Introduction
Methods
Measures
Statistical analyses
Results
Variable | Category | Share of the study population | HBSS2003 mean (SD) | HBSS2012mean (SD) | Positive HBSSchange | Neutral HBSSchange | Negative HBSSchange |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
100 (10,855) | 2.87 (0.90) | 2.99 (0.99) | 30.5 (3100) | 48.3 (4913) | 21.2 (2160) | ||
Age (2003) | 25–29 | 20.6 (2234) | 2.91 (0.84) | 3.04 (0.85) | 31.9 (674) | 46.6 (985) | 21.6 (457) |
35–39 | 20.7 (2246) | 2.82 (0.89) | 2.96 (0.91) | 31.6 (673) | 48.0 (1024) | 20.4 (436) | |
45–49 | 26.6 (2885) | 2.82 (0.94) | 2.94 (0.94) | 29.9 (804) | 48.9 (1317) | 21.2 (572) | |
55–59 | 32.2 (3490) | 2.91 (0.91) | 3.01 (0.88) | 29.4 (949) | 49.1 (1587) | 21.5 (695) | |
Gender | Male | 36.2 (3925) | 2.66 (0.92) | 2.82 (0.92) | 32.5 (1177) | 47.1 (1709) | 20.4 (739) |
Female | 63.8 (6930) | 2.98 (0.87) | 3.09 (0.87) | 29.4 (1923) | 48.9 (3204) | 21.7 (1421) | |
Education (2003) | No professional education | 12.0 (1302) | 2.67 (0.93) | 2.81 (0.92) | 31.1 (376) | 48.7 (590) | 20.2 (245) |
Vocational school | 29.0 (3136) | 2.71 (0.92) | 2.83 (0.94) | 31.5 (922) | 47.0 (1379) | 21.5 (631) | |
College | 39.0 (4218) | 2.91 (0.89) | 3.03 (0.89) | 30.2 (1195) | 48.6 (1924) | 21.3 (844) | |
University | 19.9 (2154) | 3.13 (0.81) | 3.23 (0.77) | 29.2 (591) | 49.3 (1000) | 21.5 (436) | |
Diseases (2003) | 0 | 17.9 (1931) | 2.94 (0.86) | 3.06 (0.86) | 30.8 (557) | 48.0 (869) | 21.2 (384) |
1 | 23.3 (2522) | 2.89 (0.88) | 3.04 (0.89) | 31.2 (740) | 49.2 (1167) | 19.5 (464) | |
2 or more | 58.8 (6355) | 2.84 (0.92) | 2.95
(0.91) | 30.0 (1787) | 48.0 (2856) | 22.0 (1306) | |
Subjective well-being (2003) | High | 25.04 (2962) | 3.03 (0.85) | 3.12 (0.84) | 29.0 (730) | 49.2 (1238) | 21.9 (551) |
High intermediate | 34.18 (4043) | 2.89 (0.88) | 3.01 (0.87) | 30.4 (1052) | 48.6 (1684) | 21.1 (730) | |
Low intermediate | 22.61 (2674) | 2.85 (0.89) | 2.98 (0.88) | 31.4 (718) | 47.6 (1086) | 21.0 (480) | |
Low | 18.18 (2150) | 2.63 (0.97) | 2.77 (0.98) | 31.2 (574) | 47.6 (876) | 21.2 (391) | |
Negative life events | 0 | 39.4 (5135) | 2.88 (0.90) | 2.98 (0.89) | 34.4 (1286) | 51.3 (1915) | 14.3 (533) |
1 | 25.3 (3299) | 2.90 (0.89) | 3.02 (0.89) | 35.0 (800) | 49.6 (1133) | 15.4 (353) | |
2 or more | 35.4 (4616) | 2.83 (0.92) | 2.95 (0.93) | 34.9 (1010) | 46.3 (1341) | 18.8 (545) |
Variable | Category | Share of the study population | SWBscore2003 mean (SD) | SWBscore2012 mean (SD) | Positive SWBchange | Neutral SWBchange | Negative SWBchange |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
100 (10,855) | 8.53 (3.20) | 8.37 (3.18) | 30.2 (3546) | 44.0 (5172) | 25.8 (3034) | ||
Age (2003) | 25–29 | 20.6 (2234) | 8.47 (3.15) | 8.43 (3.15) | 31.6 (773) | 37.6 (918) | 30.8 (752) |
35–39 | 20.7 (2246) | 8.58 (3.28) | 8.67 (3.38) | 27.9 (675) | 43.1 (1045) | 29.0 (703) | |
45–49 | 26.6 (2885) | 8.64 (3.31) | 8.57 (3.31) | 28.5 (896) | 45.6 (1435) | 25.9 (815) | |
55–59 | 32.2 (3490) | 8.45 (3.06) | 7.96 (2.90) | 32.1 (1202) | 47.4 (1774) | 20.4 (764) | |
Gender | Male | 36.2 (3925) | 8.58 (3.18) | 8.36 (3.16) | 31.2 (1357) | 44.3 (1926) | 24.5 (1067) |
Female | 63.8 (6930) | 8.51 (3.20) | 8.38 (3.20) | 29.6 (2189) | 43.9 (3246) | 26.6 (1967) | |
Education (2003) | No professional education | 12.0 (1302) | 8.89 (3.33) | 8.58 (3.26) | 29.5 (417) | 46.3 (654) | 24.2 (342) |
