Additional value of metabolic parameters to PET/CT-based radiomics nomogram in predicting lymphovascular invasion and outcome in lung adenocarcinoma

Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) impairs surgical outcomes in lung adenocarcinoma (LAC) patients. Preoperative prediction of LVI is challenging by using traditional clinical and imaging parameters. The purpose of this study was to investigate the value of the radiomics nomogram integrating clinical factors, CT features, and maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) to predict LVI and outcome in LAC and to evaluate the additional value of the SUVmax to the PET/CT-based radiomics nomogram.

A total of 272 LAC patients (87 LVI-present LACs and 185 LVI-absent LACs) with PET/CT scans were retrospectively enrolled, and 160 patients with SUVmax ≥ 2.5 of them were used for PET radiomics analysis. Clinical data and CT features were analyzed to select independent LVI predictors. The performance of the independent LVI predictors and SUVmax was evaluated. Two-dimensional (2D) and three-dimensional (3D) CT radiomics signatures (RSs) and PET-RS were constructed with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm and radiomics scores (Rad-scores) were calculated. The radiomics nomograms, incorporating Rad-score and independent clinical and CT factors, with SUVmax (RNWS) or without SUVmax (RNWOS) were built. The performance of the models was assessed with respect to calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. All the clinical, PET/CT, pathologic, therapeutic, and radiomics parameters were assessed to identify independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS).

CT morphology was the independent LVI predictor. SUVmax provided better discrimination capability compared with CT morphology in the training set (P < 0.001) and test set (P = 0.042). A total of 1409 CT and PET radiomics features were extracted and reduced to 8, 8, and 10 features to build the 2D CT-RS, 3D CT-RS, and the PET-RS, respectively. There was no significant difference in AUC between the 2D-RS and 3D-RS (P > 0.05), and 2D CT-RS showed a relatively higher AUC than 3D CT-RS. The CT-RS, the CT-RNWOS, and the CT-RNWS showed good discrimination in the training set (AUC [area under the curve], 0.799, 0.796, and 0.851, respectively) and the test set (AUC, 0.818, 0.822, and 0.838, respectively). There was significant difference in AUC between the CT-RNWS and CT-RNWOS (P = 0.044) in the training set. Decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated the CT-RNWS outperformed the CT-RS and the CT-RNWOS in terms of clinical usefulness. Furthermore, DCA showed the PETCT-RNWS provided the highest net benefit compared with the PET-RNWS and CT-RNWS. PFS was significantly different between the pathologic and RNWS-predicted LVI-present and LVI-absent patients (P < 0.001). Carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), pathologic LVI, histologic subtype, and SUVmax were independent predictors of PFS in the 244 CT-RNWS-predicted cohort; and CA125, NSE, pathologic LVI, and SUVmax were the independent predictors of PFS in the 141 PETCT-RNWS-predicted cohort.

The radiomics nomogram, incorporating Rad-score, clinical and PET/CT parameters, shows favorable predictive efficacy for LVI status in LAC. Pathologic LVI and SUVmax are associated with LAC prognosis.