links to registry entries, and 10% (range from 0 to 28%) required manual processes to find registry entries. There was no evidence that the proportion of articles with automatic links to registry entries had increased (R 2 = 0.01, p = 0.73).

Conclusions

The linkage of trial registries to their corresponding publications continues to require extensive manual processes. We did not find that the use of automatic linkage has increased over time. Further investigation is needed to inform approaches that will ensure publications are properly linked to trial registrations, thus enabling efficient monitoring of trial reporting.
Hinweise

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.​1186/​s13643-017-0518-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Abkürzungen
ICTRP
International Clinical Trial Registry Platform
WHO
World Health Organization

Background

Clinical trial registries were established to improve transparency and completeness in the reporting of clinical trials [16]. Since they were established, a number of policies have been implemented to encourage or mandate their use, and this has led to substantial growth in the number of trials that have been registered [711]. For example, since 2005, prospective trial registration has been a condition for publication in member journals of the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) [1, 12]. The European Union and USA have also passed legislation requiring prospective registration of clinical trials involving drugs or devices [13].
Clinical trial registries provide the ability to measure biases in the reporting of clinical trials that arise due to non-publication, delayed publication, or incomplete publication of results [14]. Studies examining these issues rely on the ability to establish a link between the original trial registration and subsequent published article. These links can be established in an automatic fashion if the publication abstract or metadata includes the registry identifier [15, 16]. However, if this identifier is not included by trial investigators or added by journals, manual processes are needed to create these links, either through searches and inference or through direct contact with investigators. Despite the number of studies that have examined reporting biases by linking trial registry entries and publications, the processes for linking are variable and poorly described.
Clinical trial registries are a critical source of information for systematic reviewers who use these registries to augment bibliographic database searches when compiling relevant evidence from clinical trials [1719]. Systematic reviewers may seek to identify links from published trial reports to their respective registry entries to fill in gaps for information that is missing or incompletely reported. They may also independently search trial registries to identify additional trials [20, 21] and follow links from the registry to reports of the trials.
Our aim was to quantify the processes that have been used to link clinical trial registries with published results and to examine the use and utility of automatic linkage over time. To do this, we conducted a systematic review of all studies examining a cohort of clinical trials to identify links from clinical trial registries to bibliographic databases and from bibliographic databases to clinical trial registries, following a published systematic review protocol [22].

Methods

Inclusion criteria and search strategy

We identified all primary studies that examined links between any of the registries in the World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) and published articles in bibliographic databases. Studies were excluded if there was no English-language version, if they did not unambiguously report the total number of clinical trials for which links were identified, if they were reporting on a specific clinical trial, or if the identification of links was not the primary focus of the study. Studies that did not unambiguously report the processes used to identify links were included in the review but excluded from the analyses.
PubMed and Embase were searched from inception to May 27, 2016, [23, 24]. The search strategy was developed with the assistance of a medical research librarian with details described in a previously published protocol [22]. The full version of the search strategy for both databases is provided in additional files (see Additional files 1 and 2). This strategy included searching of all study references to identify any other relevant articles not captured in the original search. Duplicate studies were removed using digital object identifiers and manually comparing titles, authors, publication dates, and article metadata. All identified studies were screened individually by two reviewers for inclusion, and disagreement was resolved through discussion.

Data extraction

Two reviewers evaluated all the included studies to extract relevant information from the studies and resolved ambiguities by discussion. For each study, the following information was extracted: (a) number of reported clinical trials, (b) number of published articles, (c) trial registries used, (d) the study purpose (such as publication bias, outcome reporting bias, or assessing the publication rate of registered trials), (e) application domain (any constraints such as journal lists, conditions, or specialties), (f) processes for identifying links, and (g) proportions of links found using each process.
The processes used to identify links were categorised as one of three types: automatic, inferred, and inquired. Automatic links were defined by any process that used the unique registry identifier to reconcile the link into or from a bibliographic database without the need for a search or inquiry. This included searching PubMed for registry identifiers to find published articles in cohorts of registry entries or using identifiers in the metadata, abstract, or full text of published articles to find registry entries in cohorts of published articles. Inferred links were defined by any manual processes in which investigators searched for matches across databases using characteristics of the trial such as the names of the investigators, titles, and acronyms associated with the trial, location, sample size, or the population, intervention, or measurable outcome information to find a match in a bibliographic database or trial registry. Inquired links were defined by any manual process where the study authors attempted to contact the investigators or authors of a trial to request or confirm the presence or absence of a registry entry or a published article for each included trial.

