Background
Methods
Data and population
Variables and definitions
Ethical approval
Statistical analyses
Results
Characteristic | Nulliparous, n = 259,736 |
pvalue* | Multiparous, n = 360,727 |
pvalue* | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CS, n = 51,511 (19.8%) | Vaginal birth, n = 208,225 | CS, n = 47,271 (13.1%) | Vaginal birth, n = 313,456 | |||
Planned CS, n (% of CSs) | 15,420 (29.9) | NA | 26,987 (57.1) | NA | ||
Non-planned CS, n (% of CSs) | 36,091 (70.1) | NA | 20,284 (42.9) | NA | ||
Mean number of prior births (SD) | NA | NA | 1.7 (1.3) | 1.8 (1.5) | ≤ 0.001 | |
Mean maternal age, years (SD) | 29.0 (5.5) | 27.0 (5.1) | ≤ 0.001 | 32.4 (5.1) | 30.8 (5.0) | ≤ 0.001 |
Maternal age, years % | ≤ 0.001 | ≤ 0.001 | ||||
< 20 | 3.5 | 6.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ||
20-29 | 51.6 | 63.4 | 28.8 | 40.5 | ||
30-39 | 41.4 | 28.8 | 62.8 | 54.6 | ||
40 or more | 3.5 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 4.5 | ||
Mean gestational age, weeks (SD) | 39.4 (2.4) | 39.9 (1.7) | ≤ 0.001 | 38.8 (2.3) | 39.9 (1.6) | ≤ 0.001 |
Mean birth weight, g (SD) | 3398 (710) | 3439 (500) | ≤ 0.001 | 3492 (720) | 3524 (509) | ≤ 0.001 |
Birth weight, g% | ≤ 0.001 | ≤ 0.001 | ||||
< 3000 | 22.3 | 16.0 | 18.1 | 9.1 | ||
3000-3499 | 29.8 | 37.9 | 28.2 | 29.1 | ||
3500-3999 | 30.0 | 34.4 | 31.6 | 39.7 | ||
4000 or more | 17.9 | 11.7 | 22.1 | 22.1 | ||
Male fetal sex % | 53.8 | 50.6 | ≤ 0.001 | 52.4 | 51.0 | ≤ 0.001 |
Smoking status % | ≤ 0.001 | ≤ 0.001 | ||||
Non-smoking | 80.9 | 80.3 | 82.8 | 84.2 | ||
Quit smoking during 1st trimester | 5.0 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 2.3 | ||
Smoking after 1st trimester | 11.7 | 12.6 | 11.0 | 10.6 | ||
Missing information | 2.4 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | ||
Married or living with a partner % | 91.3 | 90.5 | ≤ 0.001 | 95.0 | 95.2 | 0.07 |
Socioeconomic status % | ≤ 0.001 | ≤ 0.001 | ||||
Upper white-collar workers | 8.9 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 8.5 | ||
Lower white-collar workers | 34.2 | 31.3 | 38.6 | 36.3 | ||
Blue-collar workers | 13.9 | 13.7 | 15.5 | 15.0 | ||
Othersa
| 24.2 | 27.7 | 21.7 | 25.0 | ||
Missing information | 18.8 | 19.5 | 15.4 | 15.2 | ||
Mean body mass index (SD) | 24.8 (5.0) | 23.5 (4.3) | ≤ 0.001 | 25.9 (5.5) | 24.4 (4.7) | ≤ 0.001 |
Induction % | 19.1 | 16.2 | ≤ 0.001 | 9.1 | 17.1 | ≤ 0.001 |
Preeclampsia % | 3.3 | 0.3 | ≤ 0.001 | 4.3 | 1.1 | ≤ 0.001 |
Gestational diabetes % | 11.3 | 6.7 | ≤ 0.001 | 19.7 | 12.1 | ≤ 0.001 |
Maternal diabetes mellitus % | 9.1 | 4.7 | ≤ 0.001 | 15.7 | 8.9 | ≤ 0.001 |
In vitro fertilization (IVF) % | 3.4 | 1.9 | ≤ 0.001 | 1.5 | 0.7 | ≤ 0.001 |
Placental abruption % | 83.5 | 16.5 | ≤ 0.001 | 78.0 | 22.0 | ≤ 0.001 |
Placenta previa % | 78.2 | 21.8 | ≤ 0.001 | 81.4 | 18.6 | ≤ 0.001 |
Fear of childbirth % | 6.5 | 2.0 | ≤ 0.001 | 15.3 | 4.1 | ≤ 0.001 |
Prior terminations % | 12.3 | 11.1 | ≤ 0.001 | 14.9 | 13.3 | ≤ 0.001 |
Prior miscarriages % | 15.2 | 12.2 | ≤ 0.001 | 29.3 | 26.0 | ≤ 0.001 |
Prior caesarean section % | NA | NA | 64.3 | 11.1 | ≤ 0.001 | |
Time period % | 0.18 | ≤ 0.001 | ||||
2000-2003 | 19.7 | 80.3 | 13.3 | 86.7 | ||