Vocational school | 29.0 (3136) | 8.76 (3.30) | 8.54 (3.27) | 30.2 (1013) | 45.3 (1521) | 24.5 (821) | |
College | 39.0 (4218) | 8.40 (3.15) | 8.24 (3.07) | 29.9 (1362) | 43.1 (1964) | 27.1 (1236) | |
University | 19.9 (2154) | 8.24 (3.01) | 8.08 (3.01) | 31.0 (737) | 42.6 (1012) | 26.3 (625) | |
Diseases (2003) | 0 | 17.9 (1931) | 7.84 (2.73) | 7.91 (2.85) | 27.4 (579) | 45.2 (957) | 27.4 (581) |
1 | 23.3 (2522) | 8.12 (2.94) | 7.98 (2.89) | 30.6 (834) | 42.5 (1160) | 26.9 (733) | |
2 or more | 58.8 (6355) | 8.91 (3.37) | 8.60 (3.31) | 30.6 (2115) | 44.3 (3035) | 24.9 (1705) | |
Health behavior sum score (2003) | 0 or 1 | 7.0 (763) | 9.90 (3.87) | 9.53 (3.73) | 30.4 (227) | 43.7 (326) | 25.9 (193) |
2 | 24.5 (2654) | 9.02 (3.37) | 8.78 (3.35) | 30.9 (810) | 43.8 (1148) | 25.4 (665) | |
3 | 42.4 (4602) | 8.38 (3.06) | 8.22 (3.07) | 29.8 (1355) | 44.4 (2021) | 25.8 (1174) | |
4 | 26.1 (2836) | 8.03 (2.91) | 7.85 (2.77) | 30.6 (856) | 42.7 (1195) | 26.8 (749) | |
Negative life events | 0 | 39.4 (5135) | 8.16 (2.99) | 7.68 (2.67) | 31.6 (1470) | 46.8 (2174) | 21.6 (1004) |
1 | 25.3 (3299) | 8.40 (3.05) | 8.15 (3.01) | 30.7 (930) | 44.8 (1356) | 24.5 (742) | |
2 or more | 35.4 (4616) | 9.07 (3.45) | 9.29 (3.58) | 28.1 (1146) | 40.3 (1642) | 31.6 (1288) |
HBSSchange predicting SWB2012
Model | HBSS2003 β p-value (standard error) | HBSSchange p-value | SWBscore2003 β p-value (standard error) | Age p-value | Gender p-value | Education p-value | Diseases p-value | Negative life events p-value | AIC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1.0: Crude model, no covariates | − 0.51 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 55,200 |
< .001 | |||||||||
(0.033) | |||||||||
Model 1.1: Model 1.0 + Age, gender, education, diseases | − 0.47 | – | – | < 0.001 | 0.11 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | – | 54,500 |
< .001 | |||||||||
(0.034) | |||||||||
Model 1.2: Model 1.1 + HBSSchange | − 0.64 | < 0.001 | – | < 0.001 | 0.038 | 0.003 | < 0.001 | – | 51,100 |
p < .001 | |||||||||
(0.040) | |||||||||
Model 1.3: Model 1.1 + SWBscore2003 | − 0.24 | – | 0.44 | < 0.001 | 0.26 | 0.023 | < 0.001 | – | 51,800 |
< .001 | < .001 | ||||||||
(0.031) | (0.0086) | ||||||||
Model 1.4: Model 1.1 + HBSSchange + SWBscore2003 | − 0.36 | < 0.001 | 0.44 | < 0.001 | 0.10 | 0.10 | < 0.001 | – | 48,600 |
< .001 | < .001 | ||||||||
(0.036) | (0.0088) | ||||||||
Final model 1.5: Model 1.4 + Negative life events | − 0.35 | < 0.001 | 0.42 | < 0.001 | 0.45 | 0.038 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 48,300 |
< .001 | < .001 | ||||||||
(0.036) | (0.0088) | ||||||||
Model 1.6: HBSSchange + Age, gender, education, diseases | – | .018 | – | < .001 | 0.42 | < 0.001 | 0.002 | – | 51,300 |
Model 1.7: HBSSchange + SWBscore2003 + Age, gender, education, diseases | – | 0.001 | 0.45 | < 0.001 | 0.88 | < 0.001 | < .001 | – | 48,700 |
< .001 | |||||||||
(0.0088) |
Category | Estimate | Standard error | p-value |
---|---|---|---|
Intercept | 6.31 | 0.17 | < 0.001 |
HBSS2003 | –0.35 | 0.036 | < 0.001 |
HBSSchange | |||
Positive | –0.31 | 0.068 | < 0.001 |
Neutral | Reference | ||
Negative | 0.37 | 0.072 | < 0.001 |
SWBscore2003 | 0.42 | 0.0088 | < 0.001 |
Gender | |||
Male | 0.046 | 0.059 | 0.10 |