Data synthesis and analysis

We examined the proportions of links that were identified through each of these three processes. Using the publication year of the studies that used both automatic and manual processes, we applied linear regression to determine whether the utility of the automatic processes—the proportion that were found automatically compared to the proportion that required manual processes—had increased over time. We did not undertake a pooled analysis of the utility of automatic links because many studies did not specify proportions found by each process used and because of the heterogeneity in the study designs. All statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS statistical software version 24.0 (IBM, Armonk, NY).
The protocol for this systematic review was published in 2016 [22] (see Additional file 3). We did not register the systematic review with PROSPERO because it does not directly examine at least one outcome of direct patient or clinical relevance.

Results

The initial search returned 11,986 results (after non-English articles were excluded), which produced 9486 articles after de-duplication (Fig. 1) [25]. A set of 348 studies remained after screening titles and abstracts, and of these, 81 studies were included in the review. One study considered links from both cohorts of registry entries and published articles [15, 26], for a total of 82 analyses. Excluded studies included conference abstracts, studies for which information about the proportions of registry entries or published articles that were identified was ambiguous [2729] and studies that considered reporting biases but could not be included because the linking was atypical or there was no linking performed [3033]. Some studies were excluded because they did not measure links between trial registries and bibliographic databases and, instead, considered links to or from other source of clinical trial information. These included links to or from protocols [3437], conference or meeting abstracts [3842], internal company documents [17], Food and Drug Administration (FDA) documents or new drug approvals [4347], or other databases of published articles [48, 49].