2004-2007 | 19.8 | 80.2 | 13.2 | 86.8 | ||
2008-2010 | 20.0 | 80.0 | 12.7 | 87.3 |
Characteristic | Nulliparous women | Multiparous women | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Planned CS, n = 14,514 | Non-planned CS, n = 33,873 | Planned CS, n = 26,132 | Non-planned CS, n = 19,555 | |
aOR (95% CI) | aOR (95% CI) | aOR (95% CI) | aOR (95% CI) | |
Maternal age (years) | ||||
< 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 1.35 (1.23-1.49) | 1.56 (1.46-1.67) | 1.34 (0.97-1.85) | 1.08 (0.81-1.44) |
30-39 | 2.39 (2.17-2.64) | 2.54 (2.37-2.72) | 1.94 (1.40-2.69) | 1.37 (1.03-1.83) |
40 or more | 4.85 (4.23-5.55) | 4.14 (3.75-4.58) | 2.74 (1.97-3.81) | 1.83 (1.36-2.46) |
Birth weight (g) | ||||
<3000 | 1.56 (1.48-1.64) | 1.69 (1.64-1.75) | 1.49 (1.42-1.57) | 3.49 (3.33-3.65) |
3000-3499 | 1.20 (1.15-1.26) | 1 | 1.30 (1.26-1.35) | 1.09 (1.05-1.14) |
3500-3999 | 1 | 1.27 (1.23-1.31) | 1 | 1 |
4000 or more | 1.47 (1.39-1.56) | 2.24 (2.16-2.33) | 1.13 (1.06-1.21) | 1.46 (1.40-1.52) |
Male fetal sex | 0.94 (0.91-0.98) | 1.20 (1.67-1.22) | 1.04 (1.01-1.07) | 1.20 (1.17-1.24) |
Smoking status | ||||
Non-smoking | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Quit smoking during 1st trimester | 1.06 (0.98-1.13) | 1.07 (1.01-1.13) | 1.07 (0.97-1.18) | 1.18 (1.07-1.31) |
Smoking after 1st trimester | 0.94 (0.89-1.00) | 1.10 (1.06-1.15) | 1.01 (0.96-1.06) | 1.00 (0.95-1.06) |
Missing information | 1.36 (1.21-1.52) | 1.15 (1.06-1.25) | 1.41 (1.30-1.53) | 1.17 (1.07-1.28) |
Single (ref married/living with a partner) | 0.93 (0.87-0.99) | 0.99 (0.95-1.03) | 1.02 (0.95-1.10) | 1.12 (1.04-1.20) |
Socioeconomic status | ||||
Upper white collar workers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Lower white collar workers | 1.09 (1.02-1.16) | 1.05 (1.00-1.10) | 1.17 (1.11-1.24) | 1.07 (1.00-1.11) |
Blue collar workers | 1.03 (0.95-1.11) | 1.07 (1.01-1.13) | 1.16 (1.09-1.24) | 1.15 (1.07-1.23) |
Othersa
| 0.95 (0.89-1.02) | 0.93 (0.88-0.97) | 0.98 (0.92-1.04) | 0.92 (0.87-0.98) |
Missing information | 0.96 (0.89-1.03) | 1.01 (0.96-1.06) | 1.13 (1.06-1.21) | 1.08 (1.01-1.15) |
Induction | NA | 1.64 (1.59-1.68) | NA | 0.97 (0.94-1.01) |
Preeclampsia | 6.41 (5.53-7.44) | 11.77 (10.62-13.04) | 1.04 (0.96-1.14) | 2.12 (1.95-2.30) |
Gestational diabetes | 0.55 (0.49-0.62) | 1.34 (1.26-1.43) | 1.07 (1.01-1.15) | 1.39 (1.30-1.48) |
Maternal diabetes mellitus | 3.95 (3.51-4.46) | 1.14 (1.06-1.23) | 1.66 (1.54-1.78) | 1.06 (0.98-1.15) |
Fear of childbirth | 7.99 (7.53-8.48) | 1.58 (1.48-1.70) | 5.05 (4.83-5.28) | 1.67 (1.58-1.78) |
Placental abruption | NA | 29.42 (24.22-35.74) | NA | 61.78 (52.87-72.20) |
Placenta previa | 25.35 (20.56-31.25) | 8.05 (6.46-10.04) | 39.65 (32.73-48.04) | 22.41 (18.46-27.20) |
In vitro fertilization (IVF) | 1.25 (1.13-1.38) | 1.25 (1.16-1.34) | 1.49 (1.30-1.72) | 1.86 (1.63-2.12) |
Prior terminations | 1.02 (0.97-1.08) | 1.09 (1.05-1.13) | 1.10 (1.05-1.15) | 1.10 (1.05-1.15) |
Prior miscarriages | 1.16 (1.10-1.22) | 1.12 (1.08-1.16) | 0.99 (0.96-1.03) | 1.00 (0.96-1.03) |
Prior caesarean section | NA | NA | 20.60 (19.97-21.24) | 8.32 (8.06-8.60) |
Time period | ||||