Female | Reference | ||
Age (2003) | |||
25–29 | 0.35 | 0.082 | < 0.001 |
35–39 | 0.47 | 0.080 | < 0.001 |
45–49 | 0.33 | 0.074 | < 0.001 |
55–59 | Reference | ||
Education (1998) | |||
No professional education | 0.053 | 0.094 | 0.57 |
Vocational school | Reference | ||
College | –0.16 | 0.068 | 0.019 |
University or higher | –0.11 | 0.081 | 0.17 |
Diseases (2003) | |||
0 | –0.22 | 0.077 | 0.005 |
1 | –0.29 | 0.069 | < 0.001 |
Negative life events (2007–2012) | |||
0 | –1.08 | 0.067 | < 0.001 |
1 | –0.75 | 0.071 | < 0.001 |
2 or more | Reference |
SWBchange predicting HBSS
Model | SWBscore2003 β p-value (standard error) | SWBchange p-value | HBSS2003 β p-value | Age p-value | Gender p-value | Education p-value | Diseases p-value | SWB2003* Education p-value | Negative life events p-value | AIC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 2.0: Linear model, no covariates | − 0.038 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28,000 |
< .001 | ||||||||||
(0.0027) | ||||||||||
Model 2.1: Model 2.0 + Age, gender, education, diseases, SWB2003*education | − 0.040 | – | – | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 0.041 | 0.002 | 0.003 | – | 27,300 |
< .001 | ||||||||||
(0.0048) | ||||||||||
Model 2.2: Model 2.1 + SWBchange | − 0.049 | < .001 | – | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.007 | 0.009 | – | 27,200 |
< .001 | ||||||||||
(0.0049) | ||||||||||
Model 2.3: Model 2.1 + HBSS2003 | − 0.019 | – | 0.49 | 0.040 | < 0.001 | 0.55 | 0.020 | 0.003 | – | 23,100 |
< .001 | p < .001 | |||||||||
(0.0031) | (0.0088) | |||||||||
Final model 2.4: Model 2.1 + SWBchange + HBSS2003 | − 0.025 | < .001 | 0.48 | 0.093 | < 0.001 | 0.49 | 0.040 | 0.005 | – | 23,000 |
< .001 | p < .001 | |||||||||
(0.0045) | (0.0088) | |||||||||
Model 2.5: Model 2.4 + negative life events | − 0.026 | < .001 | 0.48 | 0.079 | < 0.001 | 0.50 | 0.036 | 0.005 | 0.52 | 23,000 |
< .001 | p < .001 | |||||||||
(0.0045) | (0.0088) | |||||||||
Model 2.6: SWBchange + Age, gender, education, diseases, SWBchange*education | – | .070 | – | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 0.72b | – | 27,400 |
Model 2.7: Model 2.6 + HBSS2003 | – | < .001 | 0.49 | 0.022 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 0.001 | < 0.55b | – | 23,000 |
p < .001 | ||||||||||
(0.0088) |
Category | Estimate | Standard error | p-value |
---|---|---|---|
Intercept | 1.81 | 0.053 | < 0.001 |
SWBscore2003 | − 0.025 | 0.0045 | < 0.001 |
SWBchange | |||
Positive | 0.071 | 0.019 | < 0.001 |
Neutral | Reference | ||
Negative | − 0.072 | 0.019 | < 0.001 |
HBSS2003 | 0.48 | 0.0088 | < 0.001 |
Gender | |||
Male | − 0.10 | 0.016 | < 0.001 |
Female | Reference | ||
Age (2003) | |||
25–29 | − 0.024 | 0.023 | 0.30 |
35–39 | − 0.033 | 0.022 | 0.14 |
45–49 | − 0.051 | 0.020 | 0.013 |
55–59 | Reference | ||
Education (1998) | |||
No professional education | 0.012 | 0.075 | 0.87 |
Vocational school | Reference | ||
College | 0.061 | 0.053 | 0.25 |
University or higher | − 0.023 | 0.064 | 0.72 |
Diseases (2003) | |||
0 | 0.046 | 0.021 | 0.030 |
1 | 0.037 | 0.019 | 0.055 |
2 or more | Reference | ||
SWB2003*education | |||
No professional education | − 0.0019 | 0.0079 | 0.81 |
Vocational school | Reference | ||
College | 0.0017 | 0.0057 | 0.76 |
University or higher | 0.022 | 0.0071 | 0.0016 |