Studies identifying published articles from cohorts of registry entries

We identified 43 studies that examined links to published articles from registries, typically with the aim of examining publication bias or outcome reporting bias (Table 1). The application domains varied by types of studies (e.g., terminated and withdrawn trials [50, 51], trials funded by specific organisations or from certain countries [52, 53]), and by specialty and condition (e.g., paediatric or surgical trials [54, 55]). The most commonly studied registry was ClinicalTrials.gov only (35 studies), followed by some or all the registries of the WHO ICTRP (8 studies). The most commonly examined bibliographic databases were PubMed alone (22 studies), or Embase in combination with PubMed or other bibliographic databases (20 studies). The studies included cohorts of registry entries that ranged in size from 34 to 8907 (median 305) entries. The median proportion of registry entries for which published articles were found was 47%, and these proportions ranged from 4% (2 published articles in a cohort of 46 registry entries) to 76% (47 published articles in a cohort of 62 registry entries).
Table 1
Characteristics of 43 analyses identifying published articles from cohorts of trial registry entries
Study
Registry entry cohort
Published articles found
Trial registries included
Study purpose
Study publication year
Application domain
Proportion of links by process
Hartung [70]
305
110
ClinicalTrials.gov
To determine consistency between registered trials and their publication
2014
Phase III or IV trials
Automatic = 95
Inferred = 15
Ross [51]
677
315
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess the publication of registered trials in ClinicalTrials.gov
2009
Completed trials of phase II or higher
Automatic = 96
Inferred = 215
Inquired = 4 (contact = 117, responded = 44, published = 4)
Bourgeois [71]
546
362
ClinicalTrials.gov
To determine whether funding source of these trials is associated with favorable published outcomes
2010
Anticholesteremics, antidepressants, antipsychotics, proton-pump inhibitors, and vasodilators
Inferred = unknown
Inquired = unknown
Liu [72]
443
156
ANZCTR, ISRCTN, ChiCTR, IRCT, DRKS, NTR, JPRN, SLCTR, CTRI, PACTR, Clinicaltrials.gov.
Publication rate of Chinese Trials in WHO Registries
2010
Trials sponsored by China
Automatic = 103
Inferred = 40
Inquired = 13 (contact = 54, responded = all, published = 1)
Prenner [73]
64
35
Clinicaltrials.gov
To evaluate the rate of publication of registered clinical trials concerning age-related macular degeneration
2009
Muscular degeneration
Automatic = 8
Inferred = 27
Wildt [74]
105
66
ClinicalTrials.gov
To evaluate the adequacy of reporting of protocols for on diseases of the digestive system
2011
Gastrointestinal diseases
Inferred = 66
Gandhi [75]
37
20
ClinicalTrials.gov
To compare the published orthopaedic trauma trials following registration in ClinicalTrials.gov
2011
Orthopaedic trauma
Automatic and Inferred = unknown
Ross [53]
635
432
ClinicalTrials.gov
To review patterns of publication of clinical trials funded by NIH in peer reviewed biomedical journals
2012
NIH-funded trials in biomedical journals
Automatic and Inferred = unknown
Shamliyan [76]
758
212
ClinicalTrials.gov
To examine registration, completeness and publication of children studies
2012
Children studies funded by NIH
Inferred = 212
Vawdrey [77]
62
47
ClinicalTrials.gov
To measure the rate of non-publication and assess possible publication bias in clinical trials of electronic health records
2012
Electronic health record registered in clinicaltrials.gov
Automatic, inferred, and inquired = unknown
Chapman [55]
314
208
ClinicalTrials.gov
To determine the rate of early discontinuation and non-publication of RCTs
2014
Surgery
Inferred = 192
Inquired = 16 (contact = 101, responded = 25, published = 16)
Liu [52]