2000-2003 | 1.40 (1.34-1.47) | 0.94 (0.92-0.97) | 1.55 (1.49-1.61) | 1.02(0.98-1.06) |
2004-2007 | 1.21 (1.16-1.27) | 0.95 (0.92-0.98) | 1.22 (1.18-1.27) | 1.03 (0.99-1.07) |
2008-2010 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model 1 crude | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adjusted by maternal age | Adjusted by Model 2 + prior CSa
| Adjusted by Model 2 + birth weight | Adjusted by Model 2 + smoking | Adjusted by Model 2+ prior CSa, birth weight and smoking | ||
Planned CS | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) |
Nulliparous women
| ||||||
SES | ||||||
Upper white collar workers | 1 | 1 | NA | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Lower white collar workers | 0.93 (0.87-0.98) | 1.13 (1.07-1.21) | 1.13 (1.06-1.20) | 1.13 (1.06-1.20) | 1.12 (1.05-1.19) | |
Blue collar workers | 0.79 (0.74-0.85) | 1.14 (1.06-1.22) | 1.13 (1.05-1.21) | 1.11 (1.03-1.20) | 1.11 (1.03-1.19) | |
Othersb
| 0.74 (0.70-0.80) | 1.04 (0.97-1.11) | 1.04 (0.97-1.10) | 1.03 (0.97-1.10) | 1.03 (0.97-1.10) | |
Missing information | 0.76 (0.71-0.81) | 1.01 (0.95-1.08) | 1.00 (0.94-1.07) | 1.00 (0.93-1.07) | 0.99 (0.93-1.06) | |
Multiparous women
| ||||||
SES | ||||||
Upper white collar workers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Lower white collar workers | 1.03 (0.98-1.08) | 1.15 (1.10-1.21) | 1.17 (1.11-1.24) | 1.15 (1.10-1.20) | 1.14 (1.09-1.20) | 1.16 (1.10-1.22) |
Blue collar workers | 0.96 (0.91-1.01) | 1.16 (1.10-1.22) | 1.18 (1.11-1.25) | 1.14 (1.08-1.21) | 1.13 (1.07-1.19) | 1.14 (1.08-1.22) |
Othersb
| 0.83 (0.79-0.88) | 1.00 (0.95-1.05) | 1.02 (0.96-1.07) | 0.99 (0.94-1.04) | 0.99 (0.94-1.04) | 1.00 (0.95-1.06) |
Missing information | 0.95 (0.90-1.00) | 1.12 (1.06-1.18) | 1.16 (1.09-1.23) | 1.11 (1.05-1.17) | 1.10 (1.05-1.17) | 1.14 (1.07-1.21) |
Non-planned CS
|
OR (95% CI)
|
OR (95% CI)
|
OR (95% CI)
|
OR (95% CI)
|
OR (95% CI)
|
OR (95% CI)
|
Nulliparous women
| ||||||
SES | ||||||
Upper white collar workers | 1 | 1 | NA | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Lower white collar workers | 0.96 (0.92-1.00) | 1.13 (1.08-1.18) | 1.13 (1.08-1.18) | 1.12 (1.07-1.17) | 1.12 (1.07-1.17) | |
Blue collar workers | 0.92 (0.87-0.96) | 1.23 (1.17-1.29) | 1.22 (1.16-1.29) | 1.19 (1.13-1.25) | 1.19 (1.13-1.25) | |
Othersb
| 0.77 (0.73-0.80) | 1.01 (0.97-1.06) | 1.01 (0.96-1.05) | 1.00 (0.96-1.05) | 1.00 (0.96-1.05) | |
Missing information | 0.87 (0.83-0.91) | 1.10 (1.05-1.15) | 1.10 (1.05-1.15) | 1.09 (1.03-1.14) | 1.08 (1.03-1.13) | |
Multiparous women
| ||||||
SES | ||||||
Upper white collar workers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Lower white collar workers | 1.04 (0.99-1.10) | 1.14 (1.08-1.20) | 1.15 (1.09-1.22) | 1.12 (1.06-1.18) | 1.12 (1.06-1.19) | 1.12 (1.06-1.19) |
Blue collar workers | 1.09 (1.02-1.15) | 1.26 (1.18-1.33) | 1.29 (1.21-1.37) | 1.20 (1.13-1.27) | 1.21 (1.14-1.29) | 1.22 (1.14-1.30) |
Othersb
| 0.87 (0.82-0.92) | 1.00 (0.94-1.06) | 1.01 (0.96-1.08) | 0.97 (0.91-1.03) | 0.98 (0.93-1.04) | 0.98 (0.92-1.04) |
Missing information | 1.04 (0.98-1.10) | 1.18 (1.11-1.25) | 1.20 (1.12-1.28) | 1.12 (1.06-1.19) | 1.16 (1.09-1.23) | 1.14 (1.06-1.21) |