Urinary transforming growth factor α and serum α-fetoprotein as tumor markers of hepatocellular carcinoma

This case–control study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic application of urinary transforming growth factor (TGF) α and serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). TGFα and AFP were determined in 90 pairs of age- and gender-matched patients with cirrhotic HCC and patients with cirrhosis alone and 60 healthy controls. The results indicated that TGFα and AFP levels in patients with HCC were higher than in those with cirrhosis alone or healthy controls (each P = 0.0001). Multivariate analysis indicated that TGFα (odds ratio (OR) 1.03, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.05–1.16) and AFP (OR 1.03, 95 % CI 1.01–1.06) were closely associated, in a dose-related fashion, with the development of HCC. The optimal cutoff values, determined with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, were 29 μg/g creatinine for TGFα and 100 ng/ml for AFP, respectively. The areas under ROC curve (AUC) were 0.74 for TGFα and 0.78 for AFP, respectively. Both biomarkers showed the same sensitivity (52.2 %), high specificity, high positive predictive value, and moderate positive likelihood ratio. Determination of both markers in parallel significantly increased the AUC (0.91) and diagnostic accuracy (92.2 %), with a high sensitivity (86.7 %), specificity (97.8 %), positive predictive value (PPV; 97.5 %), and moderate positive likelihood ratio (PLR; 39.4). Among 31 cirrhotic HCC with AFP ≤ 20 ng/ml, the calculated AUC for TGFα was 0.79, with a sensitivity of 64.5 %, specificity of 96.7 %, PPV of 87.0 %, and PLR of 19.5. In conclusion, urinary TGFα and serum AFP are complementary tumor markers for detection of HCC with low AFP production.