505
115
All 14 registries in ICTRP and ClinicalTrials.gov
To estimate bias risk and outcome-reporting bias in RCTs of traditional Chinese medicine
2013
Traditional Chinese medicines
Unknown
van de Wetering [26]
599
312
NTR
To evaluate the reporting of trial registration numbers in biomedical publications
2012
Biomedical publications
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Inquired = 0 (contact = 42, responded = 9, published = 0)
Huser [15]
8907
885
ClinicalTrials.gov
Linking ClinicalTrials.gov with PubMed
2013
Interventional phase II or higher clinical trials
Automatic = 885
Stockmann [78]
108
65
ClinicalTrials.gov
To evaluate the publication patterns of obstetric studies registered in ClinicalTrials.gov
2014
Obstetric studies
Automatic = 45
Inferred = 20
Jones [79]
585
414
ClinicalTrials.gov
To estimate the frequency with which results of large randomized clinical trials registered with ClinicalTrials.gov are not available to the public
2013
Interventional RCTs with more than one arm
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Inquired = 4
Riveros [80]
594
297
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess timing and completeness of trial results posted at ClinicalTrials.gov and published in journals
2013
Interventional studies of phase III and IV
Unknown
Korevaar [81]
418
224
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess publication and reporting of test accuracy studies registered in ClinicalTrials.gov
2014
Test accuracy studies
Automatic = 154
Inferred = 64
Inquired = 6 (contact = 175, responded = 119, published = 6)
Munch [82]
391
118
ICTRP, ClinicalTrials.gov
To analyse the perils and pitfalls of constructing a global open-access database of registered analgesic clinical trials
2014
Analgesic clinical trials
Inferred = 118
Hill [54]
90
66
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess the characteristics of paediatric cardiovascular clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov
2014
Pediatric cardiovascular clinical trials
Unknown
Khan [83]
143
95
ClinicalTrials.gov
To examine characteristics associated with the publication and timeliness of publication of RCTs of treatment of rheumatoid arthritis
2014
Rheumatoid Arthritis
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Inquired = 1 (contact = 58, responded = 28, published = 1)
Su [84]
239
88
All 14 registries in ICTRP and ClinicalTrials.gov
Outcome reporting bias
2015
Acupuncture
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Hakala [85]
177
102
ClinicalTrials.gov
To quantify the proportion of trials for unsuccessfully licensed drugs that are not published
2015
Stalled drugs
Automatic = unknown
Inferred = unknown
Inquired = 0 (emails or calls = 42, responded = 9, published = 0)
Pranic [50]
81
21
ClinicalTrials.gov
Outcome reporting bias
2016
Completed RCTs
Inferred = 21
Tang [86]
300
222
ClinicalTrials.gov
Outcome reporting bias
2015
Random sample of phase II or IV trials
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Boccia [87]
1109
120
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess the status of registration of observational studies
2015
Cancer
Inferred = 120
Saito [88]
400
229
ClinicalTrials.gov
To determine publication rates of completed US trials
2014
Interventional studies
Automatic = 126
Inferred = 103
Son [89]
161
62
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess whether there is publication bias in industry funded clinical trials of degenerative diseases of the spine
2015
Diseases of the spine
Inferred = 62
Baudart [90]
489
189
ClinicalTrials.gov
To evaluate the publication rate of observational studies for intervention
2016
Observational studies with safety outcomes
Automatic = 75
Inferred = 99
Inquired = 15 (contact = 241, responded = 52, published = 15)
Chahal [91]
34
20
ClinicalTrials.gov
To determine publication rates of RCTs in sports medicine
2012
Sports medicine
Automatic and Inferred = unknown
Manzoli [92]
355
176
ClinicalTrials.gov, ICTRP, ANZCTR, ChiCTR, Current Control Trails, Clinical Study Register or Indian
To evaluate the extent of non-publication or delayed publication of registered RCTs on vaccines
2014
Vaccines
Automatic = 132
Inferred = 44
Inquired = 0, (contact = 24, responded = 0, published = unknown)
Lebensburger [93]
147
52
ClinicalTrials.gov
To analyse ClinicalTrials.gov for registered sickle cell trials
2015
Sickle cells
Automatic = 28
Inferred = 24
Smith [94]
101
25
ClinicalTrials.gov
Outcome reporting bias
2012
Arthroplasty
Automatic = 10
Inferred = 15
Guo [95]
35
11
ClinicalTrials.gov
To estimate patterns of publication of clinical trials of endometriosis registered in ClinicalTrials.gov
2013
Endometriosis
Inquired = 8
Inferred = 3
Tsikkinis [96]
333
141
ClinicalTrials.gov
To identify all phase III prostate cancer trials in ClinicalTrials.gov with pending results
2015
Prostate cancer
Inferred = 141
Chen [97]
4347
2458
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess publication rate and reporting of results for completed trials
2016
Interventional clinical trials
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Ramsey [98]
2028
357
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess the proportion of registered trials that are published
2008
Oncology
Automatic = 357
Hurley [99]
142
62
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess the delayed publication of clinical trials
2012
Cystic fibrosis
Inferred = 59
Inquired = 3 (contact = 83, responded = 29, published = 3)
Ioannidis [100]
73
21
Cochrane Controlled Clinical Trial Register, ISRCTN, ClinicalTrials.gov, ICTRP, GSK Clinical Study Register, and Indian, ANZCTR, and Chinese Clinical Trial Registries)
To assess publication delay
2011
Influenza A (H1N1) vaccination
Unknown
Ohnmeiss [101]
72
28
ClinicalTrials.gov
To assess the publication of the studies registered on ClinicalTrials.gov.
2015
Spine studies
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Gopal [102]
6251
818
ClinicalTrials.gov
To evaluated the rate of compliance with the FDA mandatory results reporting in clinicaltrials.gov
2012
Interventional studies
Automatic = 818
Lampert [103]
76
40
ClinicalTrials.gov
To determine selective outcome reporting and delay of publication
2015
Epilepsy
Automatic = 32
Inferred = 7
Inquired = 1
Gandhi [104]
46
2
ISRCTN, ClinicalTrials.gov, ANZCTR
To determine the extent to which ongoing and future RCTs in diabetes will ascertain patient-important outcomes
2008
Diabetes
Unknown
The processes used to identify links between clinical trial registries and published articles varied across the set of studies (Figs. 2 and 3). The most common process was to use a combination of automatic and manual processes (24/43, 56%), followed by manual processes only (11/43, 26%), and automatic processes only (3/43, 7%). There were five studies for which the process for identifying published articles was not clear or not provided.
Of the 24 studies that looked for published articles among a cohort of registry entries and used both manual and automatic processes, 12 studies specified the number of published articles identified via each process (Fig. 4). Among these studies, automatic links were used to identify between 13 and 42% (median 23%) of the published articles, and manual processes were used to find a further 5–42% (median 17%) articles that were not available via automatic links.
We found no evidence of a change in the overall proportion of publications that could be found via automatic links. A linear regression over the 12 studies—using the publication year as the independent variable—indicated no significant trend in the proportion of available links that can be identified by automatic processes (R 2 = 0.02, p = 0.36, β = 1.28% increase per year).

Studies identifying registry entries from cohorts of publications

There were 39 studies that considered cohorts of publications and identified associated registry entries in one or more of the WHO ICTRP clinical trial registries (Table 2). These studies included a range of 51–698 (median 181) published articles. These studies also covered a range of application domains, varying by the selection of journal, discipline, or study design [5662]. The most commonly used bibliographic database was PubMed alone (19 studies), followed by PubMed in combination with other bibliographic databases (7 studies). To identify registrations, the studies most commonly searched ClinicalTrials.gov in combination with other registries (25 studies), followed by all trial registries included in the WHO ICTRP (9 studies). The median proportion of registry entries that were identified from cohorts of published articles was 54%, ranging from 10% (8 registrations from a cohort of 83 published articles) to 99% (75 registrations from a cohort of 76 published articles).
Table 2
Characteristics of 39 analyses identifying trial registry entries from cohorts of published articles
Study
Published article cohort
Registry entries found
Trial registries included
Study purpose
Study publication year
Application domain
Proportion of links by process
Mathieu [59]
234
323
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ICTRP, national register based on country of first author
Outcome reporting bias
2009
Cardiology, rheumatology, gastroenterology
Automatic = 205
Inferred = 6
Inquired = 23
Chowers [105]
49
60
Unknown
Outcome reporting bias
2009
Anti-retroviral therapy
Unknown
Rasmussen [60]
54
137
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ICTRP, NCI-PDQ
To determine association of trial registration with the results and conclusions of published trials
2009
Oncology drugs
Inferred = 54
Kunath [58]
63
106
ICTRP
To observe trial registration in urology journals
2011
Urology
Automatic = 48
Inferred = 15
Ewart [56]
135
124
ISRCTN, ClinicalTrials.gov, ANZCTR, EU-CTR, National Research Register
Outcome reporting bias
2009
RCTs in five high-impact factor journals
Unknown
You [106]
215
366
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN
Outcome reporting bias
2011
Oncology drugs
Unknown
Reveiz [109]
89
526
ICTRP
Outcome reporting bias
2012
RCT from Latin America and Caribbean
Unknown
Nankervis [108]
37
109
ICTRP
Outcome reporting bias
2012
Eczema treatment
Automatic = 20
Inferred = 17
Pinto [107]
67
200
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ANZCTR, national register based on country of first author
Completeness of clinical trial registration and the extent of selective reporting of outcomes in published trials
2013
Physical therapy
Automatic = 48
Inferred = 2
Inquired = 17
van de Wetering [26]
185
302
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ICTRP, national register based on country of first author
To determine reporting of trial registration numbers in biomedical publications
2012
RCT from core clinical journals
Automatic = 166
Inquired = 19 (contact = 136, responded = 51, published = 19)
Hannink [110]
218
327
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ANZCTR and others
Outcome reporting bias
2013
Surgical interventions
Automatic = 218
Huser [16]
661
698
ClinicalTrials.gov.gov, ISRCTN
Evaluating adherence to ICMJE policy of mandatory and timely clinical trial registration
2013
Trials published in five ICMJE journals
Automatic = 661
Rosenthal [111]
51
55
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ANZCTR, ChiCTR, UMIN
Outcome reporting bias
2013
Surgery
Automatic, inferred, and inquired = unknown
Hopewell [112]
30
69
Unknown
To observe reporting characteristics of non-primary publications of results of RCTs
2013
RCTs from National Library of Medicine’s set of 121 core clinical journals
Automatic = 30
Babu [113]
121
417
Unknown
To observe clinical trial registration in physical therapy journals
2014
Physical therapy journals
Automatic = 121
Lee [114]
8
83
Unknown
Assessment of compliance of randomized controlled trials in trauma surgery with the CONSORT statement
2013
Trauma surgery
Automatic = 8
Li [115]
252
305
ClinicalTrials.gov, Current Controlled Trials, NTR, ANZCTR, UMIN CTR
Outcome reporting bias
2013
Gastroenterology and herpetology
Automatic = 212
Inferred = 40
Norris [116]
50
107
ICTRP
To determine selective outcome reporting
2013
Pharmacotherapy
Automatic = 30
Inferred = 20
Hardt [117]
85
103
ICTRP(ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, EU-CTR, NTR, ANZCTR, DRKS, JPRNUMIN, ChiCTR, CTRI), Belgian register
To determine whether the results of registered surgical RCTs are published in journals requiring registration
2013
Ten highest rank surgery journals
Automatic = 68
Inferred = 17
Anand [118]
133
197
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ANZCTR
To determine the registration and design alterations of clinical trials in clinical care
2014
RCT in clinical care medicine
Automatic = 105
Inferred = 28
Mann [119]
140
220
ICTRP
To assess the registration status of RCTs and analyse the correspondence of registered outcomes with published outcomes
2014
Clinical geriatrics
Unknown
Walker [120]
75
76
ISRCTN, ClinicalTrials.gov, national register based on country of first author
Outcome reporting bias
2014
RCTs published in British Medical Journal and the Journal of American Medical Association
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Dekkers [121]
29
54
ICTRP
To compare non-inferiority margins defined in study protocols and trial registry records with margins reported in subsequent publications
2015
Non-inferiority trials submitted 2001–2005 to ethics committees in Switzerland and Netherlands
Automatic and inferred = unknown
Østervig [122]
85
200
ISRCTN, IRCT, EU-CTR, ChiCTR, CRiS, UMIN CTR, ClinicalTrials.gov
To check registration of randomized clinical trials
2015
Trials in Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica
Automatic = 85
Scott [62]
160
181
ISRCTN, NTR, ANZCTR, ClinicalTrials.gov, national register based on country of first author
Selective outcome reporting
2015
Psychiatry journals
Automatic = 150
Inferred = 6
Inquired = 4
De Oliveira [123]
107
201
ISRCTN, ClinicalTrials.gov, ICTRP
Outcome reporting bias
2015
Anaesthesiology
Automatic, inferred, and inquired = unknown
Rayhill [61]
58
225
ClinicalTrials.gov and others
To assess the registration status of RCTs and analyse the correspondence of registered outcomes with published outcomes
2015
Core headache medicine journals
Automatic = 58
Dal-Ré [124]
175
178
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ANZCTR, NTR, EU-CTR, CTRI, DRKS
To evaluate adherence to ICMJE policy on prospective trial registration
2016
Trials in high-impact journals
Unknown
Reveiz [125]
52
144
Registered in any international clinical trial registry
To evaluate the influence of trial registration on reporting quality of RCTs
2010
Highest rank journals
Unknown
Rongen [126]
90
362
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ANZCTR, NTR and others
Outcome reporting bias
2016
Orthopedic surgical interventions
Automatic = 90
Harriman [57]
105
108
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ANZCTR, UMIN CTR, NTR, ChiCTR, IRCT
To assess trial registration, analysis of prospective versus retrospective registration
2016
Clinical trials published in the BMC series
Automatic = 105
Inquired = 0
Vera-Badillo [129]
30
164
ClinicalTrials.gov
Outcome reporting bias
2013
Breast cancer
Automatic and inferred = unknown
McGee [128]
74
307
ICTRP
To determine whether trial is registered and declared registration in the publication
2016
Kidney transplantation
Automatic = 44
Inferred = 30
Huić [127]
149
152
ClinicalTrials.gov
To determine completeness and outcome reporting bias
2011
RCTs published in ICMJE journals
Automatic = 149
Chan [34]
519
553
Unknown
Outcome reporting bias
2005
RCTs indexed in PubMed
Inferred and inquired = unknown
Korevaar [130]
52
351
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, national register based on country of first author
To identify the proportion of articles for which the corresponding study had been registered
2014
Test accuracy studies
Automatic = 27
Inferred = 11
Inquired = 14 (contact = 324, responded = 187, published = 14)
Jones [131]
57
123
ClinicalTrials.gov, ISRCTN, ICTRP, national register based on country of first author
Outcome reporting bias
2012
Emergency
Automatic = 23
Inferred = 34
Smaïl-Faugeron [132]
73
317
ICTRP
To assess the registration rate of RCTs
2015
Oral health
Automatic = 50
Inferred = 23
Riehm [133]
40
76
ISRCTN, ClinicalTrials.gov, ICTRP
Outcome reporting bias
2015
Psychosomatic and behavioral health
Automatic = 33
Inferred = 7
The processes used to identify links between clinical trial registries and published articles varied across the set of studies (Figs. 2 and 3). The most common process was to use a combination of automatic and manual processes (21/39, 54%), followed by automatic processes only (9/39, 23%), and manual processes only (2/39, 5%). There were 7 studies for which the processes used to identify registry entries were not clear or not provided.
Of the 21 studies that looked for registry entries among a cohort of published articles and used both manual and automatic processes, 16 reported the number of registry entries found using each process (Fig. 4). Among these studies, automatic links identified between 8 and 97% (median 49%) of registry entries and the manual processes identified between 0 and 28% (median 10%) additional entries.
We found no evidence of a change in the overall proportion of published articles for which registry entries could be found via automatic links. A linear regression over the 16 studies—using the publication year as the independent variable—indicated no significant trend in the proportion of links that can be identified via automatic processes (R 2 = 0.01, p = 0.73, β = 1.40% increase per year).

Discussion

In this systematic review, we found that investigators use both automatic and manual processes to link registry entries and publications and that automatic links could be used to identify some but not all links between registry entries and published articles. We found no evidence that the utility of automatic processes had increased over time.
To the best of our knowledge, no other systematic review has examined the utility of automatic links between trial registries and bibliographic databases. Previous studies that examined the availability of automatic links provided a broad analysis of automatic links made available through ClinicalTrials.gov and PubMed but did not systematically evaluate the proportion of links that could additionally be resolved using manual processes [15, 16, 63]. Other systematic reviews have examined reporting biases as a topic and included subsets of the studies we included [14, 64], but focused on publication rates and the completeness and consistency of outcome reporting, which we did not evaluate here. Our review adds to this area of research by compiling information about a broader group of studies and synthesising what is known about the utility of automatic links, and the need for supplementing automatic processes with manual processes, in studies that rely on links between trial registries and bibliographic databases.

Implications

Our results indicate that automatic links alone are a useful but not sufficient process for measuring rates of registration and publication or associated biases. Relying on automatic links to draw conclusions about the rate of non-publication will likely over-estimate the rate of non-publication. When aiming to monitor compliance with prospective registration of clinical trials, or monitoring publication practices and patterns, the limits of automatic links should be considered.
In general, the proportion of links identified by automatic processes was lower in studies that started with a cohort of registry entries and aimed to identify published articles, compared to studies that started with a cohort of published articles, and aimed to identify registrations. This may be a consequence of journals that have not yet established standards for registration [65] or have not implemented standards for incorporating registry identifiers in the information they pass to bibliographic databases.
The results also have implications for systematic reviews. Systematic review technologies for automating or supporting reviewers rarely consider information from clinical trial registries to improve the searching or screening processes [66] or the prioritisation or scheduling of systematic review updates. Because systematic reviews are already time-consuming [67, 68], the need for additional manual effort in the linking of trial registry entries with their published results may have hindered the development of tools based on this linkage. Areas for development include processes where systematic reviewers compare published reports with information in a registry or use trial registries to identify trials not found in bibliographic databases. By removing these barriers, machine-readable information linking all published studies with all registry entries may provide the catalyst for the increased use of registries in the searching, screening, and prioritising of systematic reviews.

Recommendations

We recommend continued pressure to ensure that journals and publishers adhere to standards of reporting that require unique trial identifiers to be specified in the abstract of the article and reported as part of the metadata provided to bibliographic databases. Trial investigators should also be encouraged to update registry entries with links to published results when journals do not provide the information to bibliographic databases. As we move into an era where the structured reporting of clinical trial results and individual participant data become the standard for responsible clinical trial reporting [69], the inability to automatically identify all sources of information about a clinical trial hinders our ability to reuse and synthesise results across trials. Given the number of extra links that could be identified by examining the full text of articles, we also recommend that journals ensure that clinical trial identifiers are included in the abstract or metadata provided to bibliographic databases.
We additionally recommend a standardised method for identifying links between registry entries and published articles that, for the time being, includes manual validation and checking and avoids drawing conclusions based only on automatic links. A standardised method should include details about what elements of a registry entry should be used to search for published articles and a standard definition for what constitutes published results. Standard reporting for these studies should include the number of registry entries for which searches were performed, the proportion that were identified by automatic links, by inference or by inquiry, and the full details of the dates of trial completion and the length of follow-up. Presenting studies in terms of the time to publication rather than the presence or absence of publication would make a greater proportion of the studies comparable and amenable to meta-analysis.

Limitations

There are two limitations to this review. First, the exclusion of studies for which there was no English language version available meant that we may have missed some studies examining WHO ICTRP registries from countries where English is not the primary language. Second, we used the publication year of the studies as a proxy for estimating changes in the proportions of links identified by each process without considering the period of study that each of the studies covered. This was necessary because a substantial proportion of studies did not report the range and distribution of publication and registration dates in the cohorts they examined, and this may have influenced our analysis of the trends in the utility of the automatic processes.

Conclusions

In this systematic review, we have quantified the use and utility of the processes that are used to link trial registries to bibliographic databases. The results indicate that manual processes are still used extensively and that the gap between what can be identified via automatic processes and what must be identified via manual processes persists. Future improvements in the quality of automatic linking between clinical trial registries and bibliographic databases should come from continued pressure on journals to enforce policies and practices to consistently include registry identifiers in published reports.

Acknowledgements

Not applicable.

Funding

RB is supported by a Macquarie University Postgraduate Scholarship. AD and FB report funding from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (R03HS024798).

Availability of data and materials

All data generated or analysed during this study are included in this published article and its Additional files 1, 2, and 3.

Authors’ contributions

RB and AD drafted the manuscript, conducted the review, critically revised the manuscript, and approved the final version. FB critically revised the manuscript and approved the final version. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://​creativecommons.​org/​licenses/​by/​4.​0/​), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://​creativecommons.​org/​publicdomain/​zero/​1.​0/​) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
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Metadaten
Titel
A systematic review of the processes used to link clinical trial registrations to their published results
verfasst von
Rabia Bashir
Florence T. Bourgeois
Adam G. Dunn
Publikationsdatum
01.12.2017
Verlag
BioMed Central
Erschienen in
Systematic Reviews / Ausgabe 1/2017
Elektronische ISSN: 2046-4053
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13643-017-0518-3

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